Football Value Bets 2023-05-27
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
27/05/2023 evaluation: We are showing 85 value bet opportunities from 32 leagues with stake amount £73.46, where the result is £0.76. The average market margin of stakes worth £73.46 is -6.61. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.
































# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
22:00 | Platense | 1-0 | Belgrano | 2 | 888sport | 4.00 | 3.73 | 0.50 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | Wolfsberger AC | 2-0 | WSG Tirol | 2 | tipico | 3.60 | 3.38 | 0.53 | ☓ | |
16:00 | Rheindorf Altach | 1-1 | Austria Lustenau | 2 | pncl | 3.07 | 2.90 | 0.60 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:15 | Westerlo | 1-3 | Gent | 1 | Betsson | 4.00 | 3.73 | 0.51 | ☓ | |
19:45 | Standard Liège | 0-4 | Cercle Brugge | 2 | Betsson | 2.70 | 2.57 | 0.70 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | Bahia W | 2-4 | Kindermann-Avaí W | 2 | marathon | 3.84 | 3.59 | 0.51 | ✓ | |
19:00 | Athletico Paranaense W | 0-5 | Cruzeiro W | 2 | pncl | 2.17 | 2.09 | 0.84 | ✓ | |
20:00 | Ferroviária W | 1-0 | São Paulo W | 1 | pncl | 1.85 | 1.79 | 0.98 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:00 | Athletico PR | 1-2 | Grêmio | 1 | marathon | 1.80 | 1.75 | 1.04 | ☓ | |
20:00 | Fortaleza | 2-0 | Vasco da Gama | 1 | Betsson | 1.87 | 1.81 | 0.98 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
21:00 | CRB | 1-2 | Juventude | 1 | pncl | 2.54 | 2.42 | 0.71 | ☓ | |
21:30 | Avaí | 1-1 | Vitória | 2 | cloudbet | 3.89 | 3.63 | 0.51 | ☓ | |
22:00 | Atlético GO | 1-1 | Botafogo SP | 1 | 188bet | 1.68 | 1.64 | 1.14 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:45 | OFK Pirin | 2-0 | Botev Vratsa | 2 | betvictor | 31.00 | 26.11 | 0.20 | ☓ | |
19:00 | CSKA Sofia | 1-0 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 1 | Betsson | 1.33 | 1.31 | 1.82 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08:00 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 1-0 | Nantong Zhiyun | 1 | dafabet | 1.43 | 1.40 | 1.43 | ✓ | |
12:35 | Cangzhou Mighty Lions | 2-1 | Wuhan Three Towns | 1 | tipico | 6.20 | 5.66 | 0.38 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | Osijek | 1-1 | Rijeka | 2 | Betsson | 3.00 | 2.84 | 0.62 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Bohemians 1905 | 0-1 | Sigma Olomouc | 2 | pncl | 3.96 | 3.70 | 0.50 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | Vendsyssel | 2-3 | Hvidovre | 2 | unibet | 1.98 | 1.91 | 0.93 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:45 | Coventry City | 1-1 | Luton Town | 1 | cloudbet | 3.65 | 3.42 | 0.53 |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:30 | Arsenal W | 0-2 | Aston Villa W | 1 | pncl | 1.36 | 1.34 | 1.65 | ☓ | |
14:30 | West Ham W | 2-2 | Tottenham W | 1 | 1XBet | 2.90 | 2.75 | 0.63 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:30 | Mariehamn | 0-0 | HJK | 1 | nordicbet | 6.50 | 5.92 | 0.38 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:00 | Angers SCO | 2-1 | Troyes | 1 | 188bet | 1.94 | 1.88 | 0.98 | ✓ | |
