Football Value Bets 2023-05-13
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
13/05/2023 evaluation: We are showing 92 value bet opportunities from 38 leagues with stake amount £81.67, where the result is £1.48. The average market margin of stakes worth £81.67 is -7.35. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.






































# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | Rheindorf Altach | 0-1 | Hartberg | 2 | 888sport | 2.18 | 2.10 | 0.82 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Beerschot-Wilrijk | 1-2 | Lierse Kempenzonen | 1 | 888sport | 2.02 | 1.95 | 0.89 | ☓ | |
19:45 | RWDM | 1-0 | RSC Anderlecht II | 1 | marathon | 1.22 | 1.21 | 2.11 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Standard Liège | 2-2 | Westerlo | 1 | unibet | 1.89 | 1.83 | 0.97 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:00 | Bahia | 2-3 | Flamengo | 1 | cloudbet | 3.60 | 3.38 | 0.54 | ☓ | |
22:30 | Palmeiras | 1-1 | Bragantino | 1 | cloudbet | 1.53 | 1.50 | 1.27 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:30 | Avaí | 1-4 | Chapecoense | 2 | betfair | 3.75 | 3.51 | 0.52 | ✓ | |
22:15 | Ceará | 2-0 | Tombense | 1 | 888sport | 1.84 | 1.78 | 0.99 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:30 | Botev Vratsa | 1-1 | Spartak Varna | 1 | betway | 2.50 | 2.39 | 0.74 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08:30 | Shanghai Shenhua | 1-1 | Wuhan Three Towns | 1 | 888sport | 3.80 | 3.55 | 0.53 | ☓ | |
12:35 | Shenzhen | 2-1 | Dalian Professional | 2 | betcris | 2.43 | 2.32 | 0.79 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:30 | Bouake | 1-3 | AFAD | 2 | betcris | 2.33 | 2.23 | 0.81 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | Hajduk Split | 3-0 | Osijek | 2 | pncl | 5.10 | 4.70 | 0.42 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Slovan Liberec | 4-0 | České Budějovice | 1 | cashpoint | 1.74 | 1.69 | 1.07 | ✓ | |
14:00 | Hradec Králové | 2-0 | Mladá Boleslav | 1 | betway | 4.00 | 3.73 | 0.52 | ✓ | |
17:00 | Sparta Praha | 3-2 | Slavia Praha | 2 | pncl | 2.67 | 2.54 | 0.68 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | HB Køge | 2-2 | Fredericia | 2 | pncl | 3.59 | 3.37 | 0.54 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Ismaily | 2-1 | Zamalek | 1 | 888sport | 3.70 | 3.47 | 0.55 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Crystal Palace | 2-0 | AFC Bournemouth | 1 | 1XBet | 1.91 | 1.85 | 0.94 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Manchester United | 2-0 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 1 | unibet | 1.47 | 1.44 | 1.38 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Southampton | 0-2 | Fulham | 2 | 1XBet | 2.75 | 2.61 | 0.66 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | HJK | 4-1 | Inter Turku | 1 | 188bet | 1.76 | 1.71 | 1.04 | ✓ | |
15:00 | SJK | 1-0 | Ilves | 1 | nordicbet | 1.97 | 1.90 | 0.92 | ✓ | |
16:30 | Mariehamn | 2-1 | Haka | 2 | 10bet | 2.35 | 2.25 | 0.82 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Quevilly Rouen | 0-0 | Bordeaux | 2 | pncl | 2.27 | 2.18 | 0.80 | ☓ | |
18:00 | Metz | 1-0 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 1 | 888sport | 1.40 | 1.38 | 1.54 | ✓ | |
18:00 | Laval | 2-1 | Saint-Étienne | 2 | sbo | 2.44 | 2.33 | 0.73 | ☓ | |
18:00 | Sochaux | 0-1 | Guingamp | 2 | 888sport | 3.45 | 3.24 | 0.59 | ✓ | |
