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Football Value Bets 2023-05-06

You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.

Did you find a day with a negative result? Yes, this happens. It is impossible to guess correctly the outcomes of hundreds of thousands football fixtures and we are not doing that. Football value bets are the fixtures where the bookmaker is for some reason giving "too much".
  1. Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
  2. Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
  3. Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
  4. Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
  5. Make sure to start out small.
Football value bets shown on this page are based on the fact that every now and then a bookmaker gives odds that are much higher compared to the competition, and this is what we are showing. Make sure to check football predictions that cover the majority of the football betting spectrum.

06/05/2023 evaluation: We are showing 78 value bet opportunities from 36 leagues with stake amount £66.08, where the result is £17.85. The average market margin of stakes worth £66.08 is -5.95. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.

# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
16:00 Hartberg 5-0 WSG Tirol 1 1XBet 2.21 2.12 0.81
16:00 Austria Lustenau 2-2 Ried 1 pncl 2.65 2.52 0.69
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
15:00 KRC Genk II 0-2 Deinze 1 unibet 2.75 2.61 0.66
19:00 Club Brugge II 1-3 RWDM 2 888sport 1.40 1.38 1.79
19:00 Dender 2-1 Lommel United 1 pncl 2.38 2.28 0.75
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
17:15 Club Brugge 1-2 Union Saint-Gilloise 1 dafabet 2.49 2.38 0.75
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
15:00 Internacional RS W 1-2 Palmeiras W 2 pncl 2.04 1.97 0.90
23:00 Cruzeiro W 2-3 Santos W 2 tipico 1.90 1.84 0.99
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
01:30 Botafogo SP 0-3 Vitória 2 cloudbet 3.93 3.67 0.50
22:15 Mirassol 1-1 Vila Nova 2 cloudbet 4.29 3.99 0.47
22:15 Sampaio Corrêa 2-1 Juventude 1 888sport 2.20 2.11 0.84
22:15 Tombense 0-1 Avaí 2 pncl 4.32 4.02 0.47
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
15:30 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-1 Arda 2 888sport 2.45 2.34 0.74
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
08:30 Meizhou Hakka 2-1 Shandong Luneng 2 888sport 1.56 1.53 1.24
12:35 Chengdu Rongcheng 3-2 Qingdao Jonoon 2 Betsson 8.00 7.21 0.33
12:35 Tianjin Teda 0-0 Shanghai SIPG 2 dafabet 1.89 1.83 0.96
12:35 Nantong Zhiyun 0-1 Changchun Yatai 2 cloudbet 2.57 2.45 0.70
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
16:00 Gorica 0-0 Slaven Koprivnica 1 marathon 1.70 1.66 1.09
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Zlín 1-1 Jablonec 1 marathon 2.52 2.41 0.71
14:00 Teplice 1-0 Pardubice 2 pncl 3.41 3.21 0.56
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
12:00 HB Køge 3-1 Nykøbing 1 188bet 1.48 1.45 1.42
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
15:00 AFC Bournemouth 1-3 Chelsea 2 10bet 2.30 2.21 0.78
15:00 Manchester City 2-1 Leeds United 1 interwetten 1.20 1.19 2.24
17:30 Liverpool 1-0 Brentford 1 unibet 1.56 1.53 1.23
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
20:00 Lens 2-1 Olympique Marseille 1 unibet 2.55 2.43 0.71
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Bordeaux 1-0 Caen 1 Betsson 1.90 1.84 0.97
18:00 Annecy 1-1 Dijon 2 cashpoint 2.40 2.30 0.74
18:00 Laval 2-1 Bastia 2 pncl 3.90 3.64 0.50
18:00 Paris 1-0 Grenoble Foot 38 1 188bet 1.89 1.83 0.96
18:00 Niort 1-3 Metz 2 188bet 1.43 1.40 1.42
18:00 Pau 3-4 Quevilly Rouen 2 pncl 3.35 3.15 0.57
18:00 Nîmes 3-3 Valenciennes 2 cloudbet 3.82 3.57 0.51
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
