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Football Value Bets 2023-03-18

You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.

Did you find a day with a negative result? Yes, this happens. It is impossible to guess correctly the outcomes of hundreds of thousands football fixtures and we are not doing that. Football value bets are the fixtures where the bookmaker is for some reason giving "too much".
  1. Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
  2. Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
  3. Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
  4. Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
  5. Make sure to start out small.
Football value bets shown on this page are based on the fact that every now and then a bookmaker gives odds that are much higher compared to the competition, and this is what we are showing. Make sure to check football predictions that cover the majority of the football betting spectrum.

18/03/2023 evaluation: We are showing 101 value bet opportunities from 38 leagues with stake amount £81.09, where the result is £5.25. The average market margin of stakes worth £81.09 is -7.30. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.

# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
13:00 Vita Club 0-0 Wydad Casablanca 2 pncl 1.99 1.92 0.91
13:00 Al Hilal Omdurman 1-1 Mamelodi Sundowns 2 cashpoint 3.39 3.19 0.56
16:00 Vipers 1-1 Raja Casablanca 2 pncl 1.85 1.79 1.09
16:00 Simba 7-0 Horoya 2 pncl 7.34 6.64 0.34
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
00:00 Unión Santa Fe 1-3 Racing Club 1 dafabet 3.10 2.93 0.60
22:00 Platense 1-0 Defensa y Justicia 1 sportingbet 3.50 3.29 0.57
22:00 Independiente 2-2 Colón 2 888sport 4.15 3.86 0.48
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
02:00 Melbourne City W 1-1 Sydney W X pncl 4.01 3.74 0.49
04:00 Canberra United W 1-1 Melbourne Victory W 1 pncl 2.71 2.58 0.68
04:00 Wellington Phoenix W 0-1 Perth Glory W X cloudbet 3.80 3.55 0.51
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
15:00 Deinze 1-1 Lommel United 2 pncl 3.34 3.14 0.56
19:00 RSC Anderlecht II 0-4 RWDM 2 pncl 2.23 2.14 0.80
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
17:15 KV Oostende 1-2 Westerlo 2 sportingbet 2.90 2.75 0.69
19:45 Standard Liège 2-2 Zulte-Waregem 1 cashpoint 1.72 1.67 1.07
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
17:45 San-Pedro 3-1 Abengourou 1 betclic 2.14 2.06 0.83
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 České Budějovice 2-1 Baník Ostrava 1 cloudbet 3.15 2.97 0.61
14:00 Hradec Králové 0-2 Sparta Praha 2 Betsson 1.53 1.50 1.27
14:00 Sigma Olomouc 2-0 Mladá Boleslav 1 Betsson 2.20 2.11 0.81
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
12:00 HB Køge 0-1 Hillerød 2 cashpoint 3.15 2.97 0.61
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
13:00 Lincoln City 0-3 Peterborough United 2 sbo 2.48 2.37 0.72
15:00 Bristol Rovers 0-2 Portsmouth 1 unibet 3.15 2.97 0.60
15:00 Morecambe 1-1 Oxford United 2 pncl 2.15 2.07 0.83
15:00 Port Vale 2-3 Burton Albion 1 Betsson 2.00 1.93 0.90
15:00 Wycombe Wanderers 0-1 Barnsley 2 ladbrokes 3.10 2.93 0.64
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
13:00 Bradford City 2-2 Hartlepool United 2 betfair 8.00 7.21 0.33
15:00 Carlisle United 0-0 Stevenage 2 cloudbet 3.31 3.12 0.57
15:00 Leyton Orient 2-2 Colchester United 2 betfair 8.00 7.21 0.35
15:00 Northampton Town 1-0 Crewe Alexandra 2 betfair 7.50 6.78 0.33
15:00 Salford City 3-1 Doncaster Rovers 1 Bwin sports 1.80 1.75 1.03
15:00 Stockport County 1-1 Mansfield Town 1 Betsson 2.05 1.98 0.92
15:00 Walsall 2-0 Gillingham 2 888sport 3.65 3.42 0.53
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
12:30 Woking 0-1 Chesterfield 2 marathon 3.04 2.88 0.62
15:00 Barnet 1-1 Notts County 2 betway 1.57 1.53 1.27
15:00 Dagenham & Redbridge 1-1 Oldham Athletic 1 pncl 2.45 2.34 0.73
15:00 Halifax Town 1-1 Yeovil Town 2 cloudbet 4.72 4.37 0.45
15:00 Gateshead 1-1 Torquay United 1 Betsson 1.95 1.89 0.98
15:00 Scunthorpe United 4-1 Wealdstone 2 pncl 3.52 3.31 0.55
15:00 Solihull Moors 2-0 Boreham Wood 2 pncl 2.64 2.51 0.69
15:00 York City 2-1 Dorking Wanderers 1 Betsson 2.20 2.11 0.91
15:15 Bromley 1-2 Wrexham 2 pncl 1.68 1.64 1.11
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
17:30 Chelsea 2-2 Everton 1 comeon 1.62 1.58 1.17
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
18:00 Annecy 1-1 Guingamp 2 888sport 2.85 2.70 0.64
18:00 Paris 0-1 Bastia 2 marathon 3.78 3.54 0.51
18:00 Amiens SC 1-3 Rodez 1 188bet 1.90 1.84 0.95
18:00 Dijon 0-1 Pau 1 sportingbet 3.50 3.29 0.75
