Football Value Bets 2023-03-05
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
05/03/2023 evaluation: We are showing 69 value bet opportunities from 34 leagues with stake amount £61.64, where the result is £-1.04. The average market margin of stakes worth £61.64 is -5.55. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.


































# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08:00 | Perth Glory W | 1-1 | Western Sydney Wanderers W | 1 | 188bet | 1.83 | 1.78 | 1.00 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | Rapid Vienna | 2-4 | Salzburg | 2 | 188bet | 1.99 | 1.92 | 0.90 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:15 | KRC Genk II | 1-1 | Standard Liège II | 2 | cashpoint | 4.10 | 3.82 | 0.50 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Antwerp | 5-0 | Mechelen | 1 | Betsson | 1.65 | 1.61 | 1.17 | ✓ | |
17:30 | Gent | 1-0 | Anderlecht | 2 | Betsson | 4.33 | 4.02 | 0.51 | ☓ | |
18:15 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 2-1 | AS Eupen | 1 | 188bet | 1.28 | 1.26 | 1.82 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23:00 | Flamengo W | 3-0 | Kindermann-Avaí W | 1 | nitrogen sports | 1.17 | 1.16 | 2.50 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10:00 | Botev Vratsa | 1-0 | Slavia Sofia | 2 | sbo | 2.43 | 2.32 | 0.74 | ☓ | |
12:15 | Hebar 1918 | 0-2 | Levski Sofia | 2 | 1XBet | 1.40 | 1.38 | 1.48 | ✓ | |
14:45 | Ludogorets | 0-1 | OFK Pirin | 1 | 188bet | 1.11 | 1.10 | 3.47 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:30 | ES Bafing | 1-3 | Stella | X | 1XBet | 3.02 | 2.86 | 0.61 | ☓ | |
18:00 | Racing d'Abidjan | 3-1 | SOL | X | 1XBet | 3.14 | 2.97 | 0.63 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Hajduk Split | 3-4 | Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1 | pncl | 1.70 | 1.66 | 1.10 | ☓ | |
16:30 | Dinamo Zagreb | 1-1 | Osijek | 1 | betclic | 1.36 | 1.34 | 1.61 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | České Budějovice | 1-0 | Slavia Praha | 2 | pncl | 1.39 | 1.37 | 1.55 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | Næstved | 2-3 | Fremad Amager | 1 | pncl | 1.58 | 1.54 | 1.21 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Lyngby | 1-0 | Brøndby | 2 | Betsson | 2.16 | 2.08 | 0.90 | ☓ | |
17:30 | FC Copenhagen | 7-0 | OB | 1 | cashpoint | 1.45 | 1.42 | 1.42 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | Haras El Hodood | 0-0 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 1 | pncl | 5.30 | 4.88 | 0.41 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | Everton W | 0-2 | Aston Villa W | 2 | nitrogen sports | 2.79 | 2.65 | 0.69 | ✓ | |
14:00 | Reading W | 2-1 | West Ham W | 2 | cloudbet | 2.59 | 2.47 | 0.70 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Montpellier | 5-0 | Angers SCO | 1 | 1XBet | 1.92 | 1.86 | 0.94 | ✓ | |
14:00 | Strasbourg | 0-1 | Brest | 1 | 1XBet | 2.14 | 2.06 | 0.83 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1-1 | Hannover 96 | 1 | Betsson | 1.95 | 1.89 | 0.94 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:30 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4-1 | Hertha BSC | 1 | 1XBet | 1.65 | 1.61 | 1.14 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | PAS Giannina | 0-1 | Volos NFC | 2 | cloudbet | 4.25 | 3.95 | 0.48 | ✓ | |
17:30 | OFI | 0-3 | AEK Athens | 2 | Bwin sports | 7.00 | 6.35 | 1.05 | ✓ | |
18:30 | PAOK | 6-0 | Ionikos | 1 | 188bet | 1.22 | 1.21 | 2.14 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:30 | Paykan | 0-0 | Zob Ahan | 2 | pncl | 3.09 | 2.92 | 0.60 | ☓ | |
12:30 | Tractor Sazi | 2-3 | Persepolis | 2 | sbo | 2.23 | 2.14 | 0.80 | ✓ | |
13:30 | Mes Rafsanjan | 4-0 | Sanat Naft | 1 | betclic | 1.59 | 1.55 | 1.21 | ✓ | |
