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Football Value Bets 2023-03-05

You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.

Did you find a day with a negative result? Yes, this happens. It is impossible to guess correctly the outcomes of hundreds of thousands football fixtures and we are not doing that. Football value bets are the fixtures where the bookmaker is for some reason giving "too much".
  1. Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
  2. Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
  3. Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
  4. Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
  5. Make sure to start out small.
Football value bets shown on this page are based on the fact that every now and then a bookmaker gives odds that are much higher compared to the competition, and this is what we are showing. Make sure to check football predictions that cover the majority of the football betting spectrum.

05/03/2023 evaluation: We are showing 69 value bet opportunities from 34 leagues with stake amount £61.64, where the result is £-1.04. The average market margin of stakes worth £61.64 is -5.55. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.

# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
08:00 Perth Glory W 1-1 Western Sydney Wanderers W 1 188bet 1.83 1.78 1.00
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
16:00 Rapid Vienna 2-4 Salzburg 2 188bet 1.99 1.92 0.90
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
18:15 KRC Genk II 1-1 Standard Liège II 2 cashpoint 4.10 3.82 0.50
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
15:00 Antwerp 5-0 Mechelen 1 Betsson 1.65 1.61 1.17
17:30 Gent 1-0 Anderlecht 2 Betsson 4.33 4.02 0.51
18:15 Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 AS Eupen 1 188bet 1.28 1.26 1.82
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
23:00 Flamengo W 3-0 Kindermann-Avaí W 1 nitrogen sports 1.17 1.16 2.50
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
10:00 Botev Vratsa 1-0 Slavia Sofia 2 sbo 2.43 2.32 0.74
12:15 Hebar 1918 0-2 Levski Sofia 2 1XBet 1.40 1.38 1.48
14:45 Ludogorets 0-1 OFK Pirin 1 188bet 1.11 1.10 3.47
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
15:30 ES Bafing 1-3 Stella X 1XBet 3.02 2.86 0.61
18:00 Racing d'Abidjan 3-1 SOL X 1XBet 3.14 2.97 0.63
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Hajduk Split 3-4 Lokomotiva Zagreb 1 pncl 1.70 1.66 1.10
16:30 Dinamo Zagreb 1-1 Osijek 1 betclic 1.36 1.34 1.61
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
16:00 České Budějovice 1-0 Slavia Praha 2 pncl 1.39 1.37 1.55
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
12:00 Næstved 2-3 Fremad Amager 1 pncl 1.58 1.54 1.21
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
15:00 Lyngby 1-0 Brøndby 2 Betsson 2.16 2.08 0.90
17:30 FC Copenhagen 7-0 OB 1 cashpoint 1.45 1.42 1.42
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
16:00 Haras El Hodood 0-0 Ceramica Cleopatra 1 pncl 5.30 4.88 0.41
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
13:00 Everton W 0-2 Aston Villa W 2 nitrogen sports 2.79 2.65 0.69
14:00 Reading W 2-1 West Ham W 2 cloudbet 2.59 2.47 0.70
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Montpellier 5-0 Angers SCO 1 1XBet 1.92 1.86 0.94
14:00 Strasbourg 0-1 Brest 1 1XBet 2.14 2.06 0.83
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
12:30 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-1 Hannover 96 1 Betsson 1.95 1.89 0.94
