Football Value Bets 2023-02-28
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
28/02/2023 evaluation: We are showing 45 value bet opportunities from 22 leagues with stake amount £39.85, where the result is £-6.20. The average market margin of stakes worth £39.85 is -3.59. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:30 | Central Cordoba SdE | 1-0 | Argentinos Juniors | 1 | pncl | 4.89 | 4.52 | 0.43 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:30 | Resende | 1-2 | Ferroviário | 2 | pncl | 2.50 | 2.39 | 0.72 | ✓ | |
22:30 | Tocantinópolis | 1-1 | América Mineiro | 2 | pncl | 1.41 | 1.39 | 1.47 | ☓ | |
22:30 | Democrata GV | 1-1 | Santa Cruz | 2 | unibet | 3.55 | 3.33 | 0.54 | ☓ | |
23:00 | Real Noroeste | 1-1 | Vila Nova | 2 | unibet | 2.25 | 2.16 | 0.82 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:45 | Levski Sofia | 0-0 | Ludogorets | 2 | dafabet | 2.34 | 2.24 | 0.76 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:30 | Denguélé | 1-0 | Bouake | X | 1XBet | 3.04 | 2.88 | 0.61 | ☓ | |
18:00 | Lys Sassandra | 0-0 | SOA | 2 | pncl | 2.51 | 2.40 | 0.76 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | ENPPI | 1-2 | Al Masry | 1 | pncl | 4.07 | 3.79 | 0.49 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 2-1 | National Bank of Egypt | 2 | pncl | 4.12 | 3.84 | 0.49 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:15 | Stoke City | 0-1 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 2 | sportingbet | 1.58 | 1.54 | 1.21 | ✓ | |
20:00 | Bristol City | 0-3 | Manchester City | 2 | comeon | 1.25 | 1.24 | 1.99 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Lincoln City | 1-1 | Milton Keynes Dons | 2 | betfair | 3.60 | 3.38 | 0.53 | ☓ | |
19:45 | Peterborough United | 0-0 | Charlton Athletic | 1 | Betsson | 1.78 | 1.73 | 1.06 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Harrogate Town | 1-1 | Northampton Town | 2 | Betsson | 2.20 | 2.11 | 0.81 | ☓ | |
19:45 | Tranmere Rovers | 1-0 | Crawley Town | 1 | Betsson | 1.72 | 1.67 | 1.07 | ✓ | |
19:45 | Barrow | 1-1 | Salford City | 2 | Betsson | 2.95 | 2.79 | 0.63 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Torquay United | 1-2 | Bromley | 2 | pncl | 2.61 | 2.49 | 0.71 | ✓ | |
19:45 | Wrexham | 2-1 | Chesterfield | 1 | 188bet | 1.82 | 1.77 | 1.02 | ✓ | |
19:45 | Eastleigh | 1-0 | York City | 1 | pncl | 2.23 | 2.14 | 0.81 | ✓ | |
19:45 | Halifax Town | 5-0 | Wealdstone | 2 | pncl | 3.82 | 3.57 | 0.52 | ☓ | |
19:45 | Maidenhead United | 2-1 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 2 | pncl | 3.13 | 2.96 | 0.59 | ☓ | |
19:45 | Yeovil Town | 1-1 | Altrincham | 1 | Betsson | 3.50 | 3.29 | 0.55 | ☓ | |
19:45 | Boreham Wood | 1-0 | Dorking Wanderers | 1 | 888sport | 1.55 | 1.52 | 1.26 | ✓ | |
19:45 | Barnet | 1-3 | Oldham Athletic | 1 | Betsson | 1.95 | 1.89 | 0.95 | ☓ | |
19:45 | Maidstone United | 1-1 | Scunthorpe United | 1 | Bwin sports | 2.50 | 2.39 | 0.75 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:10 | Olympique Lyonnais | 2-1 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 1 | sportingbet | 1.29 | 1.27 | 1.81 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:00 | Havadar | 0-1 | Mes Rafsanjan | 1 | pncl | 3.67 | 3.44 | 0.53 | ☓ | |
11:30 | Nassaji Mazandaran | 1-1 | Esteghlal | 2 | betway | 1.78 | 1.73 | 1.04 | ☓ | |
13:00 | Aluminium Arak | 1-1 | Sepahan | 1 | cashpoint | 3.90 | 3.64 | 0.51 | ☓ | |
14:30 | Sanat Naft | 1-3 | Tractor Sazi | 2 | pncl | 2.28 | 2.19 | 0.78 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:30 | Parma | 0-1 | Pisa | 2 | pncl | 3.91 | 3.65 | 0.50 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03:10 | León | 1-1 | Monterrey | 1 | 1XBet | 2.86 | 2.71 | 0.64 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:15 | Moghreb Tétouan | 1-0 | Raja Casablanca | 2 | 888sport | 1.93 | 1.87 | 0.96 | ☓ | |
19:30 | Wydad Casablanca | 3-2 | Khouribga | 1 | betcris | 1.34 | 1.32 | 1.65 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | FC Utrecht | 1-4 | Spakenburg | 1 | dafabet | 1.16 | 1.15 | 2.70 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Hermannstadt | 0-1 | Universitatea Cluj | 2 | pncl | 3.31 | 3.12 | 0.57 | ✓ | |
16:00 | Chindia Târgovişte | 0-0 | U Craiova 1948 | 2 | 888sport | 2.65 | 2.52 | 0.71 | ☓ | |
18:30 | SSC Farul | 2-0 | Sepsi | 2 | tipico | 3.80 | 3.55 | 0.52 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:30 | Krasnodar | 1-0 | CSKA Moskva | 1 | pncl | 3.66 | 3.43 | 0.53 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
22:00 | Cerro Porteño | 1-0 | Curicó Unido | 1 | dafabet | 1.54 | 1.51 | 1.25 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Eyüpspor | 1-0 | Bodrumspor | 2 | 888sport | 4.10 | 3.82 | 0.49 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:00 | Wanderers | 1-1 | Liverpool | 2 | pncl | 2.41 | 2.31 | 0.74 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:15 | Brønshøj | 3-4 | AB | 2 | pncl | 1.50 | 1.47 | 1.34 | ✓ |