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Football Value Bets 2022-09-30

You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.

To prove our expertise, we dare you to check our results. From the calendar on the left side, pick a date and look at how we did. For each day since 2018 you can see how we did.

Did you find a day with a negative result? Yes, this happens. It is impossible to guess correctly the outcomes of hundreds of thousands football fixtures and we are not doing that.

Our aim is a long term revenue over 10% and if you check, you will see we are even better than that. What we are doing is analysing thousands of fixtures by dozens of bookmakers and selecting only football value bets

Football value bets are the fixtures where the bookmaker is for some reason giving "too much".

Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
Make sure to start out small.

Football value bets shown on this page are based on the fact that every now and then a bookmaker gives odds that are much higher compared to the competition, and this is what we are showing. Make sure to check football predictions that cover the majority of the football betting spectrum.

30/09/2022 evaluation: We are showing 187 value bet opportunities from 105 leagues with stake amount £168.18, where the result is £-5.49. The average market margin of stakes worth £168.18 is -15.14. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.

JanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember 2020202120222023 Today
Mo	Tu	We	Th	Fr	Sa	Su
29	30	31	1	2	3	4
5	6	7	8	9	10	11
12	13	14	15	16	17	18
19	20	21	22	23	24	25
26	27	28	29	30	1	2
3	4	5	6	7	8	9

#	Kick-off	Home	Result	Away	Value Bet	Bookmaker	Odds	Fair odds	Stake	Result
	16:00	HB Chelghoum Laïd U21	2-4	JS Kabylie U21	2	unibet	1.84	1.78	1.01	✓
	17:00	MC Oran U21	1-3	USM Alger U21	2	pncl	1.44	1.41	1.42	✓

#	Kick-off	Home	Result	Away	Value Bet	Bookmaker	Odds	Fair odds	Stake	Result
	16:00	RC Arbaâ	3-1	El Bayadh	1	Betsson	2.10	2.02	0.85	✓
	19:00	US Biskra	1-1	NC Magra	1	Betsson	1.90	1.84	0.95	☓

Kick-off	Home	Result	Away	Value Bet	Bookmaker	Odds	Fair odds	Stake	Result
16:00	Temouchent	3-2	Kouba	1	interwetten	1.47	1.44	1.40	✓
16:00	ASM Oran	0-0	MC Saïda	1	pncl	1.50	1.47	1.32	☓
16:00	Mostaganem	2-0	WA Boufarik	2	ladbrokes	71.00	57.37	0.29	☓
16:00	NA Hussein Dey	0-0	RC Relizane	2	pncl	13.12	11.54	0.26	☓
16:00	Ben Aknoun	2-1	MCB Oued Sly	1	pncl	2.25	2.16	0.79	✓

#	Kick-off	Home	Result	Away	Value Bet	Bookmaker	Odds	Fair odds	Stake	Result
	23:00	Tigre	3-0	Aldosivi	1	dafabet	1.47	1.44	1.46	✓
	23:00	Estudiantes	2-4	Colón	1	dafabet	1.89	1.83	0.97	☓

Kick-off	Home	Result	Away	Value Bet	Bookmaker	Odds	Fair odds	Stake	Result
18:00	Draßburg	3-0	Krems	1	1XBet	2.39	2.29	0.79	✓
18:30	Traiskirchen	0-2	TWL Elektra	2	cloudbet	2.79	2.65	0.66	✓
18:30	Wiener SC	2-0	Mauerwerk	2	marathon	3.86	3.61	0.51	☓
19:00	Neusiedl	1-1	Wiener Viktoria	1	1XBet	1.69	1.65	1.13	☓
19:00	Wiener Neustadt	0-1	Mannsdorf	1	1XBet	6.00	5.49	0.39	☓

