Football Value Bets 2022-10-10
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
To prove our expertise, we dare you to check our results. From the calendar on the left side, pick a date and look at how we did. For each day since 2018 you can see how we did.
Did you find a day with a negative result? Yes, this happens. It is impossible to guess correctly the outcomes of hundreds of thousands football fixtures and we are not doing that.
Our aim is a long term revenue over 10% and if you check, you will see we are even better than that. What we are doing is analysing thousands of fixtures by dozens of bookmakers and selecting only football value bets
Football value bets are the fixtures where the bookmaker is for some reason giving "too much".
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
10/10/2022 evaluation: We are showing 74 value bet opportunities from 44 leagues with stake amount £69.29, where the result is £0.41. The average market margin of stakes worth £69.29 is -6.24. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.
Primera B Nacional
Primera D Metropolitana
Reserve League
Superliga
Torneo Federal A
Premier League
Bahrain Cup
Vysshaya Liga Reserve
Liga De Futbol Prof
Copa Do Brasil U20
Parva Liga
Primera B
Primera Division
Liga BetPlay
Ligue 1
2. HNL
1. Division
Non League Premier: Isthmian
Premier League 2 Divison Two
Professional Development League
Premier League
3. Liga
Liga Nacional
Pepsideild
Iraqi League
Ligat ha'Al
PrimaVera 1
Serie C: Girone B
Nadeshiko League 1
1st Division
Liga Premier Serie B
Mocambola
Premiership Development League
Obos-Ligaen
Division 1
Ekstraklasa
Liga Revelacao U23
Segunda Liga
Division 1
Pro League
1. SNL
Allsvenskan
Vysshaya Liga
Friendly International Women
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | Tristán Suárez | 2-1 | Temperley | 2 | pncl | 3.82 | 3.57 | 0.52 | ☓ | |
| 19:00 | Instituto | 3-1 | Deportivo Madryn | 1 | pncl | 1.33 | 1.31 | 1.66 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:30 | Centro Español | 0-0 | Yupanqui | 1 | 1XBet | 2.95 | 2.79 | 0.66 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 | Independiente Res. | 1-1 | Tigre Res. | 2 | 1XBet | 3.17 | 2.99 | 0.59 | ☓ | |
| 15:00 | Aldosivi Res. | 0-2 | Boca Juniors Res. | 1 | 1XBet | 5.00 | 4.61 | 0.43 | ☓ | |
| 15:00 | Gimnasia Esgrima Res. | 1-0 | Banfield Res. | 1 | 1XBet | 2.26 | 2.17 | 0.79 | ✓ | |
| 16:00 | Huracán Res. | 1-2 | Argentinos Juniors Res. | 1 | 888sport | 2.50 | 2.39 | 0.73 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:30 | Argentinos Juniors | 1-1 | Huracán | 1 | pncl | 2.64 | 2.51 | 0.68 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | Liniers Bahía Blanca | 0-0 | Sportivo Desamparados | 1 | interwetten | 1.60 | 1.56 | 1.19 | ☓ | |
| 20:30 | Huracán Las Heras | 1-0 | Sansinena | 1 | 1XBet | 1.98 | 1.91 | 1.19 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | Alashkert | 5-0 | Noah | 1 | 188bet | 1.50 | 1.47 | 1.40 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:00 | Al Riffa | 3-0 | Al Ittifaq Maqaba | 1 | interwetten | 1.25 | 1.24 | 1.95 | ✓ | |
| 16:00 | Al Ahli | 4-0 | Al Shabbab Manama | 1 | cloudbet | 2.91 | 2.76 | 0.64 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:00 | Neman Grodno Res. | 2-1 | Slavia Res. | 1 | pncl | 1.61 | 1.57 | 1.17 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | Wilstermann | 1-0 | Blooming | 1 | pncl | 1.59 | 1.55 | 1.21 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | Flamengo RJ U20 | 2-0 | América Mineiro U20 | 1 | pncl | 2.05 | 1.98 | 0.88 | ✓ | |
