Football Value Bets 2023-05-06
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
06/05/2023 evaluation: We are showing 78 value bet opportunities from 36 leagues with stake amount £66.08, where the result is £17.85. The average market margin of stakes worth £66.08 is -5.95. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.




































# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | Hartberg | 5-0 | WSG Tirol | 1 | 1XBet | 2.21 | 2.12 | 0.81 | ✓ | |
16:00 | Austria Lustenau | 2-2 | Ried | 1 | pncl | 2.65 | 2.52 | 0.69 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | KRC Genk II | 0-2 | Deinze | 1 | unibet | 2.75 | 2.61 | 0.66 | ☓ | |
19:00 | Club Brugge II | 1-3 | RWDM | 2 | 888sport | 1.40 | 1.38 | 1.79 | ✓ | |
19:00 | Dender | 2-1 | Lommel United | 1 | pncl | 2.38 | 2.28 | 0.75 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:15 | Club Brugge | 1-2 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 1 | dafabet | 2.49 | 2.38 | 0.75 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Internacional RS W | 1-2 | Palmeiras W | 2 | pncl | 2.04 | 1.97 | 0.90 | ✓ | |
23:00 | Cruzeiro W | 2-3 | Santos W | 2 | tipico | 1.90 | 1.84 | 0.99 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:30 | Botafogo SP | 0-3 | Vitória | 2 | cloudbet | 3.93 | 3.67 | 0.50 | ✓ | |
22:15 | Mirassol | 1-1 | Vila Nova | 2 | cloudbet | 4.29 | 3.99 | 0.47 | ☓ | |
22:15 | Sampaio Corrêa | 2-1 | Juventude | 1 | 888sport | 2.20 | 2.11 | 0.84 | ✓ | |
22:15 | Tombense | 0-1 | Avaí | 2 | pncl | 4.32 | 4.02 | 0.47 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:30 | Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 | 1-1 | Arda | 2 | 888sport | 2.45 | 2.34 | 0.74 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08:30 | Meizhou Hakka | 2-1 | Shandong Luneng | 2 | 888sport | 1.56 | 1.53 | 1.24 | ☓ | |
12:35 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 3-2 | Qingdao Jonoon | 2 | Betsson | 8.00 | 7.21 | 0.33 | ☓ | |
12:35 | Tianjin Teda | 0-0 | Shanghai SIPG | 2 | dafabet | 1.89 | 1.83 | 0.96 | ☓ | |
12:35 | Nantong Zhiyun | 0-1 | Changchun Yatai | 2 | cloudbet | 2.57 | 2.45 | 0.70 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | Gorica | 0-0 | Slaven Koprivnica | 1 | marathon | 1.70 | 1.66 | 1.09 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Zlín | 1-1 | Jablonec | 1 | marathon | 2.52 | 2.41 | 0.71 | ☓ | |
14:00 | Teplice | 1-0 | Pardubice | 2 | pncl | 3.41 | 3.21 | 0.56 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | HB Køge | 3-1 | Nykøbing | 1 | 188bet | 1.48 | 1.45 | 1.42 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | AFC Bournemouth | 1-3 | Chelsea | 2 | 10bet | 2.30 | 2.21 | 0.78 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Manchester City | 2-1 | Leeds United | 1 | interwetten | 1.20 | 1.19 | 2.24 | ✓ | |
17:30 | Liverpool | 1-0 | Brentford | 1 | unibet | 1.56 | 1.53 | 1.23 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:00 | Lens | 2-1 | Olympique Marseille | 1 | unibet | 2.55 | 2.43 | 0.71 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Bordeaux | 1-0 | Caen | 1 | Betsson | 1.90 | 1.84 | 0.97 | ✓ | |
18:00 | Annecy | 1-1 | Dijon | 2 | cashpoint | 2.40 | 2.30 | 0.74 | ☓ | |
18:00 | Laval | 2-1 | Bastia | 2 | pncl | 3.90 | 3.64 | 0.50 | ☓ | |
18:00 | Paris | 1-0 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 1 | 188bet | 1.89 | 1.83 | 0.96 | ✓ | |
18:00 | Niort | 1-3 | Metz | 2 | 188bet | 1.43 | 1.40 | 1.42 | ✓ | |
18:00 | Pau | 3-4 | Quevilly Rouen | 2 | pncl | 3.35 | 3.15 | 0.57 | ✓ | |
18:00 | Nîmes | 3-3 | Valenciennes | 2 | cloudbet | 3.82 | 3.57 | 0.51 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | Karlsruher SC | 2-1 | Hannover 96 | 1 | nordicbet | 1.80 | 1.75 | 1.01 | ✓ | |
12:00 | Hansa Rostock | 2-0 | Jahn Regensburg | 1 | pncl | 2.43 | 2.32 | 0.74 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:30 | SC Freiburg | 0-1 | RB Leipzig | 2 | Betsson | 2.10 | 2.02 | 0.86 | ✓ | |
17:30 | Werder Bremen | 1-2 | FC Bayern München | 2 | interwetten | 1.35 | 1.33 | 1.61 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | PAS Giannina | 1-0 | Asteras Tripolis | X | ladbrokes | 2.62 | 2.50 | 0.75 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:30 | Gol Gohar | 0-1 | Aluminium Arak | X | betvictor | 2.90 | 2.75 | 0.64 | ☓ | |
