Football Value Bets 2023-05-20
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
20/05/2023 evaluation: We are showing 93 value bet opportunities from 37 leagues with stake amount £76.29, where the result is £6.95. The average market margin of stakes worth £76.29 is -6.87. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.





































# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 2-2 | Wydad Casablanca | 1 | Betsson | 2.20 | 2.11 | 0.99 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:30 | Racing Club | Vélez Sarsfield | 2 | tipico | 3.80 | 3.55 | 0.54 |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | Austria Lustenau | 2-4 | WSG Tirol | 2 | marathon | 2.92 | 2.77 | 0.63 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:15 | Westerlo | 3-0 | Standard Liège | 1 | sportingbet | 2.80 | 2.66 | 0.76 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Palmeiras W | 4-1 | Ferroviária W | 2 | ladbrokes | 4.00 | 3.73 | 0.51 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Internacional RS W | 3-0 | Bahia W | 1 | pncl | 1.43 | 1.40 | 1.43 | ✓ | |
19:00 | Real Brasília W | 1-0 | Grêmio W | 2 | 888sport | 3.00 | 2.84 | 0.62 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:00 | Bahia | 1-1 | Goiás | 1 | sportingbet | 4.60 | 4.26 | 0.93 | ☓ | |
22:30 | Botafogo | 1-0 | Fluminense | 1 | dafabet | 3.15 | 2.97 | 0.59 | ✓ | |
22:30 | São Paulo | 4-2 | Vasco da Gama | 1 | unibet | 1.95 | 1.89 | 0.93 | ✓ | |
22:30 | Bragantino | 2-0 | Athletico PR | 1 | marathonbet | 2.00 | 1.93 | 0.92 | ✓ | |
22:30 | América Mineiro | 2-1 | Fortaleza | 2 | marathonbet | 3.04 | 2.88 | 0.66 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:30 | Atlético GO | 0-0 | Avaí | 2 | cloudbet | 6.90 | 6.26 | 0.35 | ☓ | |
21:00 | Ituano | 0-2 | Novorizontino | 1 | cloudbet | 2.59 | 2.47 | 0.69 | ☓ | |
21:00 | Sampaio Corrêa | 1-0 | ABC | 2 | tipico | 4.80 | 4.44 | 0.44 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:30 | Cherno More | 1-1 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 2 | pncl | 3.12 | 2.95 | 0.59 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:35 | Henan Jianye | 1-0 | Dalian Professional | 2 | pncl | 2.90 | 2.75 | 0.63 | ☓ | |
12:35 | Tianjin Teda | 3-3 | Shandong Luneng | 2 | comeon | 2.00 | 1.93 | 0.93 | ☓ | |
12:35 | Meizhou Hakka | 0-2 | Shanghai SIPG | 2 | 188bet | 1.70 | 1.66 | 1.22 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:30 | Sporting Gagnoa | 2-3 | Stade d'Abidjan | 1 | betcris | 2.14 | 2.06 | 0.87 | ☓ | |
16:30 | Bassam | 0-1 | San-Pedro | 2 | 1XBet | 2.28 | 2.19 | 0.78 | ✓ | |
18:45 | Racing d'Abidjan | 4-0 | Bouake | 2 | betcris | 3.00 | 2.84 | 0.83 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Gorica | 5-2 | Varaždin | 1 | comeon | 2.00 | 1.93 | 0.90 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Slovácko | 2-2 | Sigma Olomouc | 2 | pncl | 4.21 | 3.92 | 0.50 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 | Stockport County | 2-1 | Salford City | 2 | tipico | 5.20 | 4.79 | 0.41 | ||
15:00 | Carlisle United | 3-1 | Bradford City | 1 | pncl | 2.32 | 2.22 | 0.78 |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | AFC Bournemouth | 0-1 | Manchester United | 2 | cashpoint | 1.49 | 1.46 | 1.33 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Fulham | 2-2 | Crystal Palace | 1 | sportingbet | 3.00 | 2.84 | 0.69 | ☓ | |
