Football Value Bets 2022-10-13
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
13/10/2022 evaluation: We are showing 59 value bet opportunities from 31 leagues with stake amount £53.50, where the result is £3.98. The average market margin of stakes worth £53.50 is -4.81. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.































# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10:00 | ES Sétif U21 | 2-0 | Khenchela U21 | 1 | unibet | 1.53 | 1.50 | 1.28 | ✓ | |
15:00 | MC Alger U21 | 1-1 | USM Alger U21 | 2 | unibet | 2.18 | 2.10 | 0.82 | ☓ | |
15:00 | US Biskra U21 | 1-1 | ASO Chlef U21 | 1 | 1XBet | 2.74 | 2.61 | 0.66 | ☓ | |
15:00 | RC Arbaâ U21 | 1-4 | CR Belouizdad U21 | 2 | unibet | 1.45 | 1.42 | 1.40 | ✓ | |
15:00 | MC Oran U21 | 1-1 | JS Kabylie U21 | 2 | pncl | 1.46 | 1.43 | 1.39 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:30 | ES Sétif | 1-2 | USM Khenchela | 1 | 188bet | 1.76 | 1.71 | 1.04 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Barracas Central Res. | 0-1 | Independiente Res. | 2 | 1XBet | 2.39 | 2.29 | 0.77 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Argentinos Juniors Res. | 2-1 | Godoy Cruz Res. | X | pncl | 4.00 | 3.73 | 0.50 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:30 | Vélez Sarsfield | 2-1 | Talleres Córdoba | 2 | unibet | 3.80 | 3.55 | 0.52 | ☓ | |
23:00 | Lanús | 0-1 | Patronato | 2 | 888sport | 3.80 | 3.55 | 0.52 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | Al Hala | 2-0 | Al Tadamun Buri | 1 | interwetten | 1.35 | 1.33 | 1.64 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:00 | The Strongest | 4-4 | Bolívar | X | 888sport | 3.40 | 3.20 | 0.56 | ✓ | |
20:00 | Oriente Petrolero | 3-3 | Independiente Petrolero | 1 | 888sport | 1.62 | 1.58 | 1.17 | ☓ | |
23:15 | Aurora | 1-2 | Santa Cruz | 1 | 1XBet | 1.51 | 1.48 | 1.30 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:45 | Corinthians | 0-0 | Flamengo | 2 | marathon | 2.38 | 2.28 | 0.75 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23:00 | Corinthians U20 | 2-0 | Ferroviária U20 | 2 | pncl | 4.17 | 3.88 | 0.48 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23:00 | Universidad Católica | 2-2 | Universidad Chile | 1 | comeon | 1.46 | 1.43 | 1.38 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:00 | Rionegro Águilas | 2-2 | Deportivo Cali | 1 | 888sport | 1.79 | 1.74 | 1.02 | ☓ | |
21:10 | Deportes Tolima | 2-0 | Alianza Petrolera | 1 | dafabet | 1.76 | 1.71 | 1.05 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | Vendsyssel | 2-1 | Fredericia | 2 | nordicbet | 3.55 | 3.33 | 0.55 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:00 | Olmedo | 2-1 | Puerto Quito | 2 | 1XBet | 3.98 | 3.71 | 0.52 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Misr Lel Makasa | 0-0 | Dayrout | 2 | pncl | 5.74 | 5.26 | 0.40 | ☓ | |
14:00 | Aluminium Nag Hammadi | 0-0 | El Gounah | 1 | 1XBet | 3.94 | 3.68 | 0.52 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02:15 | Santa Tecla | 2-0 | Atletico Marte | 1 | 1XBet | 2.27 | 2.18 | 0.79 | ✓ | |
22:30 | Chalatenango | 1-2 | Dragón | 2 | Bwin sports | 4.10 | 3.82 | 0.58 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Sidama Bunna | 1-5 | Kedus Giorgis | 2 | 1XBet | 1.47 | 1.44 | 1.36 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:00 | PSV | 5-0 | Zürich | 1 | 1XBet | 1.28 | 1.26 | 1.84 | ✓ | |
