Football Value Bets 2023-05-14
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
14/05/2023 evaluation: We are showing 74 value bet opportunities from 32 leagues with stake amount £62.24, where the result is £0.91. The average market margin of stakes worth £62.24 is -5.60. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.
































# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:30 | Newell's Old Boys | 2-0 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 1 | 1XBet | 1.73 | 1.68 | 1.06 | ✓ | |
18:00 | Defensa y Justicia | 1-1 | Estudiantes | 1 | marathonbet | 3.35 | 3.15 | 0.57 | ☓ | |
20:30 | Platense | 3-0 | Racing Club | 2 | sportingbet | 3.10 | 2.93 | 0.68 | ☓ | |
23:00 | Boca Juniors | 2-0 | Belgrano | 1 | comeon | 2.00 | 1.93 | 0.95 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Corinthians W | 1-0 | Santos W | 2 | tipico | 5.30 | 4.88 | 0.43 | ☓ | |
21:00 | Ferroviária W | 2-0 | Real Brasília W | 1 | cloudbet | 1.30 | 1.28 | 1.76 | ✓ | |
21:00 | Palmeiras W | 3-2 | Cruzeiro W | 2 | marathonbet | 9.00 | 8.06 | 0.31 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:00 | Atlético Mineiro | 2-0 | Internacional | 1 | 888sport | 1.66 | 1.62 | 1.15 | ✓ | |
20:00 | Vasco da Gama | 0-1 | Santos | 2 | unibet | 5.25 | 4.83 | 0.43 | ✓ | |
20:00 | Corinthians | 1-1 | São Paulo | 2 | Betsson | 3.40 | 3.20 | 0.56 | ☓ | |
20:00 | Grêmio | 0-0 | Fortaleza | 2 | cloudbet | 4.29 | 3.99 | 0.47 | ☓ | |
22:30 | Goiás | 2-1 | Botafogo | 1 | 888sport | 3.30 | 3.11 | 0.57 | ✓ | |
22:30 | Athletico PR | 3-2 | Coritiba | 1 | pncl | 1.66 | 1.62 | 1.13 | ✓ | |
22:30 | América Mineiro | 0-4 | Cruzeiro | 2 | unibet | 3.05 | 2.88 | 0.62 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
22:00 | Vitória | 2-3 | Atlético GO | 1 | 188bet | 2.25 | 2.16 | 0.80 | ☓ | |
22:00 | ABC | 1-2 | Botafogo SP | 2 | pncl | 3.93 | 3.67 | 0.51 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 2-2 | Levski Sofia | 2 | 888sport | 2.60 | 2.48 | 0.71 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08:30 | Qingdao Jonoon | 2-0 | Meizhou Hakka | 1 | tipico | 2.80 | 2.66 | 0.66 | ✓ | |
10:30 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 2-2 | Changchun Yatai | 1 | dafabet | 1.56 | 1.53 | 1.23 | ☓ | |
12:35 | Hangzhou | 1-2 | Shanghai SIPG | 2 | 188bet | 1.71 | 1.66 | 1.08 | ✓ | |
12:35 | Tianjin Teda | 1-0 | Henan Jianye | 1 | 188bet | 1.82 | 1.77 | 1.00 | ✓ | |
12:35 | Cangzhou Mighty Lions | 1-1 | Shandong Luneng | 2 | marathon | 1.70 | 1.66 | 1.16 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | Varaždin | 2-0 | Rijeka | 1 | pncl | 4.54 | 4.21 | 0.45 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Jablonec | 1-1 | Baník Ostrava | 2 | 1XBet | 2.98 | 2.82 | 0.62 | ☓ | |
17:00 | Bohemians 1905 | 0-0 | Slovácko | 2 | pncl | 3.11 | 2.94 | 0.60 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | Midtjylland | 3-1 | Horsens | 1 | 188bet | 1.39 | 1.37 | 1.51 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Brøndby | 1-3 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | sportingbet | 3.40 | 3.20 | 0.81 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 0-0 | Ghazl El Mehalla | 2 | pncl | 6.81 | 6.19 | 0.36 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Brentford | 2-0 | West Ham United | 1 | 10bet | 2.00 | 1.93 | 0.91 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 | Jahn Regensburg | 1-5 | Hamburger SV | 1 | 888sport | 4.10 | 3.82 | 0.49 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:30 | VfB Stuttgart | 1-1 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1 | Betsson | 2.70 | 2.57 | 0.68 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | Panathinaikos | 1-1 | Aris | 1 | nitrogen sports | 1.44 | 1.41 | 1.41 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:15 | Hapoel Katamon | 0-1 | Ashdod | 1 | pncl | 2.76 | 2.62 | 0.66 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:30 | Hellas Verona | 0-1 | Torino | 2 | tipico | 3.50 | 3.29 | 0.55 | ✓ | |
