Football Value Bets 2023-03-18
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
18/03/2023 evaluation: We are showing 101 value bet opportunities from 38 leagues with stake amount £81.09, where the result is £5.25. The average market margin of stakes worth £81.09 is -7.30. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.






































# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | Vita Club | 0-0 | Wydad Casablanca | 2 | pncl | 1.99 | 1.92 | 0.91 | ☓ | |
13:00 | Al Hilal Omdurman | 1-1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 2 | cashpoint | 3.39 | 3.19 | 0.56 | ☓ | |
16:00 | Vipers | 1-1 | Raja Casablanca | 2 | pncl | 1.85 | 1.79 | 1.09 | ☓ | |
16:00 | Simba | 7-0 | Horoya | 2 | pncl | 7.34 | 6.64 | 0.34 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:00 | Unión Santa Fe | 1-3 | Racing Club | 1 | dafabet | 3.10 | 2.93 | 0.60 | ☓ | |
22:00 | Platense | 1-0 | Defensa y Justicia | 1 | sportingbet | 3.50 | 3.29 | 0.57 | ✓ | |
22:00 | Independiente | 2-2 | Colón | 2 | 888sport | 4.15 | 3.86 | 0.48 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02:00 | Melbourne City W | 1-1 | Sydney W | X | pncl | 4.01 | 3.74 | 0.49 | ✓ | |
04:00 | Canberra United W | 1-1 | Melbourne Victory W | 1 | pncl | 2.71 | 2.58 | 0.68 | ☓ | |
04:00 | Wellington Phoenix W | 0-1 | Perth Glory W | X | cloudbet | 3.80 | 3.55 | 0.51 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Deinze | 1-1 | Lommel United | 2 | pncl | 3.34 | 3.14 | 0.56 | ☓ | |
19:00 | RSC Anderlecht II | 0-4 | RWDM | 2 | pncl | 2.23 | 2.14 | 0.80 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:15 | KV Oostende | 1-2 | Westerlo | 2 | sportingbet | 2.90 | 2.75 | 0.69 | ✓ | |
19:45 | Standard Liège | 2-2 | Zulte-Waregem | 1 | cashpoint | 1.72 | 1.67 | 1.07 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:45 | San-Pedro | 3-1 | Abengourou | 1 | betclic | 2.14 | 2.06 | 0.83 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | České Budějovice | 2-1 | Baník Ostrava | 1 | cloudbet | 3.15 | 2.97 | 0.61 | ✓ | |
14:00 | Hradec Králové | 0-2 | Sparta Praha | 2 | Betsson | 1.53 | 1.50 | 1.27 | ✓ | |
14:00 | Sigma Olomouc | 2-0 | Mladá Boleslav | 1 | Betsson | 2.20 | 2.11 | 0.81 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | HB Køge | 0-1 | Hillerød | 2 | cashpoint | 3.15 | 2.97 | 0.61 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | Lincoln City | 0-3 | Peterborough United | 2 | sbo | 2.48 | 2.37 | 0.72 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Bristol Rovers | 0-2 | Portsmouth | 1 | unibet | 3.15 | 2.97 | 0.60 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Morecambe | 1-1 | Oxford United | 2 | pncl | 2.15 | 2.07 | 0.83 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Port Vale | 2-3 | Burton Albion | 1 | Betsson | 2.00 | 1.93 | 0.90 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Wycombe Wanderers | 0-1 | Barnsley | 2 | ladbrokes | 3.10 | 2.93 | 0.64 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | Bradford City | 2-2 | Hartlepool United | 2 | betfair | 8.00 | 7.21 | 0.33 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Carlisle United | 0-0 | Stevenage | 2 | cloudbet | 3.31 | 3.12 | 0.57 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Leyton Orient | 2-2 | Colchester United | 2 | betfair | 8.00 | 7.21 | 0.35 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Northampton Town | 1-0 | Crewe Alexandra | 2 | betfair | 7.50 | 6.78 | 0.33 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Salford City | 3-1 | Doncaster Rovers | 1 | Bwin sports | 1.80 | 1.75 | 1.03 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Stockport County | 1-1 | Mansfield Town | 1 | Betsson | 2.05 | 1.98 | 0.92 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Walsall | 2-0 | Gillingham | 2 | 888sport | 3.65 | 3.42 | 0.53 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 | Woking | 0-1 | Chesterfield | 2 | marathon | 3.04 | 2.88 | 0.62 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Barnet | 1-1 | Notts County | 2 | betway | 1.57 | 1.53 | 1.27 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 1-1 | Oldham Athletic | 1 | pncl | 2.45 | 2.34 | 0.73 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Halifax Town | 1-1 | Yeovil Town | 2 | cloudbet | 4.72 | 4.37 | 0.45 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Gateshead | 1-1 | Torquay United | 1 | Betsson | 1.95 | 1.89 | 0.98 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Scunthorpe United | 4-1 | Wealdstone | 2 | pncl | 3.52 | 3.31 | 0.55 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Solihull Moors | 2-0 | Boreham Wood | 2 | pncl | 2.64 | 2.51 | 0.69 | ☓ | |
15:00 | York City | 2-1 | Dorking Wanderers | 1 | Betsson | 2.20 | 2.11 | 0.91 | ✓ | |
15:15 | Bromley | 1-2 | Wrexham | 2 | pncl | 1.68 | 1.64 | 1.11 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:30 | Chelsea | 2-2 | Everton | 1 | comeon | 1.62 | 1.58 | 1.17 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | Annecy | 1-1 | Guingamp | 2 | 888sport | 2.85 | 2.70 | 0.64 | ☓ | |
18:00 | Paris | 0-1 | Bastia | 2 | marathon | 3.78 | 3.54 | 0.51 | ✓ | |
18:00 | Amiens SC | 1-3 | Rodez | 1 | 188bet | 1.90 | 1.84 | 0.95 | ☓ | |
18:00 | Dijon | 0-1 | Pau | 1 | sportingbet | 3.50 | 3.29 | 0.75 | ☓ | |
18:00 | Caen | 2-1 | Valenciennes | 1 | 888sport | 1.66 | 1.62 | 1.14 | ✓ | |
18:00 | Bordeaux | 1-0 | Nîmes | 1 | Betsson | 1.63 | 1.59 | 1.15 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | Hamburger SV | 0-0 | Holstein Kiel | 1 | cloudbet | 2.41 | 2.31 | 0.97 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:30 | VfB Stuttgart | 0-1 | VfL Wolfsburg | 2 | cloudbet | 3.34 | 3.14 | 0.57 | ✓ | |
17:30 | Borussia Dortmund | 6-1 | FC Köln | 1 | pncl | 1.57 | 1.53 | 1.23 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Asteras Tripolis | 2-1 | Panaitolikos | 1 | marathon | 2.08 | 2.01 | 0.87 | ✓ | |
17:30 | Atromitos | 2-0 | Ionikos | 2 | marathon | 4.20 | 3.91 | 0.48 | ☓ | |
19:00 | Lamia | 2-0 | PAS Giannina | 2 | pncl | 3.61 | 3.39 | 0.54 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | ATK Mohun Bagan | 2-2 | Bengaluru | 2 | 888sport | 3.80 | 3.55 | 0.51 |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 1-0 | Hapoel Katamon | 1 | cashpoint | 1.65 | 1.61 | 1.19 | ✓ | |
15:30 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2-0 | Maccabi Netanya | X | unibet | 9.00 | 8.06 | 0.39 | ☓ | |
16:30 | Hapoel Hadera | 1-2 | Sektzia Nes Tziona | 1 | pncl | 2.18 | 2.10 | 0.82 | ☓ | |
17:30 | Beitar Jerusalem | 2-1 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 2 | marathon | 3.36 | 3.16 | 0.56 | ☓ | |
18:00 | Maccabi Haifa | 2-1 | Ashdod | 1 | 1XBet | 1.36 | 1.34 | 1.57 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Salernitana | 2-2 | Bologna | 2 | pncl | 2.33 | 2.23 | 0.77 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05:00 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 2-1 | Kashima Antlers | 1 | pncl | 2.12 | 2.04 | 0.84 | ✓ | |
05:00 | Nagoya Grampus | 0-0 | Tokyo | 1 | dafabet | 2.56 | 2.44 | 0.70 | ☓ | |
06:00 | Sagan Tosu | 0-1 | Vissel Kobe | 2 | betcris | 2.63 | 2.51 | 0.72 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05:00 | Pohang Steelers | 1-1 | Gangwon | 2 | cloudbet | 4.56 | 4.23 | 0.45 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:00 | Puebla | 0-4 | Atlas | 2 | marathonbet | 2.63 | 2.51 | 0.70 | ✓ | |
