Football Value Bets 2023-05-12
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
12/05/2023 evaluation: We are showing 40 value bet opportunities from 26 leagues with stake amount £34.00, where the result is £-9.47. The average market margin of stakes worth £34.00 is -3.06. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.


























# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:00 | ES Tunis | 0-3 | Al Ahly | 1 | pncl | 3.13 | 2.96 | 0.60 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10:45 | Sydney | 1-1 | Melbourne City | 2 | betvictor | 2.55 | 2.43 | 0.70 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:30 | WSG Tirol | 1-1 | Ried | 2 | 888sport | 3.35 | 3.15 | 0.56 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | Excelsior Virton | 3-1 | KRC Genk II | 1 | cloudbet | 2.78 | 2.64 | 0.66 | ✓ | |
19:00 | Deinze | 3-2 | Dender | 2 | unibet | 3.45 | 3.24 | 0.55 | ☓ | |
19:00 | Lommel United | 6-1 | Standard Liège II | 1 | 10bet | 1.80 | 1.75 | 1.17 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | Athletico Paranaense W | 2-1 | Bahia W | 2 | unibet | 2.40 | 2.30 | 0.75 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:00 | Fortaleza | 0-0 | São Paulo | 2 | 888sport | 4.25 | 3.95 | 0.47 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23:00 | Vila Nova | 0-0 | Criciúma | 1 | Betsson | 2.50 | 2.39 | 0.72 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | OFK Pirin | 2-1 | Hebar 1918 | 2 | pncl | 3.79 | 3.55 | 0.52 | ☓ | |
17:15 | Beroe | 2-0 | Septemvri Sofia | 2 | pncl | 4.23 | 3.94 | 0.48 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:30 | SOL | 1-1 | ES Bafing | 1 | sportingbet | 2.15 | 2.07 | 0.84 | ☓ | |
19:00 | Abengourou | 1-3 | Racing d'Abidjan | 1 | betregal | 2.51 | 2.40 | 0.73 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Slaven Koprivnica | 0-0 | Lokomotiva Zagreb | 2 | pncl | 2.72 | 2.59 | 0.66 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | Nykøbing | 5-2 | Hillerød | 2 | dafabet | 2.07 | 2.00 | 0.87 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:00 | Peterborough United | 4-0 | Sheffield Wednesday | 2 | pncl | 2.90 | 2.75 | 0.63 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:30 | Mes Rafsanjan | 1-2 | Esteghlal | 2 | nordicbet | 2.65 | 2.52 | 0.68 | ✓ | |
15:30 | Havadar | 0-0 | Foolad | 1 | 1XBet | 3.52 | 3.31 | 0.58 | ☓ | |
15:30 | Persepolis | 4-0 | Gol Gohar | 1 | nordicbet | 1.45 | 1.42 | 1.39 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Lazio | 2-2 | Lecce | 1 | nordicbet | 1.75 | 1.70 | 1.07 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | ADO Den Haag | 2-2 | FC Dordrecht | 1 | pncl | 1.48 | 1.45 | 1.34 | ☓ | |
19:00 | FC Den Bosch | 2-2 | Almere City | 2 | 10bet | 1.54 | 1.51 | 1.27 | ☓ | |
19:00 | MVV Maastricht | 2-1 | Telstar | 2 | unibet | 2.85 | 2.70 | 0.65 | ☓ | |
19:00 | NAC Breda | 0-3 | Heracles Almelo | 2 | marathon | 1.90 | 1.84 | 0.96 | ✓ | |
19:00 | PEC Zwolle | 3-1 | Roda JC Kerkrade | 1 | 888sport | 1.24 | 1.23 | 2.06 | ✓ | |
19:00 | Willem II | 3-0 | Jong Utrecht | X | nordicbet | 7.50 | 6.78 | 0.33 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | FC Twente | 4-0 | NEC | 1 | nordicbet | 1.52 | 1.49 | 1.29 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | Odd | 0-1 | Lillestrøm | 2 | comeon | 2.55 | 2.43 | 0.71 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Piast Gliwice | 2-1 | Korona Kielce | 1 | sportingbet | 1.87 | 1.81 | 1.00 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:15 | Gil Vicente | 3-1 | Boavista | 2 | 888sport | 3.30 | 3.11 | 0.59 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:30 | Voluntari | 2-0 | Botoşani | 2 | tipico | 4.20 | 3.91 | 0.48 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10:00 | Lokomotiv Moskva U19 | 2-0 | Zenit U19 | 2 | marathonbet | 2.23 | 2.14 | 0.81 | ☓ | |
11:00 | Chertanovo U20 | 2-3 | Strogino U20 | 1 | marathon | 1.53 | 1.50 | 1.29 | ☓ | |
13:00 | Krasnodar U19 | 2-0 | Spartak Moskva U19 | 1 | marathon | 1.61 | 1.57 | 1.19 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | Al Hilal | 1-1 | Al Wahda | 1 | pncl | 1.35 | 1.33 | 1.60 |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Queen's Park | 0-4 | Partick Thistle | 1 | unibet | 3.20 | 3.02 | 0.58 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:00 | Burgos | 0-3 | Leganés | 2 | pncl | 3.75 | 3.51 | 0.52 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:15 | Al Ain | 5-2 | Al Bataeh | 1 | 888sport | 1.18 | 1.17 | 2.45 | ✓ | |
15:15 | Dibba Al Fujairah | 1-1 | Al Dhafra | 1 | marathon | 1.48 | 1.45 | 1.34 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23:00 | Deportivo Maldonado | 0-0 | Cerro Largo | 2 | pncl | 3.85 | 3.60 | 0.51 | ☓ |