Football Value Bets 2022-11-18
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
To prove our expertise, we dare you to check our results. From the calendar on the left side, pick a date and look at how we did. For each day since 2018 you can see how we did.
Did you find a day with a negative result? Yes, this happens. It is impossible to guess correctly the outcomes of hundreds of thousands football fixtures and we are not doing that.
Our aim is a long term revenue over 10% and if you check, you will see we are even better than that. What we are doing is analysing thousands of fixtures by dozens of bookmakers and selecting only football value bets
Football value bets are the fixtures where the bookmaker is for some reason giving "too much".
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
18/11/2022 evaluation: We are showing 76 value bet opportunities from 45 leagues with stake amount £66.36, where the result is £-7.01. The average market margin of stakes worth £66.36 is -5.97. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.
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| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | Excelsior Virton | 0-2 | Standard Liège II | 2 | pncl | 3.77 | 3.53 | 0.52 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | Kortrijk U21 | 3-2 | Lommel U21 | 2 | 1XBet | 3.02 | 2.86 | 0.65 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:30 | Genk W | 2-0 | Club Brugge W | 2 | 1XBet | 2.97 | 2.81 | 0.62 | ☓ | |
| 19:30 | White Star Woluwé W | 2-0 | Mechelen W | 2 | unibet | 3.65 | 3.42 | 0.56 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | Suzhou Dongwu | 2-2 | Wuhan Yangtze | 1 | betregal | 4.10 | 3.82 | 0.91 | ☓ | |
| 07:30 | Dalian Professional | 0-1 | Hangzhou | 1 | betregal | 1.88 | 1.82 | 1.30 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | Kustošija | 2-3 | Solin | 1 | ladbrokes | 2.45 | 2.34 | 0.73 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:00 | Hranice | 3-0 | Viktoria Otrokovice | 2 | betclic | 3.00 | 2.84 | 0.66 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 | Slovácko | 1-0 | Mladá Boleslav | 2 | betcris | 4.17 | 3.88 | 0.52 | ☓ | |
| 16:00 | Karviná | 0-2 | Slavia Praha | X | tipico | 12.00 | 10.60 | 0.26 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | Al Nasr Taa'den | 3-1 | Asmant Asyut | 2 | unibet | 4.55 | 4.22 | 0.47 | ☓ | |
| 12:30 | Fayoum | 1-1 | El Minya | 1 | pncl | 2.41 | 2.31 | 0.75 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | Petrojet | 1-2 | Wadi Degla | 1 | pncl | 2.49 | 2.38 | 0.73 | ☓ | |
| 12:30 | Itesalat | 2-0 | Nasr | 1 | 1XBet | 1.69 | 1.65 | 1.10 | ✓ | |
| 12:30 | Kahraba Ismailia | 1-1 | Ilameen | 1 | 1XBet | 2.14 | 2.06 | 0.83 | ☓ | |
| 12:30 | Eastern Company SC | 0-0 | Tersana | 2 | pncl | 2.93 | 2.78 | 0.64 | ☓ | |
| 12:30 | Al Mostaqbal | 1-1 | El Entag El Harby | 2 | betvictor | 2.10 | 2.02 | 0.85 | ☓ | |
| 12:30 | ZED FC | 2-1 | Porto Suez | 1 | 188bet | 1.96 | 1.90 | 0.92 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | Derby County U21 | 1-1 | Brighton U21 | 2 | pncl | 1.45 | 1.42 | 1.39 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:00 | Ethiopia Bunna | 1-3 | Bahardar | 2 | tipico | 3.10 | 2.93 | 0.63 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | Lyon Duchère | 2-3 | Annecy | 1 | betway | 4.20 | 3.91 | 0.50 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | Sonnenhof Großaspach | 3-1 | Nöttingen | 1 | ladbrokes | 2.00 | 1.93 | 0.89 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | Cham | 0-0 | Gebenbach | 2 | pncl | 1.48 | 1.45 | 1.35 | ☓ | |
| 18:00 | SC Feucht | 3-2 | Geesdorf | 1 | 1XBet | 1.30 | 1.28 | 1.87 | ✓ | |
| 18:00 | ATSV Erlangen | 1-1 | Eintracht Bamberg | 1 | interwetten | 3.80 | 3.55 | 0.54 | ☓ | |
| 18:00 | DJK Bamberg | 3-0 | Würzburger FV | 2 | pncl | 3.19 | 3.01 | 0.60 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | Süderelbe | 0-2 | TSV Sasel | 2 | pncl | 2.00 | 1.93 | 0.91 | ✓ | |
| 18:30 | Wandsbeker TSV Concordia | 3-0 | Hamburger SV III | 1 | 1XBet | 1.37 | 1.35 | 1.56 | ✓ | |
| 18:30 | Victoria Hamburg | 5-2 | Niendorfer TSV | 2 | 1XBet | 2.60 | 2.48 | 0.69 | ☓ | |
| 18:30 | Harksheide | 2-2 | Hamm United | X | 1XBet | 4.20 | 3.91 | 0.48 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | Rot-Weiß Hadamar | 2-2 | Dietkirchen | 1 | 1XBet | 1.93 | 1.87 | 1.00 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:30 | Ahlerstedt / Ottendorf | 1-2 | Heeslinger SC | 2 | betregal | 2.46 | 2.35 | 0.85 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | Alemannia Waldalgesheim | 2-5 | Karbach | 1 | 1XBet | 2.80 | 2.66 | 0.65 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | Astoria Walldorf | 1-1 | Bahlinger SC | 2 | pncl | 2.78 | 2.64 | 0.66 | ☓ | |