15:30 | Paykan | 0-1 | Persepolis | 2 | betvictor | 1.40 | 1.38 | 1.50 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:45 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 2-2 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 2 | marathon | 3.16 | 2.98 | 0.59 | ☓ | |
16:45 | Bnei Sakhnin | 2-3 | Hapoel Hadera | 2 | tipico | 2.70 | 2.57 | 0.74 | ✓ | |
16:45 | Beitar Jerusalem | 0-1 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 2 | betclic | 3.37 | 3.17 | 0.65 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Milan | 2-0 | Lazio | 1 | Betsson | 1.98 | 1.91 | 0.90 | ✓ | |
17:00 | Roma | 0-2 | Inter | 2 | Betsson | 2.72 | 2.59 | 0.67 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | Cittadella | 3-1 | Benevento | 2 | 888sport | 4.75 | 4.39 | 0.44 | ☓ | |
13:00 | Cosenza | 1-1 | Venezia | 2 | betcris | 2.77 | 2.63 | 0.69 | ☓ | |
13:00 | Pisa | 1-3 | Frosinone | 2 | 888sport | 4.35 | 4.04 | 0.52 | ✓ | |
13:00 | Reggina | 2-1 | Como | 2 | betcris | 3.10 | 2.93 | 0.60 | ☓ | |
13:00 | Ternana | 0-1 | Südtirol | 1 | 10bet | 2.10 | 2.02 | 0.86 | ☓ | |
15:15 | Palermo | 2-1 | SPAL | 1 | 10bet | 1.86 | 1.80 | 0.97 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
06:00 | Consadole Sapporo | 5-1 | Tokyo | 1 | 10bet | 2.20 | 2.11 | 0.83 | ✓ | |
11:00 | Nagoya Grampus | 1-0 | Gamba Osaka | 2 | tipico | 4.20 | 3.91 | 0.48 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
06:00 | Jeju United | 2-1 | Pohang Steelers | 2 | pncl | 2.67 | 2.54 | 0.68 | ☓ | |
11:00 | Gwangju | 0-0 | Daejeon Citizen | 1 | dafabet | 2.29 | 2.20 | 0.78 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:15 | RSB Berkane | 1-1 | Maghreb Fès | 1 | sbo | 2.39 | 2.29 | 0.75 | ☓ | |
21:30 | FAR Rabat | 2-1 | Riadi Salmi | 1 | 1XBet | 1.57 | 1.53 | 1.22 | ✓ | |
21:30 | Chabab Mohammédia | 1-3 | Wydad Casablanca | 1 | pncl | 6.99 | 6.34 | 0.35 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:00 | Ajax | 0-0 | AZ | 1 | unibet | 1.63 | 1.59 | 1.15 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Rosenborg | 1-3 | Vålerenga | 2 | 888sport | 4.40 | 4.09 | 0.47 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:30 | Lech Poznań | 3-0 | Cracovia Kraków | 1 | marathon | 1.62 | 1.58 | 1.17 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:30 | Santa Clara | 3-2 | Gil Vicente | 1 | betvictor | 2.90 | 2.75 | 0.67 | ✓ | |
18:00 | Boavista | 1-0 | Estoril | 2 | 10bet | 3.90 | 3.64 | 0.50 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09:30 | Yenisey | 2-1 | KAMAZ | 2 | marathon | 5.10 | 4.70 | 0.44 | ☓ | |
17:00 | Krasnodar II | 0-1 | Rubin Kazan' | 2 | marathon | 1.31 | 1.29 | 1.76 | ✓ | |
17:00 | Baltika | 2-0 | Urozhay | 1 | marathon | 1.40 | 1.38 | 1.54 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:30 | Torpedo Moskva | 1-5 | Akhmat Grozny | 1 | 1XBet | 3.78 | 3.54 | 0.52 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Hibernian | 2-1 | St. Mirren | 1 | sportingbet | 3.70 | 3.47 | 0.80 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Motherwell | 2-0 | Kilmarnock | 2 | unibet | 3.60 | 3.38 | 0.53 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | Marumo Gallants FC | 0-2 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 1 | pncl | 4.37 | 4.06 | 0.47 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
21:00 | Real Madrid | 2-1 | Osasuna | 1 | marathon | 1.39 | 1.37 | 1.51 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:30 | Leganés | 2-1 | Huesca | 2 | cloudbet | 5.29 | 4.87 | 0.41 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Sion | 0-1 | Winterthur | 2 | Betsson | 4.00 | 3.73 | 0.55 | ✓ | |
19:30 | St. Gallen | 0-2 | Young Boys | 1 | 10bet | 3.50 | 3.29 | 0.61 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:15 | Al Dhafra | 4-1 | Al Jazira | 2 | betway | 1.35 | 1.33 | 1.60 | ☓ | |
15:15 | Al Sharjah | 1-1 | Dibba Al Fujairah | 1 | betway | 1.45 | 1.42 | 1.39 | ☓ | |
15:15 | Al Bataeh | 2-0 | Al Nasr | 1 | pncl | 3.64 | 3.41 | 0.53 | ✓ | |
18:00 | Ajman | 2-3 | Al Wahda | 2 | pncl | 1.78 | 1.73 | 1.03 | ✓ |