Football Value Bets 2023-05-28
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
28/05/2023 evaluation: We are showing 73 value bet opportunities from 26 leagues with stake amount £63.25, where the result is £-7.97. The average market margin of stakes worth £63.25 is -5.69. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.


























# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:30 | Talleres Córdoba | 1-0 | Argentinos Juniors | 1 | 888sport | 2.40 | 2.30 | 0.74 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | Salzburg | 3-2 | Austria Klagenfurt | 1 | interwetten | 1.22 | 1.21 | 2.12 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 | Antwerp | 1-1 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 1 | titanbet | 2.20 | 2.11 | 0.83 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Corinthians W | 1-0 | Atlético Mineiro W | 1 | pncl | 1.19 | 1.18 | 2.45 | ✓ | |
19:00 | Real Brasília W | 3-0 | Real Ariquemes W | 1 | Bwin sports | 1.15 | 1.14 | 3.00 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:00 | São Paulo | 2-1 | Goiás | 1 | nordicbet | 1.60 | 1.56 | 1.18 | ✓ | |
22:30 | Bragantino | 2-0 | Santos | 1 | dafabet | 2.01 | 1.94 | 0.89 | ✓ | |
22:30 | Atlético Mineiro | 1-1 | Palmeiras | 1 | marathonbet | 2.49 | 2.38 | 0.73 | ☓ | |
23:00 | Botafogo | 2-0 | América Mineiro | 1 | 188bet | 1.89 | 1.83 | 0.97 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Ponte Preta | 1-0 | Vila Nova | 1 | cloudbet | 2.57 | 2.45 | 0.70 | ✓ | |
19:30 | Mirassol | 1-0 | Criciúma | 1 | 188bet | 2.33 | 2.23 | 0.82 | ✓ | |
19:30 | Ceará | 0-3 | Novorizontino | 1 | pncl | 2.18 | 2.10 | 0.82 | ☓ | |
22:15 | Tombense | 1-1 | Guarani | 2 | pncl | 3.81 | 3.56 | 0.51 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 2-2 | Ludogorets | 2 | Betsson | 1.72 | 1.67 | 1.21 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:35 | Shanghai Shenhua | 1-1 | Henan Jianye | 1 | 1XBet | 1.58 | 1.54 | 1.21 | ☓ | |
12:35 | Dalian Professional | 0-1 | Tianjin Teda | 1 | pncl | 3.23 | 3.05 | 0.58 | ☓ | |
12:35 | Shenzhen | 3-2 | Meizhou Hakka | 1 | pncl | 3.39 | 3.19 | 0.57 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | Hajduk Split | 3-0 | Šibenik | X | tipico | 6.70 | 6.09 | 0.37 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | Jablonec | 0-2 | Teplice | 1 | marathonbet | 1.72 | 1.67 | 1.15 | ☓ | |
16:00 | Baník Ostrava | 2-4 | Pardubice | 2 | 888sport | 5.80 | 5.31 | 0.39 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | Næstved | 3-3 | SønderjyskE | 1 | cashpoint | 4.05 | 3.78 | 0.49 | ☓ | |
12:00 | FC Helsingør | 1-1 | Vejle | 1 | marathonbet | 4.65 | 4.31 | 0.45 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:30 | Aston Villa | 2-1 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 1 | comeon | 2.05 | 1.98 | 0.89 | ✓ | |
16:30 | Brentford | 1-0 | Manchester City | 1 | tipico | 4.30 | 4.00 | 0.49 | ✓ | |
16:30 | Chelsea | 1-1 | Newcastle United | 1 | marathon | 3.42 | 3.22 | 0.55 | ☓ | |
16:30 | Crystal Palace | 1-1 | Nottingham Forest | 1 | Betsson | 1.85 | 1.79 | 1.01 | ☓ | |
16:30 | Leicester City | 2-1 | West Ham United | 1 | Betsson | 2.28 | 2.19 | 0.85 | ✓ | |
16:30 | Southampton | 4-4 | Liverpool | 2 | 1XBet | 1.50 | 1.47 | 1.31 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:30 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 4-0 | Darmstadt 98 | 2 | betcris | 3.95 | 3.69 | 0.63 | ☓ | |
14:30 | St. Pauli | 1-1 | Karlsruher SC | 1 | 188bet | 1.71 | 1.66 | 1.11 | ☓ | |
14:30 | Paderborn | 0-1 | Nürnberg | 1 | interwetten | 1.95 | 1.89 | 0.93 | ☓ | |
14:30 | Hannover 96 | 1-5 | Holstein Kiel | 1 | 888sport | 2.18 | 2.10 | 0.83 | ☓ | |
14:30 | Hansa Rostock | 2-1 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 2 | betcris | 3.73 | 3.49 | 0.63 | ☓ | |
