Football Value Bets 2023-03-19
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
19/03/2023 evaluation: We are showing 48 value bet opportunities from 27 leagues with stake amount £38.49, where the result is £1.74. The average market margin of stakes worth £38.49 is -3.46. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.



























# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08:00 | Western Sydney Wanderers W | 3-1 | Brisbane Roar W | 1 | 1XBet | 2.28 | 2.19 | 0.79 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | WSG Tirol | 0-2 | Sturm Graz | 2 | 188bet | 1.66 | 1.62 | 1.19 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Club Brugge II | 2-1 | Beerschot-Wilrijk | 2 | 888sport | 1.98 | 1.91 | 0.97 | ☓ | |
18:15 | Standard Liège II | 1-1 | Dender | 2 | pncl | 2.89 | 2.74 | 0.63 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:30 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 2-1 | Mechelen | 2 | betfair | 10.00 | 8.91 | 0.29 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | São Paulo W | 1-1 | Internacional RS W | 1 | cloudbet | 2.19 | 2.11 | 0.82 | ☓ | |
20:00 | Cruzeiro W | 3-1 | Kindermann-Avaí W | 2 | pncl | 10.26 | 9.13 | 0.30 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10:00 | Botev Vratsa | 0-0 | OFK Pirin | 1 | pncl | 2.37 | 2.27 | 0.76 | ☓ | |
12:30 | Arda | 0-3 | Levski Sofia | 1 | nitrogen sports | 4.46 | 4.14 | 0.46 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Botev Plovdiv | 1-1 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 2 | pncl | 3.38 | 3.18 | 0.56 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:30 | Racing d'Abidjan | 1-1 | Lys Sassandra | X | pncl | 3.27 | 3.08 | 0.57 | ✓ | |
18:00 | AFAD | 1-0 | Sporting Gagnoa | 1 | betclic | 2.85 | 2.70 | 0.67 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Istra 1961 | 0-0 | Lokomotiva Zagreb | 2 | Betsson | 3.20 | 3.02 | 0.61 | ☓ | |
16:30 | Dinamo Zagreb | 1-0 | Rijeka | 1 | 188bet | 1.39 | 1.37 | 1.52 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Pardubice | 3-1 | Teplice | 2 | cloudbet | 4.14 | 3.86 | 0.48 | ☓ | |
17:00 | Viktoria Plzeň | 1-2 | Bohemians 1905 | 2 | marathonbet | 8.00 | 7.21 | 0.32 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | FC Copenhagen | 2-1 | Viborg | 1 | marathon | 1.47 | 1.44 | 1.40 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Arsenal | 4-1 | Crystal Palace | 1 | comeon | 1.31 | 1.29 | 1.72 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:05 | Paris Saint Germain | 0-2 | Rennes | 1 | pncl | 1.57 | 1.53 | 1.23 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Aris | 1-2 | PAOK | 1 | cashpoint | 3.15 | 2.97 | 0.59 | ☓ | |
19:30 | AEK Athens | 0-0 | Panathinaikos | 2 | cloudbet | 5.31 | 4.88 | 0.41 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Bnei Sakhnin | 2-2 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 2 | pncl | 4.25 | 3.95 | 0.48 | ☓ | |
18:15 | Hapoel Haifa | 1-1 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 1 | pncl | 2.54 | 2.42 | 0.71 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Torino | 0-4 | Napoli | 1 | titanbet | 5.75 | 5.27 | 0.39 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05:00 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1-0 | Kashiwa Reysol | 1 | 888sport | 1.70 | 1.66 | 1.11 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05:00 | Daegu | 2-0 | Jeonbuk Motors | 2 | marathon | 2.16 | 2.08 | 0.82 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:05 | Tigres UANL | 0-1 | Monterrey | 1 | pncl | 2.48 | 2.37 | 0.72 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | FC Twente | 2-1 | AZ | 1 | Betsson | 2.45 | 2.34 | 0.75 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | CFR Cluj | 2-2 | Rapid Bucuresti | 1 | sportingbet | 5.25 | 4.83 | 0.92 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09:00 | Ufa | 1-2 | Shinnik | 2 | pncl | 3.85 | 3.60 | 0.52 | ✓ | |
13:00 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 2-1 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz | 2 | pncl | 2.08 | 2.01 | 0.87 | ☓ | |
13:00 | Makhachkala | 1-0 | Krasnodar II | 1 | 188bet | 1.79 | 1.74 | 1.04 | ✓ | |
14:30 | Neftekhimik | 1-1 | Volgar Astrakhan | 2 | cloudbet | 4.10 | 3.82 | 0.49 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Baltika | 1-1 | Akron | 1 | 188bet | 1.70 | 1.66 | 1.09 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:15 | Real Sociedad | 2-0 | Elche | 1 | 1XBet | 1.45 | 1.42 | 1.39 | ✓ | |
20:00 | FC Barcelona | 2-1 | Real Madrid | 1 | cashpoint | 2.25 | 2.16 | 0.79 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:30 | Lugano | 1-1 | Servette | 1 | 888sport | 2.38 | 2.28 | 0.75 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10:30 | Manisa BBSK | 0-1 | Eyüpspor | 1 | cashpoint | 3.67 | 3.44 | 0.53 | ☓ | |
13:00 | Boluspor | 3-1 | Keçiörengücü | 1 | pncl | 2.83 | 2.69 | 0.65 | ✓ | |
16:00 | Pendikspor | 2-1 | Denizlispor | 1 | sbo | 1.46 | 1.43 | 1.40 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:00 | Inhulets | 1-2 | Chornomorets | 1 | 1XBet | 2.50 | 2.39 | 0.72 | ☓ | |
12:00 | Kolos Kovalivka | 0-1 | Minai | 1 | 1XBet | 2.22 | 2.13 | 0.80 | ☓ | |
13:00 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2-0 | Rukh Vynnyky | 1 | 1XBet | 1.23 | 1.22 | 2.05 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:45 | Cerro Largo | 0-3 | Defensor Sporting | 2 | pncl | 2.70 | 2.57 | 0.67 | ✓ | |
19:30 | Boston River | 3-3 | Danubio | 2 | pncl | 2.86 | 2.71 | 0.64 | ☓ | |
23:30 | Racing | 1-1 | Wanderers | 2 | pncl | 2.69 | 2.56 | 0.67 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:30 | Houston Dynamo | 2-0 | Austin | 1 | pncl | 2.47 | 2.36 | 0.73 | ✓ | |
01:30 | Colorado Rapids | 1-2 | Minnesota United | 2 | betfair | 4.60 | 4.26 | 0.50 | ✓ |