Football Value Bets 2023-03-10
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
10/03/2023 evaluation: We are showing 26 value bet opportunities from 15 leagues with stake amount £21.56, where the result is £-0.25. The average market margin of stakes worth £21.56 is -1.94. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:00 | Barracas Central | 1-1 | Independiente | 2 | Betsson | 2.55 | 2.43 | 0.72 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:30 | Denguélé | 0-2 | San-Pedro | 2 | marathonbet | 3.52 | 3.31 | 0.56 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | Gorica | 5-4 | Istra 1961 | 1 | nitrogen sports | 2.30 | 2.21 | 0.81 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:00 | Stoke City | 3-2 | Blackburn Rovers | 1 | betclic | 2.44 | 2.33 | 0.81 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Crewe Alexandra | 4-3 | Salford City | 2 | nitrogen sports | 1.94 | 1.88 | 0.93 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:30 | FC Köln | 0-2 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 1 | cloudbet | 1.81 | 1.76 | 1.01 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | FC Dordrecht | 0-4 | De Graafschap | 2 | 188bet | 1.75 | 1.70 | 1.13 | ✓ | |
19:00 | FC Eindhoven | 5-1 | Jong Ajax | 1 | 188bet | 1.87 | 1.81 | 0.99 | ✓ | |
19:00 | NAC Breda | 4-1 | MVV Maastricht | 2 | cloudbet | 5.02 | 4.63 | 0.43 | ☓ | |
19:00 | VVV-Venlo | 4-0 | FC Den Bosch | 1 | cloudbet | 1.43 | 1.40 | 1.44 | ✓ | |
19:45 | Heracles Almelo | 2-0 | Jong AZ | 1 | Betsson | 1.38 | 1.36 | 1.62 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:30 | Universitatea Craiova | 2-1 | UTA Arad | 2 | sportingbet | 5.50 | 5.05 | 0.40 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:00 | Chertanovo U20 | 2-0 | Ural U19 | 2 | cloudbet | 3.08 | 2.91 | 0.61 | ☓ | |
11:30 | Dinamo Moskva U19 | 0-3 | Zenit U19 | 1 | dafabet | 5.00 | 4.61 | 0.56 | ☓ | |
12:00 | Krasnodar U19 | 2-1 | CSKA Moscow U19 | 2 | marathonbet | 3.04 | 2.88 | 0.63 | ☓ | |
13:00 | Rostov U19 | 2-0 | Spartak Moskva U19 | 2 | marathonbet | 3.56 | 3.34 | 0.57 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:30 | Al Taawon | 0-4 | Al Hilal | 2 | pncl | 2.12 | 2.04 | 0.84 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:00 | Huracán | 0-0 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 888sport | 1.45 | 1.42 | 1.40 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:00 | Deportes Tolima | 1-0 | Junior FC | 1 | pncl | 2.23 | 2.14 | 0.81 | ✓ | |
00:00 | Emelec | 2-1 | Deportivo Cuenca | 1 | unibet | 1.52 | 1.49 | 1.31 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Giresunspor | 2-2 | Fatih Karagümrük | 1 | betcris | 3.03 | 2.87 | 0.67 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:45 | Khorfakkan Club | 2-2 | Ajman | 2 | pncl | 2.90 | 2.75 | 0.65 | ☓ | |
13:45 | Al Bataeh | 1-1 | Al Dhafra | 1 | interwetten | 2.15 | 2.07 | 0.84 | ☓ | |
16:30 | Dibba Al Fujairah | 2-2 | Al Ittihad Kalba | 1 | cloudbet | 3.97 | 3.71 | 0.51 | ☓ | |
16:30 | Al Wahda | 0-3 | Al Ain | 2 | unibet | 2.40 | 2.30 | 0.75 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
22:30 | La Luz | 0-3 | Cerro Largo | 1 | pncl | 3.35 | 3.15 | 0.56 | ☓ |