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Football Value Bets 2023-03-12

You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.

Did you find a day with a negative result? Yes, this happens. It is impossible to guess correctly the outcomes of hundreds of thousands football fixtures and we are not doing that. Football value bets are the fixtures where the bookmaker is for some reason giving "too much".
  1. Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
  2. Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
  3. Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
  4. Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
  5. Make sure to start out small.
Football value bets shown on this page are based on the fact that every now and then a bookmaker gives odds that are much higher compared to the competition, and this is what we are showing. Make sure to check football predictions that cover the majority of the football betting spectrum.

12/03/2023 evaluation: We are showing 68 value bet opportunities from 30 leagues with stake amount £55.57, where the result is £16.70. The average market margin of stakes worth £55.57 is -5.00. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.

# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
16:00 Wolfsberger AC 0-1 Austria Lustenau 1 188bet 1.82 1.77 1.00
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
18:15 Lommel United 2-0 KRC Genk II 2 888sport 4.10 3.82 0.49
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
22:00 São Paulo W 2-2 Cruzeiro W 1 marathonbet 2.19 2.11 0.94
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
10:00 Slavia Sofia 1-0 Arda 1 marathonbet 2.71 2.58 0.67
12:15 Ludogorets 3-2 Cherno More 1 1XBet 1.40 1.38 1.50
14:45 CSKA 1948 Sofia 0-1 CSKA Sofia 1 tipico 2.85 2.70 0.65
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
18:00 SOL 3-1 Bouake 1 pncl 2.53 2.42 0.75
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Rijeka 3-1 Varaždin 2 betfair 4.75 4.39 0.45
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Teplice 1-1 Zbrojovka Brno 2 betcris 2.93 2.78 0.63
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
12:00 Hobro 2-2 Hvidovre 2 nordicbet 2.00 1.93 0.92
13:00 Vendsyssel 2-3 SønderjyskE 2 unibet 2.70 2.57 0.69
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
13:00 Viborg 1-1 Nordsjælland 2 cashpoint 2.59 2.47 0.71
15:00 Horsens 1-4 FC Copenhagen 2 cashpoint 1.44 1.41 1.42
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Manchester United 0-0 Southampton 1 sportingbet 9.75 8.70 1.01
14:00 West Ham United 1-1 Aston Villa 2 unibet 4.70 4.35 0.50
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
12:30 Chelsea W 1-0 Manchester United W 1 pncl 2.23 2.14 0.87
14:00 Liverpool W 2-1 Tottenham W 2 ladbrokes 2.60 2.48 0.69
15:00 West Ham W 1-2 Aston Villa W 1 pncl 5.70 5.22 0.41
18:45 Arsenal W 4-0 Reading W 1 pncl 1.11 1.10 3.60
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
19:45 Olympique Marseille 2-2 Strasbourg 1 1XBet 1.45 1.42 1.40
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
18:30 VfL Wolfsburg 1-1 FC Union Berlin 1 pncl 2.66 2.53 0.68
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
17:00 AEK Athens 1-3 Olympiakos Piraeus 1 188bet 1.96 1.90 0.94
17:00 Volos NFC 0-1 PAOK 2 888sport 1.35 1.33 1.63
17:00 Ionikos 1-0 Asteras Tripolis 2 cashpoint 2.86 2.71 0.65
17:00 Panaitolikos 1-1 Lamia 2 pncl 4.02 3.75 0.50
