Football Value Bets 2022-11-14
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
14/11/2022 evaluation: We are showing 47 value bet opportunities from 34 leagues with stake amount £33.41, where the result is £-8.93. The average market margin of stakes worth £33.41 is -3.01. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.


































# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | Leotar | 0-1 | Borac Banja Luka | 2 | pncl | 1.72 | 1.67 | 1.10 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Botev Vratsa | 0-0 | Septemvri Sofia | 2 | nitrogen sports | 3.40 | 3.20 | 0.63 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:30 | ASFA-Yennenga | 0-1 | Vitesse | 2 | pncl | 4.46 | 4.14 | 0.48 | ✓ | |
17:45 | USFA | 4-1 | Royal | 1 | pncl | 2.88 | 2.73 | 0.67 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | SønderjyskE | 0-1 | Vejle | 1 | marathonbet | 2.91 | 2.76 | 0.72 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 | Aluminium Nag Hammadi | 0-1 | Asyut Petrol | 1 | pncl | 2.93 | 2.78 | 0.63 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 | Nasr | 1-1 | Kahraba Ismailia | 1 | pncl | 1.95 | 1.89 | 0.93 | ☓ | |
12:30 | El Seka El Hadid | 2-2 | Itesalat | 1 | pncl | 2.83 | 2.69 | 0.64 | ☓ | |
12:30 | Wadi Degla | 3-2 | Suez | X | betfair | 3.00 | 2.84 | 0.62 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:30 | Chelmsford City | 0-1 | Barnet | 1 | unibet | 2.60 | 2.48 | 0.69 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Hashtag United | 3-1 | New Salamis | 2 | pncl | 3.76 | 3.52 | 0.53 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Brighouse Town | 6-0 | Pontefract Collieries | 2 | pncl | 1.95 | 1.89 | 0.94 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Kings Langley | 0-1 | Rushall Olympic | 2 | dafabet | 2.07 | 2.00 | 0.87 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | Bristol City U21 | 4-0 | Newcastle United U21 | 2 | 1XBet | 3.16 | 2.98 | 0.63 | ☓ | |
14:00 | Wolves U21 | 1-0 | Sunderland U21 | 2 | marathonbet | 6.20 | 5.66 | 0.37 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Birmingham City U21 | 0-2 | Cardiff City U21 | 1 | pncl | 2.91 | 2.76 | 0.78 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:00 | Nancy | 0-0 | Sedan | 1 | pncl | 1.87 | 1.81 | 0.96 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | 1860 München | 1-1 | Rot-Weiss Essen | 1 | 188bet | 2.05 | 1.98 | 0.88 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:30 | OFI | 2-1 | Levadiakos | 1 | marathonbet | 1.92 | 1.86 | 0.98 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | Almopos | 0-1 | Panserraikos | X | dafabet | 4.60 | 4.26 | 0.50 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:30 | Minerva Punjab | 2-1 | Sreenidi Deccan | 1 | pncl | 2.15 | 2.07 | 0.87 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 1-1 | Hapoel Acre | 2 | pncl | 3.32 | 3.13 | 0.57 | ☓ | |
17:00 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 1-0 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion | 1 | pncl | 2.93 | 2.78 | 0.63 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:15 | Beitar Jerusalem | 2-1 | Bnei Sakhnin | 2 | pncl | 2.76 | 2.62 | 0.66 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Verona U19 | 0-0 | Frosinone U19 | 2 | tipico | 2.55 | 2.43 | 0.71 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:30 | Virtus Entella | 0-0 | Cesena | 2 | pncl | 3.03 | 2.87 | 0.63 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:00 | Lija Athletic | 2-4 | Zejtun Corinthians | 2 | betregal | 1.81 | 1.76 | 1.11 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Moghreb Tétouan | 0-2 | FAR Rabat | 1 | 888sport | 4.40 | 4.09 | 0.49 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | Jong Ajax | 4-4 | FC Den Bosch | 1 | pncl | 1.77 | 1.72 | 1.04 | ☓ | |
19:00 | Jong Utrecht | 3-0 | MVV Maastricht | 1 | marathonbet | 2.40 | 2.30 | 0.75 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Crusaders | 0-1 | Ballymena United | 1 | unibet | 1.29 | 1.27 | 1.79 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Coleraine U20 | 2-1 | Carrick Rangers U20 | 2 | ladbrokes | 4.50 | 4.17 | 0.46 | ☓ | |
19:45 | Glenavon U20 | 6-1 | Cliftonville U20 | 2 | marathonbet | 3.65 | 3.42 | 0.54 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | Mafra | 1-1 | Leixões | 2 | pncl | 3.41 | 3.21 | 0.56 | ☓ | |
18:00 | Tondela | 1-1 | Moreirense | 2 | pncl | 2.31 | 2.22 | 0.77 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | Universitatea Cluj | 1-1 | Argeş | 2 | betfair | 5.50 | 5.05 | 0.44 | ☓ | |
19:00 | Botoşani | 0-0 | Hermannstadt | 2 | intertops | 3.00 | 2.84 | 0.64 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:25 | Al Quadisiya | 1-0 | Al Qaisoma | 2 | pncl | 3.94 | 3.68 | 0.50 | ☓ | |
14:30 | Hajer | 1-0 | Al Kholood | 1 | pncl | 2.79 | 2.65 | 0.65 | ✓ | |
15:05 | Najran | 2-1 | Al Orubah | 1 | pncl | 2.94 | 2.79 | 0.64 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Trajal Krusevac | 1-0 | Železničar Pančevo | 2 | betregal | 2.64 | 2.51 | 0.82 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:30 | El Palmar | 2-5 | Racing Murcia | 1 | marathonbet | 3.88 | 3.63 | 0.54 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Göztepe | 2-1 | Keçiörengücü | 2 | pncl | 2.80 | 2.66 | 0.65 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:00 | Metal Kharkiv | 0-1 | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | 2 | 1XBet | 2.96 | 2.80 | 0.62 | ✓ | |
12:00 | Chornomorets | 2-0 | Lviv | 1 | 1XBet | 2.47 | 2.36 | 0.72 | ✓ | |
13:00 | Rukh Vynnyky | 1-1 | Minai | 2 | 1XBet | 4.26 | 3.96 | 0.47 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:30 | San Antonio | 3-1 | Louisville City | 2 | pncl | 3.18 | 3.00 | 0.59 | ☓ |