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Football Value Bets 2022-10-17

You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.

Did you find a day with a negative result? Yes, this happens. It is impossible to guess correctly the outcomes of hundreds of thousands football fixtures and we are not doing that. Football value bets are the fixtures where the bookmaker is for some reason giving "too much".
  1. Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
  2. Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
  3. Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
  4. Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
  5. Make sure to start out small.
Football value bets shown on this page are based on the fact that every now and then a bookmaker gives odds that are much higher compared to the competition, and this is what we are showing. Make sure to check football predictions that cover the majority of the football betting spectrum.

17/10/2022 evaluation: We are showing 87 value bet opportunities from 54 leagues with stake amount £77.13, where the result is £-0.37. The average market margin of stakes worth £77.13 is -6.94. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.

# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
19:30 Atlas 0-0 El Porvenir 1 marathonbet 1.78 1.73 1.06
19:30 Claypole 1-0 San Martín Burzaco 1 Bwin sports 1.88 1.82 0.96
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Banfield Res. 0-0 Independiente Res. 1 1XBet 2.65 2.52 0.71
15:00 Defensa y Justicia Res. 0-1 Colón Res. 2 marathonbet 3.66 3.43 0.54
15:00 Racing Club Res. 3-1 Lanús Res. 2 marathonbet 3.24 3.06 0.62
15:00 Tigre Res. 1-0 Central Córdoba SdE Res. 2 1XBet 4.98 4.60 0.43
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
18:00 Arsenal de Sarandi 1-2 Barracas Central 1 pncl 2.27 2.18 0.79
19:00 Gimnasia La Plata 0-0 Argentinos Juniors 1 pncl 3.91 3.65 0.51
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
16:00 Pyunik 2-1 Ararat-Armenia 2 pncl 2.80 2.66 0.66
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
16:20 Al Tadhamun 2-0 Qalali 1 pncl 2.98 2.82 0.63
16:20 A'Ali 1-2 Al-Najma 2 pncl 2.82 2.68 0.67
16:20 Alhassam 4-0 Al Reef 1 pncl 2.12 2.04 0.84
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
18:00 Excelsior Virton U21 1-1 Westerlo U21 X pncl 5.02 4.63 0.44
18:30 Waasland-Beveren U21 0-3 Sint-Truiden U21 2 marathonbet 2.22 2.13 0.81
18:30 KV Oostende U21 3-2 RWDM U21 1 marathonbet 1.59 1.55 1.26
19:00 Lierse Kempenzonen U21 3-0 Deinze U21 2 ladbrokes 3.60 3.38 0.54
19:00 Dender U21 2-4 Lommel U21 2 betvictor 2.55 2.43 0.70
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
00:30 Club Universitario 1-1 Aurora 2 unibet 2.90 2.75 0.64
23:30 Wilstermann 1-3 Independiente Petrolero 1 188bet 2.19 2.11 0.85
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
15:30 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 3-0 Slavia Sofia 1 pncl 2.21 2.12 0.81
18:00 Beroe 0-4 Ludogorets 2 marathonbet 1.46 1.43 1.43
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Spartak Pleven 0-3 CSKA 1948 Sofia II 2 marathonbet 3.54 3.32 0.57
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
00:00 Unión San Felipe 1-0 Puerto Montt 1 pncl 2.57 2.45 0.74
21:00 Barnechea 2-0 Fernández Vial 2 1XBet 3.07 2.90 0.65
23:30 Melipilla 2-1 Santiago Morning 1 188bet 2.76 2.62 0.68
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
00:10 Millonarios 0-0 Patriotas Boyacá 1 betregal 1.49 1.46 1.33
21:30 Envigado 2-0 Junior FC 2 pncl 2.36 2.26 0.77
23:35 Deportivo Cali 1-1 Once Caldas 1 pncl 2.79 2.65 0.65
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
16:30 SOL 1-0 Racing d'Abidjan 1 888sport 2.90 2.75 0.65
19:00 Denguélé 3-2 Korhogo 2 888sport 4.35 4.04 0.49
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
17:00 AEK Larnaca 4-2 Olympiakos 1 sbo 1.64 1.60 1.16
17:00 Apollon 0-3 Aris 2 marathonbet 3.42 3.22 0.62
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
18:00 Silkeborg 3-3 Randers 1 marathonbet 1.93 1.87 1.09
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
00:00 Universidad Católica 2-0 Emelec 1 1XBet 1.69 1.65 1.14
00:00 Barcelona Guayaquil 0-2 Aucas 1 marathon 2.96 2.80 0.62
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
19:00 Nottingham Forest U21 4-1 Stoke City U21 X pncl 4.53 4.20 0.46
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
18:00 Middlesbrough U21 2-1 West Brom U21 1 marathon 2.26 2.17 0.79
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Wigan Athletic U21 2-1 Peterborough United U21 1 888sport 1.75 1.70 1.05
14:00 Swansea City U21 3-2 Charlton Athletic U21 1 cloudbet 1.65 1.61 1.17
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
