Football Value Bets 2023-03-03
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
03/03/2023 evaluation: We are showing 31 value bet opportunities from 22 leagues with stake amount £33.19, where the result is £4.17. The average market margin of stakes worth £33.19 is -2.99. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.






















# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | Wydad Casablanca | 1-0 | Vita Club | 1 | pncl | 1.25 | 1.24 | 1.95 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23:00 | Sarmiento | 4-1 | Rosario Central | 1 | 888sport | 2.70 | 2.57 | 0.67 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08:45 | Adelaide United | 4-2 | Melbourne City | 2 | Bwin sports | 2.15 | 2.07 | 0.89 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | RSC Anderlecht II | 1-2 | Club Brugge II | 1 | pncl | 1.94 | 1.88 | 0.92 | ☓ | |
19:00 | Lommel United | 1-0 | Dender | 2 | pncl | 3.91 | 3.65 | 0.50 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | FC Helsingør | 2-0 | Hillerød | 2 | pncl | 3.85 | 3.60 | 0.53 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Future FC | 0-0 | Ismaily | 2 | cloudbet | 4.96 | 4.58 | 0.43 | ☓ | |
17:00 | Pyramids FC | 0-0 | Zamalek | 2 | pncl | 4.73 | 4.38 | 0.44 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Southend United | 0-1 | Barnet | 1 | Betsson | 1.75 | 1.70 | 1.05 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Bengaluru | 1-0 | Kerala Blasters | 1 | pncl | 2.21 | 2.12 | 0.82 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10:00 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 1-1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 2 | dafabet | 3.80 | 3.55 | 0.56 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:15 | Maghreb Fès | 0-0 | FUS Rabat | 1 | cloudbet | 3.23 | 3.05 | 0.58 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | FC Dordrecht | 0-1 | Almere City | 2 | Betsson | 1.90 | 1.84 | 1.07 | ✓ | |
19:00 | MVV Maastricht | 0-1 | VVV-Venlo | 2 | Betsson | 2.40 | 2.30 | 0.76 | ✓ | |
19:00 | PEC Zwolle | 13-0 | FC Den Bosch | 1 | cashpoint | 1.18 | 1.17 | 2.42 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Stal Mielec | 0-2 | Piast Gliwice | 2 | dafabet | 2.35 | 2.25 | 0.76 | ✓ | |
19:30 | Lech Poznań | 5-0 | Lechia Gdańsk | 1 | Betsson | 1.45 | 1.42 | 1.44 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | Boavista | 0-0 | Arouca | 1 | betfair | 2.40 | 2.30 | 0.76 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:30 | Al Sadd | 4-0 | Al Sailiya | 1 | pncl | 1.25 | 1.24 | 1.97 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | Al Khaleej | 0-3 | Al Ittihad | 2 | marathon | 1.53 | 1.50 | 1.28 | ✓ | |
17:30 | Al Nassr | 3-1 | Al Batin | 1 | cloudbet | 1.09 | 1.09 | 3.93 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:30 | Moroka Swallows | 1-4 | Orlando Pirates | 1 | pncl | 4.52 | 4.19 | 0.46 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:00 | Fortaleza | 4-0 | Deportivo Maldonado | 1 | dafabet | 1.36 | 1.34 | 1.58 | ✓ | |
00:00 | Millonarios | 2-1 | Universidad Católica | 1 | dafabet | 1.46 | 1.43 | 1.39 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:00 | FC Andorra | 0-0 | Las Palmas | 1 | Betsson | 2.95 | 2.79 | 0.67 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Göztepe | 1-1 | Boluspor | 2 | pncl | 3.87 | 3.62 | 0.51 | ☓ | |
17:00 | Pendikspor | 2-1 | Altınordu | 1 | dafabet | 1.61 | 1.57 | 1.21 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:00 | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | 1-0 | Kolos Kovalivka | 2 | cloudbet | 3.02 | 2.86 | 0.62 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:30 | Al Nasr | 0-1 | Al Wahda | 2 | betway | 1.91 | 1.85 | 0.94 | ✓ | |
13:30 | Al Dhafra | 0-2 | Al Wasl | 2 | 888sport | 1.48 | 1.45 | 1.34 | ✓ |