Football Value Bets 2023-05-24
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
24/05/2023 evaluation: We are showing 36 value bet opportunities from 12 leagues with stake amount £34.49, where the result is £13.73. The average market margin of stakes worth £34.49 is -3.10. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:30 | Novorizontino | 2-0 | Avaí | 1 | comeon | 1.74 | 1.69 | 1.06 | ✓ | |
01:30 | ABC | 1-0 | Tombense | 2 | pncl | 3.71 | 3.47 | 0.52 | ☓ | |
23:00 | Vila Nova | 1-0 | Ituano | 1 | Betsson | 1.75 | 1.70 | 1.06 | ✓ | |
23:00 | Juventude | 3-0 | Atlético GO | 1 | 188bet | 2.44 | 2.33 | 0.76 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:35 | Shandong Luneng | 3-0 | Shenzhen | 1 | dafabet | 1.25 | 1.24 | 1.95 | ✓ | |
12:35 | Shanghai SIPG | 3-2 | Henan Jianye | 1 | comeon | 1.22 | 1.21 | 2.26 | ✓ | |
12:35 | Meizhou Hakka | 1-1 | Tianjin Teda | 2 | pncl | 3.03 | 2.87 | 0.61 | ☓ | |
12:35 | Dalian Professional | 1-2 | Hangzhou | 2 | pncl | 2.71 | 2.58 | 0.68 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | Zlín | 2-1 | Baník Ostrava | 1 | comeon | 2.35 | 2.25 | 0.76 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:30 | Pyramids FC | 1-0 | Haras El Hodood | X | marathon | 5.20 | 4.79 | 0.42 | ☓ | |
19:30 | Future FC | 1-0 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 1 | pncl | 2.53 | 2.42 | 0.74 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:00 | Fiorentina | 1-2 | Inter | 2 | marathon | 2.16 | 2.08 | 0.83 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Aberdeen | 3-0 | St. Mirren | 1 | Betsson | 2.00 | 1.93 | 0.90 | ✓ | |
19:45 | Hibernian | 4-2 | Celtic | 2 | sportingbet | 5.00 | 4.61 | 0.96 | ☓ | |
19:45 | Livingston | 1-1 | Motherwell | 2 | sportingbet | 2.50 | 2.39 | 0.73 | ☓ | |
19:45 | Ross County | 3-3 | St. Johnstone | 2 | 1XBet | 3.58 | 3.36 | 0.54 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:00 | Aucas | 1-2 | Racing Club | 2 | pncl | 3.18 | 3.00 | 0.59 | ✓ | |
01:00 | Bolívar | 1-0 | Barcelona Guayaquil | 2 | unibet | 5.80 | 5.31 | 0.40 | ☓ | |
03:00 | Alianza Lima | 1-2 | Libertad | 2 | pncl | 2.70 | 2.57 | 0.67 | ✓ | |
23:00 | Cerro Porteño | 0-3 | Palmeiras | 2 | betcris | 1.78 | 1.73 | 1.04 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:00 | Magallanes | 1-1 | LDU Quito | 1 | 888sport | 4.10 | 3.82 | 0.49 | ☓ | |
01:00 | América Mineiro | 2-3 | Defensa y Justicia | 2 | marathonbet | 4.95 | 4.57 | 0.45 | ✓ | |
03:00 | Millonarios | 3-1 | Peñarol | 1 | pncl | 1.74 | 1.69 | 1.08 | ✓ | |
23:00 | Fortaleza | 3-2 | San Lorenzo | 1 | Betsson | 1.90 | 1.84 | 0.96 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:30 | Elche | 1-1 | Sevilla | 1 | cloudbet | 3.89 | 3.63 | 0.51 | ☓ | |
18:30 | Villarreal | 2-0 | Cádiz | 1 | unibet | 1.60 | 1.56 | 1.19 | ✓ | |
21:00 | Espanyol | 3-3 | Atlético Madrid | 2 | Betsson | 2.35 | 2.25 | 0.76 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | Djurgården | 1-0 | Häcken | 1 | unibet | 2.80 | 2.66 | 0.68 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:00 | Dnipro-1 | 1-2 | Vorskla | 1 | marathon | 1.35 | 1.33 | 1.64 | ☓ | |
11:40 | Kolos Kovalivka | 0-3 | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | betway | 1.57 | 1.53 | 1.25 | ✓ | |
13:00 | Veres | 2-2 | Oleksandria | 1 | pncl | 3.29 | 3.10 | 0.57 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Zorya | 0-3 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 888sport | 1.92 | 1.86 | 0.94 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | Senegal U20 | 1-1 | Israel U20 | 2 | 888sport | 5.20 | 4.79 | 0.41 | ☓ | |
19:00 | Italy U20 | 0-2 | Nigeria U20 | 2 | pncl | 5.67 | 5.20 | 0.39 | ✓ | |
22:00 | Japan U20 | 1-2 | Colombia U20 | 2 | marathon | 2.64 | 2.51 | 0.69 | ✓ | |
22:00 | Brazil U20 | 6-0 | Dominican Republic U20 | 1 | nordicbet | 1.06 | 1.06 | 5.00 | ✓ |