Football Value Bets 2023-04-08
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
08/04/2023 evaluation: We are showing 72 value bet opportunities from 34 leagues with stake amount £60.56, where the result is £5.80. The average market margin of stakes worth £60.56 is -5.45. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.


































# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:30 | Talleres Córdoba | 3-0 | Barracas Central | 1 | tipico | 1.42 | 1.40 | 1.52 | ✓ | |
19:30 | Sarmiento | 2-0 | Argentinos Juniors | 2 | unibet | 2.10 | 2.02 | 0.86 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Club Brugge II | 0-1 | Lierse Kempenzonen | 2 | nitrogen sports | 3.11 | 2.94 | 0.65 | ✓ | |
19:00 | Waasland-Beveren | 4-1 | RSC Anderlecht II | 1 | nitrogen sports | 1.57 | 1.53 | 1.27 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | OH Leuven | 4-1 | Mechelen | 2 | Betsson | 3.60 | 3.38 | 0.54 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Kortrijk | 0-0 | AS Eupen | 2 | nordicbet | 3.50 | 3.29 | 0.54 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:30 | Denguélé | 1-2 | SOA | 2 | cloudbet | 2.64 | 2.51 | 0.69 | ✓ | |
16:30 | Sporting Gagnoa | 2-2 | Racing d'Abidjan | 2 | 1XBet | 3.66 | 3.43 | 0.58 | ☓ | |
18:45 | Abengourou | 1-2 | ES Bafing | 1 | tipico | 3.00 | 2.84 | 0.63 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Gorica | 2-0 | Osijek | 2 | unibet | 3.20 | 3.02 | 0.64 | ☓ | |
16:05 | Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1-2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | tipico | 6.00 | 5.49 | 0.38 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Slovácko | 0-1 | Baník Ostrava | 2 | Betsson | 4.20 | 3.91 | 0.48 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Zbrojovka Brno | 1-2 | Hradec Králové | 1 | sportingbet | 2.50 | 2.39 | 0.80 | ☓ | |
18:00 | Viktoria Plzeň | 3-2 | Jablonec | 1 | betclic | 1.64 | 1.60 | 1.23 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 | Manchester United | 2-0 | Everton | 2 | unibet | 9.50 | 8.49 | 0.29 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Brentford | 1-2 | Newcastle United | 2 | Betsson | 2.38 | 2.28 | 0.78 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | Angers SCO | 1-0 | Lille | 2 | 1XBet | 1.47 | 1.44 | 1.37 | ☓ | |
20:00 | Nice | 0-2 | Paris Saint Germain | 2 | marathon | 1.94 | 1.88 | 0.93 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Bordeaux | 2-0 | Bastia | 1 | sbo | 2.24 | 2.15 | 0.80 | ✓ | |
18:00 | Laval | 0-1 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 1 | 888sport | 2.40 | 2.30 | 0.75 | ☓ | |
18:00 | Paris | 2-4 | Saint-Étienne | 1 | betway | 3.00 | 2.84 | 0.61 | ☓ | |
18:00 | Amiens SC | 1-0 | Nîmes | 1 | nordicbet | 2.05 | 1.98 | 0.88 | ✓ | |
18:00 | Niort | 0-3 | Sochaux | 2 | 888sport | 1.90 | 1.84 | 1.06 | ✓ | |
18:00 | Pau | 1-1 | Metz | 1 | betway | 4.20 | 3.91 | 0.48 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | Hamburger SV | 6-1 | Hannover 96 | 1 | interwetten | 1.50 | 1.47 | 1.31 | ✓ | |
12:00 | Nürnberg | 1-1 | Karlsruher SC | 2 | nitrogen sports | 2.66 | 2.53 | 0.70 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:30 | Borussia Dortmund | 2-1 | FC Union Berlin | 1 | interwetten | 1.75 | 1.70 | 1.05 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:30 | OFI | 4-1 | Lamia | 2 | nordicbet | 4.20 | 3.91 | 0.49 | ☓ | |
17:30 | Asteras Tripolis | 0-1 | Levadiakos | 2 | nordicbet | 4.75 | 4.39 | 0.46 | ✓ | |
17:30 | Panaitolikos | 0-1 | Ionikos | 1 | sportingbet | 3.00 | 2.84 | 0.66 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:30 | Ashdod | 0-1 | Hapoel Katamon | 2 | pncl | 3.99 | 3.72 | 0.50 | ✓ | |
18:00 | Maccabi Haifa | 4-1 | Maccabi Netanya | 1 | marathon | 1.42 | 1.40 | 1.56 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:30 | Udinese | 2-2 | Monza | 1 | 10bet | 2.10 | 2.02 | 0.85 | ☓ | |
