Football Value Bets 2023-05-19
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
19/05/2023 evaluation: We are showing 53 value bet opportunities from 23 leagues with stake amount £47.32, where the result is £2.42. The average market margin of stakes worth £47.32 is -4.26. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:00 | Al Ahly | 1-0 | ES Tunis | 1 | unibet | 1.70 | 1.66 | 1.10 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:30 | Godoy Cruz | 2-0 | Gimnasia La Plata | 1 | Betsson | 1.95 | 1.89 | 0.92 | ✓ | |
23:00 | Central Cordoba SdE | 0-1 | Unión Santa Fe | 1 | 888sport | 2.35 | 2.25 | 0.82 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10:45 | Melbourne City | 4-0 | Sydney | 2 | sbo | 4.50 | 4.17 | 0.45 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:30 | Ried | 0-1 | Rheindorf Altach | 2 | pncl | 4.23 | 3.94 | 0.49 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23:00 | Mirassol | 2-0 | Vitória | 2 | pncl | 3.90 | 3.64 | 0.50 | ☓ | |
23:00 | Tombense | 0-2 | Londrina | 1 | 188bet | 2.14 | 2.06 | 0.84 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Slavia Sofia | 0-0 | Arda | 1 | pncl | 2.49 | 2.38 | 0.72 | ☓ | |
17:15 | Botev Plovdiv | 0-2 | Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 | 1 | betfair | 1.65 | 1.61 | 1.13 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10:30 | Wuhan Three Towns | 3-3 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 2 | 1XBet | 3.38 | 3.18 | 0.57 | ☓ | |
12:35 | Shanghai Shenhua | 1-1 | Beijing Guoan | 1 | 188bet | 2.23 | 2.14 | 0.81 | ☓ | |
12:35 | Cangzhou Mighty Lions | 2-4 | Changchun Yatai | 1 | 888sport | 2.50 | 2.39 | 0.73 | ☓ | |
12:35 | Qingdao Jonoon | 2-2 | Hangzhou | 2 | 888sport | 2.63 | 2.51 | 0.69 | ☓ | |
12:35 | Nantong Zhiyun | 1-1 | Shenzhen | 1 | betcris | 2.16 | 2.08 | 0.86 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:30 | Lys Sassandra | 2-2 | Denguélé | 2 | pncl | 3.31 | 3.12 | 0.64 | ☓ | |
19:00 | SOA | 0-0 | ES Bafing | 1 | sportingbet | 2.30 | 2.21 | 0.79 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Slaven Koprivnica | 0-1 | Hajduk Split | 1 | 888sport | 4.75 | 4.39 | 0.47 | ☓ | |
17:05 | Šibenik | 1-4 | Osijek | 2 | 888sport | 2.28 | 2.19 | 0.83 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Hillerød | 1-0 | HB Køge | 1 | tipico | 2.85 | 2.70 | 0.70 | ✓ | |
18:00 | Nykøbing | 1-2 | Hobro | 2 | marathon | 1.83 | 1.78 | 1.02 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:00 | Olympique Lyonnais | 3-1 | Monaco | 2 | Betsson | 2.95 | 2.79 | 0.62 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:30 | SC Freiburg | 2-0 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 | Betsson | 2.35 | 2.25 | 0.81 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:30 | Cittadella | 0-0 | Como | 1 | pncl | 2.27 | 2.18 | 0.79 | ☓ | |
19:30 | Cosenza | 0-1 | Cagliari | 2 | 10bet | 2.20 | 2.11 | 0.90 | ✓ | |
19:30 | Genoa | 4-3 | Bari 1908 | 1 | 10bet | 1.60 | 1.56 | 1.21 | ✓ | |
19:30 | Parma | 2-1 | Venezia | 1 | Betsson | 2.40 | 2.30 | 0.77 | ✓ | |
19:30 | Perugia | 3-2 | Benevento | 1 | Betsson | 1.78 | 1.73 | 1.04 | ✓ | |
19:30 | Pisa | 1-2 | SPAL | 1 | 888sport | 1.58 | 1.54 | 1.30 | ☓ | |
19:30 | Reggina | 1-0 | Ascoli | 1 | sportingbet | 3.60 | 3.38 | 0.84 | ✓ | |
19:30 | Ternana | 2-3 | Frosinone | 1 | Betsson | 3.40 | 3.20 | 0.63 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:30 | Consadole Sapporo | 2-1 | Kyoto Sanga | 1 | pncl | 1.66 | 1.62 | 1.12 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03:10 | Guadalajara | 0-1 | América | 1 | cloudbet | 3.39 | 3.19 | 0.56 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | Almere City | 1-0 | MVV Maastricht | 1 | marathon | 1.48 | 1.45 | 1.35 | ✓ | |
19:00 | Jong AZ | 0-2 | ADO Den Haag | 1 | comeon | 2.45 | 2.34 | 0.77 | ☓ | |
19:00 | FC Dordrecht | 2-2 | TOP Oss | 2 | pncl | 3.69 | 3.46 | 0.52 | ☓ | |
19:00 | Helmond Sport | 2-3 | PEC Zwolle | 2 | marathon | 1.32 | 1.30 | 1.68 | ✓ | |
19:00 | Heracles Almelo | 2-0 | Jong Ajax | 1 | marathon | 1.33 | 1.31 | 1.77 | ✓ | |
19:00 | Jong PSV | 1-1 | FC Eindhoven | 2 | comeon | 2.85 | 2.70 | 0.68 | ☓ | |
19:00 | Roda JC Kerkrade | 2-2 | Willem II | 2 | marathon | 1.72 | 1.67 | 1.09 | ☓ | |
19:00 | Telstar | 2-1 | NAC Breda | 1 | pncl | 2.34 | 2.24 | 0.77 | ✓ | |
19:00 | Jong Utrecht | 1-1 | VVV-Venlo | 1 | 888sport | 3.40 | 3.20 | 0.64 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:30 | Korona Kielce | 0-3 | Lech Poznań | 1 | Betsson | 4.50 | 4.17 | 0.47 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:15 | Marítimo | 1-0 | Vizela | 1 | Betsson | 1.87 | 1.81 | 0.99 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:30 | Hermannstadt | 1-2 | Universitatea Cluj | 2 | nordicbet | 5.00 | 4.61 | 0.48 | ✓ | |
18:00 | UTA Arad | 1-1 | U Craiova 1948 | 1 | 10bet | 2.20 | 2.11 | 0.84 | ☓ | |
18:00 | Argeş | 3-0 | Petrolul 52 | 1 | 888sport | 2.30 | 2.21 | 0.88 | ✓ | |
18:00 | Chindia Târgovişte | 2-2 | Voluntari | 1 | 888sport | 2.08 | 2.01 | 0.98 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | Akron | 0-0 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz | 2 | marathon | 2.57 | 2.45 | 0.71 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | Dhamk | 0-1 | Al Hilal | 2 | 10bet | 1.51 | 1.48 | 1.39 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | Dnipro-1 | 2-1 | Kolos Kovalivka | 1 | interwetten | 1.33 | 1.31 | 1.67 | ✓ | |
13:00 | Vorskla | 1-0 | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | 1 | marathon | 2.41 | 2.31 | 0.79 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2-1 | Veres | 1 | sbo | 1.16 | 1.15 | 2.57 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:00 | Hoang Anh Gia Lai | 2-2 | FLC Thanh Hoa | 2 | 1XBet | 3.05 | 2.88 | 0.61 | ☓ |