Football Value Bets 2022-10-27
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
27/10/2022 evaluation: We are showing 59 value bet opportunities from 33 leagues with stake amount £52.58, where the result is £4.41. The average market margin of stakes worth £52.58 is -4.73. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.

































# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:30 | Patronato | 1-1 | Boca Juniors | 1 | marathonbet | 3.14 | 2.97 | 0.65 |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23:00 | Goiás | 2-2 | Real Noroeste | 1 | interwetten | 2.40 | 2.30 | 0.82 |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:45 | Internacional | 2-1 | Ceará | 1 | 188bet | 1.68 | 1.64 | 1.12 | ✓ | |
23:00 | São Paulo | 2-1 | Atlético GO | 2 | marathonbet | 6.60 | 6.01 | 0.36 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08:00 | Nanjing City | 2-3 | Shaanxi Chang'an | 1 | nitrogen sports | 4.37 | 4.06 | 0.47 | ☓ | |
08:00 | Shanghai Jiading | 2-3 | Heilongjiang Lava Spring | 2 | nitrogen sports | 3.30 | 3.11 | 0.79 | ✓ | |
08:00 | Zhenjiang Huasa | 3-0 | Jiangxi Liansheng | 1 | sbo | 1.11 | 1.10 | 3.54 | ✓ | |
08:00 | Qingdao Jonoon | 2-0 | BIT | 1 | betregal | 1.16 | 1.15 | 3.67 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02:00 | Millonarios | 1-2 | Independiente Medellín | 2 | 888sport | 6.75 | 6.14 | 0.38 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:30 | ES Bafing | 2-1 | Sporting Gagnoa | 1 | betcris | 4.88 | 4.51 | 0.45 | ✓ | |
19:00 | Bassam | 0-0 | ASEC Mimosas | 1 | tipico | 7.00 | 6.35 | 0.35 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Aluminium Nag Hammadi | 1-2 | Kima Aswan | 1 | tipico | 2.70 | 2.57 | 0.67 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02:30 | Atletico Marte | 0-0 | Águila | 2 | pncl | 2.09 | 2.01 | 0.89 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | Stoke City U21 | 1-1 | Burnley U21 | 2 | 888sport | 2.75 | 2.61 | 0.72 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Ethiopia Bunna | 2-0 | Arba Minch Kenema | 2 | 1XBet | 3.26 | 3.07 | 0.58 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:45 | Juventus W | 1-1 | Lyon W | 2 | cloudbet | 1.68 | 1.64 | 1.15 | ☓ | |
20:00 | Arsenal W | 3-1 | Zurich W | X | betclic | 35.50 | 29.70 | 0.17 | ☓ | |
20:00 | SL Benfica W | 2-3 | Bayern Munich W | 2 | pncl | 1.11 | 1.10 | 3.34 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:45 | Zürich | 2-1 | Bodø / Glimt | 1 | marathonbet | 3.56 | 3.34 | 0.56 | ✓ | |
17:45 | PSV | 2-0 | Arsenal | 2 | marathon | 2.49 | 2.38 | 0.72 | ☓ | |
17:45 | Malmö FF | 0-2 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 2 | unibet | 1.93 | 1.87 | 1.00 | ✓ | |
20:00 | Manchester United | 3-0 | Sheriff | 1 | interwetten | 1.15 | 1.14 | 2.79 | ✓ | |
20:00 | SC Freiburg | 1-1 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 | 1XBet | 1.44 | 1.41 | 1.41 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | Nueva Concepción | 2-1 | Juventud Pinulteca | 1 | cloudbet | 2.13 | 2.05 | 0.88 | ✓ | |
19:30 | Coatepecano IB | 1-1 | San Pedro | 2 | pncl | 5.68 | 5.21 | 0.39 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Odisha FC | 1-0 | Bengaluru | 1 | 1XBet | 2.36 | 2.26 | 0.76 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:30 | Cilegon United | Bhayangkara | 2 | interwetten | 1.95 | 1.89 | 0.94 |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 | Tractor Sazi | 1-1 | Malavan | 2 | pncl | 6.93 | 6.29 | 0.35 | ☓ | |
