Football Value Bets 2023-04-02
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
02/04/2023 evaluation: We are showing 66 value bet opportunities from 32 leagues with stake amount £62.49, where the result is £1.80. The average market margin of stakes worth £62.49 is -5.62. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.
































# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23:00 | Colón | 0-0 | Atlético Tucumán | 1 | sportingbet | 3.00 | 2.84 | 0.69 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08:40 | Melbourne City W | 3-3 | Canberra United W | 1 | sbo | 1.87 | 1.81 | 0.97 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:30 | Austria Klagenfurt | 0-3 | Salzburg | 2 | 888sport | 1.33 | 1.31 | 1.82 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Lommel United | 1-2 | Excelsior Virton | 2 | unibet | 3.90 | 3.64 | 0.50 | ✓ | |
18:15 | Beerschot-Wilrijk | 1-1 | RWDM | 1 | pncl | 3.40 | 3.20 | 0.56 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 | Genk | 2-1 | OH Leuven | 1 | dafabet | 1.52 | 1.49 | 1.30 | ✓ | |
17:30 | Mechelen | 0-3 | Club Brugge | 2 | dafabet | 1.96 | 1.90 | 0.99 | ✓ | |
18:15 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 2-1 | Sint-Truiden | 1 | dafabet | 1.48 | 1.45 | 1.35 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:00 | Ferroviária W | 3-0 | Bahia W | 1 | 888sport | 1.45 | 1.42 | 1.39 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Rijeka | 1-1 | Osijek | 1 | marathon | 2.09 | 2.01 | 0.86 | ☓ | |
17:00 | Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1-1 | Varaždin | 1 | dafabet | 2.01 | 1.94 | 0.89 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Jablonec | 1-0 | Pardubice | 1 | Betsson | 1.68 | 1.64 | 1.10 | ✓ | |
18:00 | Bohemians 1905 | 1-0 | Slovácko | 1 | betclic | 2.87 | 2.72 | 0.64 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | Lyngby | 1-1 | Silkeborg | 1 | cashpoint | 2.81 | 2.67 | 0.65 | ☓ | |
17:00 | FC Copenhagen | 2-1 | Nordsjælland | 1 | marathon | 1.85 | 1.79 | 0.98 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 | Arsenal W | 2-1 | Manchester City W | 1 | 888sport | 2.25 | 2.16 | 0.79 | ✓ | |
13:00 | Everton W | 2-1 | Tottenham W | 2 | 888sport | 3.50 | 3.29 | 0.60 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Leicester W | 2-1 | Reading W | 2 | betfair | 3.00 | 2.84 | 0.62 | ☓ | |
17:00 | West Ham W | 0-0 | Liverpool W | 2 | unibet | 2.75 | 2.61 | 0.67 | ☓ | |
18:45 | Aston Villa W | 0-3 | Chelsea W | 2 | 1XBet | 1.56 | 1.53 | 1.27 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | Lille | 3-1 | Lorient | 1 | interwetten | 1.43 | 1.40 | 1.43 | ✓ | |
14:00 | Nantes | 0-3 | Reims | 2 | sportingbet | 3.25 | 3.06 | 0.74 | ✓ | |
16:05 | Monaco | 4-3 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1XBet | 1.62 | 1.58 | 1.16 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | Panathinaikos | 0-0 | Volos NFC | 1 | 1XBet | 1.24 | 1.23 | 2.01 | ☓ | |
17:30 | PAOK | 0-1 | AEK Athens | 1 | nordicbet | 2.80 | 2.66 | 0.65 | ☓ | |
19:00 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 2-2 | Aris | 1 | 188bet | 1.45 | 1.42 | 1.66 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:30 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 1-1 | Hapoel Hadera | 1 | marathon | 2.73 | 2.60 | 0.67 | ☓ | |
18:30 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 2-2 | Bnei Sakhnin | 2 | pncl | 3.91 | 3.65 | 0.50 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Roma | 3-0 | Sampdoria | 1 | 1XBet | 1.45 | 1.42 | 1.47 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08:30 | Suwon Bluewings | 1-1 | Gangwon | 1 | cloudbet | 2.40 | 2.30 | 0.74 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02:05 | América | 2-2 | León | 1 | pncl | 1.76 | 1.71 | 1.04 | ☓ | |