19:00 Southampton W 1-0 Birmingham W 1 1XBet 4.12 3.84 0.50
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
17:00 Elva 3-2 Pärnu 1 888sport 1.50 1.47 1.35
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
16:30 HJK W 4-1 PK-35 W 1 Betsson 1.20 1.19 2.23
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
16:30 TPS 4-0 Jaro 1 dafabet 2.29 2.20 0.78
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
18:00 Wehen Wiesbaden 3-1 VfB Oldenburg 1 interwetten 1.50 1.47 1.36
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
17:30 Maccabi Netanya 0-2 Hapoel Katamon 2 cloudbet 4.19 3.90 0.48
18:00 Hapoel Be'er Sheva 1-1 Sektzia Nes Tziona 1 marathonbet 1.27 1.25 1.92
18:30 Maccabi Haifa 1-0 Hapoel Hadera 1 1XBet 1.25 1.24 1.98
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
13:30 Inter U19 0-1 Sassuolo U19 2 marathonbet 3.10 2.93 0.62
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
19:30 Mantova 2-1 Pordenone 1 marathonbet 3.75 3.51 0.52
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 US Bitonto 2-0 Puteolana Internapoli 1 marathonbet 2.43 2.32 0.74
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Al Jalil 1-1 Al Buqa'a 1 marathonbet 1.62 1.58 1.19
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
09:00 Astana II 2-2 Sport Academy Kairat 2 888sport 1.73 1.68 1.13
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
16:00 Ekranas 0-2 Babrungas 1 comeon 2.85 2.70 0.64
17:00 Žalgiris II 3-2 Dainava 2 pncl 1.47 1.44 1.35
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
01:06 Santos Laguna 1-2 Toluca 1 bet-at-home 1.72 1.67 1.21
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
21:45 León W 2-0 Tigres UANL W 2 betregal 1.20 1.19 2.24
23:00 Toluca W 1-1 Puebla W 1 888sport 1.55 1.52 1.25
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
22:30 Estudiantes Tecos 3-1 Tritons Vallarta 2 dafabet 1.88 1.82 1.04
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
10:00 I.S.P.E 2-2 Sagaing United 1 unibet 1.19 1.18 2.36
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
19:45 Carrick Rangers U20 1-5 Glentoran U20 1 1XBet 3.78 3.54 0.55
20:00 Crusaders U20 0-2 Cliftonville U20 1 pncl 1.76 1.71 1.04
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
17:00 Stjørdals-Blink 1-2 Fredrikstad 2 marathonbet 1.67 1.63 1.14
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
00:15 Tauro 2-0 Sporting San Miguelito X unibet 3.20 3.02 0.59
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
00:00 Nacional Asunción 2-0 Guaraní 1 sbo 1.98 1.91 1.18
23:00 Sol de América 1-1 Libertad 2 betway 1.65 1.61 1.14
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
13:00 Benfica U23 3-1 Estoril U23 1 888sport 1.70 1.66 1.15
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Progresul Spartac 0-3 CSA Steaua Bucureşti 1 pncl 4.43 4.11 0.46
16:15 Otelul 1-0 Concordia Chiajna 2 pncl 4.12 3.84 0.49
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
17:00 APR 1-1 Police Rwanda 2 interwetten 7.25 6.57 0.36
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
16:15 Al Akhdoud 3-1 Al-Ain 2 pncl 3.90 3.64 0.51
17:55 Jeddah 2-1 Hajer 1 1XBet 3.54 3.32 0.56
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Radnički Sr. Mitrovica 1-0 Jedinstvo Ub 1 1XBet 2.84 2.70 0.73
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:30 Cape Town Spurs 3-1 MM Platinum 2 pncl 4.03 3.76 0.50
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
20:00 Villarreal 2-0 Osasuna 1 unibet 1.67 1.63 1.12
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
18:10 IFK Göteborg 2-1 Malmö FF 2 marathonbet 1.87 1.81 0.96
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
18:30 Trollhättan 5-1 Lindome 1 pncl 1.61 1.57 1.18
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
18:00 Landskrona 1-0 Västerås SK 1 pncl 2.55 2.43 0.71
18:00 Utsikten 2-1 Halmstad 2 titanbet 2.00 1.93 0.89
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
19:15 Neuchâtel Xamax 1-1 FC Schaffhausen 1 marathonbet 2.40 2.30 0.81
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:00 Al Nasr U21 0-0 Bani Yas U21 2 unibet 4.70 4.35 0.46
14:00 Al Bataeh U21 1-2 Al Dhafra U21 1 pncl 2.19 2.11 0.83
14:00 Al Wasl U21 0-0 Al Sharjah U21 2 pncl 2.29 2.20 0.78
14:00 Khor Fakkan U21 1-0 Ajman U21 2 1XBet 1.52 1.49 1.31
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
19:00 Torque 0-2 Boston River 1 pncl 3.07 2.90 0.60
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
14:30 Dinamo Samarqand 0-1 Metalourg X 1XBet 3.52 3.31 0.54
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
00:15 Portuguesa 0-1 Deportivo Lara 1 tipico 2.90 2.75 0.65
# Kick-off Home Result Away Value Bet Bookmaker Odds Fair odds Stake Result
09:30 GT Thai Nguyen W 2-2 PP Ha Nam W 2 cashpoint 4.33 4.02 0.47