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:30 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4-1 Hertha BSC 1 1XBet 1.65 1.61 1.14
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
15:00 PAS Giannina 0-1 Volos NFC 2 cloudbet 4.25 3.95 0.48
17:30 OFI 0-3 AEK Athens 2 Bwin sports 7.00 6.35 1.05
18:30 PAOK 6-0 Ionikos 1 188bet 1.22 1.21 2.14
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
11:30 Paykan 0-0 Zob Ahan 2 pncl 3.09 2.92 0.60
12:30 Tractor Sazi 2-3 Persepolis 2 sbo 2.23 2.14 0.80
13:30 Mes Rafsanjan 4-0 Sanat Naft 1 betclic 1.59 1.55 1.21
14:30 Sepahan 3-1 Havadar 1 pncl 1.51 1.48 1.34
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
18:15 Beitar Jerusalem 1-3 Hapoel Tel Aviv 1 cashpoint 2.24 2.15 0.82
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
17:00 Inter 2-0 Lecce 1 pncl 1.44 1.41 1.40
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Como 1-0 Modena 2 pncl 3.87 3.62 0.51
14:00 Frosinone 3-0 Venezia 2 betvictor 5.75 5.27 0.39
14:00 SPAL 2-1 Cittadella 2 pncl 3.13 2.96 0.60
14:00 Ternana 2-2 Benevento 1 pncl 2.82 2.68 0.65
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
05:00 Gangwon 0-1 Ulsan 1 pncl 4.68 4.33 0.45
07:30 Gwangju 0-2 Seoul 2 cloudbet 2.81 2.67 0.65
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
01:05 América 0-3 Pachuca 2 888sport 4.90 4.53 0.45
18:00 Pumas UNAM 2-4 Puebla 1 188bet 1.82 1.77 1.01
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
17:15 Khouribga 1-0 Riadi Salmi X unibet 3.20 3.02 0.60
19:30 UTS Rabat 1-1 Moghreb Tétouan 2 pncl 4.03 3.76 0.51
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
11:00 Mioveni 2-0 Chindia Târgovişte 2 pncl 3.05 2.88 0.61
19:00 UTA Arad 3-1 FCSB 1 betfair 4.40 4.09 0.46
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
09:00 Ufa 4-1 Veles 2 pncl 4.89 4.52 0.44
10:00 Yenisey 2-1 Volgar Astrakhan 1 188bet 1.98 1.91 0.96
11:30 Akron 0-0 Krasnodar II 1 dafabet 1.73 1.68 1.07
13:00 Makhachkala 0-0 Arsenal Tula 1 marathon 3.70 3.47 0.55
14:30 Neftekhimik 0-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1 pncl 3.38 3.18 0.56
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
16:30 Sochi 2-0 CSKA Moskva 1 marathon 3.78 3.54 0.51
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
13:30 Marumo Gallants FC 0-0 TS Galaxy 1 Betsson 2.55 2.43 0.72
13:30 Stellenbosch 1-1 Mamelodi Sundowns 2 betcris 1.87 1.81 0.96
13:30 Chippa United 0-2 AmaZulu 1 pncl 3.57 3.35 0.54
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
13:00 Leganés 0-1 UD Ibiza 2 cashpoint 6.31 5.75 0.37
15:15 Albacete 2-1 Sporting Gijón 1 888sport 2.28 2.19 0.78
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
10:30 Bodrumspor 2-0 Altay 2 pncl 8.08 7.28 0.32
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
16:00 Beşiktaş 2-1 Ankaragücü 2 Betsson 6.60 6.01 0.36
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
11:00 Vorskla 2-3 Zorya 2 188bet 2.28 2.19 0.79
12:00 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0-7 Shakhtar Donetsk 2 1XBet 1.35 1.33 1.62
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
12:45 Liverpool 2-3 La Luz 2 pncl 6.14 5.61 0.38
22:30 Cerro Largo 0-0 Wanderers 2 888sport 3.50 3.29 0.54
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
00:30 Atlanta United 1-1 Toronto 1 cloudbet 1.79 1.74 1.03
00:30 New England 3-0 Houston Dynamo 1 dafabet 1.85 1.79 0.98
00:30 New York RB 0-0 Nashville SC 1 188bet 1.98 1.91 0.91
00:30 Orlando City 0-0 Cincinnati 2 188bet 3.30 3.11 0.60
01:30 Chicago Fire 1-1 New York City 2 cloudbet 3.33 3.14 0.57
01:30 Saint Louis City 3-1 Charlotte 2 pncl 3.21 3.03 0.58