Football Value Bets 2023-05-07
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
07/05/2023 evaluation: We are showing 85 value bet opportunities from 36 leagues with stake amount £75.08, where the result is £-10.10. The average market margin of stakes worth £75.08 is -6.76. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.




































# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:30 | Argentinos Juniors | 2-2 | Independiente | X | 888sport | 3.95 | 3.69 | 0.51 | ✓ | |
21:30 | River Plate | 1-0 | Boca Juniors | 1 | dafabet | 1.79 | 1.74 | 1.02 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:30 | Austria Klagenfurt | 1-1 | LASK Linz | 2 | 888sport | 1.64 | 1.60 | 1.16 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Lierse Kempenzonen | 2-3 | Waasland-Beveren | 2 | betcris | 1.87 | 1.81 | 1.01 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | Kindermann-Avaí W | 3-2 | Atlético Mineiro W | 2 | pncl | 1.83 | 1.78 | 0.99 | ☓ | |
20:00 | Ferroviária W | 1-2 | Flamengo W | 2 | betway | 3.40 | 3.20 | 0.57 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:00 | Fluminense | 1-1 | Vasco da Gama | 1 | unibet | 1.77 | 1.72 | 1.04 | ☓ | |
15:00 | América Mineiro | 1-2 | Cuiabá | 1 | Betsson | 2.00 | 1.93 | 0.97 | ☓ | |
20:00 | Athletico PR | 2-1 | Flamengo | 2 | sportingbet | 2.90 | 2.75 | 0.66 | ☓ | |
20:00 | Bahia | 3-1 | Coritiba | 1 | unibet | 1.89 | 1.83 | 0.95 | ✓ | |
22:30 | Botafogo | 2-0 | Atlético Mineiro | 2 | tipico | 2.50 | 2.39 | 0.74 | ☓ | |
22:30 | Goiás | 0-5 | Palmeiras | 1 | betfair | 6.50 | 5.92 | 0.38 | ☓ | |
22:30 | Grêmio | 3-3 | Bragantino | 2 | nordicbet | 4.75 | 4.39 | 0.44 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:30 | CRB | 1-1 | ABC | 2 | pncl | 5.45 | 5.01 | 0.40 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Ponte Preta | 0-0 | Ceará | 1 | pncl | 2.67 | 2.54 | 0.68 | ☓ | |
23:00 | Sport Recife | 2-0 | Guarani | 1 | nordicbet | 1.72 | 1.67 | 1.07 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:15 | Septemvri Sofia | 0-1 | OFK Pirin | 1 | nitrogen sports | 2.06 | 1.99 | 0.87 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | Lys Sassandra | 0-1 | Stella | X | 1XBet | 3.02 | 2.86 | 0.62 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | Osijek | 0-0 | Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | cloudbet | 4.78 | 4.42 | 0.44 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Sigma Olomouc | 0-1 | Sparta Praha | 2 | pncl | 1.82 | 1.77 | 1.00 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:00 | AaB | 4-0 | Horsens | 1 | cashpoint | 1.74 | 1.69 | 1.08 | ✓ | |
13:00 | Silkeborg | 0-1 | OB | 2 | Betsson | 3.55 | 3.33 | 0.57 | ✓ | |
13:00 | Lyngby | 2-1 | Midtjylland | 1 | pncl | 4.15 | 3.86 | 0.48 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Randers | 1-3 | Brøndby | 1 | pncl | 2.81 | 2.67 | 0.65 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | Barnsley | 0-2 | Peterborough United | 2 | dafabet | 2.55 | 2.43 | 0.71 | ✓ | |