19:00 | Toluca | 3-2 | Tigres UANL | 1 | 888sport | 2.48 | 2.37 | 0.72 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23:00 | UTS Rabat | 1-0 | Hassania Agadir | 2 | 888sport | 3.70 | 3.47 | 0.54 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:15 | FC Den Bosch | 0-2 | Willem II | 2 | cashpoint | 1.41 | 1.39 | 1.47 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:30 | Chaves | 1-2 | Sporting Braga | 2 | 888sport | 1.65 | 1.61 | 1.15 | ✓ | |
18:00 | Rio Ave | 0-1 | Benfica | 2 | dafabet | 1.37 | 1.35 | 1.67 | ✓ | |
20:30 | Porto | 1-0 | Portimonense | 1 | dafabet | 1.18 | 1.17 | 2.38 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Al Markhiya | 0-1 | Al Gharafa | 2 | Betsson | 2.05 | 1.98 | 0.87 | ✓ | |
19:45 | Al Ahli | 0-1 | Al Shamal | 1 | pncl | 2.38 | 2.28 | 0.76 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:30 | Argeş | 0-2 | Voluntari | 2 | cloudbet | 2.52 | 2.41 | 0.71 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09:30 | Ufa | 3-0 | SKA Khabarovsk | 2 | pncl | 3.10 | 2.93 | 0.61 | ☓ | |
11:00 | Yenisey | 0-0 | Krasnodar II | X | pncl | 5.64 | 5.17 | 0.40 | ✓ | |
13:00 | Rubin Kazan' | 1-1 | Veles | 1 | marathon | 1.35 | 1.33 | 1.60 | ☓ | |
13:00 | Makhachkala | 0-0 | Baltika | 2 | dafabet | 2.19 | 2.11 | 0.82 | ☓ | |
14:00 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 0-3 | Volgar Astrakhan | 1 | dafabet | 2.50 | 2.39 | 0.74 | ☓ | |
15:00 | KAMAZ | 1-0 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz | 1 | pncl | 3.38 | 3.18 | 0.56 | ✓ | |
15:30 | Neftekhimik | 1-0 | Arsenal Tula | 1 | dafabet | 3.10 | 2.93 | 0.66 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Rostov | 2-1 | Torpedo Moskva | 1 | 1XBet | 1.59 | 1.55 | 1.27 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Golden Arrows | 0-0 | Sekhukhune United | 2 | 888sport | 3.40 | 3.20 | 0.56 | ☓ | |
16:30 | TS Galaxy | 1-2 | Maritzburg United | 2 | 888sport | 4.10 | 3.82 | 0.52 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | Celta de Vigo | 2-2 | Almería | 1 | Betsson | 1.60 | 1.56 | 1.21 | ☓ | |
17:30 | Villarreal | 2-0 | Real Sociedad | 1 | comeon | 2.85 | 2.70 | 0.64 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | Huesca | 0-1 | Deportivo Alavés | 2 | cashpoint | 2.28 | 2.19 | 0.78 | ✓ | |
17:30 | Sporting Gijón | 1-0 | Granada | 2 | sportingbet | 3.10 | 2.93 | 0.69 | ☓ | |
20:00 | Mirandés | 2-2 | UD Ibiza | 1 | 888sport | 2.23 | 2.14 | 0.83 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:15 | Grasshopper | 2-1 | Lugano | 1 | pncl | 3.08 | 2.91 | 0.60 | ✓ | |
15:30 | Luzern | 1-2 | Sion | 1 | 10bet | 1.68 | 1.64 | 1.10 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:30 | Keçiörengücü | 0-1 | Tuzlaspor | 1 | pncl | 2.01 | 1.94 | 0.90 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:30 | Ümraniyespor | 2-2 | Konyaspor | 1 | 888sport | 2.95 | 2.79 | 0.66 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 0-3 | Dnipro-1 | 2 | pncl | 1.51 | 1.48 | 1.40 | ✓ | |
13:00 | Zorya | 3-0 | Rukh Vynnyky | 2 | pncl | 6.57 | 5.98 | 0.37 | ☓ | |
13:00 | Chornomorets | 2-2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | Betsson | 1.38 | 1.36 | 1.65 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | Dibba Al Fujairah | 1-0 | Khorfakkan Club | 1 | pncl | 3.59 | 3.37 | 0.54 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:30 | New England | 1-1 | New York City | 2 | cashpoint | 3.30 | 3.11 | 0.57 | ☓ | |
01:30 | Chicago Fire | 0-0 | DC United | 1 | 188bet | 1.92 | 1.86 | 0.94 | ☓ | |
01:30 | Saint Louis City | 0-1 | Minnesota United | 1 | sportingbet | 4.20 | 3.91 | 0.89 | ☓ |