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Football Value Bets 2023-05-20

You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.

Did you find a day with a negative result? Yes, this happens. It is impossible to guess correctly the outcomes of hundreds of thousands football fixtures and we are not doing that. Football value bets are the fixtures where the bookmaker is for some reason giving "too much".
  1. Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
  2. Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
  3. Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
  4. Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
  5. Make sure to start out small.
Football value bets shown on this page are based on the fact that every now and then a bookmaker gives odds that are much higher compared to the competition, and this is what we are showing. Make sure to check football predictions that cover the majority of the football betting spectrum.

20/05/2023 evaluation: We are showing 93 value bet opportunities from 37 leagues with stake amount £76.29, where the result is £6.95. The average market margin of stakes worth £76.29 is -6.87. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.

# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Mamelodi Sundowns 2-2 Wydad Casablanca 1 Betsson 2.20 2.11 0.99
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
01:30 Racing Club Vélez Sarsfield 2 tipico 3.80 3.55 0.54
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
16:00 Austria Lustenau 2-4 WSG Tirol 2 marathon 2.92 2.77 0.63
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
17:15 Westerlo 3-0 Standard Liège 1 sportingbet 2.80 2.66 0.76
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
15:00 Palmeiras W 4-1 Ferroviária W 2 ladbrokes 4.00 3.73 0.51
15:00 Internacional RS W 3-0 Bahia W 1 pncl 1.43 1.40 1.43
19:00 Real Brasília W 1-0 Grêmio W 2 888sport 3.00 2.84 0.62
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
20:00 Bahia 1-1 Goiás 1 sportingbet 4.60 4.26 0.93
22:30 Botafogo 1-0 Fluminense 1 dafabet 3.15 2.97 0.59
22:30 São Paulo 4-2 Vasco da Gama 1 unibet 1.95 1.89 0.93
22:30 Bragantino 2-0 Athletico PR 1 marathonbet 2.00 1.93 0.92
22:30 América Mineiro 2-1 Fortaleza 2 marathonbet 3.04 2.88 0.66
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
01:30 Atlético GO 0-0 Avaí 2 cloudbet 6.90 6.26 0.35
21:00 Ituano 0-2 Novorizontino 1 cloudbet 2.59 2.47 0.69
21:00 Sampaio Corrêa 1-0 ABC 2 tipico 4.80 4.44 0.44
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
15:30 Cherno More 1-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia 2 pncl 3.12 2.95 0.59
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
12:35 Henan Jianye 1-0 Dalian Professional 2 pncl 2.90 2.75 0.63
12:35 Tianjin Teda 3-3 Shandong Luneng 2 comeon 2.00 1.93 0.93
12:35 Meizhou Hakka 0-2 Shanghai SIPG 2 188bet 1.70 1.66 1.22
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
16:30 Sporting Gagnoa 2-3 Stade d'Abidjan 1 betcris 2.14 2.06 0.87
16:30 Bassam 0-1 San-Pedro 2 1XBet 2.28 2.19 0.78
18:45 Racing d'Abidjan 4-0 Bouake 2 betcris 3.00 2.84 0.83
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
17:00 Gorica 5-2 Varaždin 1 comeon 2.00 1.93 0.90
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Slovácko 2-2 Sigma Olomouc 2 pncl 4.21 3.92 0.50
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
12:30 Stockport County 2-1 Salford City 2 tipico 5.20 4.79 0.41
15:00 Carlisle United 3-1 Bradford City 1 pncl 2.32 2.22 0.78
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
15:00 AFC Bournemouth 0-1 Manchester United 2 cashpoint 1.49 1.46 1.33
15:00 Fulham 2-2 Crystal Palace 1 sportingbet 3.00 2.84 0.69
17:30 Nottingham Forest 1-0 Arsenal 2 interwetten 1.70 1.66 1.09
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
16:15 Tottenham W 4-1 Reading W 1 betway 1.88 1.82 1.04
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
12:00 KuPS 2-0 Lahti 1 nordicbet 1.54 1.51 1.26
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
18:00 Paris 2-1 Sochaux 1 dafabet 2.00 1.93 0.89
18:00 Niort 2-2 Annecy 1 marathon 3.64 3.41 0.55
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
12:00 DSC Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 Paderborn 1 sbo 3.05 2.88 0.61
12:00 Heidenheim 1-0 Sandhausen 1 sportingbet 9.00 8.06 1.12
12:00 Eintracht Braunschweig 1-2 Jahn Regensburg 2 marathon 3.78 3.54 0.53