14:30 | Sepahan | 3-1 | Havadar | 1 | pncl | 1.51 | 1.48 | 1.34 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:15 | Beitar Jerusalem | 1-3 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 1 | cashpoint | 2.24 | 2.15 | 0.82 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Inter | 2-0 | Lecce | 1 | pncl | 1.44 | 1.41 | 1.40 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Como | 1-0 | Modena | 2 | pncl | 3.87 | 3.62 | 0.51 | ☓ | |
14:00 | Frosinone | 3-0 | Venezia | 2 | betvictor | 5.75 | 5.27 | 0.39 | ☓ | |
14:00 | SPAL | 2-1 | Cittadella | 2 | pncl | 3.13 | 2.96 | 0.60 | ☓ | |
14:00 | Ternana | 2-2 | Benevento | 1 | pncl | 2.82 | 2.68 | 0.65 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05:00 | Gangwon | 0-1 | Ulsan | 1 | pncl | 4.68 | 4.33 | 0.45 | ☓ | |
07:30 | Gwangju | 0-2 | Seoul | 2 | cloudbet | 2.81 | 2.67 | 0.65 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:05 | América | 0-3 | Pachuca | 2 | 888sport | 4.90 | 4.53 | 0.45 | ✓ | |
18:00 | Pumas UNAM | 2-4 | Puebla | 1 | 188bet | 1.82 | 1.77 | 1.01 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:15 | Khouribga | 1-0 | Riadi Salmi | X | unibet | 3.20 | 3.02 | 0.60 | ☓ | |
19:30 | UTS Rabat | 1-1 | Moghreb Tétouan | 2 | pncl | 4.03 | 3.76 | 0.51 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:00 | Mioveni | 2-0 | Chindia Târgovişte | 2 | pncl | 3.05 | 2.88 | 0.61 | ☓ | |
19:00 | UTA Arad | 3-1 | FCSB | 1 | betfair | 4.40 | 4.09 | 0.46 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09:00 | Ufa | 4-1 | Veles | 2 | pncl | 4.89 | 4.52 | 0.44 | ☓ | |
10:00 | Yenisey | 2-1 | Volgar Astrakhan | 1 | 188bet | 1.98 | 1.91 | 0.96 | ✓ | |
11:30 | Akron | 0-0 | Krasnodar II | 1 | dafabet | 1.73 | 1.68 | 1.07 | ☓ | |
13:00 | Makhachkala | 0-0 | Arsenal Tula | 1 | marathon | 3.70 | 3.47 | 0.55 | ☓ | |
14:30 | Neftekhimik | 0-0 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz | 1 | pncl | 3.38 | 3.18 | 0.56 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:30 | Sochi | 2-0 | CSKA Moskva | 1 | marathon | 3.78 | 3.54 | 0.51 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:30 | Marumo Gallants FC | 0-0 | TS Galaxy | 1 | Betsson | 2.55 | 2.43 | 0.72 | ☓ | |
13:30 | Stellenbosch | 1-1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 2 | betcris | 1.87 | 1.81 | 0.96 | ☓ | |
13:30 | Chippa United | 0-2 | AmaZulu | 1 | pncl | 3.57 | 3.35 | 0.54 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | Leganés | 0-1 | UD Ibiza | 2 | cashpoint | 6.31 | 5.75 | 0.37 | ✓ | |
15:15 | Albacete | 2-1 | Sporting Gijón | 1 | 888sport | 2.28 | 2.19 | 0.78 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10:30 | Bodrumspor | 2-0 | Altay | 2 | pncl | 8.08 | 7.28 | 0.32 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | Beşiktaş | 2-1 | Ankaragücü | 2 | Betsson | 6.60 | 6.01 | 0.36 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:00 | Vorskla | 2-3 | Zorya | 2 | 188bet | 2.28 | 2.19 | 0.79 | ✓ | |
12:00 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 0-7 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 1XBet | 1.35 | 1.33 | 1.62 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:45 | Liverpool | 2-3 | La Luz | 2 | pncl | 6.14 | 5.61 | 0.38 | ✓ | |
22:30 | Cerro Largo | 0-0 | Wanderers | 2 | 888sport | 3.50 | 3.29 | 0.54 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:30 | Atlanta United | 1-1 | Toronto | 1 | cloudbet | 1.79 | 1.74 | 1.03 | ☓ | |
00:30 | New England | 3-0 | Houston Dynamo | 1 | dafabet | 1.85 | 1.79 | 0.98 | ✓ | |
00:30 | New York RB | 0-0 | Nashville SC | 1 | 188bet | 1.98 | 1.91 | 0.91 | ☓ | |
00:30 | Orlando City | 0-0 | Cincinnati | 2 | 188bet | 3.30 | 3.11 | 0.60 | ☓ | |
01:30 | Chicago Fire | 1-1 | New York City | 2 | cloudbet | 3.33 | 3.14 | 0.57 | ☓ | |
01:30 | Saint Louis City | 3-1 | Charlotte | 2 | pncl | 3.21 | 3.03 | 0.58 | ☓ |