12:00 Karlsruher SC 2-1 Hannover 96 1 nordicbet 1.80 1.75 1.01
12:00 Hansa Rostock 2-0 Jahn Regensburg 1 pncl 2.43 2.32 0.74
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:30 SC Freiburg 0-1 RB Leipzig 2 Betsson 2.10 2.02 0.86
17:30 Werder Bremen 1-2 FC Bayern München 2 interwetten 1.35 1.33 1.61
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
18:00 PAS Giannina 1-0 Asteras Tripolis X ladbrokes 2.62 2.50 0.75
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
15:30 Gol Gohar 0-1 Aluminium Arak X betvictor 2.90 2.75 0.64
15:30 Paykan 0-1 Persepolis 2 betvictor 1.40 1.38 1.50
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
16:45 Hapoel Tel Aviv 2-2 Ironi Kiryat Shmona 2 marathon 3.16 2.98 0.59
16:45 Bnei Sakhnin 2-3 Hapoel Hadera 2 tipico 2.70 2.57 0.74
16:45 Beitar Jerusalem 0-1 Maccabi Bnei Raina 2 betclic 3.37 3.17 0.65
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Milan 2-0 Lazio 1 Betsson 1.98 1.91 0.90
17:00 Roma 0-2 Inter 2 Betsson 2.72 2.59 0.67
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
13:00 Cittadella 3-1 Benevento 2 888sport 4.75 4.39 0.44
13:00 Cosenza 1-1 Venezia 2 betcris 2.77 2.63 0.69
13:00 Pisa 1-3 Frosinone 2 888sport 4.35 4.04 0.52
13:00 Reggina 2-1 Como 2 betcris 3.10 2.93 0.60
13:00 Ternana 0-1 Südtirol 1 10bet 2.10 2.02 0.86
15:15 Palermo 2-1 SPAL 1 10bet 1.86 1.80 0.97
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
06:00 Consadole Sapporo 5-1 Tokyo 1 10bet 2.20 2.11 0.83
11:00 Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Gamba Osaka 2 tipico 4.20 3.91 0.48
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
06:00 Jeju United 2-1 Pohang Steelers 2 pncl 2.67 2.54 0.68
11:00 Gwangju 0-0 Daejeon Citizen 1 dafabet 2.29 2.20 0.78
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
19:15 RSB Berkane 1-1 Maghreb Fès 1 sbo 2.39 2.29 0.75
21:30 FAR Rabat 2-1 Riadi Salmi 1 1XBet 1.57 1.53 1.22
21:30 Chabab Mohammédia 1-3 Wydad Casablanca 1 pncl 6.99 6.34 0.35
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
20:00 Ajax 0-0 AZ 1 unibet 1.63 1.59 1.15
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
17:00 Rosenborg 1-3 Vålerenga 2 888sport 4.40 4.09 0.47
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
16:30 Lech Poznań 3-0 Cracovia Kraków 1 marathon 1.62 1.58 1.17
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
15:30 Santa Clara 3-2 Gil Vicente 1 betvictor 2.90 2.75 0.67
18:00 Boavista 1-0 Estoril 2 10bet 3.90 3.64 0.50
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
09:30 Yenisey 2-1 KAMAZ 2 marathon 5.10 4.70 0.44
17:00 Krasnodar II 0-1 Rubin Kazan' 2 marathon 1.31 1.29 1.76
17:00 Baltika 2-0 Urozhay 1 marathon 1.40 1.38 1.54
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:30 Torpedo Moskva 1-5 Akhmat Grozny 1 1XBet 3.78 3.54 0.52
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
15:00 Hibernian 2-1 St. Mirren 1 sportingbet 3.70 3.47 0.80
15:00 Motherwell 2-0 Kilmarnock 2 unibet 3.60 3.38 0.53
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
18:00 Marumo Gallants FC 0-2 Mamelodi Sundowns 1 pncl 4.37 4.06 0.47
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
21:00 Real Madrid 2-1 Osasuna 1 marathon 1.39 1.37 1.51
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
17:30 Leganés 2-1 Huesca 2 cloudbet 5.29 4.87 0.41
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
17:00 Sion 0-1 Winterthur 2 Betsson 4.00 3.73 0.55
19:30 St. Gallen 0-2 Young Boys 1 10bet 3.50 3.29 0.61
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
15:15 Al Dhafra 4-1 Al Jazira 2 betway 1.35 1.33 1.60
15:15 Al Sharjah 1-1 Dibba Al Fujairah 1 betway 1.45 1.42 1.39
15:15 Al Bataeh 2-0 Al Nasr 1 pncl 3.64 3.41 0.53
18:00 Ajman 2-3 Al Wahda 2 pncl 1.78 1.73 1.03
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
21:30 Wanderers 0-3 Fénix 2 888sport 3.15 2.97 0.60