#	Kick-off	Home	Result	Away	Value Bet	Bookmaker	Odds	Fair odds	Stake	Result
	15:45	Dnepr Mogilev	1-2	Slutsk	1	cloudbet	6.32	5.76	0.40	☓
	18:00	Gomel	1-0	Vitebsk	2	1XBet	4.42	4.10	0.46	☓

#	Kick-off	Home	Result	Away	Value Bet	Bookmaker	Odds	Fair odds	Stake	Result
	19:00	Charleroi	1-2	Zulte-Waregem W	2	betregal	1.16	1.15	3.04	✓
	19:30	Genk W	2-4	RSC Anderlecht W	2	pncl	1.23	1.22	2.05	✓

#	Kick-off	Home	Result	Away	Value Bet	Bookmaker	Odds	Fair odds	Stake	Result
	23:00	CSA	1-2	Guarani	2	cloudbet	5.18	4.77	0.42	✓
	23:00	Sampaio Corrêa	2-1	Grêmio	1	pncl	2.85	2.70	0.65	✓

Kick-off	Home	Result	Away	Value Bet	Bookmaker	Odds	Fair odds	Stake	Result
14:00	Spartak Pleven	1-1	Belasitsa	1	pncl	1.98	1.91	0.92	☓
14:00	Lovech	1-0	Sportist Svoge	1	pncl	2.16	2.08	0.82	✓
14:00	Dunav 2010	4-1	Vitosha Bistritsa	1	pncl	1.56	1.53	1.23	✓
14:00	Yantra 1919	0-1	Levski Krumovgrad	2	pncl	3.81	3.56	0.54	✓

#	Kick-off	Home	Result	Away	Value Bet	Bookmaker	Odds	Fair odds	Stake	Result
	15:30	Dukla Praha	5-0	Vysočina Jihlava	1	188bet	2.12	2.04	0.84	✓
	16:30	Příbram	5-0	Sigma Olomouc II	1	pncl	1.82	1.77	1.01	✓

#	Kick-off	Home	Result	Away	Value Bet	Bookmaker	Odds	Fair odds	Stake	Result
	17:00	Ethnikos Achna	2-3	Othellos	1	1XBet	1.55	1.52	1.32	☓
	17:00	Omonia 29is Maiou	0-2	Omonia Aradippou	1	pncl	2.31	2.22	0.81	☓

Kick-off	Home	Result	Away	Value Bet	Bookmaker	Odds	Fair odds	Stake	Result
19:00	Leeds United U21	4-0	Stoke City U21	2	marathon	9.30	8.32	0.31	☓
19:00	Middlesbrough U21	1-1	Newcastle United U21	1	1XBet	1.87	1.81	0.96	☓
19:00	Norwich City U21	2-1	Derby County U21	2	10bet	7.00	6.35	0.35	☓

Kick-off	Home	Result	Away	Value Bet	Bookmaker	Odds	Fair odds	Stake	Result
18:30	Dunkerque	1-0	Stade Briochin	1	interwetten	2.05	1.98	0.88	✓
18:30	Martigues	3-2	Gobelins	2	pncl	4.45	4.13	0.46	☓
18:30	Le Mans	3-0	Avranches	2	pncl	6.06	5.54	0.38	☓
18:30	Le Puy F.43 Auvergne	0-2	Red Star	1	tipico	4.10	3.82	0.49	☓
18:30	Bastia-Borgo	1-1	Versailles	2	Betsson	2.20	2.11	0.91	☓
18:30	Orléans	1-1	Villefranche	2	nordicbet	3.75	3.51	0.57	☓

#	Kick-off	Home	Result	Away	Value Bet	Bookmaker	Odds	Fair odds	Stake	Result
	18:00	Villingen	0-1	CfR Pforzheim	1	cloudbet	2.26	2.17	0.81	☓
	18:30	Mutschelbach	1-1	Nöttingen	2	titanbet	2.20	2.11	0.82	☓

