Football Value Bets 2023-05-21
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
21/05/2023 evaluation: We are showing 65 value bet opportunities from 31 leagues with stake amount £56.10, where the result is £10.41. The average market margin of stakes worth £56.10 is -5.05. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.































# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:30 | Lanús | 1-0 | Newell's Old Boys | 1 | marathonbet | 2.38 | 2.28 | 0.77 | ✓ | |
01:30 | Tigre | 0-0 | Atlético Tucumán | 1 | tipico | 2.05 | 1.98 | 0.88 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:00 | Santos | 0-0 | Palmeiras | 2 | marathonbet | 1.84 | 1.78 | 0.98 | ☓ | |
20:00 | Flamengo | 1-0 | Corinthians | 1 | Betsson | 1.60 | 1.56 | 1.25 | ✓ | |
22:30 | Grêmio | 3-1 | Internacional | 1 | Betsson | 2.45 | 2.34 | 0.76 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Chapecoense | 0-2 | Juventude | 2 | pncl | 4.23 | 3.94 | 0.48 | ✓ | |
19:30 | Criciúma | 1-2 | Ceará | 1 | 188bet | 2.20 | 2.11 | 0.82 | ☓ | |
22:00 | Ponte Preta | 1-1 | Guarani | 1 | 188bet | 2.25 | 2.16 | 0.84 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:30 | Stella | 1-0 | SOL | 2 | pncl | 3.87 | 3.62 | 0.53 | ☓ | |
19:00 | AFAD | 0-0 | Korhogo | 2 | 1XBet | 5.55 | 5.09 | 0.40 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | Lokomotiva Zagreb | 3-1 | Istra 1961 | 2 | pncl | 3.63 | 3.40 | 0.53 | ☓ | |
18:30 | Rijeka | 1-2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 2 | pncl | 2.66 | 2.53 | 0.68 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Jablonec | 1-0 | Zbrojovka Brno | 1 | betregal | 1.72 | 1.67 | 1.11 | ✓ | |
14:00 | Hradec Králové | 0-4 | Slovan Liberec | 1 | pncl | 2.77 | 2.63 | 0.66 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | Lyngby | 0-4 | OB | 2 | cloudbet | 3.30 | 3.11 | 0.57 | ✓ | |
17:00 | FC Copenhagen | 4-3 | AGF | 2 | tipico | 3.90 | 3.64 | 0.50 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Ismaily | 1-0 | Haras El Hodood | 1 | 188bet | 1.92 | 1.86 | 0.95 | ✓ | |
19:30 | Ghazl El Mehalla | 0-2 | Pyramids FC | 2 | 1XBet | 1.54 | 1.51 | 1.29 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:30 | West Ham United | 3-1 | Leeds United | 1 | comeon | 2.70 | 2.57 | 0.67 | ✓ | |
14:00 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 3-1 | Southampton | 1 | unibet | 1.24 | 1.23 | 2.00 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 | Chelsea W | 2-0 | Arsenal W | 2 | marathon | 4.50 | 4.17 | 0.46 | ☓ | |
13:00 | Everton W | 2-1 | Brighton W | 1 | Betsson | 2.35 | 2.25 | 0.80 | ✓ | |
14:00 | Aston Villa W | 3-3 | Liverpool W | 1 | 888sport | 1.65 | 1.61 | 1.17 | ☓ | |
18:45 | Manchester United W | 2-1 | Manchester City W | 2 | marathon | 3.62 | 3.39 | 0.55 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Auxerre | 1-2 | Paris Saint Germain | 2 | pncl | 1.41 | 1.39 | 1.50 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 | Karlsruher SC | 2-0 | Kaiserslautern | 2 | 888sport | 3.75 | 3.51 | 0.54 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Torino | 1-1 | Fiorentina | 1 | Betsson | 2.32 | 2.22 | 0.85 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10:00 | Suwon Bluewings | 2-3 | Ulsan | 1 | marathon | 4.75 | 4.39 | 0.44 | ☓ | |
11:00 | Jeonbuk Motors | 3-1 | Suwon | 1 | sbo | 1.70 | 1.66 | 1.09 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02:06 | Monterrey | 0-1 | Tigres UANL | 2 | pncl | 4.74 | 4.39 | 0.44 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:00 | Mouloudia Oujda | 1-2 | RSB Berkane | 1 | 888sport | 2.65 | 2.52 | 0.69 | ☓ | |
