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Football Value Bets 2023-03-17

You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.

Did you find a day with a negative result? Yes, this happens. It is impossible to guess correctly the outcomes of hundreds of thousands football fixtures and we are not doing that. Football value bets are the fixtures where the bookmaker is for some reason giving "too much".
  1. Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
  2. Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
  3. Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
  4. Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
  5. Make sure to start out small.
Football value bets shown on this page are based on the fact that every now and then a bookmaker gives odds that are much higher compared to the competition, and this is what we are showing. Make sure to check football predictions that cover the majority of the football betting spectrum.

17/03/2023 evaluation: We are showing 46 value bet opportunities from 26 leagues with stake amount £42.61, where the result is £2.80. The average market margin of stakes worth £42.61 is -3.83. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.

# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
13:00 Al Merreikh 1-1 ES Tunis 2 dafabet 2.28 2.19 0.79
16:00 Cotonsport 0-4 Al Ahly 2 tipico 1.42 1.40 1.46
19:00 CR Belouizdad 2-0 Zamalek 1 nordicbet 2.10 2.02 0.86
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
08:45 Adelaide United 5-1 Wellington Phoenix 1 cloudbet 2.06 1.99 0.89
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
06:05 Adelaide United W 2-2 Newcastle Jets W 1 ladbrokes 1.80 1.75 1.09
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
19:00 Waasland-Beveren 2-0 Lierse Kempenzonen 2 Betsson 6.50 5.92 0.37
19:00 KRC Genk II 1-1 Excelsior Virton 2 unibet 4.25 3.95 0.48
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
19:45 Cercle Brugge 1-1 Genk 2 betfair 2.45 2.34 0.73
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
23:00 Flamengo W 1-0 Atlético Mineiro W 1 pncl 1.68 1.64 1.10
23:00 Palmeiras W 3-0 Bahia W 1 1XBet 1.18 1.17 2.45
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
15:30 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-0 Slavia Sofia 1 pncl 2.80 2.66 0.66
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
15:30 Korhogo 2-1 Bouake 1 betcris 2.46 2.35 0.73
18:00 Bassam 0-1 Stella 1 pncl 3.89 3.63 0.51
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
19:45 Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Bolton Wanderers 1 pncl 1.88 1.82 0.96
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
20:00 Olympique Lyonnais 1-1 Nantes 1 1XBet 1.70 1.66 1.10
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
19:45 Atalanta 2-1 Empoli 1 dafabet 1.50 1.47 1.31
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
19:00 ADO Den Haag 1-3 Willem II 2 Betsson 2.05 1.98 0.87
19:00 Helmond Sport 2-2 Telstar 1 pncl 2.76 2.62 0.66
19:00 MVV Maastricht 1-0 Jong Utrecht 1 cashpoint 2.00 1.93 0.90
19:00 TOP Oss 1-5 Heracles Almelo 2 marathon 1.48 1.45 1.42
19:00 PEC Zwolle 2-0 NAC Breda 1 888sport 1.32 1.30 1.80
19:00 Jong Ajax 0-2 Almere City 2 nordicbet 2.10 2.02 0.89
19:00 Jong AZ 1-1 FC Eindhoven 1 titanbet 3.25 3.06 0.59
19:00 Jong PSV 2-1 De Graafschap 1 cloudbet 4.41 4.09 0.47
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
19:30 Radomiak Radom 0-2 Legia Warszawa 1 pncl 3.56 3.34 0.54
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
20:15 Santa Clara 0-2 Rio Ave 1 pncl 2.85 2.70 0.65
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Umm Salal 1-2 Al Gharafa 2 nitrogen sports 2.30 2.21 0.85
16:45 Al Arabi 4-1 Al Sailiya 1 10bet 1.34 1.32 1.67
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
15:30 Voluntari 1-1 Hermannstadt 1 10bet 2.40 2.30 0.74
18:30 Petrolul 52 1-0 UTA Arad 2 betfair 2.70 2.57 0.67
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
11:30 Yenisey 1-0 Arsenal Tula 1 pncl 2.22 2.13 0.83
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
13:00 Al Feiha 1-1 Al Adalh 1 pncl 1.91 1.85 0.94
13:00 Dhamk 1-0 Al Batin 1 dafabet 1.73 1.68 1.06
17:30 Al Wahda 1-1 Al Taawon 1 cloudbet 3.72 3.48 0.52
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
17:30 Moroka Swallows 0-1 Golden Arrows 1 pncl 2.83 2.69 0.65
17:30 Stellenbosch 2-0 AmaZulu 1 pncl 2.60 2.48 0.70
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
00:00 Sporting Cristal 1-0 Huracán 2 betclic 2.96 2.80 0.69
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
20:00 Real Valladolid 1-3 Athletic Club 2 Betsson 2.05 1.98 0.90
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
17:00 Altınordu 2-1 Tuzlaspor 1 pncl 2.58 2.46 0.70
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
11:00 Metal Kharkiv 0-0 Oleksandria 2 dafabet 1.74 1.69 1.06
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
13:45 Bani Yas 0-2 Dibba Al Fujairah 1 betcris 1.79 1.74 1.07
16:30 Al Dhafra 1-3 Al Wahda 2 pncl 1.35 1.33 1.62
16:30 Al Ain 0-1 Al Nasr 1 pncl 1.40 1.38 1.48
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
22:15 Plaza Colonia 1-1 La Luz 2 888sport 4.10 3.82 0.52
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
17:00 Stjørdals-Blink 0-0 Levanger 2 marathon 3.32 3.13 0.69
19:00 Bjarg 0-3 Brann II 2 pncl 1.88 1.82 0.97