Football Value Bets 2023-03-12
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
12/03/2023 evaluation: We are showing 68 value bet opportunities from 30 leagues with stake amount £55.57, where the result is £16.70. The average market margin of stakes worth £55.57 is -5.00. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.






























# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | Wolfsberger AC | 0-1 | Austria Lustenau | 1 | 188bet | 1.82 | 1.77 | 1.00 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:15 | Lommel United | 2-0 | KRC Genk II | 2 | 888sport | 4.10 | 3.82 | 0.49 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
22:00 | São Paulo W | 2-2 | Cruzeiro W | 1 | marathonbet | 2.19 | 2.11 | 0.94 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10:00 | Slavia Sofia | 1-0 | Arda | 1 | marathonbet | 2.71 | 2.58 | 0.67 | ✓ | |
12:15 | Ludogorets | 3-2 | Cherno More | 1 | 1XBet | 1.40 | 1.38 | 1.50 | ✓ | |
14:45 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 0-1 | CSKA Sofia | 1 | tipico | 2.85 | 2.70 | 0.65 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | SOL | 3-1 | Bouake | 1 | pncl | 2.53 | 2.42 | 0.75 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Rijeka | 3-1 | Varaždin | 2 | betfair | 4.75 | 4.39 | 0.45 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Teplice | 1-1 | Zbrojovka Brno | 2 | betcris | 2.93 | 2.78 | 0.63 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | Hobro | 2-2 | Hvidovre | 2 | nordicbet | 2.00 | 1.93 | 0.92 | ☓ | |
13:00 | Vendsyssel | 2-3 | SønderjyskE | 2 | unibet | 2.70 | 2.57 | 0.69 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | Viborg | 1-1 | Nordsjælland | 2 | cashpoint | 2.59 | 2.47 | 0.71 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Horsens | 1-4 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | cashpoint | 1.44 | 1.41 | 1.42 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Manchester United | 0-0 | Southampton | 1 | sportingbet | 9.75 | 8.70 | 1.01 | ☓ | |
14:00 | West Ham United | 1-1 | Aston Villa | 2 | unibet | 4.70 | 4.35 | 0.50 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 | Chelsea W | 1-0 | Manchester United W | 1 | pncl | 2.23 | 2.14 | 0.87 | ✓ | |
14:00 | Liverpool W | 2-1 | Tottenham W | 2 | ladbrokes | 2.60 | 2.48 | 0.69 | ☓ | |
15:00 | West Ham W | 1-2 | Aston Villa W | 1 | pncl | 5.70 | 5.22 | 0.41 | ☓ | |
18:45 | Arsenal W | 4-0 | Reading W | 1 | pncl | 1.11 | 1.10 | 3.60 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Olympique Marseille | 2-2 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1XBet | 1.45 | 1.42 | 1.40 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:30 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1-1 | FC Union Berlin | 1 | pncl | 2.66 | 2.53 | 0.68 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | AEK Athens | 1-3 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 | 188bet | 1.96 | 1.90 | 0.94 | ☓ | |
17:00 | Volos NFC | 0-1 | PAOK | 2 | 888sport | 1.35 | 1.33 | 1.63 | ✓ | |
17:00 | Ionikos | 1-0 | Asteras Tripolis | 2 | cashpoint | 2.86 | 2.71 | 0.65 | ☓ | |
17:00 | Panaitolikos | 1-1 | Lamia | 2 | pncl | 4.02 | 3.75 | 0.50 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Bengaluru | 1-2 | Mumbai City | 1 | 888sport | 3.90 | 3.64 | 0.50 |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:30 | Aluminium Arak | 0-0 | Paykan | 1 | cloudbet | 1.91 | 1.85 | 0.95 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:15 | Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 2-1 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 1 | ladbrokes | 1.44 | 1.41 | 1.41 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:15 | Cosenza | 1-0 | SPAL | 1 | pncl | 2.67 | 2.54 | 0.68 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05:00 | Cerezo Osaka | 2-1 | Sagan Tosu | 1 | dafabet | 2.16 | 2.08 | 0.84 | ✓ | |