18:00 | Valenciennes | 1-1 | Pau | 1 | 10bet | 2.55 | 2.43 | 0.71 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | Holstein Kiel | 2-1 | Karlsruher SC | 2 | cloudbet | 2.93 | 2.78 | 0.63 | ☓ | |
12:00 | Kaiserslautern | 1-2 | DSC Arminia Bielefeld | 1 | sportingbet | 2.70 | 2.57 | 0.67 | ☓ | |
19:30 | St. Pauli | 0-0 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 1 | 888sport | 2.00 | 1.93 | 0.89 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:30 | FC Bayern München | 6-0 | Schalke 04 | X | betfair | 15.00 | 13.10 | 0.23 | ☓ | |
17:30 | Borussia Dortmund | 5-2 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1 | Betsson | 1.33 | 1.31 | 1.72 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Panaitolikos | 0-2 | OFI | 1 | 888sport | 2.45 | 2.34 | 0.73 | ☓ | |
18:00 | Asteras Tripolis | 1-1 | Atromitos | 2 | sportingbet | 3.50 | 3.29 | 0.60 | ☓ | |
18:00 | Levadiakos | 3-3 | PAS Giannina | 1 | comeon | 2.60 | 2.48 | 0.70 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:45 | Sektzia Nes Tziona | 1-1 | Bnei Sakhnin | 2 | cloudbet | 3.12 | 2.95 | 0.61 | ☓ | |
17:00 | Hapoel Hadera | 1-2 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 1 | pncl | 4.12 | 3.84 | 0.53 | ☓ | |
17:00 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 0-4 | Hapoel Haifa | 1 | cloudbet | 2.96 | 2.80 | 0.63 | ☓ | |
17:10 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 3-2 | Beitar Jerusalem | 2 | marathon | 2.68 | 2.55 | 0.75 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | Bari 1908 | 1-0 | Reggina | 1 | pncl | 2.32 | 2.22 | 0.77 | ✓ | |
13:00 | Benevento | 2-1 | Modena | 2 | comeon | 3.25 | 3.06 | 0.58 | ☓ | |
13:00 | Cagliari | 2-1 | Palermo | 1 | 10bet | 1.74 | 1.69 | 1.06 | ✓ | |
13:00 | Como | 3-1 | Ternana | 1 | marathon | 2.10 | 2.02 | 0.91 | ✓ | |
13:00 | SPAL | 0-1 | Parma | 2 | nordicbet | 2.20 | 2.11 | 0.84 | ✓ | |
13:00 | Venezia | 3-2 | Perugia | 1 | 188bet | 2.05 | 1.98 | 0.87 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
07:00 | Shonan Bellmare | 2-4 | Consadole Sapporo | 1 | 1XBet | 2.68 | 2.55 | 0.67 | ☓ | |
08:00 | Kashiwa Reysol | 0-1 | Yokohama | 1 | pncl | 1.88 | 1.82 | 0.96 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
06:00 | Pohang Steelers | 3-2 | Daejeon Citizen | 1 | sportingbet | 1.83 | 1.78 | 0.99 | ✓ | |
08:30 | Gwangju | 0-2 | Daegu | 1 | 10bet | 2.10 | 2.02 | 0.90 | ☓ | |
11:00 | Gangwon | 0-2 | Suwon Bluewings | 1 | betway | 2.50 | 2.39 | 0.72 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:45 | FC Volendam | 2-1 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 | marathon | 2.89 | 2.74 | 0.66 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | HamKam | 1-2 | Tromsø | 1 | Betsson | 2.30 | 2.21 | 0.78 | ☓ | |
16:00 | Molde | 3-2 | Strømsgodset | 1 | Betsson | 1.28 | 1.26 | 1.86 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:30 | Cracovia Kraków | 0-1 | Zagłębie Lubin | 2 | Betsson | 3.30 | 3.11 | 0.58 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:30 | Chaves | 2-0 | Paços de Ferreira | 2 | Betsson | 4.33 | 4.02 | 0.50 | ☓ | |
15:30 | Vizela | 0-0 | Famalicão | 1 | marathon | 2.61 | 2.49 | 0.69 | ☓ | |
18:00 | Portimonense | 1-5 | Benfica | 2 | 888sport | 1.26 | 1.25 | 2.18 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 | Petrolul 52 | 0-1 | Hermannstadt | 2 | tipico | 2.80 | 2.66 | 0.65 | ✓ | |
