Football Value Bets 2023-04-01
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
01/04/2023 evaluation: We are showing 82 value bet opportunities from 38 leagues with stake amount £73.05, where the result is £16.54. The average market margin of stakes worth £73.05 is -6.57. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.






































# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:00 | Al Ahly | 3-0 | Al Hilal Omdurman | 1 | interwetten | 1.25 | 1.24 | 1.96 | ✓ | |
20:00 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 2-1 | Cotonsport | 1 | marathon | 1.28 | 1.26 | 1.94 | ✓ | |
23:00 | Wydad Casablanca | 3-0 | JS Kabylie | 1 | Betsson | 1.42 | 1.40 | 1.47 | ✓ | |
23:00 | ES Tunis | 0-0 | CR Belouizdad | 2 | nordicbet | 4.33 | 4.02 | 0.48 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:30 | River Plate | 1-0 | Unión Santa Fe | 1 | dafabet | 1.45 | 1.42 | 1.39 | ✓ | |
23:00 | San Lorenzo | 0-0 | Independiente | X | dafabet | 3.20 | 3.02 | 0.59 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
07:00 | Central Coast Mariners | 4-1 | Brisbane Roar | 1 | dafabet | 1.89 | 1.83 | 0.98 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:15 | Wellington Phoenix W | 2-2 | Melbourne Victory W | 2 | Betsson | 2.30 | 2.21 | 0.89 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:15 | RFC Seraing | 0-5 | Gent | 2 | dafabet | 1.39 | 1.37 | 1.50 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Grêmio W | 1-0 | Santos W | 1 | unibet | 5.50 | 5.05 | 0.41 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | Gorica | 1-1 | Dinamo Zagreb | 2 | betregal | 1.60 | 1.56 | 1.19 | ☓ | |
18:10 | Šibenik | 2-3 | Hajduk Split | 2 | pncl | 1.79 | 1.74 | 1.02 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Zlín | 5-1 | České Budějovice | 1 | sbo | 2.49 | 2.38 | 0.73 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Baník Ostrava | 0-0 | Slovan Liberec | 2 | pncl | 3.95 | 3.69 | 0.51 | ☓ | |
18:00 | Slavia Praha | 4-0 | Sigma Olomouc | 1 | dafabet | 1.26 | 1.25 | 1.90 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:30 | Vejle | 1-2 | SønderjyskE | 1 | 188bet | 1.85 | 1.79 | 0.98 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Charlton Athletic | 6-0 | Shrewsbury Town | 1 | 888sport | 2.43 | 2.32 | 0.74 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Derby County | 0-2 | Ipswich Town | 2 | unibet | 2.25 | 2.16 | 0.79 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Fleetwood Town | 2-2 | Exeter City | 2 | pncl | 3.12 | 2.95 | 0.65 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Peterborough United | 0-0 | Oxford United | 2 | pncl | 4.89 | 4.52 | 0.43 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Port Vale | 0-2 | Cambridge United | 1 | dafabet | 2.06 | 1.99 | 0.87 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Portsmouth | 1-0 | Forest Green Rovers | 1 | marathon | 1.60 | 1.56 | 1.21 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Wycombe Wanderers | 2-2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 2 | betfair | 4.60 | 4.26 | 0.46 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | AFC Wimbledon | 0-1 | Rochdale | 2 | pncl | 4.12 | 3.84 | 0.52 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Bromley | 4-0 | Solihull Moors | 1 | pncl | 2.61 | 2.49 | 0.70 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Maidenhead United | 0-0 | Chesterfield | 2 | marathon | 1.82 | 1.77 | 1.06 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Scunthorpe United | 0-1 | Torquay United | 2 | pncl | 4.03 | 3.76 | 0.50 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Wrexham | 5-1 | Oldham Athletic | X | betfair | 7.50 | 6.78 | 0.33 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 | Manchester City | 4-1 | Liverpool | 1 | marathon | 1.69 | 1.65 | 1.10 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:30 | Brighton W | 0-4 | Manchester United W | 2 | 888sport | 1.20 | 1.19 | 2.27 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Saint-Étienne | 2-0 | Niort | 1 | nordicbet | 1.42 | 1.40 | 1.57 | ✓ | |
18:00 | Metz | 1-0 | Laval | 1 | 888sport | 1.65 | 1.61 | 1.14 | ✓ | |
18:00 | Rodez | 1-0 | Quevilly Rouen | 1 | 888sport | 3.15 | 2.97 | 0.59 | ✓ | |
18:00 | Bastia | 3-2 | Sochaux | 1 | 888sport | 2.55 | 2.43 | 0.73 | ✓ | |
18:00 | Nîmes | 4-0 | Annecy | 1 | 188bet | 2.39 | 2.29 | 0.75 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:30 | Panaitolikos | 1-3 | Lamia | 1 | pncl | 2.64 | 2.51 | 0.69 | ☓ | |
17:30 | PAS Giannina | 0-1 | OFI | 1 | nordicbet | 2.55 | 2.43 | 0.73 | ☓ | |
