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Football Value Bets 2023-05-03

You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.

Did you find a day with a negative result? Yes, this happens. It is impossible to guess correctly the outcomes of hundreds of thousands football fixtures and we are not doing that. Football value bets are the fixtures where the bookmaker is for some reason giving "too much".
  1. Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
  2. Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
  3. Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
  4. Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
  5. Make sure to start out small.
Football value bets shown on this page are based on the fact that every now and then a bookmaker gives odds that are much higher compared to the competition, and this is what we are showing. Make sure to check football predictions that cover the majority of the football betting spectrum.

03/05/2023 evaluation: We are showing 54 value bet opportunities from 24 leagues with stake amount £48.19, where the result is £3.25. The average market margin of stakes worth £48.19 is -4.34. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.

# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
19:30 Union Saint-Gilloise 0-2 Antwerp 1 pncl 2.47 2.36 0.74
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
01:30 Atlético GO 2-1 Chapecoense 1 888sport 1.85 1.79 0.99
23:00 Ituano 3-0 ABC 2 tipico 4.10 3.82 0.50
23:00 Mirassol 0-2 Novorizontino 2 pncl 4.10 3.82 0.49
23:00 Juventude 1-0 Guarani 2 pncl 3.74 3.50 0.52
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Spartak Varna 3-3 CSKA 1948 Sofia 1 888sport 7.60 6.87 0.33
16:15 Arda 2-2 Cherno More 1 888sport 2.85 2.70 0.64
18:30 Ludogorets 2-1 Beroe 1 marathon 1.17 1.16 2.51
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
19:45 Burton Albion 1-0 Cambridge United 1 marathon 3.56 3.34 0.54
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
19:45 Crewe Alexandra 3-2 Bradford City 1 betfair 5.50 5.05 0.41
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
19:45 Woking 1-2 Bromley 2 888sport 4.30 4.00 0.48
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
20:00 Liverpool 1-0 Fulham 1 Betsson 1.32 1.30 1.68
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
19:15 Chelsea W 2-1 Liverpool W 1 pncl 1.15 1.14 2.70
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
19:45 VfB Stuttgart 2-3 Eintracht Frankfurt 1 unibet 2.63 2.51 0.71
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
18:00 AEK Athens 0-0 Olympiakos Piraeus 1 dafabet 1.74 1.69 1.10
18:00 Aris 4-2 Volos NFC 1 dafabet 1.29 1.27 1.87
18:00 Panathinaikos 1-1 PAOK 1 nordicbet 1.75 1.70 1.05
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
17:00 Sampdoria 0-2 Torino 2 sportingbet 1.98 1.91 0.90
17:00 Salernitana 3-3 Fiorentina 2 sportingbet 4.33 4.02 0.90
20:00 Hellas Verona 0-6 Inter 2 Betsson 1.72 1.67 1.08
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
06:00 Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Kawasaki Frontale 2 sportingbet 2.15 2.07 0.90
07:00 Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 Tokyo 2 sportingbet 2.95 2.79 0.64
07:00 Sagan Tosu 1-3 Yokohama F. Marinos 2 sportingbet 2.05 1.98 0.97
11:00 Yokohama 1-0 Albirex Niigata 1 888sport 3.20 3.02 0.62
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
19:15 Wydad Casablanca 1-1 FAR Rabat 2 pncl 4.24 3.94 0.47
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
17:00 Molde 3-0 Aalesund 1 dafabet 1.23 1.22 2.13
17:00 Rosenborg 0-2 Brann 2 sportingbet 2.37 2.27 0.76
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
16:30 Al Wakrah 1-0 Al Rayyan 2 cloudbet 3.42 3.22 0.56
19:00 Umm Salal 1-1 Al Shamal 2 pncl 3.18 3.00 0.59
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
15:00 Ural 1-2 CSKA Moskva 1 marathon 3.98 3.71 0.51
17:30 Krasnodar 0-0 Akron 1 1XBet 1.45 1.42 1.39
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
17:00 Al Taawon 2-1 Al Ittihad 2 888sport 1.72 1.67 1.07
19:30 Al Wahda 0-2 Dhamk 2 pncl 3.53 3.31 0.55
19:30 Al Shabab 1-0 Al Fateh 2 Betsson 5.50 5.05 0.40
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Orlando Pirates 1-1 Royal AM 2 pncl 8.40 7.55 0.31
16:15 Sekhukhune United 1-1 TS Galaxy 2 pncl 4.42 4.10 0.46
18:30 AmaZulu 2-2 Mamelodi Sundowns 1 pncl 5.81 5.32 0.39
18:30 Cape Town City 0-0 Golden Arrows 1 Betsson 2.05 1.98 0.89
18:30 Maritzburg United 2-2 Marumo Gallants FC 1 pncl 2.98 2.82 0.62
18:30 Richards Bay 2-3 Chippa United 2 pncl 4.10 3.82 0.49
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
01:00 Fluminense 5-1 River Plate 2 marathon 3.85 3.60 0.51
01:00 Atlético Nacional 2-2 Olimpia 1 dafabet 1.92 1.86 0.94
23:00 Internacional 2-2 Nacional 1 sportingbet 6.25 5.70 1.04
23:00 Cerro Porteño 0-4 Bolívar 1 cashpoint 1.40 1.38 1.50
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
01:00 Magallanes 2-2 César Vallejo 2 betfair 6.00 5.49 0.38
01:00 Bragantino 0-0 Estudiantes 1 888sport 1.89 1.83 1.00
01:30 Newell's Old Boys 1-0 Santos 2 pncl 4.71 4.36 0.44
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
21:00 Atlético Madrid 5-1 Cádiz 1 interwetten 1.33 1.31 1.65
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
18:00 Häcken 4-1 Djurgården 1 sportingbet 4.00 3.73 0.89
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
11:00 Dnipro-1 5-0 Metal Kharkiv 1 sportingbet 1.22 1.21 2.13
11:00 Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 Minai 1 1XBet 1.22 1.21 2.10
12:00 Lviv 0-1 Oleksandria 2 pncl 1.80 1.75 1.03
13:00 Chornomorets 3-0 Kolos Kovalivka 2 cloudbet 2.83 2.69 0.64
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
19:30 Racing 1-1 Plaza Colonia 2 pncl 4.97 4.59 0.47