Football Value Bets 2023-05-08
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
08/05/2023 evaluation: We are showing 49 value bet opportunities from 19 leagues with stake amount £46.38, where the result is £4.91. The average market margin of stakes worth £46.38 is -4.17. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
21:00 | San Lorenzo | 0-0 | Defensa y Justicia | 2 | 1XBet | 4.33 | 4.02 | 0.48 | ☓ | |
23:30 | Racing Club | 2-4 | Talleres Córdoba | 2 | Betsson | 3.40 | 3.20 | 0.64 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:30 | Beroe | 0-2 | Hebar 1918 | 2 | cloudbet | 6.07 | 5.55 | 0.38 | ✓ | |
15:45 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 1-0 | Levski Sofia | 2 | pncl | 2.19 | 2.11 | 0.82 | ☓ | |
18:15 | CSKA Sofia | 5-1 | Botev Vratsa | 1 | nitrogen sports | 1.14 | 1.13 | 2.90 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Luton Town | 0-0 | Hull City | 2 | marathonbet | 5.75 | 5.27 | 0.43 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Millwall | 3-4 | Blackburn Rovers | 2 | pncl | 4.48 | 4.16 | 0.46 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 | Barrow | 0-1 | Stevenage | 1 | comeon | 3.25 | 3.06 | 0.58 | ☓ | |
12:30 | Bradford City | 1-1 | Leyton Orient | 1 | dafabet | 2.11 | 2.03 | 0.84 | ☓ | |
12:30 | Grimsby Town | 1-0 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | pncl | 2.05 | 1.98 | 0.88 | ✓ | |
12:30 | Harrogate Town | 1-1 | Rochdale | 1 | pncl | 2.13 | 2.05 | 0.84 | ☓ | |
12:30 | Newport County | 2-2 | Crewe Alexandra | 1 | marathon | 1.76 | 1.71 | 1.05 | ☓ | |
12:30 | Salford City | 0-1 | Gillingham | 1 | dafabet | 1.57 | 1.53 | 1.23 | ☓ | |
12:30 | Stockport County | 1-1 | Hartlepool United | 1 | ladbrokes | 1.25 | 1.24 | 2.01 | ☓ | |
12:30 | Sutton United | 1-1 | Carlisle United | 1 | pncl | 3.46 | 3.25 | 0.55 | ☓ | |
12:30 | Swindon Town | 2-1 | Crawley Town | 2 | betfair | 4.40 | 4.09 | 0.46 | ☓ | |
12:30 | Tranmere Rovers | 0-1 | Northampton Town | 2 | dafabet | 1.82 | 1.77 | 1.00 | ✓ | |
12:30 | Walsall | 2-1 | Doncaster Rovers | 1 | comeon | 1.90 | 1.84 | 0.95 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:30 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 1-5 | Everton | 1 | comeon | 1.43 | 1.40 | 1.45 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Le Havre | 1-0 | Rodez | 2 | tipico | 7.50 | 6.78 | 0.33 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | Aris | 1-2 | AEK Athens | 2 | betway | 1.43 | 1.40 | 1.67 | ✓ | |
19:00 | Volos NFC | 0-2 | PAOK | 2 | betway | 1.29 | 1.27 | 2.03 | ✓ | |
19:00 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 1-0 | Panathinaikos | 2 | betway | 2.75 | 2.61 | 0.72 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:30 | Maccabi Haifa | 3-1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 | pncl | 2.15 | 2.07 | 0.83 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:30 | Empoli | 2-1 | Salernitana | X | unibet | 3.50 | 3.29 | 0.57 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | Jong AZ | 1-1 | TOP Oss | 1 | 888sport | 1.46 | 1.43 | 1.38 | ☓ | |
19:00 | Jong PSV | 3-1 | PEC Zwolle | 2 | cloudbet | 1.51 | 1.48 | 1.31 | ☓ | |
19:00 | Jong Utrecht | 0-0 | FC Den Bosch | 1 | 888sport | 1.88 | 1.82 | 1.03 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | Brann | 0-0 | Sandefjord | 1 | unibet | 1.27 | 1.25 | 1.93 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | Miedź Legnica | 0-1 | Widzew Lodz | 2 | pncl | 2.70 | 2.57 | 0.67 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Al Duhail | 5-2 | Al Shamal | 1 | 888sport | 1.20 | 1.19 | 2.26 | ✓ | |
17:00 | Al Sadd | 1-2 | Al Arabi | 2 | comeon | 3.95 | 3.69 | 0.68 | ✓ | |
17:00 | Umm Salal | 0-0 | Qatar SC | 1 | pncl | 2.60 | 2.48 | 0.71 | ☓ | |
17:00 | Al Sailiya | 0-1 | Al Wakrah | 2 | marathonbet | 2.18 | 2.10 | 0.83 | ✓ | |
17:00 | Al Rayyan | 4-1 | Al Gharafa | 2 | marathonbet | 5.55 | 5.09 | 0.40 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:30 | Hermannstadt | 0-0 | U Craiova 1948 | 1 | 888sport | 2.63 | 2.51 | 0.69 | ☓ | |
16:30 | Argeş | 2-2 | UTA Arad | 2 | unibet | 2.55 | 2.43 | 0.74 | ☓ | |
19:00 | FCSB | 3-1 | Sepsi | 1 | dafabet | 1.55 | 1.52 | 1.25 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:30 | Al Ittihad | 4-0 | Abha | X | Betsson | 8.00 | 7.21 | 0.32 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | Sirius | 3-4 | Elfsborg | 1 | marathonbet | 3.76 | 3.52 | 0.53 | ☓ | |
18:00 | Brommapojkarna | 0-0 | IFK Göteborg | 2 | unibet | 2.60 | 2.48 | 0.69 | ☓ | |
18:10 | Djurgården | 3-1 | Kalmar | 1 | Betsson | 1.87 | 1.81 | 1.02 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | Trabzonspor | 2-0 | Ankaragücü | 2 | nitrogen sports | 4.30 | 4.00 | 0.47 | ☓ | |
18:00 | Galatasaray | 1-0 | İstanbul Başakşehir | 1 | sportingbet | 7.50 | 6.78 | 1.14 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:15 | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | 0-1 | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | marathon | 1.63 | 1.59 | 1.20 | ✓ | |
12:00 | Minai | 2-0 | Vorskla | 1 | pncl | 4.23 | 3.94 | 0.48 | ✓ | |
13:00 | Rukh Vynnyky | 3-0 | Inhulets | 1 | cloudbet | 2.71 | 2.58 | 0.67 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Zorya | 3-0 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 1 | sportingbet | 1.52 | 1.49 | 1.32 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:30 | Plaza Colonia | 1-1 | Cerro | 2 | Betsson | 3.50 | 3.29 | 0.56 | ☓ |