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Bengaluru 1-2 Mumbai City 1 888sport 3.90 3.64 0.50
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
11:30 Aluminium Arak 0-0 Paykan 1 cloudbet 1.91 1.85 0.95
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
18:15 Hapoel Be'er Sheva 2-1 Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1 ladbrokes 1.44 1.41 1.41
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
15:15 Cosenza 1-0 SPAL 1 pncl 2.67 2.54 0.68
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
05:00 Cerezo Osaka 2-1 Sagan Tosu 1 dafabet 2.16 2.08 0.84
06:00 Consadole Sapporo 2-0 Yokohama F. Marinos 1 dafabet 3.75 3.51 0.53
06:00 Shonan Bellmare 0-2 Kyoto Sanga 2 dafabet 4.90 4.53 0.44
07:00 Gamba Osaka 1-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2 dafabet 1.82 1.77 1.01
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
01:05 Cruz Azul 1-0 Pumas UNAM 1 titanbet 2.25 2.16 0.79
18:00 Toluca 4-1 Mazatlán 1 188bet 1.44 1.41 1.50
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
17:15 Maghreb Fès 3-1 Difaâ El Jadida 1 pncl 2.30 2.21 0.79
19:30 Hassania Agadir 2-1 Raja Casablanca 1 888sport 4.25 3.95 0.48
19:30 Chabab Mohammédia 1-1 UTS Rabat 2 pncl 3.46 3.25 0.56
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Al Rayyan 1-1 Al Wakrah 2 pncl 3.82 3.57 0.55
14:00 Al Sailiya 1-3 Al Markhiya 2 pncl 2.64 2.51 0.68
16:45 Al Sadd 2-2 Al Duhail X pncl 4.28 3.98 0.47
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
19:00 FCSB 1-0 Sepsi 2 pncl 4.23 3.94 0.48
19:00 Hermannstadt 1-0 U Craiova 1948 1 betway 3.20 3.02 0.58
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
11:00 Veles 4-1 Neftekhimik 1 pncl 3.52 3.31 0.54
12:00 Rubin Kazan' 1-0 Volga Ulyanovsk 1 pncl 1.45 1.42 1.41
12:00 Volgar Astrakhan 1-0 Ufa 1 pncl 2.67 2.54 0.68
12:00 Krasnodar II 0-3 Baltika 2 pncl 1.72 1.67 1.11
13:00 Arsenal Tula 2-3 Rodina Moskva 1 pncl 2.12 2.04 0.85
14:00 SKA Khabarovsk 0-1 Makhachkala 2 pncl 3.96 3.70 0.50
16:00 Shinnik 2-2 Yenisey 2 1XBet 2.32 2.22 0.77
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
13:00 Real Zaragoza 3-0 Leganés 2 pncl 3.82 3.57 0.51
17:30 FC Cartagena 0-3 FC Andorra 2 unibet 3.55 3.33 0.54
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
10:30 Keçiörengücü 4-0 Altınordu 2 Betsson 7.50 6.78 0.35
10:30 Bodrumspor 1-2 Rizespor 2 Betsson 3.75 3.51 0.54
16:00 Denizlispor 0-2 BB Erzurumspor 2 betvictor 2.63 2.51 0.73
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
10:30 Ankaragücü 2-0 Alanyaspor 2 pncl 3.30 3.11 0.57
13:00 Trabzonspor 4-1 Adana Demirspor 1 nordicbet 2.02 1.95 0.88
16:00 İstanbul Başakşehir 0-2 Beşiktaş 1 cloudbet 3.20 3.02 0.59
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
11:00 Veres 2-2 Vorskla 2 1XBet 2.65 2.52 0.68
11:00 Dnipro-1 0-1 Dynamo Kyiv 2 cloudbet 2.57 2.45 0.70
12:00 Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0-3 Shakhtar Donetsk 2 1XBet 1.47 1.44 1.39
13:00 Rukh Vynnyky 0-1 Kolos Kovalivka 2 cloudbet 3.06 2.89 0.60
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
23:00 Peñarol 2-2 Torque 1 ladbrokes 1.60 1.56 1.19
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
00:30 Cincinnati 1-0 Seattle Sounders 1 sportingbet 3.30 3.11 0.79
00:30 DC United 1-1 Orlando City 1 888sport 2.20 2.11 0.85
02:30 Real Salt Lake 1-2 Austin 2 pncl 3.79 3.55 0.51
03:30 Portland Timbers 1-2 Saint Louis City 1 marathon 2.16 2.08 0.88
03:30 SJ Earthquakes 1-0 Colorado Rapids 1 betcris 1.86 1.80 0.97