17:00 | Bologna | 0-0 | Roma | 2 | pncl | 3.16 | 2.98 | 0.59 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05:30 | Albirex Niigata | 2-1 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 2 | cloudbet | 1.97 | 1.90 | 0.91 | ☓ | |
05:30 | Avispa Fukuoka | 0-0 | Sagan Tosu | 1 | marathon | 2.09 | 2.01 | 0.87 | ☓ | |
08:00 | Urawa Reds | 3-1 | Gamba Osaka | 1 | dafabet | 2.00 | 1.93 | 0.90 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
06:30 | Ulsan | 3-2 | Seoul | 2 | pncl | 4.88 | 4.51 | 0.44 | ☓ | |
08:30 | Incheon United | 0-0 | Jeonbuk Motors | 1 | marathon | 3.25 | 3.06 | 0.58 | ☓ | |
11:00 | Suwon | 0-5 | Jeju United | 2 | betclic | 3.32 | 3.13 | 0.64 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02:06 | Monterrey | 2-0 | Santos Laguna | 1 | bet-at-home | 1.61 | 1.57 | 1.17 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:15 | Vitesse | 2-0 | SC Cambuur | 1 | sportingbet | 1.34 | 1.32 | 1.72 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:30 | Stal Mielec | 0-0 | Lechia Gdańsk | 1 | 888sport | 2.28 | 2.19 | 0.81 | ☓ | |
14:00 | Pogoń Szczecin | 3-2 | Miedź Legnica | 1 | betcris | 1.42 | 1.40 | 1.45 | ✓ | |
16:30 | Raków Częstochowa | 0-2 | Lech Poznań | 1 | sportingbet | 2.25 | 2.16 | 0.80 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:30 | Mioveni | 0-2 | UTA Arad | 2 | sportingbet | 1.41 | 1.39 | 1.46 | ✓ | |
16:15 | U Craiova 1948 | 2-1 | Argeş | 1 | nordicbet | 1.95 | 1.89 | 0.92 | ✓ | |
19:00 | FCSB | 1-0 | CFR Cluj | 2 | tipico | 4.30 | 4.00 | 0.47 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Urozhay | 0-1 | Makhachkala | 1 | dafabet | 3.75 | 3.51 | 0.57 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | Krylya Sovetov | 1-1 | Lokomotiv Moskva | 1 | marathon | 2.16 | 2.08 | 0.82 | ☓ | |
17:00 | Sochi | 1-0 | Rostov | 1 | cashpoint | 2.49 | 2.38 | 0.79 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Al Ittifaq | 1-0 | Al Shabab | 2 | Betsson | 1.70 | 1.66 | 1.13 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:15 | Elche | 1-0 | Atlético Madrid | 2 | Betsson | 1.45 | 1.42 | 1.42 | ☓ | |
17:30 | Real Valladolid | 0-3 | Sevilla | 1 | pncl | 2.61 | 2.49 | 0.69 | ☓ | |
20:00 | Espanyol | 2-4 | FC Barcelona | 2 | interwetten | 1.60 | 1.56 | 1.18 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | Racing Santander | 1-0 | SD Eibar | 2 | betregal | 2.19 | 2.11 | 0.83 | ☓ | |
15:15 | FC Andorra | 1-0 | Tenerife | 2 | betway | 3.50 | 3.29 | 0.55 | ☓ | |
17:30 | Albacete | 1-1 | Deportivo Alavés | 1 | marathon | 2.63 | 2.51 | 0.69 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Hammarby | 4-3 | Djurgården | 2 | Betsson | 3.00 | 2.84 | 0.62 | ☓ | |
14:00 | Mjällby | 3-0 | Sirius | 2 | tipico | 3.40 | 3.20 | 0.58 | ☓ | |
16:30 | Kalmar | 1-3 | Brommapojkarna | 1 | 188bet | 1.81 | 1.76 | 1.00 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:15 | Young Boys | 1-1 | Zürich | 1 | interwetten | 1.60 | 1.56 | 1.21 | ☓ | |
15:30 | Lugano | 2-1 | Winterthur | 1 | 888sport | 1.75 | 1.70 | 1.05 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:00 | Lviv | 0-2 | Vorskla | 2 | nordicbet | 1.85 | 1.79 | 0.98 | ✓ | |
11:00 | Metal Kharkiv | 0-5 | Zorya | 2 | tipico | 1.35 | 1.33 | 1.61 | ✓ | |
12:00 | Veres | 1-0 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 1 | tipico | 2.10 | 2.02 | 0.87 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
22:00 | Torque | 0-4 | Nacional | 2 | pncl | 1.75 | 1.70 | 1.05 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:30 | Columbus Crew | 2-2 | Orlando City | 2 | marathonbet | 4.40 | 4.09 | 0.49 | ☓ | |
00:30 | DC United | 1-1 | Nashville SC | 2 | 888sport | 3.30 | 3.11 | 0.58 | ☓ | |
00:30 | Inter Miami | 2-1 | New England | 2 | 10bet | 2.60 | 2.48 | 0.70 | ☓ | |
00:30 | Montreal Impact | 2-0 | Toronto | 1 | betfair | 2.38 | 2.28 | 0.75 | ✓ | |
01:30 | Austin | 0-1 | Dallas | 1 | pncl | 2.42 | 2.32 | 0.74 | ☓ | |
02:30 | Colorado Rapids | 1-2 | Philadelphia Union | 1 | 10bet | 2.60 | 2.48 | 0.72 | ☓ |