Kick-off	Home	Result	Away	Value Bet	Bookmaker	Odds	Fair odds	Stake	Result
18:00	Süderelbe	6-1	Union Tornesch	1	1XBet	1.88	1.82	0.98	✓
18:00	HEBC	1-1	Rugenbergen	1	888sport	1.60	1.56	1.22	☓
18:30	Harksheide	1-2	Victoria Hamburg	1	cloudbet	4.02	3.75	0.50	☓
18:30	Hamm United	0-5	Dassendorf	2	pncl	1.31	1.29	1.73	✓
18:30	Paloma	3-2	Niendorfer TSV	1	1XBet	2.89	2.74	0.63	✓
19:00	Hamburger SV III	4-4	TSV Sasel	2	1XBet	1.40	1.38	1.56	☓

Kick-off	Home	Result	Away	Value Bet	Bookmaker	Odds	Fair odds	Stake	Result
18:30	Eddersheim	0-0	Viktoria Griesheim	1	interwetten	1.67	1.63	1.16	☓
18:30	Rot-Weiß Walldorf	1-0	FC 1906 Erlensee	1	unibet	2.80	2.66	1.30	✓
19:00	Baunatal	1-1	Eintracht Frankfurt II	2	pncl	1.72	1.67	1.13	☓

#	Kick-off	Home	Result	Away	Value Bet	Bookmaker	Odds	Fair odds	Stake	Result
	18:30	Ahlerstedt / Ottendorf	2-2	Rotenburger SV	2	bet-at-home	2.50	2.39	0.73	☓
	19:00	Gifhorn	0-2	Pattensen	1	bet-at-home	2.41	2.31	0.80	☓

#	Kick-off	Home	Result	Away	Value Bet	Bookmaker	Odds	Fair odds	Stake	Result
	18:00	MSV 1919 Neuruppin	2-1	FSV Optik Rathenow	2	pncl	3.54	3.32	0.56	☓
	18:45	Hertha Zehlendorf	0-1	Staaken	1	betway	1.53	1.50	1.27	☓

Kick-off	Home	Result	Away	Value Bet	Bookmaker	Odds	Fair odds	Stake	Result
16:00	Vilzing	0-0	Rain / Lech	1	188bet	1.91	1.85	0.94	☓
16:00	Bayern München II	2-4	Greuther Fürth II	1	10bet	1.50	1.47	1.32	☓
18:00	Unterhaching	3-1	Ansbach	1	betregal	1.52	1.49	1.30	✓
18:00	Heimstetten	0-3	Würzburger Kickers	2	bet-at-home	1.31	1.29	1.73	✓
18:00	Illertissen	0-1	Nürnberg II	2	interwetten	2.10	2.02	0.86	✓
18:00	Buchbach	1-1	Pipinsried	X	intertops	4.00	3.73	0.52	✓
18:00	Schweinfurt	2-0	Eichstätt	2	unibet	5.60	5.14	0.40	☓
18:15	Viktoria Aschaffenburg	1-2	Türkgücü-Ataspor	1	pncl	2.73	2.60	0.67	☓
19:00	Wacker Burghausen	4-0	Aubstadt	1	pncl	2.68	2.55	0.68	✓

#	Kick-off	Home	Result	Away	Value Bet	Bookmaker	Odds	Fair odds	Stake	Result
	18:00	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	0-0	Drochtersen / Assel	2	comeon	2.30	2.21	0.78	☓
	18:30	Hannover 96 II	2-0	Borussia Hildesheim	2	pncl	4.90	4.53	0.44	☓

Kick-off	Home	Result	Away	Value Bet	Bookmaker	Odds	Fair odds	Stake	Result
18:00	Viktoria Berlin	1-1	BFC Dynamo	2	1XBet	2.36	2.26	0.76	☓
18:00	Hertha BSC II	3-0	Germania Halberstadt	1	nitrogen sports	1.52	1.49	1.32	✓
18:00	Lokomotive Leipzig	1-0	Rot-Weiß Erfurt	2	sbo	3.60	3.38	0.53	☓

