Football Value Bets 2023-04-09
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
09/04/2023 evaluation: We are showing 73 value bet opportunities from 32 leagues with stake amount £60.65, where the result is £10.40. The average market margin of stakes worth £60.65 is -5.46. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.
































# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:30 | Defensa y Justicia | 1-2 | Central Cordoba SdE | 1 | dafabet | 2.16 | 2.08 | 0.83 | ☓ | |
00:30 | Atlético Tucumán | 1-3 | San Lorenzo | 2 | 188bet | 4.70 | 4.35 | 0.48 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:30 | Salzburg | 3-3 | Austria Wien | 1 | interwetten | 1.40 | 1.38 | 1.48 | ☓ | |
13:30 | Rapid Vienna | 3-1 | Austria Klagenfurt | 1 | 888sport | 1.55 | 1.52 | 1.26 | ✓ | |
16:00 | LASK Linz | 2-1 | Sturm Graz | 1 | tipico | 3.60 | 3.38 | 0.54 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Excelsior Virton | 0-1 | Lommel United | 1 | 10bet | 2.40 | 2.30 | 0.78 | ☓ | |
18:15 | RWDM | 4-0 | Beerschot-Wilrijk | 1 | nitrogen sports | 1.81 | 1.76 | 1.18 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 | Anderlecht | 0-0 | Westerlo | 2 | 888sport | 4.40 | 4.09 | 0.46 | ☓ | |
17:30 | Standard Liège | 2-0 | Genk | 1 | unibet | 2.90 | 2.75 | 0.63 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:15 | Hebar 1918 | 0-1 | Cherno More | 2 | comeon | 1.60 | 1.56 | 1.20 | ✓ | |
15:45 | Spartak Varna | 0-4 | Beroe | 1 | betcris | 2.27 | 2.18 | 0.82 | ☓ | |
18:15 | Slavia Sofia | 0-2 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | 10bet | 1.71 | 1.66 | 1.19 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:30 | Bouake | 1-2 | San-Pedro | 1 | 1XBet | 4.48 | 4.16 | 0.46 | ☓ | |
16:30 | Stade d'Abidjan | 3-2 | Bassam | 1 | unibet | 2.13 | 2.05 | 0.85 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | České Budějovice | 0-3 | Teplice | 1 | Betsson | 1.95 | 1.89 | 0.94 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Sigma Olomouc | 2-2 | Bohemians 1905 | 2 | pncl | 4.04 | 3.77 | 0.49 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | Fremad Amager | 1-3 | Fredericia | 2 | Betsson | 2.09 | 2.01 | 0.86 | ✓ | |
12:00 | Hvidovre | 3-2 | FC Helsingør | 1 | Betsson | 1.77 | 1.72 | 1.03 | ✓ | |
14:00 | Nykøbing | 3-5 | HB Køge | 2 | unibet | 2.12 | 2.04 | 0.84 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:15 | Smouha | 4-3 | El Daklyeh | 2 | pncl | 4.52 | 4.19 | 0.48 | ☓ | |
20:15 | ENPPI | 2-1 | Al Mokawloon | 2 | tipico | 2.65 | 2.52 | 0.71 | ☓ | |
20:15 | Zamalek | 1-0 | National Bank of Egypt | 2 | tipico | 4.00 | 3.73 | 0.51 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:30 | Liverpool | 2-2 | Arsenal | 1 | marathon | 2.93 | 2.78 | 0.63 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Montpellier | 1-2 | Toulouse | 1 | unibet | 2.25 | 2.16 | 0.80 | ☓ | |
19:45 | Lorient | 0-0 | Olympique Marseille | 2 | sportingbet | 1.65 | 1.61 | 1.14 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 | DSC Arminia Bielefeld | 2-2 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2 | pncl | 2.57 | 2.45 | 0.70 | ☓ | |
12:30 | Hansa Rostock | 2-3 | Holstein Kiel | 1 | unibet | 4.25 | 3.95 | 0.62 | ☓ | |
12:30 | Jahn Regensburg | 2-2 | Magdeburg | 1 | tipico | 2.50 | 2.39 | 0.72 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:30 | PAOK | 4-2 | Volos NFC | 1 | sportingbet | 15.00 | 13.10 | 1.07 | ✓ | |
19:00 | Panathinaikos | 2-0 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 2 | pncl | 3.23 | 3.05 | 0.59 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
06:00 | Cerezo Osaka | 2-3 | Consadole Sapporo | 1 | cloudbet | 2.31 | 2.22 | 0.77 | ☓ | |
06:00 | Vissel Kobe | 0-0 | Albirex Niigata | 1 | dafabet | 1.84 | 1.78 | 0.98 | ☓ | |
06:00 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1-0 | Sagan Tosu | 1 | 188bet | 1.56 | 1.53 | 1.31 | ✓ | |
07:00 | Tokyo | 2-2 | Shonan Bellmare | 1 | pncl | 2.61 | 2.49 | 0.70 | ☓ | |
