Football Value Bets 2023-04-07
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
07/04/2023 evaluation: We are showing 61 value bet opportunities from 27 leagues with stake amount £49.19, where the result is £-3.14. The average market margin of stakes worth £49.19 is -4.43. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.



























# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23:00 | Lanús | 3-0 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 1 | dafabet | 1.65 | 1.61 | 1.14 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:30 | WSG Tirol | 4-0 | Wolfsberger AC | 2 | pncl | 2.81 | 2.67 | 0.65 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | KRC Genk II | 0-4 | Dender | 1 | pncl | 2.16 | 2.08 | 0.85 | ☓ | |
19:00 | Standard Liège II | 1-2 | Deinze | 2 | Betsson | 2.45 | 2.34 | 0.75 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Club Brugge | 2-0 | RFC Seraing | 1 | interwetten | 1.15 | 1.14 | 3.03 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | SOL | 1-0 | Korhogo | 2 | 1XBet | 4.06 | 3.79 | 0.49 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Slaven Koprivnica | 1-1 | Varaždin | 1 | pncl | 2.61 | 2.49 | 0.69 | ☓ | |
17:10 | Hajduk Split | 2-2 | Istra 1961 | 1 | dafabet | 1.47 | 1.44 | 1.36 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:15 | Al Masry | 1-0 | Haras El Hodood | 1 | 188bet | 1.72 | 1.67 | 1.07 | ✓ | |
20:15 | Aswan | 1-1 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 2 | pncl | 3.36 | 3.16 | 0.63 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Burton Albion | 2-1 | Barnsley | 2 | 188bet | 1.98 | 1.91 | 0.91 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Exeter City | 0-1 | Bolton Wanderers | 2 | sportingbet | 2.80 | 2.66 | 0.65 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Forest Green Rovers | 0-2 | Derby County | 1 | betfair | 7.00 | 6.35 | 0.35 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Lincoln City | 2-0 | Cheltenham Town | 1 | sportingbet | 3.10 | 2.93 | 0.69 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Morecambe | 1-3 | Plymouth Argyle | 1 | 888sport | 5.75 | 5.27 | 0.40 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Carlisle United | 2-0 | Tranmere Rovers | 2 | tipico | 6.00 | 5.49 | 0.39 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Harrogate Town | 2-2 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | unibet | 5.25 | 4.83 | 0.71 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Rochdale | 4-2 | Walsall | 1 | dafabet | 3.10 | 2.93 | 0.63 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Salford City | 0-2 | Leyton Orient | 1 | 888sport | 2.40 | 2.30 | 0.77 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Aldershot Town | 1-1 | Yeovil Town | 1 | pncl | 2.05 | 1.98 | 0.88 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Barnet | 1-1 | Bromley | 1 | pncl | 2.63 | 2.51 | 0.69 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Gateshead | 2-0 | Scunthorpe United | 1 | Betsson | 1.75 | 1.70 | 1.07 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Notts County | 3-0 | Wealdstone | 1 | Betsson | 1.16 | 1.15 | 2.65 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Solihull Moors | 1-1 | Maidenhead United | 2 | pncl | 3.98 | 3.71 | 0.50 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Torquay United | 2-0 | Eastleigh | 1 | pncl | 2.78 | 2.64 | 0.66 | ✓ | |
17:00 | Boreham Wood | 0-1 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 1 | 888sport | 1.55 | 1.52 | 1.24 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Zob Ahan | 1-0 | Gol Gohar | X | 1XBet | 2.96 | 2.80 | 0.65 | ☓ | |