17:30 | Nottingham Forest | 1-0 | Arsenal | 2 | interwetten | 1.70 | 1.66 | 1.09 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:15 | Tottenham W | 4-1 | Reading W | 1 | betway | 1.88 | 1.82 | 1.04 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | KuPS | 2-0 | Lahti | 1 | nordicbet | 1.54 | 1.51 | 1.26 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | Paris | 2-1 | Sochaux | 1 | dafabet | 2.00 | 1.93 | 0.89 | ✓ | |
18:00 | Niort | 2-2 | Annecy | 1 | marathon | 3.64 | 3.41 | 0.55 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | DSC Arminia Bielefeld | 2-2 | Paderborn | 1 | sbo | 3.05 | 2.88 | 0.61 | ☓ | |
12:00 | Heidenheim | 1-0 | Sandhausen | 1 | sportingbet | 9.00 | 8.06 | 1.12 | ✓ | |
12:00 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 1-2 | Jahn Regensburg | 2 | marathon | 3.78 | 3.54 | 0.53 | ✓ | |
19:30 | Hamburger SV | 2-1 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1 | sportingbet | 1.66 | 1.62 | 1.16 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:30 | TSG Hoffenheim | 4-2 | FC Union Berlin | 2 | interwetten | 3.15 | 2.97 | 0.59 | ☓ | |
17:30 | FC Bayern München | 1-3 | RB Leipzig | 1 | marathon | 1.56 | 1.53 | 1.23 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:30 | Ashdod | 1-2 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2 | marathon | 1.43 | 1.40 | 1.50 | ✓ | |
18:30 | Maccabi Haifa | 5-0 | Hapoel Katamon | 1 | Betsson | 1.30 | 1.28 | 1.77 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
07:00 | Kashima Antlers | 1-1 | Tokyo | 1 | cloudbet | 2.05 | 1.98 | 0.87 | ☓ | |
07:00 | Shonan Bellmare | 0-2 | Cerezo Osaka | 1 | 888sport | 2.45 | 2.34 | 0.74 | ☓ | |
07:00 | Nagoya Grampus | 2-1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1 | marathon | 2.94 | 2.79 | 0.63 | ✓ | |
08:00 | Kashiwa Reysol | 1-1 | Vissel Kobe | 1 | marathon | 4.25 | 3.95 | 0.49 | ☓ | |
09:00 | Sagan Tosu | 2-0 | Albirex Niigata | 2 | tipico | 2.70 | 2.57 | 0.70 | ☓ | |
11:00 | Gamba Osaka | 0-2 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 2 | 10bet | 2.15 | 2.07 | 0.84 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08:30 | Incheon United | 1-1 | Gwangju | 2 | pncl | 3.48 | 3.27 | 0.55 | ☓ | |
11:00 | Daejeon Citizen | 0-1 | Daegu | 1 | 188bet | 2.51 | 2.40 | 0.71 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | Olympic Safi | 1-1 | Hassania Agadir | 2 | 888sport | 5.25 | 4.83 | 0.41 | ☓ | |
20:00 | Maghreb Fès | 0-0 | UTS Rabat | 1 | sbo | 2.32 | 2.22 | 0.77 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 1-1 | Cracovia Kraków | 1 | 888sport | 2.30 | 2.21 | 0.79 | ☓ | |
16:30 | Górnik Zabrze | 2-1 | Pogoń Szczecin | 1 | cloudbet | 2.66 | 2.53 | 0.68 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:30 | Arouca | 1-0 | Chaves | 1 | comeon | 2.20 | 2.11 | 0.82 | ✓ | |
15:30 | Santa Clara | 1-0 | Portimonense | 1 | 888sport | 1.95 | 1.89 | 0.95 | ✓ | |
20:30 | Famalicão | 2-4 | Porto | 1 | interwetten | 10.00 | 8.91 | 0.28 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:45 | Botoşani | 5-1 | Mioveni | 1 | 10bet | 1.38 | 1.36 | 1.73 | ✓ | |
18:30 | Sepsi | 1-2 | CFR Cluj | 2 | sportingbet | 3.75 | 3.51 | 0.80 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