07:00 | Gamba Osaka | 2-0 | Kawasaki Frontale | 1 | tipico | 4.10 | 3.82 | 0.51 | ✓ | |
07:00 | Avispa Fukuoka | 2-1 | Kyoto Sanga | 2 | nordicbet | 4.00 | 3.73 | 0.50 | ☓ | |
11:00 | Kashiwa Reysol | 1-0 | Kashima Antlers | 2 | marathon | 2.05 | 1.98 | 0.96 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
07:00 | Suwon | 5-3 | Daejeon Citizen | 2 | 10bet | 2.60 | 2.48 | 0.74 | ☓ | |
11:00 | Gangwon | 0-1 | Jeju United | 2 | pncl | 2.99 | 2.83 | 0.61 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04:10 | América | 2-1 | Monterrey | 1 | 888sport | 2.14 | 2.06 | 0.88 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23:00 | Hassania Agadir | 2-1 | FAR Rabat | 1 | tipico | 5.50 | 5.05 | 0.42 | ✓ | |
23:00 | Moghreb Tétouan | 1-0 | Chabab Mohammédia | 1 | betclic | 2.45 | 2.34 | 0.74 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | Feyenoord | 5-1 | RKC Waalwijk | 1 | interwetten | 1.20 | 1.19 | 2.23 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | Casa Pia | 3-4 | Sporting CP | 2 | Betsson | 1.63 | 1.59 | 1.30 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:00 | Chindia Târgovişte | 1-2 | Hermannstadt | 2 | pncl | 3.85 | 3.60 | 0.51 | ✓ | |
13:30 | Botoşani | 1-0 | Argeş | 1 | cashpoint | 1.90 | 1.84 | 0.96 | ✓ | |
19:00 | CFR Cluj | 1-1 | FCSB | 2 | marathon | 3.44 | 3.23 | 0.58 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | Krasnodar II | 1-0 | Ufa | 2 | 1XBet | 2.47 | 2.36 | 0.73 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:00 | Al Taawon | 1-1 | Al Ittifaq | 2 | nordicbet | 4.75 | 4.39 | 0.44 | ☓ | |
20:00 | Abha | 3-2 | Al Batin | 2 | nordicbet | 4.20 | 3.91 | 0.48 | ☓ | |
20:00 | Al Feiha | 0-0 | Al Nassr | 2 | pncl | 1.33 | 1.31 | 1.66 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Moroka Swallows | 0-0 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 1 | 10bet | 6.75 | 6.14 | 0.36 | ☓ | |
16:30 | Cape Town City | 2-2 | AmaZulu | 2 | pncl | 4.39 | 4.08 | 0.47 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:00 | Rayo Vallecano | 1-2 | Atlético Madrid | 2 | Betsson | 2.05 | 1.98 | 0.88 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | Huesca | 2-1 | Burgos | 2 | pncl | 3.84 | 3.59 | 0.51 | ☓ | |
15:15 | SD Eibar | 1-1 | Levante | 2 | unibet | 3.75 | 3.51 | 0.52 | ☓ | |
17:30 | FC Cartagena | 1-0 | Mirandés | 2 | unibet | 4.70 | 4.35 | 0.44 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Häcken | 3-1 | Hammarby | 2 | tipico | 3.90 | 3.64 | 0.50 | ☓ | |
16:30 | Sirius | 0-0 | Djurgården | 1 | nitrogen sports | 4.74 | 4.39 | 0.47 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Bandırmaspor | 2-1 | Altay | 2 | marathon | 4.90 | 4.53 | 0.43 | ☓ | |
18:30 | BB Erzurumspor | 1-1 | Rizespor | 2 | 188bet | 2.02 | 1.95 | 0.88 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Sivasspor | 1-1 | İstanbul Başakşehir | 1 | marathon | 2.88 | 2.73 | 0.65 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:00 | Oleksandria | 1-1 | Chornomorets | 1 | nordicbet | 1.87 | 1.81 | 1.02 | ☓ | |
11:00 | Dnipro-1 | 5-2 | Lviv | 1 | nordicbet | 1.22 | 1.21 | 2.19 | ✓ | |
13:00 | Kolos Kovalivka | 3-0 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 2 | pncl | 4.30 | 4.00 | 0.48 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | Ajman | 4-2 | Al Wasl | 2 | nitrogen sports | 2.17 | 2.09 | 0.92 | ☓ | |
19:00 | Al Sharjah | 1-0 | Al Dhafra | 1 | pncl | 1.20 | 1.19 | 2.23 | ✓ | |
19:00 | Khorfakkan Club | 0-3 | Al Ain | 2 | nitrogen sports | 1.51 | 1.48 | 1.37 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:30 | Danubio | 0-0 | Nacional | 2 | pncl | 2.26 | 2.17 | 0.79 | ☓ | |
22:00 | Cerro Largo | 0-0 | Peñarol | 2 | betfair | 3.00 | 2.84 | 0.89 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:30 | Cincinnati | 1-0 | Philadelphia Union | 1 | 888sport | 2.32 | 2.22 | 0.92 | ✓ | |
01:30 | Chicago Fire | 2-1 | Minnesota United | 1 | pncl | 2.04 | 1.97 | 0.89 | ✓ | |
01:30 | Houston Dynamo | 3-0 | LA Galaxy | 2 | 888sport | 3.60 | 3.38 | 0.54 | ☓ |