12:00 | Bristol Rovers | 2-3 | Bolton Wanderers | 1 | cloudbet | 3.20 | 3.02 | 0.59 | ☓ | |
12:00 | Burton Albion | 0-0 | Milton Keynes Dons | 2 | unibet | 2.25 | 2.16 | 0.82 | ☓ | |
12:00 | Cambridge United | 2-0 | Forest Green Rovers | 1 | unibet | 1.50 | 1.47 | 1.32 | ✓ | |
12:00 | Cheltenham Town | 2-2 | Charlton Athletic | 2 | pncl | 2.80 | 2.66 | 0.65 | ☓ | |
12:00 | Exeter City | 3-2 | Morecambe | 1 | betway | 2.50 | 2.39 | 0.72 | ✓ | |
12:00 | Fleetwood Town | 2-2 | Ipswich Town | 1 | betfair | 10.00 | 8.91 | 0.29 | ☓ | |
12:00 | Oxford United | 1-2 | Accrington Stanley | 1 | marathon | 1.51 | 1.48 | 1.31 | ☓ | |
12:00 | Port Vale | 1-3 | Plymouth Argyle | 2 | dafabet | 1.80 | 1.75 | 1.04 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 | Notts County | 3-2 | Boreham Wood | 1 | 888sport | 1.30 | 1.28 | 1.81 | ||
15:40 | Chesterfield | 3-2 | Bromley | 1 | 188bet | 1.64 | 1.60 | 1.14 |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | West Ham United | 1-0 | Manchester United | 2 | sportingbet | 3.50 | 3.29 | 0.80 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 | Manchester United W | 3-0 | Tottenham W | 1 | 1XBet | 1.18 | 1.17 | 2.40 | ✓ | |
14:00 | Liverpool W | 2-1 | Manchester City W | 2 | 1XBet | 1.22 | 1.21 | 2.10 | ☓ | |
18:45 | Chelsea W | 7-0 | Everton W | 1 | 1XBet | 1.22 | 1.21 | 2.20 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | Angers SCO | 1-2 | Monaco | 2 | 188bet | 1.62 | 1.58 | 1.16 | ✓ | |
14:00 | Ajaccio | 0-0 | Toulouse | 1 | dafabet | 4.85 | 4.48 | 0.45 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 | Nürnberg | 3-3 | Kaiserslautern | 1 | sportingbet | 2.50 | 2.39 | 0.77 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:30 | Borussia Dortmund | 6-0 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 | marathon | 1.52 | 1.49 | 1.28 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:15 | Hapoel Katamon | 1-4 | Maccabi Netanya | 1 | pncl | 3.12 | 2.95 | 0.60 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Napoli | 1-0 | Fiorentina | 2 | unibet | 4.90 | 4.53 | 0.44 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:15 | Parma | 2-0 | Brescia | 1 | sportingbet | 4.75 | 4.39 | 0.91 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:15 | FC Emmen | 0-3 | FC Twente | 2 | sportingbet | 4.50 | 4.17 | 0.93 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | Stabæk | 1-1 | Sarpsborg 08 | 1 | unibet | 2.88 | 2.73 | 0.67 | ☓ | |
16:00 | Tromsø | 0-1 | Odd | 1 | Betsson | 2.50 | 2.39 | 0.72 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:30 | Wisła Płock | 0-0 | Stal Mielec | 1 | marathon | 2.27 | 2.18 | 0.78 | ☓ | |
14:00 | Korona Kielce | 1-0 | Raków Częstochowa | 2 | 888sport | 1.50 | 1.47 | 1.31 | ☓ | |