15:30 | Sampdoria | 2-3 | Cremonese | 1 | sportingbet | 3.40 | 3.20 | 0.71 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:00 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 5-0 | Yokohama | 1 | dafabet | 1.49 | 1.46 | 1.35 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
06:00 | Ulsan | 2-1 | Suwon Bluewings | 1 | 188bet | 1.63 | 1.59 | 1.16 | ✓ | |
11:00 | Pohang Steelers | 2-0 | Gwangju | 1 | pncl | 2.61 | 2.49 | 0.71 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04:10 | Tijuana | 1-2 | Querétaro | 1 | sportingbet | 5.50 | 5.05 | 1.05 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23:00 | FUS Rabat | 3-0 | Raja Casablanca | 1 | pncl | 3.32 | 3.13 | 0.58 | ✓ | |
23:00 | Wydad Casablanca | 1-0 | Mouloudia Oujda | 1 | 1XBet | 1.45 | 1.42 | 1.41 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:45 | Vitesse | 2-0 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | Betsson | 2.52 | 2.41 | 0.80 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:30 | Pogoń Szczecin | 3-2 | Cracovia Kraków | 1 | pncl | 1.79 | 1.74 | 1.02 | ✓ | |
19:00 | Lech Poznań | 2-0 | Warta Poznań | 1 | Betsson | 1.87 | 1.81 | 1.03 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:30 | Arouca | 1-0 | Marítimo | 2 | Betsson | 3.75 | 3.51 | 0.52 | ☓ | |
18:00 | Paços de Ferreira | 1-3 | Famalicão | 1 | pncl | 2.71 | 2.58 | 0.67 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | Voluntari | 1-1 | UTA Arad | 1 | pncl | 2.39 | 2.29 | 0.75 | ☓ | |
15:30 | Universitatea Cluj | 1-3 | U Craiova 1948 | 1 | marathon | 2.34 | 2.24 | 0.76 | ☓ | |
18:30 | SSC Farul | 3-2 | Universitatea Craiova | 2 | pncl | 4.30 | 4.00 | 0.50 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Arsenal Tula | 1-2 | Urozhay | 1 | cloudbet | 1.87 | 1.81 | 0.99 | ☓ | |
14:00 | Akron | 1-1 | Yenisey | 2 | cashpoint | 5.05 | 4.66 | 0.57 | ☓ | |
14:30 | Makhachkala | 1-0 | KAMAZ | 1 | marathon | 2.24 | 2.15 | 0.82 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | Torpedo Moskva | 2-0 | Fakel | 1 | cloudbet | 3.61 | 3.39 | 0.55 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Aberdeen | 2-0 | Kilmarnock | 2 | tipico | 5.00 | 4.61 | 0.45 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Hearts | 0-2 | St. Mirren | 2 | tipico | 4.00 | 3.73 | 0.50 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Richards Bay | 0-1 | Golden Arrows | X | 1XBet | 3.34 | 3.14 | 0.56 | ☓ | |
16:30 | Chippa United | 0-2 | Orlando Pirates | 2 | nitrogen sports | 2.32 | 2.22 | 1.01 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:30 | Real Sociedad | 2-0 | Getafe | 2 | nitrogen sports | 7.97 | 7.18 | 0.33 | ☓ | |
20:00 | Real Madrid | 2-3 | Villarreal | 1 | cashpoint | 1.54 | 1.51 | 1.25 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:00 | Racing Santander | 4-1 | Albacete | 2 | cashpoint | 2.76 | 2.62 | 0.67 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Zürich | 1-1 | Basel | 1 | sportingbet | 2.50 | 2.39 | 0.73 | ☓ | |
19:30 | Sion | 2-2 | Servette | 2 | 10bet | 2.20 | 2.11 | 0.89 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Sakaryaspor | 2-0 | Manisa BBSK | 1 | cloudbet | 2.24 | 2.15 | 0.80 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:30 | Kasımpaşa | 2-0 | Trabzonspor | 1 | 888sport | 3.10 | 2.93 | 0.62 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:00 | Dynamo Kyiv | 2-0 | Minai | 1 | 1XBet | 1.31 | 1.29 | 1.71 | ✓ | |
12:00 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1-0 | Metal Kharkiv | 1 | nitrogen sports | 1.14 | 1.13 | 2.87 | ✓ | |
13:00 | Rukh Vynnyky | 0-0 | Veres | 1 | 1XBet | 2.42 | 2.32 | 0.74 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Fénix | 0-0 | River Plate | 1 | tipico | 2.75 | 2.61 | 0.66 | ☓ | |
20:00 | Defensor Sporting | 1-1 | Cerro | 1 | pncl | 1.75 | 1.70 | 1.05 | ☓ | |
22:30 | Torque | 0-2 | Racing | 1 | betcris | 2.77 | 2.63 | 0.75 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | Hong Linh Ha Tinh | 0-0 | Da Nang | 2 | betfair | 4.50 | 4.17 | 0.45 | ☓ | |
13:15 | Công An Nhân Dân | 1-1 | Hai Phong | 1 | nordicbet | 2.05 | 1.98 | 0.91 | ☓ | |
13:15 | Ho Chi Minh City | 1-3 | Ha Noi | 2 | betregal | 1.50 | 1.47 | 1.32 | ✓ |