| 21:00 | Cruzeiro U20 | 2-0 | Fluminense U20 | 1 | 188bet | 2.20 | 2.11 | 0.81 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | Spartak Varna | 0-2 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 2 | 188bet | 1.76 | 1.71 | 1.04 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | Santiago Morning | 2-1 | Copiapó | 1 | betway | 2.70 | 2.57 | 0.69 | ✓ | |
| 19:00 | Fernández Vial | 1-1 | San Luis | 2 | pncl | 5.51 | 5.06 | 0.42 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:30 | Audax Italiano | 0-2 | Unión La Calera | 1 | cloudbet | 2.81 | 2.67 | 0.65 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:40 | Atlético Bucaramanga | 0-1 | Junior FC | 1 | pncl | 3.95 | 3.69 | 0.50 | ☓ | |
| 22:00 | Unión Magdalena | 0-2 | Independiente Medellín | 2 | pncl | 2.63 | 2.51 | 0.69 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | Abengourou | 1-0 | SOL | 2 | 1XBet | 1.80 | 1.75 | 1.01 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | Dugopolje | 2-1 | Bijelo Brdo | 2 | 1XBet | 5.40 | 4.96 | 0.41 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:00 | Anorthosis | 0-1 | Apollon | 1 | 1XBet | 2.48 | 2.37 | 0.74 | ☓ | |
| 17:00 | AEL | 1-0 | Omonia Nicosia | 1 | pncl | 3.32 | 3.13 | 0.57 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:45 | Carshalton Athletic | 1-0 | Aveley | 2 | dafabet | 3.10 | 2.93 | 0.60 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:30 | West Brom U21 | 5-2 | Middlesbrough U21 | 1 | pncl | 2.55 | 2.43 | 0.72 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:00 | Crewe Alexandra U21 | 0-0 | Wigan Athletic U21 | 2 | Betsson | 2.30 | 2.21 | 0.82 | ☓ | |
| 14:00 | Reading U21 | 1-0 | Watford U21 | 1 | Bwin sports | 1.49 | 1.46 | 1.42 | ✓ | |
| 14:00 | Burnley U21 | 2-2 | Birmingham City U21 | 2 | pncl | 6.61 | 6.01 | 0.40 | ☓ | |
| 19:00 | Hull City U21 | 4-1 | Peterborough United U21 | 2 | cashpoint | 3.70 | 3.47 | 0.54 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | Ethiopia Bunna | 1-2 | Awassa Kenema | 1 | 1XBet | 1.85 | 1.79 | 1.01 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | Hallescher FC | 0-0 | Borussia Dortmund II | 1 | pncl | 3.21 | 3.03 | 0.58 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | Xinabajul | 3-0 | Guastatoya | 1 | cashpoint | 2.62 | 2.50 | 0.69 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:15 | ÍBV | 2-1 | Keflavík | 1 | pncl | 2.26 | 2.17 | 0.87 | ✓ | |
| 16:15 | FH | 4-2 | Leiknir Reykjavík | 1 | Bwin sports | 1.53 | 1.50 | 1.27 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:00 | Al Karkh | 1-0 | Zakho | 2 | 1XBet | 3.42 | 3.22 | 0.56 | ☓ | |
| 15:15 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 2-0 | Al Najaf | 2 | pncl | 4.74 | 4.39 | 0.45 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:00 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 1-1 | Ashdod | 2 | cashpoint | 2.92 | 2.77 | 0.63 | ☓ | |
| 18:00 | Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 2-2 | Hapoel Haifa | 2 | betway | 5.25 | 4.83 | 0.43 | ☓ | |