17:00 | Havadar | 0-1 | Paykan | 2 | cloudbet | 4.58 | 4.24 | 0.46 | ✓ | |
17:00 | Aluminium Arak | 0-1 | Esteghlal | 1 | tipico | 5.50 | 5.05 | 0.40 | ☓ | |
19:00 | Tractor Sazi | 1-0 | Sepahan | 1 | cloudbet | 4.77 | 4.41 | 0.44 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:00 | Milan | 0-0 | Empoli | 1 | sportingbet | 8.50 | 7.64 | 1.08 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23:00 | Olympic Safi | 3-2 | UTS Rabat | 2 | 888sport | 4.50 | 4.17 | 0.47 | ☓ | |
23:00 | Riadi Salmi | 2-1 | Difaâ El Jadida | X | 1XBet | 3.04 | 2.88 | 0.61 | ☓ | |
23:00 | Maghreb Fès | 0-1 | Ittihad Tanger | 2 | betclic | 5.45 | 5.01 | 0.49 | ✓ | |
23:00 | Khouribga | 1-1 | RSB Berkane | 1 | pncl | 2.81 | 2.67 | 0.67 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | Almere City | 2-1 | Jong AZ | 1 | dafabet | 1.64 | 1.60 | 1.15 | ✓ | |
19:00 | FC Dordrecht | 1-0 | Jong PSV | 2 | cloudbet | 2.08 | 2.01 | 0.86 | ☓ | |
19:00 | De Graafschap | 5-3 | Heracles Almelo | 1 | nitrogen sports | 2.89 | 2.74 | 0.64 | ✓ | |
19:00 | NAC Breda | 2-0 | FC Den Bosch | 1 | 888sport | 1.38 | 1.36 | 1.53 | ✓ | |
19:00 | Roda JC Kerkrade | 1-1 | ADO Den Haag | 1 | unibet | 5.25 | 4.83 | 0.74 | ☓ | |
19:00 | Telstar | 2-3 | Jong Ajax | 2 | titanbet | 3.95 | 3.69 | 0.50 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:30 | Santa Clara | 0-1 | Vizela | 1 | comeon | 3.75 | 3.51 | 0.52 | ☓ | |
18:00 | Benfica | 1-2 | Porto | 1 | dafabet | 2.00 | 1.93 | 0.90 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:30 | Baltika | 0-0 | Rodina Moskva | 1 | cashpoint | 1.54 | 1.51 | 1.28 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09:00 | Ural U19 | 2-0 | Rostov U19 | 2 | marathon | 1.41 | 1.39 | 1.46 | ☓ | |
10:30 | CSKA Moscow U19 | 2-2 | Dinamo Moskva U19 | 1 | marathon | 1.79 | 1.74 | 1.11 | ☓ | |
11:00 | Strogino U20 | 0-4 | Chertanovo U20 | 1 | marathonbet | 3.42 | 3.22 | 0.56 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:00 | Al Shabab | 3-0 | Al Hilal | 1 | unibet | 3.40 | 3.20 | 0.56 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:00 | Monagas | 0-0 | Boca Juniors | 1 | unibet | 7.00 | 6.35 | 0.34 | ☓ | |
01:00 | Melgar | 1-1 | Olimpia | 1 | Betsson | 2.65 | 2.52 | 0.68 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:00 | Magallanes | 2-2 | Botafogo | 1 | pncl | 4.12 | 3.84 | 0.49 | ☓ | |
01:00 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 0-2 | Deportes Tolima | 1 | 188bet | 2.95 | 2.79 | 0.63 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:30 | Lugo | 0-0 | Tenerife | 2 | Betsson | 2.05 | 1.98 | 0.91 | ☓ | |
20:00 | Villarreal II | 1-2 | Málaga | 2 | pncl | 3.77 | 3.53 | 0.52 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:30 | Göztepe | 1-0 | Samsunspor | 1 | marathon | 3.56 | 3.34 | 0.55 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:30 | Konyaspor | 1-1 | Antalyaspor | 2 | dafabet | 3.65 | 3.42 | 0.55 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | Vorskla | 1-0 | Inhulets | 2 | pncl | 3.86 | 3.61 | 0.52 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | Bani Yas | 1-2 | Al Ittihad Kalba | 1 | pncl | 2.81 | 2.67 | 0.65 | ☓ | |
19:00 | Al Jazira | 4-3 | Al Nasr | 1 | 188bet | 1.73 | 1.68 | 1.09 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23:00 | Wanderers | 0-1 | Deportivo Maldonado | 2 | pncl | 3.24 | 3.06 | 0.59 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | Song Lam Nghe An | 1-1 | Binh Duong | 1 | pncl | 2.43 | 2.32 | 0.74 | ☓ |