Football Value Bets 2023-05-05
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
05/05/2023 evaluation: We are showing 33 value bet opportunities from 18 leagues with stake amount £28.98, where the result is £-0.73. The average market margin of stakes worth £28.98 is -2.61. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:30 | Wolfsberger AC | 0-0 | Rheindorf Altach | 2 | interwetten | 4.10 | 3.82 | 0.48 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | RSC Anderlecht II | 0-2 | Beerschot-Wilrijk | 2 | pncl | 2.45 | 2.34 | 0.73 | ✓ | |
19:00 | Standard Liège II | 1-1 | Excelsior Virton | 2 | 888sport | 2.55 | 2.43 | 0.75 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | Athletico Paranaense W | 0-2 | Grêmio W | 1 | cashpoint | 2.89 | 2.74 | 0.63 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:35 | Henan Jianye | 0-1 | Beijing Guoan | 1 | betfair | 6.00 | 5.49 | 0.39 | ☓ | |
12:35 | Shanghai Shenhua | 1-0 | Dalian Professional | 1 | dafabet | 1.85 | 1.79 | 0.98 | ✓ | |
12:35 | Wuhan Three Towns | 0-0 | Hangzhou | 1 | betway | 1.35 | 1.33 | 1.74 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Šibenik | 0-2 | Varaždin | 1 | 888sport | 2.14 | 2.06 | 0.84 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Hvidovre | 0-1 | Vejle | 2 | cloudbet | 2.72 | 2.59 | 0.67 | ✓ | |
17:30 | Fredericia | 2-2 | Hobro | 2 | cashpoint | 4.02 | 3.75 | 0.50 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:30 | Arsenal W | 1-0 | Leicester W | 1 | dafabet | 1.11 | 1.10 | 3.36 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | Ilves | 1-2 | Oulu | 1 | 10bet | 2.35 | 2.25 | 0.81 | ☓ | |
16:00 | Haka | 4-2 | KTP | 1 | 188bet | 1.91 | 1.85 | 0.94 | ✓ | |
16:00 | Honka | 3-0 | Lahti | X | marathon | 4.45 | 4.13 | 0.46 | ☓ | |
16:00 | VPS | 2-1 | Mariehamn | 2 | nordicbet | 3.50 | 3.29 | 0.54 | ☓ | |
16:15 | KuPS | 2-1 | HJK | 2 | sportingbet | 2.80 | 2.66 | 0.74 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:30 | DSC Arminia Bielefeld | 1-1 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1 | sportingbet | 2.40 | 2.30 | 0.74 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:30 | Zob Ahan | 2-0 | Foolad | 2 | betclic | 3.15 | 2.97 | 0.59 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:30 | Perugia | 0-5 | Cagliari | 2 | unibet | 2.60 | 2.48 | 0.71 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
06:00 | Seoul | 1-1 | Jeonbuk Motors | 1 | cashpoint | 2.30 | 2.21 | 0.79 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:15 | Mouloudia Oujda | 0-0 | Ittihad Tanger | 2 | betfair | 2.88 | 2.73 | 0.65 | ☓ | |
21:30 | UTS Rabat | 0-1 | FUS Rabat | 2 | marathon | 2.14 | 2.06 | 0.84 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | De Graafschap | 2-1 | MVV Maastricht | 1 | 888sport | 1.44 | 1.41 | 1.46 | ✓ | |
19:00 | Helmond Sport | 1-1 | VVV-Venlo | 2 | 888sport | 2.40 | 2.30 | 0.74 | ☓ | |
19:00 | Roda JC Kerkrade | 1-2 | FC Eindhoven | 2 | 888sport | 2.75 | 2.61 | 0.72 | ✓ | |
19:00 | Telstar | 0-0 | Willem II | 2 | 10bet | 2.10 | 2.02 | 0.86 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:30 | Górnik Zabrze | 2-0 | Warta Poznań | 1 | sportingbet | 2.37 | 2.27 | 0.78 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:30 | Chindia Târgovişte | 1-2 | Petrolul 52 | 2 | pncl | 3.90 | 3.64 | 0.50 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:00 | Botafogo | 0-0 | LDU Quito | 1 | dafabet | 1.77 | 1.72 | 1.04 | ☓ | |
01:00 | Defensa y Justicia | 4-1 | Peñarol | 1 | betway | 1.95 | 1.89 | 0.95 | ✓ | |
01:00 | Audax Italiano | 2-0 | Blooming | 1 | 888sport | 1.40 | 1.38 | 1.48 | ✓ | |
03:00 | Universitario | 2-0 | Santa Fe | 1 | 888sport | 2.08 | 2.01 | 0.89 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23:00 | Cerro Largo | 2-2 | Boston River | 1 | pncl | 2.66 | 2.53 | 0.68 | ☓ |