17:00 | Universitatea Cluj | 2-0 | Chindia Târgovişte | 2 | pncl | 4.56 | 4.23 | 0.46 | ☓ | |
19:30 | Universitatea Craiova | 1-1 | SSC Farul | 1 | unibet | 2.43 | 2.32 | 0.74 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | Veles | 1-0 | SKA Khabarovsk | 1 | dafabet | 2.36 | 2.26 | 0.79 | ✓ | |
12:00 | Ufa | 2-2 | Yenisey | 1 | marathon | 2.75 | 2.61 | 0.70 | ☓ | |
13:00 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz | 5-2 | Krasnodar II | 1 | cashpoint | 1.30 | 1.28 | 1.89 | ✓ | |
14:00 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 0-2 | Baltika | 2 | marathon | 1.83 | 1.78 | 1.02 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Volgar Astrakhan | 1-2 | Arsenal Tula | 1 | pncl | 2.68 | 2.55 | 0.67 | ☓ | |
15:30 | Neftekhimik | 1-5 | Rodina Moskva | 2 | marathon | 3.10 | 2.93 | 0.63 | ✓ | |
16:00 | Rubin Kazan' | 3-2 | Akron | 2 | marathon | 7.20 | 6.52 | 0.40 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10:00 | Ural | 2-1 | Orenburg | 1 | marathon | 2.10 | 2.02 | 0.86 | ✓ | |
12:00 | Khimki | 1-1 | Spartak Moskva | 2 | marathon | 1.43 | 1.40 | 1.53 | ☓ | |
14:30 | Zenit | 2-2 | Krasnodar | 1 | marathon | 1.51 | 1.48 | 1.50 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Kilmarnock | 2-0 | Livingston | 1 | Betsson | 2.30 | 2.21 | 0.82 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Cape Town City | 2-0 | Richards Bay | 2 | 888sport | 4.75 | 4.39 | 0.44 | ☓ | |
14:00 | Golden Arrows | 1-0 | AmaZulu | 2 | tipico | 3.30 | 3.11 | 0.58 | ☓ | |
14:00 | Maritzburg United | 1-0 | Stellenbosch | 1 | Betsson | 2.40 | 2.30 | 0.75 | ✓ | |
14:00 | Orlando Pirates | 1-1 | Sekhukhune United | 1 | marathon | 1.51 | 1.48 | 1.39 | ☓ | |
14:00 | Royal AM | 0-1 | Moroka Swallows | 2 | pncl | 3.98 | 3.71 | 0.53 | ✓ | |
14:00 | SuperSport United | 1-0 | Kaizer Chiefs | 2 | marathon | 3.56 | 3.34 | 0.55 | ☓ | |
14:00 | TS Galaxy | 4-0 | Chippa United | 2 | 888sport | 4.70 | 4.35 | 0.44 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:30 | Real Zaragoza | 2-0 | FC Cartagena | 1 | pncl | 2.70 | 2.57 | 0.67 | ✓ | |
20:00 | Málaga | 2-0 | Mirandés | 1 | unibet | 2.23 | 2.14 | 0.80 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Häcken | 6-1 | Degerfors | 1 | Betsson | 1.26 | 1.25 | 1.92 | ✓ | |
16:30 | Varberg BoIS | 1-3 | Norrköping | 1 | 888sport | 3.80 | 3.55 | 0.55 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Grasshopper | 2-0 | Luzern | 2 | Betsson | 2.20 | 2.11 | 0.85 | ☓ | |
19:30 | Servette | 5-0 | Sion | 1 | sportingbet | 1.41 | 1.39 | 1.50 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | Dynamo Kyiv | 2-3 | Chornomorets | 1 | nordicbet | 1.44 | 1.41 | 1.50 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Inhulets | 0-2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | marathon | 1.22 | 1.21 | 3.09 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:35 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 1-0 | Ajman | 2 | betvictor | 6.50 | 5.92 | 0.43 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:30 | River Plate | 2-0 | Liverpool | 2 | cloudbet | 2.80 | 2.66 | 0.65 | ☓ | |
19:30 | Peñarol | 1-1 | Wanderers | 1 | betway | 1.48 | 1.45 | 1.42 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | Chicago Fire | 1-0 | Saint Louis City | 1 | Betsson | 2.35 | 2.25 | 0.85 | ✓ |