07:00 | SKA Khabarovsk | 2-0 | Volgar Astrakhan | 2 | pncl | 3.23 | 3.05 | 0.58 | ☓ | |
11:00 | Yenisey | 2-2 | Neftekhimik | 2 | marathon | 3.95 | 3.69 | 0.51 | ☓ | |
12:00 | Ufa | 1-0 | KAMAZ | 1 | marathon | 2.07 | 2.00 | 0.87 | ✓ | |
14:00 | Makhachkala | 0-2 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 1 | 188bet | 1.97 | 1.90 | 0.91 | ☓ | |
17:30 | Krasnodar II | 5-2 | Veles | 2 | marathon | 2.03 | 1.96 | 0.98 | ☓ | |
19:30 | Baltika | 0-1 | Rubin Kazan' | X | marathon | 3.13 | 2.96 | 0.59 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | Lokomotiv Moskva | 1-0 | Fakel | 2 | marathon | 3.92 | 3.66 | 0.52 | ☓ | |
14:30 | Torpedo Moskva | 0-3 | Dinamo Moskva | 2 | marathon | 1.44 | 1.41 | 1.44 | ✓ | |
14:30 | Orenburg | 2-2 | Zenit | 2 | 1XBet | 2.06 | 1.99 | 0.88 | ☓ | |
17:00 | Akhmat Grozny | 3-0 | Khimki | 1 | 188bet | 1.69 | 1.65 | 1.11 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 | Hearts | 2-1 | Aberdeen | 1 | 888sport | 2.23 | 2.14 | 0.81 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Celtic | 2-2 | St. Mirren | 1 | 1XBet | 1.19 | 1.18 | 2.35 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Livingston | 2-1 | Dundee United | 2 | unibet | 3.15 | 2.97 | 0.60 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | AmaZulu | 0-4 | Orlando Pirates | 2 | marathon | 1.72 | 1.67 | 1.08 | ✓ | |
14:00 | Chippa United | 0-0 | Golden Arrows | 1 | 10bet | 2.15 | 2.07 | 0.85 | ☓ | |
14:00 | Kaizer Chiefs | 0-1 | Cape Town City | 1 | dafabet | 2.08 | 2.01 | 0.89 | ☓ | |
14:00 | Richards Bay | 0-0 | Royal AM | 2 | cloudbet | 5.59 | 5.13 | 0.44 | ☓ | |
14:00 | Sekhukhune United | 1-0 | SuperSport United | 2 | 10bet | 2.30 | 2.21 | 0.84 | ☓ | |
14:00 | Moroka Swallows | 2-0 | Marumo Gallants FC | 2 | Betsson | 2.95 | 2.79 | 0.69 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:30 | Deportivo Alavés | 2-1 | Málaga | 2 | Betsson | 8.00 | 7.21 | 0.35 | ☓ | |
17:30 | Lugo | 1-2 | Huesca | 1 | tipico | 3.10 | 2.93 | 0.61 | ☓ | |
17:30 | Villarreal II | 2-3 | Levante | 2 | 888sport | 1.85 | 1.79 | 0.98 | ✓ | |
20:00 | Tenerife | 2-1 | Burgos | 1 | 888sport | 1.75 | 1.70 | 1.08 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Degerfors | 2-1 | AIK | 2 | Betsson | 2.11 | 2.03 | 0.84 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Winterthur | 0-1 | Servette | 2 | Betsson | 2.05 | 1.98 | 0.93 | ✓ | |
19:30 | Luzern | 1-1 | St. Gallen | 1 | sbo | 2.49 | 2.38 | 0.72 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Kasımpaşa | 1-0 | İstanbulspor | 1 | Betsson | 2.18 | 2.10 | 0.89 | ✓ | |
17:00 | Galatasaray | 2-0 | Sivasspor | 1 | comeon | 1.25 | 1.24 | 1.99 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | Oleksandria | 1-5 | Dynamo Kyiv | 1 | tipico | 4.30 | 4.00 | 0.47 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | Nam Dinh | 1-1 | Hai Phong | 2 | pncl | 3.36 | 3.16 | 0.56 | ☓ | |
12:00 | Song Lam Nghe An | 2-2 | Hong Linh Ha Tinh | 2 | cloudbet | 4.47 | 4.15 | 0.46 | ☓ | |
13:15 | Viettel | 2-1 | Binh Dinh | 1 | marathon | 2.48 | 2.37 | 0.73 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | Guatemala U20 | 0-1 | New Zealand U20 | 1 | betvictor | 3.50 | 3.29 | 0.55 | ☓ | |
19:00 | USA U20 | 1-0 | Ecuador U20 | 1 | unibet | 2.80 | 2.66 | 0.70 | ✓ | |
22:00 | Argentina U20 | 2-1 | Uzbekistan U20 | 1 | betway | 1.33 | 1.31 | 1.67 | ✓ |