03:05 | Mazatlán | 0-1 | Necaxa | 2 | 888sport | 2.80 | 2.66 | 0.66 | ✓ | |
03:05 | Tijuana | 3-3 | Toluca | 1 | marathonbet | 2.51 | 2.40 | 0.72 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 2-2 | Zagłębie Lubin | 1 | marathonbet | 2.63 | 2.51 | 0.69 | ☓ | |
16:30 | Pogoń Szczecin | 0-0 | Korona Kielce | 1 | 888sport | 1.56 | 1.53 | 1.23 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:30 | Portimonense | 0-1 | Vizela | 2 | 888sport | 2.60 | 2.48 | 0.69 | ✓ | |
18:00 | Benfica | 5-1 | Vitória SC | 1 | Betsson | 1.26 | 1.25 | 2.10 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Al Markhiya | 2-3 | Al Rayyan | 1 | pncl | 3.77 | 3.53 | 0.51 | ☓ | |
16:45 | Qatar SC | 1-3 | Al Duhail | 2 | 10bet | 1.45 | 1.42 | 1.44 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 | Botoşani | 1-0 | Chindia Târgovişte | 2 | pncl | 3.94 | 3.68 | 0.51 | ☓ | |
18:00 | FCSB | 1-1 | Universitatea Craiova | 1 | comeon | 1.83 | 1.78 | 1.03 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | Rodina Moskva | 2-0 | SKA Khabarovsk | 2 | pncl | 3.38 | 3.18 | 0.57 | ☓ | |
14:00 | KAMAZ | 0-0 | Rubin Kazan' | 2 | pncl | 1.84 | 1.78 | 0.98 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09:00 | Orenburg | 2-0 | Spartak Moskva | 1 | pncl | 3.80 | 3.55 | 0.52 | ✓ | |
11:15 | Ural | 0-1 | Dinamo Moskva | 1 | sbo | 2.80 | 2.66 | 0.65 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | Al Fateh | 1-5 | Al Ittihad | 2 | 1XBet | 1.86 | 1.80 | 0.99 | ✓ | |
17:30 | Al Raed | 2-2 | Al Shabab | 1 | tipico | 7.00 | 6.35 | 0.36 | ☓ | |
17:30 | Al Nassr | 2-1 | Abha | 1 | 888sport | 1.26 | 1.25 | 2.12 | ✓ | |
17:30 | Al Hilal | 3-0 | Al Ittifaq | 1 | pncl | 1.40 | 1.38 | 1.50 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 | Motherwell | 2-4 | Rangers | 2 | 888sport | 1.36 | 1.34 | 1.58 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Aberdeen | 3-0 | Hearts | 1 | sportingbet | 2.95 | 2.79 | 0.73 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Kilmarnock | 1-1 | St. Johnstone | 1 | Betsson | 2.40 | 2.30 | 0.75 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:30 | Sekhukhune United | 1-1 | Chippa United | 2 | pncl | 5.27 | 4.85 | 0.41 | ☓ | |
15:45 | Orlando Pirates | 1-0 | SuperSport United | 2 | pncl | 4.46 | 4.14 | 0.47 | ☓ | |
18:00 | Maritzburg United | 2-3 | Kaizer Chiefs | 1 | pncl | 4.87 | 4.50 | 0.44 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:00 | Ponferradina | 1-0 | Deportivo Alavés | 2 | pncl | 2.19 | 2.11 | 0.84 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | Rizespor | 3-1 | Altay | 1 | Betsson | 1.72 | 1.67 | 1.29 | ✓ | |
16:00 | Gençlerbirliği | 0-1 | Samsunspor | 2 | 888sport | 1.75 | 1.70 | 1.07 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:00 | Vorskla | 0-0 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 1 | 1XBet | 1.95 | 1.89 | 0.95 | ☓ | |
12:00 | Dynamo Kyiv | 0-1 | Zorya | 1 | 188bet | 1.97 | 1.90 | 0.94 | ☓ | |
13:00 | Veres | 0-1 | Dnipro-1 | 2 | 1XBet | 1.53 | 1.50 | 1.27 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:45 | Ajman | 1-1 | Al Jazira | 2 | betfair | 1.95 | 1.89 | 0.92 | ☓ | |
16:30 | Al Ittihad Kalba | 1-1 | Al Wasl | 2 | betregal | 2.30 | 2.21 | 0.78 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:45 | Liverpool | 1-0 | Torque | 1 | sportingbet | 2.45 | 2.34 | 0.87 | ✓ | |
22:30 | Peñarol | 1-0 | River Plate | 1 | dafabet | 1.98 | 1.91 | 0.91 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23:30 | Atlanta United | 5-1 | Portland Timbers | 1 | sportingbet | 5.75 | 5.27 | 0.99 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | Fredrikstad | 0-1 | Sarpsborg 08 | 1 | marathon | 5.75 | 5.27 | 0.39 | ☓ |