Football Value Bets 2023-03-25
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
25/03/2023 evaluation: We are showing 56 value bet opportunities from 14 leagues with stake amount £55.35, where the result is £-3.41. The average market margin of stakes worth £55.35 is -4.98. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04:00 | Newcastle Jets W | 3-2 | Wellington Phoenix W | X | pncl | 3.99 | 3.72 | 0.50 | ☓ | |
04:00 | Sydney W | 3-0 | Adelaide United W | X | pncl | 6.54 | 5.95 | 0.38 | ☓ | |
04:00 | Western United W | 0-3 | Canberra United W | 1 | 1XBet | 1.70 | 1.66 | 1.09 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
21:00 | Bahia W | 3-2 | Grêmio W | 2 | 1XBet | 2.01 | 1.94 | 0.91 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Portsmouth | 2-2 | Port Vale | 1 | pncl | 2.31 | 2.22 | 0.78 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Barrow | 2-1 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | tipico | 1.95 | 1.89 | 0.95 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Colchester United | 1-1 | Tranmere Rovers | 1 | tipico | 2.50 | 2.39 | 0.74 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Crawley Town | 2-0 | Rochdale | 2 | pncl | 3.57 | 3.35 | 0.54 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Doncaster Rovers | 0-2 | Northampton Town | 2 | Betsson | 2.70 | 2.57 | 0.77 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Gillingham | 1-0 | Carlisle United | 1 | 888sport | 3.10 | 2.93 | 0.61 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Grimsby Town | 1-1 | Walsall | 1 | comeon | 2.45 | 2.34 | 0.76 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Hartlepool United | 1-1 | Leyton Orient | 2 | dafabet | 2.07 | 2.00 | 0.87 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Mansfield Town | 0-0 | Sutton United | 1 | ladbrokes | 2.45 | 2.34 | 0.73 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Altrincham | 1-0 | Southend United | 2 | sbo | 2.72 | 2.59 | 0.69 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Boreham Wood | 0-0 | Eastleigh | 2 | pncl | 4.49 | 4.17 | 0.46 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Chesterfield | 2-0 | Halifax Town | 1 | comeon | 1.51 | 1.48 | 1.32 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Dorking Wanderers | 3-1 | Maidenhead United | 2 | Betsson | 2.50 | 2.39 | 0.73 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Oldham Athletic | 1-1 | Solihull Moors | 1 | pncl | 2.65 | 2.52 | 0.68 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Yeovil Town | 0-1 | Bromley | 2 | 888sport | 2.45 | 2.34 | 0.75 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Tottenham W | 1-5 | Arsenal W | 2 | nitrogen sports | 1.30 | 1.28 | 1.80 | ✓ | |
17:30 | Manchester United W | 4-0 | West Ham W | 1 | sbo | 1.10 | 1.09 | 3.61 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Scotland | 3-0 | Cyprus | 1 | betfair | 1.25 | 1.24 | 2.10 | ✓ | |
17:00 | Belarus | 0-5 | Switzerland | 2 | tipico | 1.22 | 1.21 | 2.10 | ✓ | |
17:00 | Israel | 1-1 | Kosovo | 1 | betcris | 2.10 | 2.02 | 0.85 | ☓ | |
19:45 | Spain | 3-0 | Norway | 1 | Betsson | 1.44 | 1.41 | 1.45 | ✓ | |
19:45 | Croatia | 1-1 | Wales | 1 | marathon | 1.52 | 1.49 | 1.39 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10:00 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz | 0-0 | Rubin Kazan' | 2 | pncl | 2.65 | 2.52 | 0.69 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:15 | UD Ibiza | 2-0 | Burgos | 1 | cloudbet | 3.02 | 2.86 | 0.62 | ✓ | |
15:15 | Racing Santander | 0-1 | Levante | 1 | pncl | 3.72 | 3.48 | 0.52 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10:30 | Keçiörengücü | 2-2 | Gençlerbirliği | 2 | pncl | 4.32 | 4.02 | 0.47 | ☓ | |
13:00 | Altay | 1-3 | Manisa BBSK | 1 | cloudbet | 3.82 | 3.57 | 0.52 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:15 | Defensor Sporting | 4-0 | Plaza Colonia | 1 | dafabet | 1.78 | 1.73 | 1.08 | ✓ | |
13:00 | Danubio | 4-0 | Deportivo Maldonado | 1 | 888sport | 2.32 | 2.22 | 0.77 | ✓ | |
19:00 | Liverpool | 1-0 | Peñarol | 2 | pncl | 2.23 | 2.14 | 0.80 | ☓ | |
21:15 | Wanderers | 3-0 | Cerro | 1 | pncl | 2.21 | 2.12 | 0.81 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:30 | Portland Timbers | 0-0 | LA Galaxy | 1 | cloudbet | 2.53 | 2.42 | 0.71 | ☓ | |
23:30 | Charlotte | 1-1 | New York RB | 1 | tipico | 3.40 | 3.20 | 0.57 | ☓ | |
23:30 | Columbus Crew | 6-1 | Atlanta United | 2 | Betsson | 3.25 | 3.06 | 0.62 | ☓ | |
23:30 | DC United | 1-2 | New England | 2 | pncl | 3.33 | 3.14 | 0.56 | ✓ | |
23:30 | Philadelphia Union | 1-2 | Orlando City | 1 | pncl | 1.78 | 1.73 | 1.02 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10:00 | Partizan | 0-2 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 2 | marathonbet | 3.64 | 3.41 | 0.55 | ✓ | |
11:00 | Strømmen | 1-0 | Kvik Halden | 2 | unibet | 2.45 | 2.34 | 0.75 | ☓ | |
13:00 | Aalesund | 0-3 | Molde | 2 | marathonbet | 1.55 | 1.52 | 1.37 | ✓ | |
14:00 | Egersund | 3-0 | Brodd | 1 | tipico | 1.28 | 1.26 | 1.86 | ✓ | |
14:00 | Flekkerøy | 0-3 | Notodden | 1 | pncl | 1.67 | 1.63 | 1.11 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Strømsgodset | 4-0 | Mjøndalen | 1 | pncl | 1.57 | 1.53 | 1.23 | ✓ | |
16:00 | Sandnes Ulf | 2-1 | Start | 2 | unibet | 2.40 | 2.30 | 0.76 | ☓ | |
23:00 | River Plate | 4-3 | Universidad Chile | X | nitrogen sports | 4.16 | 3.87 | 0.49 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09:45 | Bangladesh | 1-0 | Seychelles | 1 | Bwin sports | 2.30 | 2.21 | 0.85 | ✓ | |
12:30 | Myanmar | 1-1 | Kyrgyz Republic | 2 | cashpoint | 1.38 | 1.36 | 1.58 | ☓ | |
13:30 | Indonesia | 3-1 | Burundi | 1 | betcris | 2.55 | 2.43 | 0.72 | ✓ | |
14:00 | Georgia | 6-1 | Mongolia | 1 | ladbrokes | 1.10 | 1.09 | 4.87 | ✓ | |
18:00 | Syria | 3-1 | Thailand | 2 | pncl | 3.82 | 3.57 | 0.52 | ☓ | |
18:00 | United Arab Emirates | 0-0 | Tajikistan | 2 | marathon | 7.90 | 7.12 | 0.34 | ☓ | |
18:30 | Bahrain | 1-2 | Palestine | 2 | cloudbet | 3.42 | 3.22 | 0.55 | ✓ | |
22:00 | Morocco | 2-1 | Brazil | X | Betsson | 4.20 | 3.91 | 0.48 | ☓ |