20:00 | Montpellier | 2-3 | Nice | 1 | Betsson | 2.52 | 2.41 | 0.72 | ☓ | |
20:00 | Olympique Lyonnais | 3-0 | Reims | 1 | Betsson | 1.68 | 1.64 | 1.11 | ✓ | |
20:00 | Strasbourg | 1-1 | Paris Saint Germain | 1 | tipico | 5.00 | 4.61 | 0.43 | ☓ | |
20:00 | Rennes | 2-0 | Monaco | 1 | marathon | 2.17 | 2.09 | 0.85 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:30 | RB Leipzig | 4-2 | Schalke 04 | 1 | Betsson | 1.65 | 1.61 | 1.13 | ✓ | |
14:30 | FC Köln | 1-2 | FC Bayern München | 1 | Betsson | 8.50 | 7.64 | 0.32 | ☓ | |
14:30 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1-2 | Hertha BSC | 1 | Betsson | 1.36 | 1.34 | 1.61 | ☓ | |
14:30 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 3-0 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 2 | 10bet | 2.00 | 1.93 | 0.95 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Fiorentina | 2-1 | Roma | 1 | Betsson | 2.35 | 2.25 | 0.78 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:30 | Cagliari | 2-1 | Venezia | 1 | 888sport | 1.95 | 1.89 | 0.93 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05:00 | Consadole Sapporo | 1-2 | Nagoya Grampus | 1 | pncl | 2.74 | 2.61 | 0.66 | ☓ | |
06:00 | Vissel Kobe | 3-2 | Tokyo | 1 | marathon | 1.85 | 1.79 | 1.00 | ✓ | |
06:00 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1-0 | Shonan Bellmare | 2 | marathonbet | 5.80 | 5.31 | 0.40 | ☓ | |
09:00 | Sagan Tosu | 2-2 | Kashima Antlers | 2 | sportingbet | 3.90 | 3.64 | 0.84 | ☓ | |
11:00 | Kyoto Sanga | 0-2 | Urawa Reds | 2 | 10bet | 2.05 | 1.98 | 0.90 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08:30 | Jeju United | 2-1 | Suwon Bluewings | 1 | marathon | 1.90 | 1.84 | 0.96 | ✓ | |
11:00 | Daegu | 2-2 | Incheon United | 2 | 888sport | 2.70 | 2.57 | 0.67 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:30 | Cracovia Kraków | 3-0 | Wisła Płock | 2 | pncl | 3.08 | 2.91 | 0.60 | ☓ | |
16:30 | Piast Gliwice | 0-1 | Lechia Gdańsk | 1 | marathon | 1.70 | 1.66 | 1.22 | ☓ | |
16:30 | Lech Poznań | 2-0 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 1 | 888sport | 1.35 | 1.33 | 1.64 | ✓ | |
16:30 | Legia Warszawa | 3-1 | Śląsk Wrocław | 2 | marathon | 4.25 | 3.95 | 0.48 | ☓ | |
16:30 | Miedź Legnica | 0-0 | Górnik Zabrze | 1 | comeon | 3.95 | 3.69 | 0.51 | ☓ | |
16:30 | Raków Częstochowa | 1-1 | Zagłębie Lubin | 1 | betclic | 1.46 | 1.43 | 1.38 | ☓ | |
16:30 | Widzew Lodz | 0-3 | Korona Kielce | 2 | Betsson | 3.10 | 2.93 | 0.60 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:30 | Estoril | 3-1 | Marítimo | 1 | 888sport | 2.45 | 2.34 | 0.76 | ✓ | |
15:30 | Chaves | 1-4 | Boavista | 1 | sportingbet | 3.00 | 2.84 | 0.73 | ☓ | |
18:00 | Portimonense | 0-2 | Arouca | 2 | 888sport | 2.35 | 2.25 | 0.78 | ✓ | |
