Football Value Bets 2023-03-28
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
28/03/2023 evaluation: We are showing 39 value bet opportunities from 8 leagues with stake amount £36.55, where the result is £-2.63. The average market margin of stakes worth £36.55 is -3.29. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Swaziland | 0-1 | Cape Verde Islands | 2 | 888sport | 1.80 | 1.75 | 1.01 | ✓ | |
17:00 | Gambia | 1-0 | Mali | 2 | dafabet | 1.77 | 1.72 | 1.03 | ☓ | |
17:00 | Liberia | 1-2 | South Africa | 1 | 888sport | 4.00 | 3.73 | 0.49 | ☓ | |
18:00 | Tanzania | 0-1 | Uganda | 2 | marathon | 4.15 | 3.86 | 0.48 | ✓ | |
20:00 | Togo | 1-1 | Burkina Faso | 1 | Betsson | 3.00 | 2.84 | 0.61 | ☓ | |
20:00 | Comoros | 0-2 | Côte d'Ivoire | 2 | pncl | 1.64 | 1.60 | 1.15 | ✓ | |
21:00 | Libya | 0-1 | Tunisia | 2 | 1XBet | 1.63 | 1.59 | 1.16 | ✓ | |
23:00 | Mauritania | 1-1 | Congo DR | 1 | pncl | 2.71 | 2.58 | 0.69 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09:00 | Adelaide United W | 1-3 | Wellington Phoenix W | 1 | pncl | 1.64 | 1.60 | 1.14 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Exeter City | 3-1 | Barnsley | 2 | unibet | 2.85 | 2.70 | 0.65 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Crawley Town | 1-1 | Grimsby Town | 1 | betcris | 3.05 | 2.88 | 0.62 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Boreham Wood | 0-1 | Torquay United | 1 | 1XBet | 1.64 | 1.60 | 1.15 | ☓ | |
19:45 | York City | 0-0 | Scunthorpe United | 1 | sbo | 2.39 | 2.29 | 0.75 | ☓ | |
19:45 | Altrincham | 0-2 | Notts County | 2 | interwetten | 1.43 | 1.40 | 1.44 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Georgia | 1-1 | Norway | 2 | pncl | 2.23 | 2.14 | 0.80 | ☓ | |
19:45 | Turkey | 0-2 | Croatia | 2 | sbo | 2.44 | 2.33 | 0.74 | ✓ | |
19:45 | Wales | 1-0 | Latvia | 1 | 1XBet | 1.26 | 1.25 | 1.91 | ✓ | |
19:45 | Switzerland | 3-0 | Israel | 1 | comeon | 1.41 | 1.39 | 1.47 | ✓ | |
19:45 | Romania | 2-1 | Belarus | 1 | 888sport | 1.45 | 1.42 | 1.40 | ✓ | |
19:45 | Kosovo | 1-1 | Andorra | 1 | interwetten | 1.25 | 1.24 | 1.96 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 | Boluspor | 1-5 | Samsunspor | 2 | nordicbet | 2.00 | 1.93 | 0.91 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Altınordu | 5-2 | Denizlispor | 1 | betcris | 2.10 | 2.02 | 0.85 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Pendikspor | 2-1 | Keçiörengücü | 2 | betfair | 4.50 | 4.17 | 0.45 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:30 | Chile | 3-2 | Paraguay | 2 | 1XBet | 5.64 | 5.17 | 0.40 | ☓ | |
09:30 | Australia | 1-2 | Ecuador | 1 | pncl | 2.59 | 2.47 | 0.70 | ☓ | |
10:45 | Bangladesh | 0-1 | Seychelles | 2 | pncl | 5.13 | 4.73 | 0.42 | ✓ | |
11:20 | Japan | 1-2 | Colombia | 2 | dafabet | 3.85 | 3.60 | 0.54 | ✓ | |
12:00 | Korea Republic | 1-2 | Uruguay | 1 | cloudbet | 2.41 | 2.31 | 0.74 | ☓ | |
13:30 | India | NS | Kyrgyz Republic | 2 | betfair | 3.25 | 3.06 | 0.58 | ||
14:30 | Indonesia | 2-2 | Burundi | 1 | 1XBet | 1.84 | 1.78 | 1.00 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Malaysia | 2-0 | Hong Kong | 1 | marathonbet | 1.51 | 1.48 | 1.31 | ✓ | |
16:00 | Armenia | 2-2 | Cyprus | 1 | nitrogen sports | 1.93 | 1.87 | 0.94 | ☓ | |
18:00 | Iran | 2-1 | Kenya | 1 | 1XBet | 1.23 | 1.22 | 2.05 | ✓ | |
19:00 | Uzbekistan | 1-1 | Venezuela | 2 | nitrogen sports | 2.23 | 2.14 | 0.84 | ☓ | |
19:00 | United Arab Emirates | 2-0 | Thailand | 1 | marathon | 2.07 | 2.00 | 0.88 | ✓ | |
19:45 | Germany | 2-3 | Belgium | 1 | interwetten | 1.90 | 1.84 | 0.96 | ☓ | |
20:00 | Kuwait | 2-1 | Tajikistan | 1 | pncl | 2.02 | 1.95 | 0.89 | ✓ | |
20:00 | Saudi Arabia | 1-2 | Bolivia | 1 | pncl | 1.64 | 1.60 | 1.16 | ☓ | |
20:30 | Morocco | 0-0 | Peru | 1 | Betsson | 2.10 | 2.02 | 0.86 | ☓ |