18:00 Caen 2-1 Valenciennes 1 888sport 1.66 1.62 1.14
18:00 Bordeaux 1-0 Nîmes 1 Betsson 1.63 1.59 1.15
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
12:00 Hamburger SV 0-0 Holstein Kiel 1 cloudbet 2.41 2.31 0.97
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:30 VfB Stuttgart 0-1 VfL Wolfsburg 2 cloudbet 3.34 3.14 0.57
17:30 Borussia Dortmund 6-1 FC Köln 1 pncl 1.57 1.53 1.23
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
15:00 Asteras Tripolis 2-1 Panaitolikos 1 marathon 2.08 2.01 0.87
17:30 Atromitos 2-0 Ionikos 2 marathon 4.20 3.91 0.48
19:00 Lamia 2-0 PAS Giannina 2 pncl 3.61 3.39 0.54
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 ATK Mohun Bagan 2-2 Bengaluru 2 888sport 3.80 3.55 0.51
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
13:00 Hapoel Be'er Sheva 1-0 Hapoel Katamon 1 cashpoint 1.65 1.61 1.19
15:30 Maccabi Tel Aviv 2-0 Maccabi Netanya X unibet 9.00 8.06 0.39
16:30 Hapoel Hadera 1-2 Sektzia Nes Tziona 1 pncl 2.18 2.10 0.82
17:30 Beitar Jerusalem 2-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv 2 marathon 3.36 3.16 0.56
18:00 Maccabi Haifa 2-1 Ashdod 1 1XBet 1.36 1.34 1.57
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
17:00 Salernitana 2-2 Bologna 2 pncl 2.33 2.23 0.77
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
05:00 Yokohama F. Marinos 2-1 Kashima Antlers 1 pncl 2.12 2.04 0.84
05:00 Nagoya Grampus 0-0 Tokyo 1 dafabet 2.56 2.44 0.70
06:00 Sagan Tosu 0-1 Vissel Kobe 2 betcris 2.63 2.51 0.72
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
05:00 Pohang Steelers 1-1 Gangwon 2 cloudbet 4.56 4.23 0.45
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
01:00 Puebla 0-4 Atlas 2 marathonbet 2.63 2.51 0.70
03:05 Mazatlán 0-1 Necaxa 2 888sport 2.80 2.66 0.66
03:05 Tijuana 3-3 Toluca 1 marathonbet 2.51 2.40 0.72
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Jagiellonia Białystok 2-2 Zagłębie Lubin 1 marathonbet 2.63 2.51 0.69
16:30 Pogoń Szczecin 0-0 Korona Kielce 1 888sport 1.56 1.53 1.23
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
15:30 Portimonense 0-1 Vizela 2 888sport 2.60 2.48 0.69
18:00 Benfica 5-1 Vitória SC 1 Betsson 1.26 1.25 2.10
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Al Markhiya 2-3 Al Rayyan 1 pncl 3.77 3.53 0.51
16:45 Qatar SC 1-3 Al Duhail 2 10bet 1.45 1.42 1.44
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
12:30 Botoşani 1-0 Chindia Târgovişte 2 pncl 3.94 3.68 0.51
18:00 FCSB 1-1 Universitatea Craiova 1 comeon 1.83 1.78 1.03
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
12:00 Rodina Moskva 2-0 SKA Khabarovsk 2 pncl 3.38 3.18 0.57
14:00 KAMAZ 0-0 Rubin Kazan' 2 pncl 1.84 1.78 0.98
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
09:00 Orenburg 2-0 Spartak Moskva 1 pncl 3.80 3.55 0.52
11:15 Ural 0-1 Dinamo Moskva 1 sbo 2.80 2.66 0.65
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
13:00 Al Fateh 1-5 Al Ittihad 2 1XBet 1.86 1.80 0.99
17:30 Al Raed 2-2 Al Shabab 1 tipico 7.00 6.35 0.36
17:30 Al Nassr 2-1 Abha 1 888sport 1.26 1.25 2.12
17:30 Al Hilal 3-0 Al Ittifaq 1 pncl 1.40 1.38 1.50
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
12:30 Motherwell 2-4 Rangers 2 888sport 1.36 1.34 1.58
15:00 Aberdeen 3-0 Hearts 1 sportingbet 2.95 2.79 0.73
15:00 Kilmarnock 1-1 St. Johnstone 1 Betsson 2.40 2.30 0.75
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
13:30 Sekhukhune United 1-1 Chippa United 2 pncl 5.27 4.85 0.41
15:45 Orlando Pirates 1-0 SuperSport United 2 pncl 4.46 4.14 0.47
18:00 Maritzburg United 2-3 Kaizer Chiefs 1 pncl 4.87 4.50 0.44
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
20:00 Ponferradina 1-0 Deportivo Alavés 2 pncl 2.19 2.11 0.84
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
13:00 Rizespor 3-1 Altay 1 Betsson 1.72 1.67 1.29
16:00 Gençlerbirliği 0-1 Samsunspor 2 888sport 1.75 1.70 1.07
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
11:00 Vorskla 0-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1 1XBet 1.95 1.89 0.95
12:00 Dynamo Kyiv 0-1 Zorya 1 188bet 1.97 1.90 0.94
13:00 Veres 0-1 Dnipro-1 2 1XBet 1.53 1.50 1.27
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
13:45 Ajman 1-1 Al Jazira 2 betfair 1.95 1.89 0.92
16:30 Al Ittihad Kalba 1-1 Al Wasl 2 betregal 2.30 2.21 0.78
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
12:45 Liverpool 1-0 Torque 1 sportingbet 2.45 2.34 0.87
22:30 Peñarol 1-0 River Plate 1 dafabet 1.98 1.91 0.91
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
23:30 Atlanta United 5-1 Portland Timbers 1 sportingbet 5.75 5.27 0.99
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
13:00 Fredrikstad 0-1 Sarpsborg 08 1 marathon 5.75 5.27 0.39