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Football Value Bets 2023-04-09

You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.

Did you find a day with a negative result? Yes, this happens. It is impossible to guess correctly the outcomes of hundreds of thousands football fixtures and we are not doing that. Football value bets are the fixtures where the bookmaker is for some reason giving "too much".
  1. Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
  2. Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
  3. Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
  4. Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
  5. Make sure to start out small.
Football value bets shown on this page are based on the fact that every now and then a bookmaker gives odds that are much higher compared to the competition, and this is what we are showing. Make sure to check football predictions that cover the majority of the football betting spectrum.

09/04/2023 evaluation: We are showing 73 value bet opportunities from 32 leagues with stake amount £60.65, where the result is £10.40. The average market margin of stakes worth £60.65 is -5.46. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.

# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
00:30 Defensa y Justicia 1-2 Central Cordoba SdE 1 dafabet 2.16 2.08 0.83
00:30 Atlético Tucumán 1-3 San Lorenzo 2 188bet 4.70 4.35 0.48
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
13:30 Salzburg 3-3 Austria Wien 1 interwetten 1.40 1.38 1.48
13:30 Rapid Vienna 3-1 Austria Klagenfurt 1 888sport 1.55 1.52 1.26
16:00 LASK Linz 2-1 Sturm Graz 1 tipico 3.60 3.38 0.54
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
15:00 Excelsior Virton 0-1 Lommel United 1 10bet 2.40 2.30 0.78
18:15 RWDM 4-0 Beerschot-Wilrijk 1 nitrogen sports 1.81 1.76 1.18
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
12:30 Anderlecht 0-0 Westerlo 2 888sport 4.40 4.09 0.46
17:30 Standard Liège 2-0 Genk 1 unibet 2.90 2.75 0.63
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
13:15 Hebar 1918 0-1 Cherno More 2 comeon 1.60 1.56 1.20
15:45 Spartak Varna 0-4 Beroe 1 betcris 2.27 2.18 0.82
18:15 Slavia Sofia 0-2 CSKA Sofia 2 10bet 1.71 1.66 1.19
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
16:30 Bouake 1-2 San-Pedro 1 1XBet 4.48 4.16 0.46
16:30 Stade d'Abidjan 3-2 Bassam 1 unibet 2.13 2.05 0.85
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
15:00 České Budějovice 0-3 Teplice 1 Betsson 1.95 1.89 0.94
15:00 Sigma Olomouc 2-2 Bohemians 1905 2 pncl 4.04 3.77 0.49
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
12:00 Fremad Amager 1-3 Fredericia 2 Betsson 2.09 2.01 0.86
12:00 Hvidovre 3-2 FC Helsingør 1 Betsson 1.77 1.72 1.03
14:00 Nykøbing 3-5 HB Køge 2 unibet 2.12 2.04 0.84
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
20:15 Smouha 4-3 El Daklyeh 2 pncl 4.52 4.19 0.48
20:15 ENPPI 2-1 Al Mokawloon 2 tipico 2.65 2.52 0.71
20:15 Zamalek 1-0 National Bank of Egypt 2 tipico 4.00 3.73 0.51
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
16:30 Liverpool 2-2 Arsenal 1 marathon 2.93 2.78 0.63
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Montpellier 1-2 Toulouse 1 unibet 2.25 2.16 0.80
19:45 Lorient 0-0 Olympique Marseille 2 sportingbet 1.65 1.61 1.14
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
12:30 DSC Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf 2 pncl 2.57 2.45 0.70
12:30 Hansa Rostock 2-3 Holstein Kiel 1 unibet 4.25 3.95 0.62
12:30 Jahn Regensburg 2-2 Magdeburg 1 tipico 2.50 2.39 0.72
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
18:30 PAOK 4-2 Volos NFC 1 sportingbet 15.00 13.10 1.07
19:00 Panathinaikos 2-0 Olympiakos Piraeus 2 pncl 3.23 3.05 0.59