19:00 | Ionikos | 1-0 | Asteras Tripolis | 1 | marathon | 2.15 | 2.07 | 0.84 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 2-1 | Sektzia Nes Tziona | 1 | cashpoint | 1.73 | 1.68 | 1.06 | ✓ | |
16:30 | Hapoel Katamon | 0-2 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2 | dafabet | 1.49 | 1.46 | 1.34 | ✓ | |
18:00 | Ashdod | 3-2 | Maccabi Netanya | 1 | cloudbet | 2.34 | 2.24 | 0.76 | ✓ | |
18:00 | Maccabi Haifa | 1-0 | Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 2 | pncl | 4.61 | 4.27 | 0.45 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Juventus | 1-0 | Hellas Verona | X | nordicbet | 4.50 | 4.17 | 0.46 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | Parma | 2-1 | Palermo | 1 | 10bet | 1.80 | 1.75 | 1.02 | ✓ | |
15:15 | Perugia | 1-1 | Frosinone | 2 | pncl | 2.52 | 2.41 | 0.71 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
06:00 | Kyoto Sanga | 0-3 | Vissel Kobe | 2 | 188bet | 2.19 | 2.11 | 0.83 | ✓ | |
07:00 | Kashima Antlers | 1-2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1 | tipico | 2.90 | 2.75 | 0.64 | ☓ | |
07:00 | Shonan Bellmare | 4-1 | Gamba Osaka | 2 | tipico | 4.30 | 4.00 | 0.47 | ☓ | |
07:00 | Sagan Tosu | 1-0 | Tokyo | 2 | 888sport | 2.30 | 2.21 | 0.85 | ☓ | |
11:00 | Consadole Sapporo | 3-4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 1 | 10bet | 2.90 | 2.75 | 0.66 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08:30 | Incheon United | 0-0 | Daegu | 2 | pncl | 3.57 | 3.35 | 0.54 | ☓ | |
11:00 | Daejeon Citizen | 3-2 | Seoul | 2 | pncl | 2.64 | 2.51 | 0.69 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04:00 | Juárez | 0-2 | Puebla | 1 | 888sport | 1.93 | 1.87 | 0.97 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:45 | Excelsior | 0-0 | FC Twente | 2 | dafabet | 1.60 | 1.56 | 1.24 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Korona Kielce | 1-0 | Miedź Legnica | 1 | dafabet | 2.21 | 2.12 | 0.83 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Al Sailiya | 1-3 | Al Duhail | 2 | nordicbet | 1.30 | 1.28 | 1.81 | ✓ | |
19:45 | Al Sadd | 4-2 | Al Wakrah | 2 | sbo | 3.55 | 3.33 | 0.56 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Rapid Bucuresti | 1-1 | SSC Farul | 1 | marathon | 2.43 | 2.32 | 0.74 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:00 | Al Hilal | 2-0 | Al Khaleej | 1 | Bwin sports | 1.18 | 1.17 | 2.48 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Kilmarnock | 2-1 | Hearts | 1 | 888sport | 2.95 | 2.79 | 0.62 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Richards Bay | 0-2 | Orlando Pirates | 2 | nordicbet | 2.25 | 2.16 | 0.82 | ✓ | |
16:30 | Chippa United | 1-1 | SuperSport United | 2 | sportingbet | 2.50 | 2.39 | 0.85 | ☓ | |
16:30 | Kaizer Chiefs | 2-1 | Stellenbosch | 2 | pncl | 4.28 | 3.98 | 0.50 | ☓ | |
19:00 | AmaZulu | 0-1 | Moroka Swallows | 1 | pncl | 2.30 | 2.21 | 0.79 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | Girona | 2-1 | Espanyol | 1 | 10bet | 2.00 | 1.93 | 0.90 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:30 | Leganés | 1-3 | FC Cartagena | X | unibet | 3.35 | 3.15 | 0.57 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Servette | 2-1 | Young Boys | 1 | tipico | 4.10 | 3.82 | 0.49 | ✓ | |
19:30 | Basel | 2-0 | Winterthur | 1 | pncl | 1.56 | 1.53 | 1.24 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:30 | Denizlispor | 0-2 | Göztepe | 1 | betvictor | 3.90 | 3.64 | 0.50 | ☓ | |
18:30 | Samsunspor | 4-2 | Pendikspor | 2 | tipico | 4.50 | 4.17 | 0.46 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | İstanbul Başakşehir | 1-0 | Ankaragücü | 1 | betfair | 1.87 | 1.81 | 0.96 | ✓ | |
18:30 | Galatasaray | 2-0 | Adana Demirspor | 1 | 888sport | 1.44 | 1.41 | 1.40 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10:00 | Minai | 1-2 | Inhulets | 2 | pncl | 2.85 | 2.70 | 0.64 | ✓ | |
11:00 | Metal Kharkiv | 0-0 | Kolos Kovalivka | 1 | pncl | 3.32 | 3.13 | 0.57 | ☓ | |
12:00 | Veres | 1-2 | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | 1 | 888sport | 2.65 | 2.52 | 0.68 | ☓ | |
13:00 | Oleksandria | 3-0 | Vorskla | 1 | 1XBet | 2.32 | 2.22 | 0.77 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | Al Ain | 1-1 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 2 | pncl | 4.07 | 3.79 | 0.49 | ☓ | |
19:00 | Al Wasl | 1-2 | Al Jazira | 2 | pncl | 2.78 | 2.64 | 0.66 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:00 | Peñarol | 2-0 | Nacional | 1 | pncl | 2.68 | 2.55 | 0.67 | ✓ | |
23:00 | Deportivo Maldonado | 2-0 | Fénix | 2 | tipico | 3.50 | 3.29 | 0.56 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | SalPa | 3-0 | Tampere United | 1 | cashpoint | 1.40 | 1.38 | 1.49 | ✓ | |
13:00 | Strømsgodset II | 3-7 | Notodden | 1 | betcris | 2.57 | 2.45 | 0.70 | ☓ |