Football Value Bets 2022-11-17
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
17/11/2022 evaluation: We are showing 46 value bet opportunities from 23 leagues with stake amount £40.31, where the result is £-2.12. The average market margin of stakes worth £40.31 is -3.63. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.























# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Aïn M'lila | 1-0 | JS Bordj Ménaïel | 1 | 888sport | 3.20 | 3.02 | 0.59 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:30 | Palmeiras W | 1-0 | Ferroviária W | 1 | cloudbet | 1.56 | 1.53 | 1.27 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
06:00 | Zhenjiang Huasa | 0-4 | Tianjin Teda | 1 | betfair | 2.63 | 2.51 | 0.70 | ☓ | |
06:00 | Yanbian Longding | 1-5 | Cangzhou Mighty Lions | X | 10bet | 32.00 | 26.91 | 0.20 | ☓ | |
06:30 | Zibo Sunday | 1-0 | Shenzhen | 1 | dafabet | 12.00 | 10.60 | 0.37 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:30 | Sporting Gagnoa | 0-0 | SOA | 1 | 1XBet | 1.72 | 1.67 | 1.10 | ☓ | |
16:00 | ASEC Mimosas | 0-0 | AFAD | 1 | betclic | 1.86 | 1.80 | 0.99 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 | Uherský Brod | 1-1 | Slovan Rosice | 2 | unibet | 1.66 | 1.62 | 1.15 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Zlín | 0-1 | Vyškov | 1 | 188bet | 1.71 | 1.66 | 1.08 | ☓ | |
16:00 | Teplice | 2-3 | Zbrojovka Brno | 1 | pncl | 2.62 | 2.50 | 0.69 |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | Adama Kenema | 1-2 | Welayta Dicha | 1 | 1XBet | 1.87 | 1.81 | 1.02 | ☓ | |
16:00 | Kedus Giorgis | 0-0 | Mekelakeya | 2 | 1XBet | 7.20 | 6.52 | 0.35 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:00 | Mixco | 2-2 | Cobán Imperial | 1 | pncl | 2.90 | 2.75 | 0.64 | ☓ | |
03:00 | Xelajú | 1-1 | Municipal | 1 | sbo | 2.11 | 2.03 | 0.84 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Mumbai City | 4-0 | Bengaluru | 1 | 188bet | 1.61 | 1.57 | 1.20 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Virtus Entella | 1-1 | Lucchese | 2 | marathonbet | 4.55 | 4.22 | 0.47 |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | Harbour View | 1-1 | Mount Pleasant Academy | 1 | pncl | 3.22 | 3.04 | 0.59 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:00 | Trepça'89 | 3-0 | KF Kika | 2 | cashpoint | 6.24 | 5.69 | 0.38 | ☓ | |
11:00 | Trepça Mitrovicë | 0-5 | Gjilani | 1 | 1XBet | 5.10 | 4.70 | 0.48 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | Banga | 0-2 | Žalgiris | 1 | nordicbet | 11.00 | 9.76 | 0.28 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:00 | Swieqi | 3-0 | Fgura United | X | marathon | 3.75 | 3.51 | 0.52 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:45 | Jong PSV | 2-1 | Jong Utrecht | 1 | nordicbet | 1.75 | 1.70 | 1.05 | ✓ | |
20:00 | Jong AZ | 1-1 | Jong Ajax | 2 | 1XBet | 3.18 | 3.00 | 0.59 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10:00 | Arka Gdynia U19 | 5-1 | Cracovia U19 | 2 | marathon | 4.85 | 4.48 | 0.44 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:30 | Penafiel | 1-2 | Moreirense | 2 | pncl | 2.61 | 2.49 | 0.69 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | Slavoj Trebišov | 3-1 | Šamorín | 2 | cloudbet | 3.00 | 2.84 | 0.62 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:00 | Ihefu | 1-2 | Polisi Tanzania | 1 | betfair | 2.30 | 2.21 | 0.90 | ☓ | |
16:00 | Young Africans | 4-1 | Singida Big Stars | 1 | 1XBet | 1.57 | 1.53 | 1.31 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:00 | Inhulets | 1-2 | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | pncl | 1.33 | 1.31 | 1.68 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02:00 | Nicaragua | 1-0 | El Salvador | 1 | marathonbet | 2.92 | 2.77 | 0.63 | ✓ | |
10:00 | Ghana | 2-0 | Switzerland | 2 | betway | 2.05 | 1.98 | 0.93 | ☓ | |
14:00 | Iraq | Costa Rica | 2 | Betsson | 2.10 | 2.02 | 0.88 | |||
15:00 | Tajikistan | 0-0 | Russia | 1 | betregal | 28.75 | 24.31 | 0.22 | ☓ | |
16:00 | Jordan | 1-3 | Spain | 2 | cloudbet | 1.10 | 1.09 | 3.65 | ✓ | |
16:00 | Syria | 0-1 | Belarus | 1 | cashpoint | 8.35 | 7.51 | 0.39 | ☓ | |
16:00 | Morocco | 3-0 | Georgia | 2 | betregal | 7.10 | 6.44 | 0.37 | ☓ | |
16:00 | Rwanda | 0-0 | Sudan | 1 | 1XBet | 2.15 | 2.07 | 0.89 | ☓ | |
17:00 | Malta | 2-2 | Greece | 2 | bet-at-home | 1.51 | 1.48 | 1.34 | ☓ | |
18:30 | South Africa | 2-1 | Mozambique | 1 | betcris | 1.49 | 1.46 | 1.38 | ✓ | |
18:45 | Portugal | 4-0 | Nigeria | 1 | ladbrokes | 1.33 | 1.31 | 1.69 | ✓ | |
19:00 | Luxembourg | 2-2 | Hungary | 2 | betway | 1.73 | 1.68 | 1.06 | ☓ | |
19:45 | Republic of Ireland | 1-2 | Norway | 2 | pncl | 3.16 | 2.98 | 0.59 | ✓ | |
22:00 | St. Lucia | 1-1 | San Marino | 2 | betfair | 5.00 | 4.61 | 0.44 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Japan U20 | 3-2 | Slovakia U20 | 1 | unibet | 1.75 | 1.70 | 1.05 | ✓ | |
17:00 | France U20 | 6-0 | Indonesia U20 | 1 | sbo | 1.09 | 1.09 | 3.93 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | Kansanshi Dynamos | 1-1 | Zanaco | X | 1XBet | 2.60 | 2.48 | 0.72 | ✓ |