06:00 | Consadole Sapporo | 2-0 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 1 | dafabet | 3.75 | 3.51 | 0.53 | ✓ | |
06:00 | Shonan Bellmare | 0-2 | Kyoto Sanga | 2 | dafabet | 4.90 | 4.53 | 0.44 | ✓ | |
07:00 | Gamba Osaka | 1-2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 2 | dafabet | 1.82 | 1.77 | 1.01 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:05 | Cruz Azul | 1-0 | Pumas UNAM | 1 | titanbet | 2.25 | 2.16 | 0.79 | ✓ | |
18:00 | Toluca | 4-1 | Mazatlán | 1 | 188bet | 1.44 | 1.41 | 1.50 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:15 | Maghreb Fès | 3-1 | Difaâ El Jadida | 1 | pncl | 2.30 | 2.21 | 0.79 | ✓ | |
19:30 | Hassania Agadir | 2-1 | Raja Casablanca | 1 | 888sport | 4.25 | 3.95 | 0.48 | ✓ | |
19:30 | Chabab Mohammédia | 1-1 | UTS Rabat | 2 | pncl | 3.46 | 3.25 | 0.56 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Al Rayyan | 1-1 | Al Wakrah | 2 | pncl | 3.82 | 3.57 | 0.55 | ☓ | |
14:00 | Al Sailiya | 1-3 | Al Markhiya | 2 | pncl | 2.64 | 2.51 | 0.68 | ✓ | |
16:45 | Al Sadd | 2-2 | Al Duhail | X | pncl | 4.28 | 3.98 | 0.47 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | FCSB | 1-0 | Sepsi | 2 | pncl | 4.23 | 3.94 | 0.48 | ☓ | |
19:00 | Hermannstadt | 1-0 | U Craiova 1948 | 1 | betway | 3.20 | 3.02 | 0.58 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:00 | Veles | 4-1 | Neftekhimik | 1 | pncl | 3.52 | 3.31 | 0.54 | ✓ | |
12:00 | Rubin Kazan' | 1-0 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 1 | pncl | 1.45 | 1.42 | 1.41 | ✓ | |
12:00 | Volgar Astrakhan | 1-0 | Ufa | 1 | pncl | 2.67 | 2.54 | 0.68 | ✓ | |
12:00 | Krasnodar II | 0-3 | Baltika | 2 | pncl | 1.72 | 1.67 | 1.11 | ✓ | |
13:00 | Arsenal Tula | 2-3 | Rodina Moskva | 1 | pncl | 2.12 | 2.04 | 0.85 | ☓ | |
14:00 | SKA Khabarovsk | 0-1 | Makhachkala | 2 | pncl | 3.96 | 3.70 | 0.50 | ✓ | |
16:00 | Shinnik | 2-2 | Yenisey | 2 | 1XBet | 2.32 | 2.22 | 0.77 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | Real Zaragoza | 3-0 | Leganés | 2 | pncl | 3.82 | 3.57 | 0.51 | ☓ | |
17:30 | FC Cartagena | 0-3 | FC Andorra | 2 | unibet | 3.55 | 3.33 | 0.54 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10:30 | Keçiörengücü | 4-0 | Altınordu | 2 | Betsson | 7.50 | 6.78 | 0.35 | ☓ | |
10:30 | Bodrumspor | 1-2 | Rizespor | 2 | Betsson | 3.75 | 3.51 | 0.54 | ✓ | |
16:00 | Denizlispor | 0-2 | BB Erzurumspor | 2 | betvictor | 2.63 | 2.51 | 0.73 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10:30 | Ankaragücü | 2-0 | Alanyaspor | 2 | pncl | 3.30 | 3.11 | 0.57 | ☓ | |
13:00 | Trabzonspor | 4-1 | Adana Demirspor | 1 | nordicbet | 2.02 | 1.95 | 0.88 | ✓ | |
16:00 | İstanbul Başakşehir | 0-2 | Beşiktaş | 1 | cloudbet | 3.20 | 3.02 | 0.59 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:00 | Veres | 2-2 | Vorskla | 2 | 1XBet | 2.65 | 2.52 | 0.68 | ☓ | |
11:00 | Dnipro-1 | 0-1 | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | cloudbet | 2.57 | 2.45 | 0.70 | ✓ | |
12:00 | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | 0-3 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 1XBet | 1.47 | 1.44 | 1.39 | ✓ | |
13:00 | Rukh Vynnyky | 0-1 | Kolos Kovalivka | 2 | cloudbet | 3.06 | 2.89 | 0.60 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23:00 | Peñarol | 2-2 | Torque | 1 | ladbrokes | 1.60 | 1.56 | 1.19 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:30 | Cincinnati | 1-0 | Seattle Sounders | 1 | sportingbet | 3.30 | 3.11 | 0.79 | ✓ | |
00:30 | DC United | 1-1 | Orlando City | 1 | 888sport | 2.20 | 2.11 | 0.85 | ☓ | |
02:30 | Real Salt Lake | 1-2 | Austin | 2 | pncl | 3.79 | 3.55 | 0.51 | ✓ | |
03:30 | Portland Timbers | 1-2 | Saint Louis City | 1 | marathon | 2.16 | 2.08 | 0.88 | ☓ | |
03:30 | SJ Earthquakes | 1-0 | Colorado Rapids | 1 | betcris | 1.86 | 1.80 | 0.97 | ✓ |