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
06:00 Cerezo Osaka 2-3 Consadole Sapporo 1 cloudbet 2.31 2.22 0.77
06:00 Vissel Kobe 0-0 Albirex Niigata 1 dafabet 1.84 1.78 0.98
06:00 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 Sagan Tosu 1 188bet 1.56 1.53 1.31
07:00 Tokyo 2-2 Shonan Bellmare 1 pncl 2.61 2.49 0.70
07:00 Gamba Osaka 2-0 Kawasaki Frontale 1 tipico 4.10 3.82 0.51
07:00 Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Kyoto Sanga 2 nordicbet 4.00 3.73 0.50
11:00 Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Kashima Antlers 2 marathon 2.05 1.98 0.96
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
07:00 Suwon 5-3 Daejeon Citizen 2 10bet 2.60 2.48 0.74
11:00 Gangwon 0-1 Jeju United 2 pncl 2.99 2.83 0.61
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
04:10 América 2-1 Monterrey 1 888sport 2.14 2.06 0.88
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
23:00 Hassania Agadir 2-1 FAR Rabat 1 tipico 5.50 5.05 0.42
23:00 Moghreb Tétouan 1-0 Chabab Mohammédia 1 betclic 2.45 2.34 0.74
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
19:00 Feyenoord 5-1 RKC Waalwijk 1 interwetten 1.20 1.19 2.23
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
18:00 Casa Pia 3-4 Sporting CP 2 Betsson 1.63 1.59 1.30
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
11:00 Chindia Târgovişte 1-2 Hermannstadt 2 pncl 3.85 3.60 0.51
13:30 Botoşani 1-0 Argeş 1 cashpoint 1.90 1.84 0.96
19:00 CFR Cluj 1-1 FCSB 2 marathon 3.44 3.23 0.58
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
12:00 Krasnodar II 1-0 Ufa 2 1XBet 2.47 2.36 0.73
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
20:00 Al Taawon 1-1 Al Ittifaq 2 nordicbet 4.75 4.39 0.44
20:00 Abha 3-2 Al Batin 2 nordicbet 4.20 3.91 0.48
20:00 Al Feiha 0-0 Al Nassr 2 pncl 1.33 1.31 1.66
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Moroka Swallows 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns 1 10bet 6.75 6.14 0.36
16:30 Cape Town City 2-2 AmaZulu 2 pncl 4.39 4.08 0.47
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
20:00 Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Atlético Madrid 2 Betsson 2.05 1.98 0.88
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
13:00 Huesca 2-1 Burgos 2 pncl 3.84 3.59 0.51
15:15 SD Eibar 1-1 Levante 2 unibet 3.75 3.51 0.52
17:30 FC Cartagena 1-0 Mirandés 2 unibet 4.70 4.35 0.44
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Häcken 3-1 Hammarby 2 tipico 3.90 3.64 0.50
16:30 Sirius 0-0 Djurgården 1 nitrogen sports 4.74 4.39 0.47
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Bandırmaspor 2-1 Altay 2 marathon 4.90 4.53 0.43
18:30 BB Erzurumspor 1-1 Rizespor 2 188bet 2.02 1.95 0.88
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Sivasspor 1-1 İstanbul Başakşehir 1 marathon 2.88 2.73 0.65
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
11:00 Oleksandria 1-1 Chornomorets 1 nordicbet 1.87 1.81 1.02
11:00 Dnipro-1 5-2 Lviv 1 nordicbet 1.22 1.21 2.19
13:00 Kolos Kovalivka 3-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 2 pncl 4.30 4.00 0.48
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
19:00 Ajman 4-2 Al Wasl 2 nitrogen sports 2.17 2.09 0.92
19:00 Al Sharjah 1-0 Al Dhafra 1 pncl 1.20 1.19 2.23
19:00 Khorfakkan Club 0-3 Al Ain 2 nitrogen sports 1.51 1.48 1.37
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
19:30 Danubio 0-0 Nacional 2 pncl 2.26 2.17 0.79
22:00 Cerro Largo 0-0 Peñarol 2 betfair 3.00 2.84 0.89
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
00:30 Cincinnati 1-0 Philadelphia Union 1 888sport 2.32 2.22 0.92
01:30 Chicago Fire 2-1 Minnesota United 1 pncl 2.04 1.97 0.89
01:30 Houston Dynamo 3-0 LA Galaxy 2 888sport 3.60 3.38 0.54