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Football Value Bets 2023-05-07

You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.

Did you find a day with a negative result? Yes, this happens. It is impossible to guess correctly the outcomes of hundreds of thousands football fixtures and we are not doing that. Football value bets are the fixtures where the bookmaker is for some reason giving "too much".
  1. Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
  2. Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
  3. Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
  4. Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
  5. Make sure to start out small.
Football value bets shown on this page are based on the fact that every now and then a bookmaker gives odds that are much higher compared to the competition, and this is what we are showing. Make sure to check football predictions that cover the majority of the football betting spectrum.

07/05/2023 evaluation: We are showing 85 value bet opportunities from 36 leagues with stake amount £75.08, where the result is £-10.10. The average market margin of stakes worth £75.08 is -6.76. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.

# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
00:30 Argentinos Juniors 2-2 Independiente X 888sport 3.95 3.69 0.51
21:30 River Plate 1-0 Boca Juniors 1 dafabet 1.79 1.74 1.02
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
13:30 Austria Klagenfurt 1-1 LASK Linz 2 888sport 1.64 1.60 1.16
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
15:00 Lierse Kempenzonen 2-3 Waasland-Beveren 2 betcris 1.87 1.81 1.01
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
19:00 Kindermann-Avaí W 3-2 Atlético Mineiro W 2 pncl 1.83 1.78 0.99
20:00 Ferroviária W 1-2 Flamengo W 2 betway 3.40 3.20 0.57
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
01:00 Fluminense 1-1 Vasco da Gama 1 unibet 1.77 1.72 1.04
15:00 América Mineiro 1-2 Cuiabá 1 Betsson 2.00 1.93 0.97
20:00 Athletico PR 2-1 Flamengo 2 sportingbet 2.90 2.75 0.66
20:00 Bahia 3-1 Coritiba 1 unibet 1.89 1.83 0.95
22:30 Botafogo 2-0 Atlético Mineiro 2 tipico 2.50 2.39 0.74
22:30 Goiás 0-5 Palmeiras 1 betfair 6.50 5.92 0.38
22:30 Grêmio 3-3 Bragantino 2 nordicbet 4.75 4.39 0.44
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
00:30 CRB 1-1 ABC 2 pncl 5.45 5.01 0.40
15:00 Ponte Preta 0-0 Ceará 1 pncl 2.67 2.54 0.68
23:00 Sport Recife 2-0 Guarani 1 nordicbet 1.72 1.67 1.07
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
13:15 Septemvri Sofia 0-1 OFK Pirin 1 nitrogen sports 2.06 1.99 0.87
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
19:00 Lys Sassandra 0-1 Stella X 1XBet 3.02 2.86 0.62
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
16:00 Osijek 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb 1 cloudbet 4.78 4.42 0.44
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Sigma Olomouc 0-1 Sparta Praha 2 pncl 1.82 1.77 1.00
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
11:00 AaB 4-0 Horsens 1 cashpoint 1.74 1.69 1.08
13:00 Silkeborg 0-1 OB 2 Betsson 3.55 3.33 0.57
13:00 Lyngby 2-1 Midtjylland 1 pncl 4.15 3.86 0.48
15:00 Randers 1-3 Brøndby 1 pncl 2.81 2.67 0.65
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
12:00 Barnsley 0-2 Peterborough United 2 dafabet 2.55 2.43 0.71
12:00 Bristol Rovers 2-3 Bolton Wanderers 1 cloudbet 3.20 3.02 0.59
12:00 Burton Albion 0-0 Milton Keynes Dons 2 unibet 2.25 2.16 0.82
12:00 Cambridge United 2-0 Forest Green Rovers 1 unibet 1.50 1.47 1.32
12:00 Cheltenham Town 2-2 Charlton Athletic 2 pncl 2.80 2.66 0.65
12:00 Exeter City 3-2 Morecambe 1 betway 2.50 2.39 0.72
12:00 Fleetwood Town 2-2 Ipswich Town 1 betfair 10.00 8.91 0.29
12:00 Oxford United 1-2 Accrington Stanley 1 marathon 1.51 1.48 1.31
12:00 Port Vale 1-3 Plymouth Argyle 2 dafabet 1.80 1.75 1.04
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
12:30 Notts County 3-2 Boreham Wood 1 888sport 1.30 1.28 1.81
15:40 Chesterfield 3-2 Bromley 1 188bet 1.64 1.60 1.14
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