19:30 Hamburger SV 2-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1 sportingbet 1.66 1.62 1.16
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:30 TSG Hoffenheim 4-2 FC Union Berlin 2 interwetten 3.15 2.97 0.59
17:30 FC Bayern München 1-3 RB Leipzig 1 marathon 1.56 1.53 1.23
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
18:30 Ashdod 1-2 Maccabi Tel Aviv 2 marathon 1.43 1.40 1.50
18:30 Maccabi Haifa 5-0 Hapoel Katamon 1 Betsson 1.30 1.28 1.77
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
07:00 Kashima Antlers 1-1 Tokyo 1 cloudbet 2.05 1.98 0.87
07:00 Shonan Bellmare 0-2 Cerezo Osaka 1 888sport 2.45 2.34 0.74
07:00 Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1 marathon 2.94 2.79 0.63
08:00 Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 Vissel Kobe 1 marathon 4.25 3.95 0.49
09:00 Sagan Tosu 2-0 Albirex Niigata 2 tipico 2.70 2.57 0.70
11:00 Gamba Osaka 0-2 Yokohama F. Marinos 2 10bet 2.15 2.07 0.84
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
08:30 Incheon United 1-1 Gwangju 2 pncl 3.48 3.27 0.55
11:00 Daejeon Citizen 0-1 Daegu 1 188bet 2.51 2.40 0.71
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
18:00 Olympic Safi 1-1 Hassania Agadir 2 888sport 5.25 4.83 0.41
20:00 Maghreb Fès 0-0 UTS Rabat 1 sbo 2.32 2.22 0.77
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Jagiellonia Białystok 1-1 Cracovia Kraków 1 888sport 2.30 2.21 0.79
16:30 Górnik Zabrze 2-1 Pogoń Szczecin 1 cloudbet 2.66 2.53 0.68
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
15:30 Arouca 1-0 Chaves 1 comeon 2.20 2.11 0.82
15:30 Santa Clara 1-0 Portimonense 1 888sport 1.95 1.89 0.95
20:30 Famalicão 2-4 Porto 1 interwetten 10.00 8.91 0.28
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
12:45 Botoşani 5-1 Mioveni 1 10bet 1.38 1.36 1.73
18:30 Sepsi 1-2 CFR Cluj 2 sportingbet 3.75 3.51 0.80
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
07:00 SKA Khabarovsk 2-0 Volgar Astrakhan 2 pncl 3.23 3.05 0.58
11:00 Yenisey 2-2 Neftekhimik 2 marathon 3.95 3.69 0.51
12:00 Ufa 1-0 KAMAZ 1 marathon 2.07 2.00 0.87
14:00 Makhachkala 0-2 Volga Ulyanovsk 1 188bet 1.97 1.90 0.91
17:30 Krasnodar II 5-2 Veles 2 marathon 2.03 1.96 0.98
19:30 Baltika 0-1 Rubin Kazan' X marathon 3.13 2.96 0.59
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
12:00 Lokomotiv Moskva 1-0 Fakel 2 marathon 3.92 3.66 0.52
14:30 Torpedo Moskva 0-3 Dinamo Moskva 2 marathon 1.44 1.41 1.44
14:30 Orenburg 2-2 Zenit 2 1XBet 2.06 1.99 0.88
17:00 Akhmat Grozny 3-0 Khimki 1 188bet 1.69 1.65 1.11
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
12:30 Hearts 2-1 Aberdeen 1 888sport 2.23 2.14 0.81
15:00 Celtic 2-2 St. Mirren 1 1XBet 1.19 1.18 2.35
15:00 Livingston 2-1 Dundee United 2 unibet 3.15 2.97 0.60
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 AmaZulu 0-4 Orlando Pirates 2 marathon 1.72 1.67 1.08
14:00 Chippa United 0-0 Golden Arrows 1 10bet 2.15 2.07 0.85
14:00 Kaizer Chiefs 0-1 Cape Town City 1 dafabet 2.08 2.01 0.89
14:00 Richards Bay 0-0 Royal AM 2 cloudbet 5.59 5.13 0.44
14:00 Sekhukhune United 1-0 SuperSport United 2 10bet 2.30 2.21 0.84
14:00 Moroka Swallows 2-0 Marumo Gallants FC 2 Betsson 2.95 2.79 0.69
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
17:30 Deportivo Alavés 2-1 Málaga 2 Betsson 8.00 7.21 0.35
17:30 Lugo 1-2 Huesca 1 tipico 3.10 2.93 0.61
17:30 Villarreal II 2-3 Levante 2 888sport 1.85 1.79 0.98
20:00 Tenerife 2-1 Burgos 1 888sport 1.75 1.70 1.08
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Degerfors 2-1 AIK 2 Betsson 2.11 2.03 0.84
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
17:00 Winterthur 0-1 Servette 2 Betsson 2.05 1.98 0.93
19:30 Luzern 1-1 St. Gallen 1 sbo 2.49 2.38 0.72
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Kasımpaşa 1-0 İstanbulspor 1 Betsson 2.18 2.10 0.89
17:00 Galatasaray 2-0 Sivasspor 1 comeon 1.25 1.24 1.99
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
13:00 Oleksandria 1-5 Dynamo Kyiv 1 tipico 4.30 4.00 0.47
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
12:00 Nam Dinh 1-1 Hai Phong 2 pncl 3.36 3.16 0.56
12:00 Song Lam Nghe An 2-2 Hong Linh Ha Tinh 2 cloudbet 4.47 4.15 0.46
13:15 Viettel 2-1 Binh Dinh 1 marathon 2.48 2.37 0.73
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
19:00 Guatemala U20 0-1 New Zealand U20 1 betvictor 3.50 3.29 0.55
19:00 USA U20 1-0 Ecuador U20 1 unibet 2.80 2.66 0.70
22:00 Argentina U20 2-1 Uzbekistan U20 1 betway 1.33 1.31 1.67