20:00 | FC Union Berlin | 1-0 | Malmö FF | 1 | betcris | 1.42 | 1.40 | 1.44 | ✓ | |
20:00 | Real Sociedad | 3-0 | Sheriff | 1 | 1XBet | 1.29 | 1.27 | 1.79 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:30 | Gol Gohar | 0-1 | Nassaji Mazandaran | 2 | 1XBet | 4.90 | 4.53 | 0.43 | ✓ | |
14:30 | Persepolis | 1-0 | Mes Rafsanjan | 1 | 10bet | 2.55 | 2.43 | 0.72 | ✓ | |
16:00 | Sanat Naft | 0-2 | Sepahan | X | 1XBet | 3.20 | 3.02 | 0.59 | ☓ | |
16:00 | Foolad | 1-1 | Paykan | 2 | intertops | 5.50 | 5.05 | 0.40 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Hapoel Jerusalem | 3-2 | Ironi Ramat HaSharon W | 2 | 1XBet | 1.89 | 1.83 | 0.99 | ☓ | |
18:00 | Hapoel Be'er Sheva W | 1-2 | ASA Tel Aviv | 2 | pncl | 1.52 | 1.49 | 1.31 | ✓ | |
18:45 | Maccabi Emek Hefer W | 4-0 | Hapoel Petach Tikva W | 1 | pncl | 1.88 | 1.82 | 0.96 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:05 | Al Sahel | 0-1 | Al Jahra | 1 | unibet | 2.50 | 2.39 | 0.72 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:05 | CA La Paz | 3-2 | Tapatío | 2 | pncl | 3.48 | 3.27 | 0.55 | ☓ | |
03:05 | Cimarrones de Sonora | 1-1 | Venados | 2 | pncl | 3.60 | 3.38 | 0.53 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | Pumas UNAM U20 | 1-2 | Pachuca U20 | 1 | 1XBet | 2.32 | 2.22 | 0.77 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09:00 | Deren | 4-3 | Ulaanbaatar City | 1 | 888sport | 1.55 | 1.52 | 1.24 | ✓ | |
12:00 | Tuv buganuud | 1-2 | Ulaanbaatar | 1 | sportingbet | 8.00 | 7.21 | 0.32 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10:00 | Yadanarbon | 1-0 | GFA | 1 | unibet | 1.25 | 1.24 | 2.08 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
21:00 | Guaraní | 4-1 | Sol de América | 1 | pncl | 2.20 | 2.11 | 0.81 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Rwamagana City | 1-0 | Gasogi United | 1 | 1XBet | 6.55 | 5.96 | 0.37 | ✓ | |
17:30 | Police Rwanda | 2-1 | Bugesera | 2 | pncl | 4.26 | 3.96 | 0.47 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | UD Ibiza | 1-2 | SD Eibar | 2 | pncl | 2.55 | 2.43 | 0.70 | ✓ | |
18:00 | Mirandés | 0-1 | Levante | 1 | cashpoint | 3.65 | 3.42 | 0.53 | ☓ | |
20:00 | Granada | 5-0 | Sporting Gijón | 2 | 888sport | 4.30 | 4.00 | 0.50 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Coastal Union | 0-0 | Geita Gold | 1 | 1XBet | 3.48 | 3.27 | 0.58 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | River Plate | 0-1 | Liverpool | 1 | titanbet | 2.70 | 2.57 | 0.69 | ☓ | |
23:00 | Albion | 0-1 | Nacional | X | unibet | 6.00 | 5.49 | 0.38 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:30 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 3-1 | El Paso Locomotive | 1 | pncl | 1.64 | 1.60 | 1.15 | ✓ | |
01:00 | Birmingham Legion | 3-1 | Indy Eleven | 1 | pncl | 1.47 | 1.44 | 1.37 | ✓ | |
01:30 | Tulsa Roughnecks | 2-0 | Monterey Bay | 1 | 1XBet | 2.09 | 2.01 | 0.85 | ✓ | |
02:00 | New Mexico United | 3-2 | LA Galaxy II | 1 | 1XBet | 1.62 | 1.58 | 1.20 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:30 | Nasaf | 2-1 | AMGK | 2 | 1XBet | 4.28 | 3.98 | 0.47 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09:30 | PP Ha Nam W | 2-0 | Ho Chi Minh City II W | 1 | 1XBet | 1.17 | 1.16 | 2.60 | ✓ | |
12:00 | Ha Noi W | 1-0 | GT Thai Nguyen W | 1 | betfair | 1.62 | 1.58 | 1.18 | ✓ |