14:30 | Sanat Naft | 1-1 | Paykan | 1 | 1XBet | 3.50 | 3.29 | 0.56 | ☓ | |
14:30 | Persepolis | 1-0 | Mes Kerman | 1 | nitrogen sports | 1.56 | 1.53 | 1.29 | ✓ | |
16:30 | Foolad | 1-2 | Gol Gohar | 1 | 1XBet | 2.95 | 2.79 | 0.64 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | Maccabi Emek Hefer W | 3-0 | ASA Tel Aviv | 1 | betfair | 1.62 | 1.58 | 1.18 | ✓ | |
18:30 | Hapoel Jerusalem | 0-0 | Maccabi Kishronot Hadera W | 1 | pncl | 1.76 | 1.71 | 1.04 | ☓ | |
18:30 | Hapoel Petach Tikva W | 3-2 | Ironi Ramat HaSharon W | 2 | pncl | 1.80 | 1.75 | 1.06 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05:30 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 3-3 | Ehime | 1 | marathonbet | 2.67 | 2.54 | 0.68 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Al Salt | 3-0 | Sahab | 2 | comeon | 3.35 | 3.15 | 0.56 | ☓ | |
17:30 | Moghayer Al Sarhan | 0-2 | Al Sareeh | 1 | 10bet | 2.40 | 2.30 | 0.75 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:00 | Seoul | 2-2 | Jeonbuk Motors | 1 | 888sport | 3.30 | 3.11 | 0.59 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:00 | Boeun Sangmu W | 1-0 | Changnyeong W | 2 | pncl | 3.12 | 2.95 | 0.60 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:35 | Al Arabi SC | 2-1 | Al Fahaheel | 1 | 188bet | 1.88 | 1.82 | 0.98 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | PDRM | 0-3 | Kuala Lumpur | 1 | marathonbet | 9.50 | 8.49 | 0.30 | ☓ | |
14:00 | Pahang | 1-5 | Terengganu | 1 | betvictor | 4.00 | 3.73 | 0.51 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:05 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 1-2 | Atlante | 2 | 888sport | 2.80 | 2.66 | 0.71 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
22:00 | Cruz Azul W | 0-1 | Guadalajara W | 2 | pncl | 1.94 | 1.88 | 1.00 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:15 | FAR Rabat | 2-1 | Hassania Agadir | 1 | intertops | 2.20 | 2.11 | 0.86 | ✓ | |
20:30 | RSB Berkane | 1-0 | Khouribga | X | 1XBet | 3.54 | 3.32 | 0.54 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02:00 | Olimpia | 3-2 | Alajuelense | 1 | betway | 2.05 | 1.98 | 0.87 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:00 | UNAN Managua | 0-0 | H&H Export | 2 | betclic | 4.75 | 4.39 | 0.54 | ☓ | |
02:00 | Jalapa | 1-0 | Walter Ferreti | 2 | marathonbet | 2.83 | 2.69 | 0.66 | ☓ | |
02:00 | Real Estelí | 2-1 | Juventus Managua | 1 | 1XBet | 1.23 | 1.22 | 2.36 | ✓ | |
03:00 | Managua | 1-2 | Diriangén | 2 | interwetten | 3.25 | 3.06 | 0.76 | ✓ | |
22:00 | Matagalpa | 1-0 | Deportivo Ocotal | 2 | 1XBet | 2.82 | 2.68 | 0.71 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02:00 | Deportivo Universitario | 1-0 | Plaza Amador | X | marathonbet | 2.92 | 2.77 | 0.63 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | 12 de Octubre | 4-0 | Sportivo Ameliano | 1 | pncl | 3.55 | 3.33 | 0.55 | ✓ | |
14:00 | Resistencia | 1-6 | Olimpia | 2 | 1XBet | 1.41 | 1.39 | 1.66 | ✓ | |
21:00 | Nacional Asunción | 3-0 | Guaireña | 2 | pncl | 5.67 | 5.20 | 0.39 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Dinamo Bucureşti | 0-0 | CSM Slatina | 2 | tipico | 4.80 | 4.44 | 0.44 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10:00 | DAC U19 | 2-1 | FC Košice U19 | 1 | ladbrokes | 2.45 | 2.34 | 0.82 | ✓ |