14:30 | Kaiserslautern | 0-3 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 1 | 888sport | 2.45 | 2.34 | 0.73 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:30 | Hellas Verona | 1-1 | Empoli | 2 | betregal | 5.10 | 4.70 | 0.44 | ☓ | |
14:00 | Bologna | 2-2 | Napoli | 2 | sportingbet | 3.50 | 3.29 | 0.82 | ☓ | |
14:00 | Monza | 0-1 | Lecce | 1 | sportingbet | 2.45 | 2.34 | 0.74 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
06:00 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 2-0 | Avispa Fukuoka | 2 | sportingbet | 4.00 | 3.73 | 0.50 | ☓ | |
06:00 | Albirex Niigata | 1-3 | Gamba Osaka | 1 | marathonbet | 2.45 | 2.34 | 0.76 | ☓ | |
09:00 | Kawasaki Frontale | 2-0 | Kashiwa Reysol | 1 | marathon | 1.78 | 1.73 | 1.04 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08:30 | Seoul | 1-0 | Gangwon | 1 | dafabet | 1.79 | 1.74 | 1.02 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:30 | AZ | 1-2 | PSV | 1 | sportingbet | 2.70 | 2.57 | 0.68 | ☓ | |
13:30 | SC Cambuur | 4-0 | RKC Waalwijk | 1 | sportingbet | 3.60 | 3.38 | 0.54 | ✓ | |
13:30 | FC Twente | 3-1 | Ajax | 1 | marathon | 3.94 | 3.68 | 0.50 | ✓ | |
13:30 | FC Utrecht | 3-2 | FC Emmen | 1 | unibet | 1.45 | 1.42 | 1.40 | ✓ | |
13:30 | FC Volendam | 3-2 | Excelsior | 1 | cloudbet | 1.80 | 1.75 | 1.01 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | CFR Cluj | 1-2 | SSC Farul | 1 | sportingbet | 1.51 | 1.48 | 1.34 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | Spartak Moskva | 0-0 | FK Nizjni Novgorod | 1 | 1XBet | 1.53 | 1.50 | 1.27 | ☓ | |
14:30 | Dinamo Moskva | 2-4 | Lokomotiv Moskva | 1 | 1XBet | 2.01 | 1.94 | 0.89 | ☓ | |
14:30 | Fakel | 2-1 | Krylya Sovetov | 1 | cloudbet | 3.06 | 2.89 | 0.60 | ✓ | |
17:00 | Rostov | 3-2 | Akhmat Grozny | 2 | dafabet | 3.80 | 3.55 | 0.57 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Kilmarnock | 3-1 | Ross County | 2 | pncl | 4.20 | 3.91 | 0.48 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | Athletic Club | 0-1 | Elche | 1 | sportingbet | 8.25 | 7.42 | 1.10 | ☓ | |
18:00 | FC Barcelona | 3-0 | Mallorca | 1 | 1XBet | 1.29 | 1.27 | 1.81 | ✓ | |
18:00 | Getafe | 2-1 | Osasuna | 2 | interwetten | 4.40 | 4.09 | 0.49 | ☓ | |
18:00 | Rayo Vallecano | 2-1 | Villarreal | 2 | unibet | 2.43 | 2.32 | 0.74 | ☓ | |
18:00 | Girona | 1-2 | Real Betis | 1 | unibet | 2.33 | 2.23 | 0.82 | ☓ | |
18:00 | Valencia | 2-2 | Espanyol | 2 | marathonbet | 4.33 | 4.02 | 0.47 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:15 | Sporting Gijón | 1-4 | Ponferradina | 2 | pncl | 4.68 | 4.33 | 0.45 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Djurgården | 1-0 | AIK | 1 | dafabet | 2.00 | 1.93 | 0.89 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | Oleksandria | 0-2 | Zorya | 1 | pncl | 3.92 | 3.66 | 0.50 | ☓ | |
13:00 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3-0 | Dnipro-1 | 2 | pncl | 4.34 | 4.03 | 0.47 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:30 | Montreal Impact | 1-0 | Inter Miami | 1 | marathon | 1.91 | 1.85 | 0.94 | ✓ | |
00:30 | New England | 3-3 | Chicago Fire | 1 | 10bet | 1.80 | 1.75 | 1.03 | ☓ | |
00:30 | New York City | 1-3 | Philadelphia Union | 2 | sportingbet | 3.30 | 3.11 | 0.57 | ✓ | |
00:30 | Orlando City | 1-1 | Atlanta United | 1 | sportingbet | 2.95 | 2.79 | 0.72 | ☓ | |
00:30 | Toronto | 2-1 | DC United | 2 | 10bet | 3.00 | 2.84 | 0.62 | ☓ | |
01:30 | Minnesota United | 1-1 | Real Salt Lake | 1 | betcris | 3.73 | 3.49 | 0.81 | ☓ | |
01:30 | Saint Louis City | 3-1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 2 | sbo | 3.45 | 3.24 | 0.55 | ☓ | |
02:30 | Colorado Rapids | 0-1 | Cincinnati | 1 | 888sport | 2.45 | 2.34 | 0.73 | ☓ | |
03:30 | SJ Earthquakes | 1-1 | Dallas | 1 | 10bet | 2.15 | 2.07 | 0.84 | ☓ | |
03:30 | Seattle Sounders | 1-0 | New York RB | 2 | pncl | 4.40 | 4.09 | 0.46 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | Tunisia U20 | 0-1 | Uruguay U20 | 2 | 10bet | 1.40 | 1.38 | 1.50 | ✓ |