Football Value Bets 2023-03-07
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
07/03/2023 evaluation: We are showing 29 value bet opportunities from 13 leagues with stake amount £24.09, where the result is £8.59. The average market margin of stakes worth £24.09 is -2.17. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | Al Hilal Omdurman | 2-0 | Cotonsport | X | pncl | 6.21 | 5.67 | 0.38 | ☓ | |
16:00 | Simba | 1-0 | Vipers | X | unibet | 7.00 | 6.35 | 0.35 | ☓ | |
16:00 | Horoya | 1-3 | Raja Casablanca | 1 | 888sport | 3.80 | 3.55 | 0.52 | ☓ | |
19:00 | CR Belouizdad | 1-0 | Al Merreikh | 1 | 1XBet | 1.40 | 1.38 | 1.54 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:00 | Boca Juniors | 0-0 | Defensa y Justicia | 1 | dafabet | 1.97 | 1.90 | 0.93 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Al Ahly | 2-1 | Al Mokawloon | 1 | betclic | 1.47 | 1.44 | 1.36 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Huddersfield Town | 0-0 | Bristol City | 1 | betfair | 2.88 | 2.73 | 0.63 | ☓ | |
20:00 | Reading | 0-1 | Sheffield United | 2 | Betsson | 1.83 | 1.78 | 1.02 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Barnsley | 3-1 | Portsmouth | 1 | pncl | 2.23 | 2.14 | 0.80 | ✓ | |
19:45 | Cheltenham Town | 0-0 | Lincoln City | X | Betsson | 3.20 | 3.02 | 0.58 | ✓ | |
19:45 | Peterborough United | 2-1 | Shrewsbury Town | 2 | unibet | 4.50 | 4.17 | 0.46 | ☓ | |
19:45 | Cambridge United | 1-1 | Morecambe | 1 | Betsson | 2.05 | 1.98 | 0.87 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Stockport County | 0-0 | Gillingham | 1 | 1XBet | 1.57 | 1.53 | 1.22 | ☓ | |
19:45 | Sutton United | 3-0 | Crawley Town | 1 | Betsson | 1.75 | 1.70 | 1.13 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Bromley | 0-3 | York City | 2 | cloudbet | 4.00 | 3.73 | 0.49 | ✓ | |
19:45 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 0-4 | Wrexham | 2 | Bwin sports | 1.55 | 1.52 | 1.24 | ✓ | |
19:45 | Gateshead | 0-0 | Halifax Town | 1 | pncl | 2.19 | 2.11 | 0.84 | ☓ | |
19:45 | Maidenhead United | 0-1 | Boreham Wood | 2 | pncl | 2.50 | 2.39 | 0.73 | ✓ | |
19:45 | Solihull Moors | 3-2 | Torquay United | 2 | pncl | 4.39 | 4.08 | 0.46 | ☓ | |
19:45 | Southend United | 1-2 | Chesterfield | 2 | Betsson | 2.60 | 2.48 | 0.72 | ✓ | |
19:45 | Wealdstone | 2-1 | Maidstone United | 1 | Betsson | 2.10 | 2.02 | 0.87 | ✓ | |
19:45 | Yeovil Town | 1-0 | Eastleigh | 2 | pncl | 2.66 | 2.53 | 0.68 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:00 | Benfica | 5-1 | Club Brugge | 1 | sportingbet | 7.50 | 6.78 | 1.07 | ✓ | |
20:10 | Chelsea | 2-0 | Borussia Dortmund | 1 | comeon | 1.86 | 1.80 | 0.97 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Mumbai City | 0-1 | Bengaluru | 1 | 1XBet | 1.64 | 1.60 | 1.15 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:15 | RSB Berkane | 3-3 | Wydad Casablanca | 2 | pncl | 2.41 | 2.31 | 0.75 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
22:00 | Audax Italiano | 3-2 | Universidad Católica | 2 | Betsson | 2.05 | 1.98 | 0.88 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Altınordu | 0-1 | Göztepe | 1 | cloudbet | 3.12 | 2.95 | 0.59 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:15 | Frem | 0-1 | Roskilde | 2 | Bwin sports | 2.10 | 2.02 | 0.86 | ✓ |