| 18:00 | Kickers Offenbach | 2-1 | Eintracht Trier | 1 | pncl | 1.34 | 1.32 | 1.64 | ✓ | |
| 18:00 | Balingen | 1-0 | TuS RW Koblenz | 1 | pncl | 1.78 | 1.73 | 1.02 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:00 | Borussia M'gladbach II | 1-1 | Schalke 04 II | 1 | pncl | 2.49 | 2.38 | 0.79 | ☓ | |
| 18:30 | Rot-Weiß Oberhausen | 1-1 | FC Bocholt | 1 | pncl | 1.85 | 1.79 | 0.98 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:30 | Aizawl | 0-1 | Gokulam | 1 | 888sport | 3.55 | 3.33 | 0.54 | ☓ | |
| 11:00 | NEROCA | 1-0 | Sudeva | 2 | pncl | 4.28 | 3.98 | 0.47 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:45 | Saipa | 2-1 | Arman Gohar | X | 1XBet | 2.63 | 2.51 | 0.69 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 | Chabab Ben Guerir | 0-1 | Raja Beni Mellal | 1 | 1XBet | 2.05 | 1.98 | 0.91 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:45 | FC Eindhoven | 3-0 | Telstar | 1 | pncl | 2.34 | 2.24 | 0.76 | ✓ | |
| 20:00 | Helmond Sport | 0-2 | De Graafschap | 2 | cashpoint | 1.94 | 1.88 | 0.95 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:00 | Pogon Szczecin U19 | 10-1 | Legnica U19 | 1 | 1XBet | 1.30 | 1.28 | 1.78 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:30 | Lechia Gdańsk | 2-1 | Górnik Zabrze | 2 | titanbet | 2.70 | 2.57 | 0.68 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | Arouca | 1-1 | Feirense | 1 | pncl | 1.98 | 1.91 | 0.91 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | Csikszereda II | 0-2 | Rapid Brodoc | 2 | 1XBet | 5.90 | 5.40 | 0.38 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | Aerostar Bacău | 5-1 | Dinamo Bacău | 1 | betfair | 1.18 | 1.17 | 3.48 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | Muscelul Câmpulung Elite | 1-1 | FCSB II | X | 1XBet | 7.50 | 6.78 | 0.43 | ✓ | |
| 12:00 | Popești-Leordeni | 4-0 | Real Bradu | 1 | marathonbet | 1.55 | 1.52 | 1.25 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | Odorheiu Secuiesc | 2-1 | SR Municipal Braşov | 1 | dafabet | 1.79 | 1.74 | 1.04 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | CS U Craiova II | 0-0 | Viitorul Dăești | X | betfair | 3.75 | 3.51 | 0.53 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | Filiaşi | 0-5 | Cetate Deva | 1 | betfair | 2.70 | 2.57 | 0.67 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | Pobeda Stár Bišnov | 1-1 | Phoenix Buziaș | 1 | pncl | 3.37 | 3.17 | 0.56 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | Unirea Alba Iulia | 4-0 | ACS Târgu Mureș 1898 | 2 | 1XBet | 3.14 | 2.97 | 0.59 | ☓ | |
| 12:00 | Metalurgistul Cugir | 1-0 | Universitatea Alba Iulia | 1 | 1XBet | 1.92 | 1.86 | 1.09 | ✓ | |
| 12:00 | Avântul Reghin | 2-2 | Ocna Mureș | 1 | pncl | 1.34 | 1.32 | 1.64 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:00 | Marines | 3-0 | Etincelles | 1 | 1XBet | 4.02 | 3.75 | 0.52 | ✓ | |
| 13:00 | Gorilla | 2-0 | Bugesera | X | 1XBet | 3.00 | 2.84 | 0.63 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:00 | Mačva Šabac | 2-2 | Inđija | 1 | 1XBet | 2.91 | 2.76 | 0.63 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:00 | Arucas | 3-1 | Villa Santa Brígida | 2 | 1XBet | 3.00 | 2.84 | 0.66 | ☓ | |
| 21:00 | Ibarra | 0-0 | Marino | 1 | betregal | 3.30 | 3.11 | 0.73 | ☓ | |
| 21:00 | Tamaraceite | 0-2 | UD San Fernando | 1 | 1XBet | 2.65 | 2.52 | 0.69 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:30 | Neuchâtel Xamax | 1-1 | Wil | 2 | titanbet | 2.55 | 2.43 | 0.74 | ☓ | |
| 19:15 | Bellinzona | 1-3 | Thun | 2 | sbo | 2.16 | 2.08 | 0.83 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:00 | Wakiso Giants | 2-0 | Gadafi | 2 | 1XBet | 6.25 | 5.70 | 0.37 | ☓ | |
| 13:00 | Vipers | 4-0 | UPDF | 1 | betclic | 1.27 | 1.25 | 1.92 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 | Zorya | 4-1 | Oleksandria | 2 | 1XBet | 3.76 | 3.52 | 0.52 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | Công An Nhân Dân U21 | 0-2 | Ha Noi U21 | 2 | 1XBet | 2.30 | 2.21 | 0.78 | ✓ | |
| 08:00 | Tiền Giang U21 | 1-1 | Dong Nai U21 | 1 | marathonbet | 7.10 | 6.44 | 0.39 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:30 | Taff's Well | 2-0 | Abergavenny Town | 1 | 1XBet | 1.50 | 1.47 | 1.31 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:00 | Aberystwyth Town | 2-1 | Pontypridd Town AFC | 2 | sportingbet | 2.55 | 2.43 | 0.73 | ☓ |