Football Value Bets 2022-11-16
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
16/11/2022 evaluation: We are showing 54 value bet opportunities from 26 leagues with stake amount £56.16, where the result is £10.62. The average market margin of stakes worth £56.16 is -5.05. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.


























# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
22:30 | Corinthians W | 1-0 | Santos W | 1 | marathonbet | 1.88 | 1.82 | 0.98 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:30 | Strumska slava | 0-2 | Spartak Varna | 2 | titanbet | 1.50 | 1.47 | 1.41 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
06:00 | Shijiazhuang Kungfu | 2-6 | Meizhou Hakka | 2 | Bwin sports | 1.26 | 1.25 | 2.33 | ✓ | |
06:00 | Jinan Xingzhou | 1-0 | Changchun Yatai | 1 | betregal | 12.40 | 10.93 | 0.30 | ✓ | |
06:30 | Sichuan | 2-4 | Guangzhou Evergrande | 1 | betfair | 4.60 | 4.26 | 1.11 | ☓ | |
07:30 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 3-0 | Hebei CFFC | 1 | 10bet | 1.10 | 1.09 | 5.00 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:00 | Atlético Huila | 1-0 | Boyacá Chicó | 2 | pncl | 3.19 | 3.01 | 0.59 |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Salford City | 0-3 | Peterborough United | 1 | betway | 4.33 | 4.02 | 0.50 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Milton Keynes Dons W | 0-1 | Oxford United W | 1 | 1XBet | 4.22 | 3.93 | 0.48 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | Sidama Bunna | 0-4 | Ethiopian Medhin | 1 | 1XBet | 2.75 | 2.61 | 0.66 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | CFC Hertha | 2-1 | SV Blau-WeiY 90 Berlin | 2 | unibet | 3.15 | 2.97 | 0.59 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Aduana Stars | 2-1 | Berekum Chelsea | 1 | 1XBet | 1.35 | 1.33 | 1.99 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Karela United | 0-1 | King Faisal | 1 | interwetten | 1.43 | 1.40 | 1.72 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Guastatoya | 2-0 | Achuapa | 1 | betvictor | 1.65 | 1.61 | 1.14 | ✓ | |
23:00 | Xinabajul | 2-1 | Santa Lucia | 2 | Bwin sports | 16.00 | 13.93 | 0.35 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:30 | Alessandria | 0-2 | Renate | 1 | tipico | 2.90 | 2.75 | 0.63 | ☓ | |
14:00 | Viterbese | 1-0 | Pontedera | 1 | pncl | 2.58 | 2.46 | 0.71 | ✓ | |
16:00 | Catanzaro | 3-3 | Avellino | 2 | pncl | 6.20 | 5.66 | 0.38 | ||
17:00 | Rimini | 1-1 | Vicenza | 2 | nordicbet | 2.60 | 2.48 | 0.70 | ||
19:30 | Foggia | 2-0 | Crotone | 2 | tipico | 3.00 | 2.84 | 0.62 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:30 | Casertana | 3-2 | Aversa Normanna | 1 | marathon | 1.63 | 1.59 | 1.16 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | Naxxar Lions | 5-1 | Oratory | 1 | Bwin sports | 1.15 | 1.14 | 3.11 | ✓ | |
20:00 | St. Andrews | 0-4 | St. Patrick | 2 | 1XBet | 4.20 | 3.91 | 0.48 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Sandefjord | 4-0 | Kongsvinger | 1 | pncl | 2.08 | 2.01 | 0.86 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Shabab Al-Dhahiriya | 1-1 | Thagafi Tulkarm | 1 | cloudbet | 2.12 | 2.04 | 0.85 | ☓ | |
14:00 | Islami Kalkelea | 0-3 | Shabab Al Khaleel | X | cloudbet | 6.75 | 6.14 | 0.35 | ☓ | |
14:00 | Shabab Al Am'ari | 1-3 | Jabal Al Mukaber | 2 | 1XBet | 1.39 | 1.37 | 1.53 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:15 | Farense | 3-1 | Trofense | 1 | dafabet | 1.40 | 1.38 | 1.60 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Fakel | 0-2 | Zenit | 2 | 1XBet | 1.43 | 1.40 | 1.43 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | Lipany | 3-1 | Slávia TU Košice | 1 | 1XBet | 1.60 | 1.56 | 1.23 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | OFK Malzenice | 1-2 | Hamsik Academy | 2 | marathonbet | 7.60 | 6.87 | 0.33 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | Unión Molinense | 3-1 | Deportiva Minera | 2 | betfair | 6.00 | 5.49 | 0.38 | ☓ | |
19:30 | Lorca Deportiva | 3-2 | Real Murcia II | 2 | 1XBet | 3.46 | 3.25 | 0.55 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | Beti Onak | 2-4 | Huarte | 1 | betregal | 2.70 | 2.57 | 0.91 | ☓ | |
19:30 | Cantolagua | 1-3 | Cortes | 2 | pncl | 4.12 | 3.84 | 0.52 | ✓ | |
20:00 | Azkoyen | 0-1 | Lagunak | 1 | marathon | 2.91 | 2.76 | 0.66 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:00 | Mtibwa Sugar | 2-1 | Coastal Union | 1 | pncl | 2.54 | 2.42 | 0.71 | ✓ | |
13:00 | Tanzania Prisons | 2-4 | Geita Gold | X | 888sport | 2.70 | 2.57 | 0.68 | ☓ | |
16:00 | Simba | 1-0 | Namungo | 1 | betcris | 1.39 | 1.37 | 1.57 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
06:30 | Tay Ninh U21 | 0-2 | Gia Dinh U21 | 2 | pncl | 1.20 | 1.19 | 2.32 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | Côte d'Ivoire | 4-0 | Burundi | 1 | nordicbet | 1.42 | 1.40 | 1.49 | ✓ | |
17:00 | Czech Republic | 5-0 | Faroe Islands | 1 | sbo | 1.15 | 1.14 | 2.68 | ✓ | |
17:00 | Turkey | 2-1 | Scotland | 1 | marathon | 2.21 | 2.12 | 0.81 | ✓ | |
18:00 | Gibraltar | 2-0 | Liechtenstein | 2 | pncl | 5.14 | 4.74 | 0.42 | ☓ | |
19:30 | Mexico | 1-2 | Sweden | 1 | 1XBet | 2.26 | 2.17 | 0.79 | ☓ | |
19:30 | Algeria | 1-1 | Mali | 1 | 888sport | 1.78 | 1.73 | 1.03 | ☓ | |
19:45 | Albania | 1-3 | Italy | 2 | marathon | 1.48 | 1.45 | 1.34 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Italy U19 | 3-0 | Hungary U19 | 1 | pncl | 1.46 | 1.43 | 1.38 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | Kabwe Warriors | 1-1 | Buildcon | 1 | interwetten | 1.95 | 1.89 | 0.96 | ☓ | |
13:00 | Nkwazi | 1-1 | Prison Leopards | 2 | 1XBet | 4.16 | 3.87 | 0.49 | ☓ | |
13:00 | ZESCO United | 1-3 | Green Buffaloes | X | tipico | 2.60 | 2.48 | 0.70 | ☓ | |
13:00 | Green Eagles | 0-1 | Nkana | 1 | pncl | 2.48 | 2.37 | 0.74 | ☓ | |
13:00 | NAPSA Stars | 1-2 | Chambishi | 2 | 888sport | 5.70 | 5.22 | 0.39 | ✓ | |
13:00 | Power Dynamos | 1-0 | Nchanga Rangers | 1 | 1XBet | 1.67 | 1.63 | 1.19 | ✓ |