| 18:30 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 3-0 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 1 | betway | 1.30 | 1.28 | 1.76 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | Sassuolo U19 | 2-0 | Udinese U19 | 1 | pncl | 1.46 | 1.43 | 1.42 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:30 | Siena | 0-0 | Cesena | 2 | 1XBet | 3.66 | 3.43 | 0.53 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:00 | Yokohama W | 1-2 | NGU Lublield Nagoya W | 2 | betregal | 8.15 | 7.34 | 0.37 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | Al Karmal | 1-1 | Al Ahli | 2 | cloudbet | 2.00 | 1.93 | 1.12 | ☓ | |
| 14:00 | Al Buqa'a | 1-0 | Blama | 1 | 1XBet | 2.80 | 2.66 | 0.68 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:30 | Calor de San Pedro | 0-0 | Mazorqueros | 1 | 1XBet | 3.30 | 3.11 | 0.59 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | Ferroviário Maputo | 1-0 | Ferroviário de Lichinga | 1 | cashpoint | 2.28 | 2.19 | 0.80 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:45 | Ballymena United U20 | 3-1 | Glentoran U20 | 2 | pncl | 2.37 | 2.27 | 0.76 | ☓ | |
| 19:45 | Glenavon U20 | 0-0 | Portadown U20 | 1 | pncl | 1.70 | 1.66 | 1.10 | ☓ | |
| 19:45 | Linfield U20 | 3-1 | Dungannon Swifts U20 | 1 | pncl | 2.46 | 2.35 | 0.74 | ✓ | |
| 20:00 | Crusaders U20 | 3-0 | Carrick Rangers U20 | 1 | pncl | 1.34 | 1.32 | 1.69 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:00 | Fredrikstad | 1-3 | Bryne | 1 | pncl | 2.11 | 2.03 | 0.84 | ☓ | |
| 17:00 | KFUM | 0-0 | Stabæk | 1 | betway | 3.40 | 3.20 | 0.59 | ☓ | |
| 17:00 | Ranheim | 0-2 | Kongsvinger | 1 | betway | 2.15 | 2.07 | 0.84 | ☓ | |
| 17:00 | Sandnes Ulf | 2-4 | Grorud | 1 | betclic | 1.35 | 1.33 | 1.60 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:00 | Guaireña | 3-2 | Resistencia | 1 | betway | 1.83 | 1.78 | 1.08 | ✓ | |
| 23:30 | Nacional Asunción | 0-0 | Cerro Porteño | 1 | pncl | 3.77 | 3.53 | 0.52 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:00 | Raków Częstochowa | 1-0 | Miedź Legnica | 1 | betregal | 1.30 | 1.28 | 1.77 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:00 | Sporting Braga U23 | 2-1 | Leixões U23 | 2 | 1XBet | 3.96 | 3.70 | 0.51 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | Trofense | 0-3 | Feirense | 1 | pncl | 2.86 | 2.71 | 0.64 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:15 | Al Arabi | 1-2 | Al Riyadh | 1 | sbo | 2.44 | 2.33 | 0.78 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:30 | Al Wahda | 2-0 | Al Batin | 1 | 188bet | 1.29 | 1.27 | 1.90 | ✓ | |
| 18:30 | Al Hilal | 1-1 | Al Shabab | 2 | 1XBet | 2.96 | 2.80 | 0.62 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:30 | Radomlje | 1-1 | Gorica | 2 | nitrogen sports | 3.82 | 3.57 | 0.53 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | Norrköping | 2-2 | Mjällby | 1 | betway | 2.20 | 2.11 | 0.81 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | Istiqlol Dushanbe | 2-0 | Ravshan | 1 | 1XBet | 1.40 | 1.38 | 1.48 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:00 | Singapore W | 1-2 | Indonesia W | 2 | betfair | 3.70 | 3.47 | 0.54 | ✓ | |
| 13:00 | Belarus W | 2-2 | Russia W | 2 | pncl | 1.26 | 1.25 | 1.94 | ☓ | |
| 15:30 | Canada W | 4-0 | Morocco W | 1 | sbo | 1.09 | 1.09 | 4.26 | ✓ | |
| 17:30 | Italy W | 0-1 | Brazil W | 2 | betway | 1.70 | 1.66 | 1.09 | ✓ | |
| 22:00 | Mexico W | 1-1 | Chile W | 1 | 1XBet | 1.61 | 1.57 | 1.18 | ☓ |