Football Value Bets 2023-05-03
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
03/05/2023 evaluation: We are showing 54 value bet opportunities from 24 leagues with stake amount £48.19, where the result is £3.25. The average market margin of stakes worth £48.19 is -4.34. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.
























# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:30 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 0-2 | Antwerp | 1 | pncl | 2.47 | 2.36 | 0.74 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:30 | Atlético GO | 2-1 | Chapecoense | 1 | 888sport | 1.85 | 1.79 | 0.99 | ✓ | |
23:00 | Ituano | 3-0 | ABC | 2 | tipico | 4.10 | 3.82 | 0.50 | ☓ | |
23:00 | Mirassol | 0-2 | Novorizontino | 2 | pncl | 4.10 | 3.82 | 0.49 | ✓ | |
23:00 | Juventude | 1-0 | Guarani | 2 | pncl | 3.74 | 3.50 | 0.52 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Spartak Varna | 3-3 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 1 | 888sport | 7.60 | 6.87 | 0.33 | ☓ | |
16:15 | Arda | 2-2 | Cherno More | 1 | 888sport | 2.85 | 2.70 | 0.64 | ☓ | |
18:30 | Ludogorets | 2-1 | Beroe | 1 | marathon | 1.17 | 1.16 | 2.51 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Burton Albion | 1-0 | Cambridge United | 1 | marathon | 3.56 | 3.34 | 0.54 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Crewe Alexandra | 3-2 | Bradford City | 1 | betfair | 5.50 | 5.05 | 0.41 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Woking | 1-2 | Bromley | 2 | 888sport | 4.30 | 4.00 | 0.48 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:00 | Liverpool | 1-0 | Fulham | 1 | Betsson | 1.32 | 1.30 | 1.68 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:15 | Chelsea W | 2-1 | Liverpool W | 1 | pncl | 1.15 | 1.14 | 2.70 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | VfB Stuttgart | 2-3 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | unibet | 2.63 | 2.51 | 0.71 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | AEK Athens | 0-0 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 | dafabet | 1.74 | 1.69 | 1.10 | ☓ | |
18:00 | Aris | 4-2 | Volos NFC | 1 | dafabet | 1.29 | 1.27 | 1.87 | ✓ | |
18:00 | Panathinaikos | 1-1 | PAOK | 1 | nordicbet | 1.75 | 1.70 | 1.05 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Sampdoria | 0-2 | Torino | 2 | sportingbet | 1.98 | 1.91 | 0.90 | ✓ | |
17:00 | Salernitana | 3-3 | Fiorentina | 2 | sportingbet | 4.33 | 4.02 | 0.90 | ☓ | |
20:00 | Hellas Verona | 0-6 | Inter | 2 | Betsson | 1.72 | 1.67 | 1.08 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
06:00 | Kyoto Sanga | 0-1 | Kawasaki Frontale | 2 | sportingbet | 2.15 | 2.07 | 0.90 | ✓ | |
07:00 | Avispa Fukuoka | 1-0 | Tokyo | 2 | sportingbet | 2.95 | 2.79 | 0.64 | ☓ | |
07:00 | Sagan Tosu | 1-3 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 2 | sportingbet | 2.05 | 1.98 | 0.97 | ✓ | |
11:00 | Yokohama | 1-0 | Albirex Niigata | 1 | 888sport | 3.20 | 3.02 | 0.62 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:15 | Wydad Casablanca | 1-1 | FAR Rabat | 2 | pncl | 4.24 | 3.94 | 0.47 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Molde | 3-0 | Aalesund | 1 | dafabet | 1.23 | 1.22 | 2.13 | ✓ | |
17:00 | Rosenborg | 0-2 | Brann | 2 | sportingbet | 2.37 | 2.27 | 0.76 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:30 | Al Wakrah | 1-0 | Al Rayyan | 2 | cloudbet | 3.42 | 3.22 | 0.56 | ☓ | |
19:00 | Umm Salal | 1-1 | Al Shamal | 2 | pncl | 3.18 | 3.00 | 0.59 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Ural | 1-2 | CSKA Moskva | 1 | marathon | 3.98 | 3.71 | 0.51 | ☓ | |
17:30 | Krasnodar | 0-0 | Akron | 1 | 1XBet | 1.45 | 1.42 | 1.39 |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Al Taawon | 2-1 | Al Ittihad | 2 | 888sport | 1.72 | 1.67 | 1.07 | ☓ | |
19:30 | Al Wahda | 0-2 | Dhamk | 2 | pncl | 3.53 | 3.31 | 0.55 | ✓ | |
19:30 | Al Shabab | 1-0 | Al Fateh | 2 | Betsson | 5.50 | 5.05 | 0.40 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Orlando Pirates | 1-1 | Royal AM | 2 | pncl | 8.40 | 7.55 | 0.31 | ☓ | |
16:15 | Sekhukhune United | 1-1 | TS Galaxy | 2 | pncl | 4.42 | 4.10 | 0.46 | ☓ | |
18:30 | AmaZulu | 2-2 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 1 | pncl | 5.81 | 5.32 | 0.39 | ☓ | |
18:30 | Cape Town City | 0-0 | Golden Arrows | 1 | Betsson | 2.05 | 1.98 | 0.89 | ☓ | |
18:30 | Maritzburg United | 2-2 | Marumo Gallants FC | 1 | pncl | 2.98 | 2.82 | 0.62 | ☓ | |
18:30 | Richards Bay | 2-3 | Chippa United | 2 | pncl | 4.10 | 3.82 | 0.49 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:00 | Fluminense | 5-1 | River Plate | 2 | marathon | 3.85 | 3.60 | 0.51 | ☓ | |
01:00 | Atlético Nacional | 2-2 | Olimpia | 1 | dafabet | 1.92 | 1.86 | 0.94 | ☓ | |
23:00 | Internacional | 2-2 | Nacional | 1 | sportingbet | 6.25 | 5.70 | 1.04 | ☓ | |
23:00 | Cerro Porteño | 0-4 | Bolívar | 1 | cashpoint | 1.40 | 1.38 | 1.50 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:00 | Magallanes | 2-2 | César Vallejo | 2 | betfair | 6.00 | 5.49 | 0.38 | ☓ | |
01:00 | Bragantino | 0-0 | Estudiantes | 1 | 888sport | 1.89 | 1.83 | 1.00 | ☓ | |
01:30 | Newell's Old Boys | 1-0 | Santos | 2 | pncl | 4.71 | 4.36 | 0.44 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
21:00 | Atlético Madrid | 5-1 | Cádiz | 1 | interwetten | 1.33 | 1.31 | 1.65 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | Häcken | 4-1 | Djurgården | 1 | sportingbet | 4.00 | 3.73 | 0.89 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:00 | Dnipro-1 | 5-0 | Metal Kharkiv | 1 | sportingbet | 1.22 | 1.21 | 2.13 | ✓ | |
11:00 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1-0 | Minai | 1 | 1XBet | 1.22 | 1.21 | 2.10 | ✓ | |
12:00 | Lviv | 0-1 | Oleksandria | 2 | pncl | 1.80 | 1.75 | 1.03 | ✓ | |
13:00 | Chornomorets | 3-0 | Kolos Kovalivka | 2 | cloudbet | 2.83 | 2.69 | 0.64 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:30 | Racing | 1-1 | Plaza Colonia | 2 | pncl | 4.97 | 4.59 | 0.47 | ☓ |