20:30 | Sporting Braga | 3-0 | Paços de Ferreira | 1 | interwetten | 1.33 | 1.31 | 1.69 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:30 | FCSB | 1-5 | Rapid Bucuresti | 1 | betfair | 1.91 | 1.85 | 1.23 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Urozhay | 0-2 | Yenisey | 1 | marathon | 2.76 | 2.62 | 0.66 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 0-1 | Rodina Moskva | 2 | marathon | 2.24 | 2.15 | 0.80 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Shinnik | 1-0 | SKA Khabarovsk | 1 | marathon | 2.19 | 2.11 | 0.83 | ✓ | |
15:30 | Neftekhimik | 2-0 | Ufa | 2 | marathon | 3.18 | 3.00 | 0.60 | ☓ | |
16:00 | Rubin Kazan' | 2-0 | Makhachkala | 1 | marathon | 1.54 | 1.51 | 1.39 | ✓ | |
16:00 | Arsenal Tula | 0-1 | KAMAZ | 1 | marathon | 2.07 | 2.00 | 0.88 | ☓ | |
17:00 | Veles | 1-2 | Akron | 1 | marathon | 2.27 | 2.18 | 0.78 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:30 | Torpedo Moskva | 1-3 | Orenburg | 1 | marathon | 4.50 | 4.17 | 0.46 | ☓ | |
17:00 | Krasnodar | 0-0 | CSKA Moskva | 2 | marathon | 2.19 | 2.11 | 0.90 | ☓ | |
17:00 | Sochi | 1-1 | Zenit | 1 | cashpoint | 3.31 | 3.12 | 0.58 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | Al Batin | 2-2 | Al Adalh | 2 | comeon | 2.05 | 1.98 | 0.92 | ☓ | |
19:00 | Abha | 0-3 | Al Hilal | 2 | marathon | 1.46 | 1.43 | 1.38 | ✓ | |
19:00 | Al Fateh | 1-1 | Dhamk | 2 | Bwin sports | 3.75 | 3.51 | 0.55 | ☓ | |
19:00 | Al Raed | 0-0 | Al Khaleej | 1 | marathon | 2.96 | 2.80 | 0.64 | ☓ | |
19:00 | Al Tai | 1-2 | Al Wahda | 1 | 10bet | 2.55 | 2.43 | 0.75 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 | Celtic | 5-0 | Aberdeen | 1 | interwetten | 1.22 | 1.21 | 2.19 | ✓ | |
12:30 | St. Mirren | 0-3 | Rangers | 2 | interwetten | 1.50 | 1.47 | 1.33 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | Sevilla | 1-2 | Real Madrid | 2 | betclic | 2.42 | 2.32 | 0.74 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:15 | FC Andorra | 4-3 | Villarreal II | 1 | 888sport | 1.78 | 1.73 | 1.13 | ✓ | |
17:30 | Albacete | 2-1 | Mirandés | 1 | 188bet | 1.85 | 1.79 | 0.98 | ✓ | |
17:30 | Málaga | 1-1 | UD Ibiza | 1 | pncl | 1.55 | 1.52 | 1.24 | ☓ | |
20:00 | Granada | 2-0 | Leganés | 1 | cloudbet | 1.73 | 1.68 | 1.07 | ✓ | |
20:00 | Levante | 2-1 | Real Oviedo | 1 | unibet | 1.47 | 1.44 | 1.36 | ✓ | |
20:00 | Las Palmas | 0-0 | Deportivo Alavés | 2 | 888sport | 3.90 | 3.64 | 0.52 | ☓ | |
20:00 | Huesca | 0-1 | SD Eibar | 2 | nordicbet | 2.50 | 2.39 | 0.72 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:30 | Brommapojkarna | 1-2 | Sirius | 1 | marathon | 2.80 | 2.66 | 0.66 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:00 | Binh Duong | 1-1 | Ha Noi | 2 | cloudbet | 1.59 | 1.55 | 1.23 | ☓ | |
12:00 | Da Nang | 1-1 | Hoang Anh Gia Lai | 2 | pncl | 2.60 | 2.48 | 0.70 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | Brazil U20 | 2-0 | Nigeria U20 | 1 | marathon | 1.52 | 1.49 | 1.28 | ✓ | |
22:00 | Colombia U20 | 1-1 | Senegal U20 | 2 | betregal | 2.79 | 2.65 | 0.73 | ☓ | |
22:00 | Japan U20 | 1-2 | Israel U20 | 2 | pncl | 3.85 | 3.60 | 0.51 | ✓ |