19:00 West Ham United 1-0 Manchester United 2 sportingbet 3.50 3.29 0.80
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
12:30 Manchester United W 3-0 Tottenham W 1 1XBet 1.18 1.17 2.40
14:00 Liverpool W 2-1 Manchester City W 2 1XBet 1.22 1.21 2.10
18:45 Chelsea W 7-0 Everton W 1 1XBet 1.22 1.21 2.20
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
12:00 Angers SCO 1-2 Monaco 2 188bet 1.62 1.58 1.16
14:00 Ajaccio 0-0 Toulouse 1 dafabet 4.85 4.48 0.45
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
12:30 Nürnberg 3-3 Kaiserslautern 1 sportingbet 2.50 2.39 0.77
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
16:30 Borussia Dortmund 6-0 VfL Wolfsburg 1 marathon 1.52 1.49 1.28
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
18:15 Hapoel Katamon 1-4 Maccabi Netanya 1 pncl 3.12 2.95 0.60
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
17:00 Napoli 1-0 Fiorentina 2 unibet 4.90 4.53 0.44
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
15:15 Parma 2-0 Brescia 1 sportingbet 4.75 4.39 0.91
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
11:15 FC Emmen 0-3 FC Twente 2 sportingbet 4.50 4.17 0.93
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
16:00 Stabæk 1-1 Sarpsborg 08 1 unibet 2.88 2.73 0.67
16:00 Tromsø 0-1 Odd 1 Betsson 2.50 2.39 0.72
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
11:30 Wisła Płock 0-0 Stal Mielec 1 marathon 2.27 2.18 0.78
14:00 Korona Kielce 1-0 Raków Częstochowa 2 888sport 1.50 1.47 1.31
16:30 Pogoń Szczecin 2-1 Legia Warszawa 2 888sport 3.60 3.38 0.54
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
20:30 Paços de Ferreira 0-4 Sporting CP 2 888sport 1.40 1.38 1.58
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
19:00 CFR Cluj 1-1 Universitatea Craiova 1 betcris 2.03 1.96 0.88
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
15:00 Akron 1-0 Volga Ulyanovsk 2 marathon 4.80 4.44 0.44
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
15:00 Rangers 1-0 Aberdeen 1 interwetten 1.35 1.33 1.60
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
15:15 Ponferradina 2-0 Málaga 2 sportingbet 3.25 3.06 0.74
15:15 UD Ibiza 0-5 Albacete 2 Betsson 2.00 1.93 0.95
17:30 Real Oviedo 2-1 Real Zaragoza 2 unibet 3.90 3.64 0.50
20:00 FC Cartagena 0-0 Burgos 1 Betsson 2.05 1.98 0.93
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Malmö FF 3-1 AIK 1 sportingbet 1.60 1.56 1.19
16:30 Halmstad 1-0 Häcken 2 unibet 1.75 1.70 1.05
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
13:15 Luzern 2-2 Lugano 1 888sport 1.95 1.89 0.95
15:30 Basel 0-2 Zürich 1 10bet 2.25 2.16 0.82
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 BB Erzurumspor 0-1 Gençlerbirliği 2 pncl 3.22 3.04 0.59
14:00 Manisa BBSK 1-1 Göztepe 2 marathon 3.94 3.68 0.51
14:00 Rizespor 4-2 Tuzlaspor 1 marathon 1.34 1.32 1.64
14:00 Altay 3-0 Denizlispor 1 10bet 1.36 1.34 2.06
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Konyaspor 2-2 Kayserispor 1 Betsson 1.95 1.89 0.99
17:00 Giresunspor 1-1 Fenerbahçe 2 Betsson 1.68 1.64 1.23
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
11:00 Metal Kharkiv 1-0 Lviv 1 pncl 2.36 2.26 0.76
11:00 Chornomorets 1-2 Dnipro-1 2 1XBet 1.46 1.43 1.37
13:00 Oleksandria 1-1 Shakhtar Donetsk 2 888sport 1.55 1.52 1.33
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Liverpool 4-2 Deportivo Maldonado 1 pncl 2.20 2.11 0.81
19:00 La Luz 3-1 Danubio 2 pncl 2.41 2.31 0.75
22:00 Defensor Sporting 2-2 Nacional 1 cloudbet 3.33 3.14 0.58
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
00:30 Charlotte 3-2 New York City 2 cloudbet 3.26 3.07 0.58
00:30 New York RB 0-1 Philadelphia Union 1 sportingbet 2.25 2.16 0.80
00:30 SJ Earthquakes 2-1 Los Angeles FC 2 888sport 2.30 2.21 0.78
00:30 Toronto 0-2 New England 1 sportingbet 2.40 2.30 0.77
01:30 Dallas 0-0 Saint Louis City 1 sportingbet 4.20 3.91 0.91
01:30 Houston Dynamo 0-0 Real Salt Lake 1 10bet 2.05 1.98 0.87
03:30 LA Galaxy 1-3 Colorado Rapids 1 888sport 1.87 1.81 0.96
03:30 Portland Timbers 2-2 Austin 1 888sport 2.02 1.95 0.90
21:30 Seattle Sounders 1-2 Sporting KC X Betsson 5.00 4.61 0.45