20:00 | Ittihad Tanger | 0-0 | Raja Casablanca | 2 | titanbet | 5.00 | 4.61 | 0.45 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:30 | FC Emmen | 1-3 | Feyenoord | 2 | marathon | 1.53 | 1.50 | 1.27 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Radomiak Radom | 3-1 | Widzew Lodz | 2 | pncl | 3.74 | 3.50 | 0.52 | ☓ | |
16:30 | Wisła Płock | 1-2 | Raków Częstochowa | 1 | 888sport | 4.40 | 4.09 | 0.46 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | SSC Farul | 3-2 | FCSB | 1 | marathon | 3.16 | 2.98 | 0.62 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | Rodina Moskva | 2-2 | Urozhay | 1 | 188bet | 1.96 | 1.90 | 0.93 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:30 | Spartak Moskva | 2-1 | CSKA Moskva | 2 | marathon | 2.83 | 2.69 | 0.64 | ☓ | |
17:00 | Krasnodar | 3-0 | Rostov | 2 | pncl | 4.19 | 3.90 | 0.48 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | Hibernian | 1-3 | Rangers | 1 | 888sport | 4.70 | 4.35 | 0.44 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:15 | Atlético Madrid | 3-0 | Osasuna | 1 | 1XBet | 1.55 | 1.52 | 1.25 | ✓ | |
17:30 | Valencia | 1-0 | Real Madrid | 1 | Betsson | 3.60 | 3.38 | 0.54 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Djurgården | 2-0 | Mjällby | 1 | Betsson | 1.65 | 1.61 | 1.14 | ✓ | |
16:30 | Sirius | 1-2 | Halmstad | 2 | unibet | 4.60 | 4.26 | 0.46 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:30 | Zürich | 2-1 | Grasshopper | 1 | interwetten | 2.00 | 1.93 | 0.89 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Rizespor | 0-0 | Altınordu | 1 | 10bet | 1.51 | 1.48 | 1.30 | ☓ | |
14:00 | Manisa BBSK | 1-5 | Pendikspor | 2 | tipico | 2.00 | 1.93 | 0.91 | ✓ | |
14:00 | Bodrumspor | 1-1 | Göztepe | 1 | marathon | 1.93 | 1.87 | 0.94 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Ümraniyespor | 1-2 | Ankaragücü | 1 | pncl | 2.66 | 2.53 | 0.68 | ☓ | |
17:00 | Antalyaspor | 0-0 | İstanbul Başakşehir | 1 | 888sport | 2.08 | 2.01 | 0.94 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 2-0 | Metal Kharkiv | 1 | Betsson | 2.25 | 2.16 | 0.92 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Rukh Vynnyky | 2-0 | Lviv | 1 | 1XBet | 1.46 | 1.43 | 1.45 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:30 | DC United | 3-0 | LA Galaxy | 1 | pncl | 2.14 | 2.06 | 0.84 | ✓ | |
00:30 | Inter Miami | 1-3 | Orlando City | 2 | cloudbet | 3.17 | 2.99 | 0.59 | ✓ | |
00:30 | New York RB | 2-1 | Montreal Impact | 1 | sportingbet | 1.90 | 1.84 | 0.95 | ✓ | |
00:30 | Philadelphia Union | 3-0 | New England | 1 | Betsson | 2.10 | 2.02 | 0.85 | ✓ | |
02:30 | Colorado Rapids | 2-3 | Real Salt Lake | 1 | marathonbet | 2.02 | 1.95 | 0.91 | ☓ | |
02:30 | Saint Louis City | 4-0 | Sporting KC | 1 | betfair | 1.95 | 1.89 | 0.92 | ✓ | |
03:30 | Los Angeles FC | 2-1 | SJ Earthquakes | 2 | 10bet | 6.50 | 5.92 | 0.37 | ☓ | |
03:30 | Portland Timbers | 0-1 | Minnesota United | 1 | 188bet | 2.02 | 1.95 | 0.89 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:15 | Ho Chi Minh City | 3-5 | Công An Nhân Dân | 2 | pncl | 1.66 | 1.62 | 1.12 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | Israel U20 | 1-2 | Colombia U20 | 1 | betvictor | 7.00 | 6.35 | 0.36 | ☓ | |
19:00 | Nigeria U20 | 2-1 | Dominican Republic U20 | 1 | sbo | 1.09 | 1.09 | 4.31 | ✓ | |
22:00 | Senegal U20 | 0-1 | Japan U20 | 2 | unibet | 3.60 | 3.38 | 0.55 | ✓ | |
22:00 | Italy U20 | 3-2 | Brazil U20 | 2 | marathon | 1.80 | 1.75 | 1.01 | ☓ |