16:30 | Pogoń Szczecin | 2-1 | Legia Warszawa | 2 | 888sport | 3.60 | 3.38 | 0.54 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:30 | Paços de Ferreira | 0-4 | Sporting CP | 2 | 888sport | 1.40 | 1.38 | 1.58 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | CFR Cluj | 1-1 | Universitatea Craiova | 1 | betcris | 2.03 | 1.96 | 0.88 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Akron | 1-0 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 2 | marathon | 4.80 | 4.44 | 0.44 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Rangers | 1-0 | Aberdeen | 1 | interwetten | 1.35 | 1.33 | 1.60 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:15 | Ponferradina | 2-0 | Málaga | 2 | sportingbet | 3.25 | 3.06 | 0.74 | ☓ | |
15:15 | UD Ibiza | 0-5 | Albacete | 2 | Betsson | 2.00 | 1.93 | 0.95 | ✓ | |
17:30 | Real Oviedo | 2-1 | Real Zaragoza | 2 | unibet | 3.90 | 3.64 | 0.50 | ☓ | |
20:00 | FC Cartagena | 0-0 | Burgos | 1 | Betsson | 2.05 | 1.98 | 0.93 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Malmö FF | 3-1 | AIK | 1 | sportingbet | 1.60 | 1.56 | 1.19 | ✓ | |
16:30 | Halmstad | 1-0 | Häcken | 2 | unibet | 1.75 | 1.70 | 1.05 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:15 | Luzern | 2-2 | Lugano | 1 | 888sport | 1.95 | 1.89 | 0.95 | ☓ | |
15:30 | Basel | 0-2 | Zürich | 1 | 10bet | 2.25 | 2.16 | 0.82 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | BB Erzurumspor | 0-1 | Gençlerbirliği | 2 | pncl | 3.22 | 3.04 | 0.59 | ✓ | |
14:00 | Manisa BBSK | 1-1 | Göztepe | 2 | marathon | 3.94 | 3.68 | 0.51 | ☓ | |
14:00 | Rizespor | 4-2 | Tuzlaspor | 1 | marathon | 1.34 | 1.32 | 1.64 | ✓ | |
14:00 | Altay | 3-0 | Denizlispor | 1 | 10bet | 1.36 | 1.34 | 2.06 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Konyaspor | 2-2 | Kayserispor | 1 | Betsson | 1.95 | 1.89 | 0.99 | ☓ | |
17:00 | Giresunspor | 1-1 | Fenerbahçe | 2 | Betsson | 1.68 | 1.64 | 1.23 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:00 | Metal Kharkiv | 1-0 | Lviv | 1 | pncl | 2.36 | 2.26 | 0.76 | ✓ | |
11:00 | Chornomorets | 1-2 | Dnipro-1 | 2 | 1XBet | 1.46 | 1.43 | 1.37 | ✓ | |
13:00 | Oleksandria | 1-1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 888sport | 1.55 | 1.52 | 1.33 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Liverpool | 4-2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 1 | pncl | 2.20 | 2.11 | 0.81 | ✓ | |
19:00 | La Luz | 3-1 | Danubio | 2 | pncl | 2.41 | 2.31 | 0.75 | ☓ | |
22:00 | Defensor Sporting | 2-2 | Nacional | 1 | cloudbet | 3.33 | 3.14 | 0.58 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:30 | Charlotte | 3-2 | New York City | 2 | cloudbet | 3.26 | 3.07 | 0.58 | ☓ | |
00:30 | New York RB | 0-1 | Philadelphia Union | 1 | sportingbet | 2.25 | 2.16 | 0.80 | ☓ | |
00:30 | SJ Earthquakes | 2-1 | Los Angeles FC | 2 | 888sport | 2.30 | 2.21 | 0.78 | ☓ | |
00:30 | Toronto | 0-2 | New England | 1 | sportingbet | 2.40 | 2.30 | 0.77 | ☓ | |
01:30 | Dallas | 0-0 | Saint Louis City | 1 | sportingbet | 4.20 | 3.91 | 0.91 | ☓ | |
01:30 | Houston Dynamo | 0-0 | Real Salt Lake | 1 | 10bet | 2.05 | 1.98 | 0.87 | ☓ | |
03:30 | LA Galaxy | 1-3 | Colorado Rapids | 1 | 888sport | 1.87 | 1.81 | 0.96 | ☓ | |
03:30 | Portland Timbers | 2-2 | Austin | 1 | 888sport | 2.02 | 1.95 | 0.90 | ☓ | |
21:30 | Seattle Sounders | 1-2 | Sporting KC | X | Betsson | 5.00 | 4.61 | 0.45 | ☓ |