Kick-off	Home	Result	Away	Value Bet	Bookmaker	Odds	Fair odds	Stake	Result
18:00	Ulm	1-1	Balingen	1	pncl	1.62	1.58	1.17	☓
18:00	Eintracht Trier	2-1	TuS RW Koblenz	1	interwetten	2.10	2.02	0.86	✓
18:00	TSV Steinbach	4-0	Aalen	2	pncl	5.18	4.77	0.42	☓

Kick-off	Home	Result	Away	Value Bet	Bookmaker	Odds	Fair odds	Stake	Result
09:00	Ihud Bnei Shfaram	6-2	Hapoel Migdal Haemek	1	bet-at-home	1.70	1.66	1.10	✓
11:30	Ironi Nesher	1-1	Maccabi Ironi Tamra	1	pncl	2.34	2.24	0.77	☓
12:00	Tzeirei Kafr Kanna	1-0	Hapoel Ra'anana	2	188bet	2.21	2.12	0.86	☓
12:15	Ironi Baka El Garbiya	0-0	MS Tira	2	pncl	2.70	2.57	0.68	☓
13:00	Hapoel Kaukab	3-1	Hapoel Bnei Zalafa	2	1XBet	3.04	2.88	0.61	☓

Kick-off	Home	Result	Away	Value Bet	Bookmaker	Odds	Fair odds	Stake	Result
14:00	Hapoel Ramat HaSharon	1-2	Hapoel Acre	2	1XBet	3.78	3.54	0.52	✓
14:00	Hapoel Rishon LeZion	2-0	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	2	pncl	3.97	3.71	0.51	☓
14:00	Hapoel Afula	2-1	Maccabi Petah Tikva	2	pncl	1.81	1.76	1.01	☓
14:00	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2-0	Agudat Sport Ashdod	2	betfair	4.20	3.91	0.48	☓
14:00	Kafr Qasim	0-0	Bnei Yehuda	1	Betsson	2.55	2.43	0.73	☓

#	Kick-off	Home	Result	Away	Value Bet	Bookmaker	Odds	Fair odds	Stake	Result
	16:00	Al Ramtha	1-1	Moghayer Al Sarhan	2	888sport	5.80	5.31	0.39	☓
	18:30	Aqaba	0-2	Al Sareeh	1	pncl	2.50	2.39	0.72	☓

Kick-off	Home	Result	Away	Value Bet	Bookmaker	Odds	Fair odds	Stake	Result
09:00	Astana II	2-3	Kyran	2	888sport	1.60	1.56	1.19	✓
11:00	Igilik	0-5	Okzhetpes	2	1XBet	1.16	1.15	2.64	✓
11:00	Zhetysu	3-1	Zhenys	1	betclic	1.34	1.32	1.64	✓
12:00	Yassy Turkistan	1-2	Ekibastuz	2	nordicbet	3.40	3.20	0.56	✓
13:00	Bulat	4-2	Taraz Karatau	1	tipico	3.70	3.47	0.55	✓

Kick-off	Home	Result	Away	Value Bet	Bookmaker	Odds	Fair odds	Stake	Result
14:30	Nevėžis	1-0	Banga II	1	ladbrokes	1.30	1.28	2.02	✓
15:00	Šilas	2-0	Žalgiris II	2	888sport	4.50	4.17	0.46	☓
17:00	Dainava	5-0	Atmosfera	1	interwetten	1.50	1.47	1.40	✓
18:00	BFA	2-3	Minija	2	1XBet	4.82	4.46	0.45	✓

#	Kick-off	Home	Result	Away	Value Bet	Bookmaker	Odds	Fair odds	Stake	Result
	14:00	Kelantan United	1-1	Kelantan	2	188bet	2.09	2.01	1.13	☓
	14:00	PKNS	0-1	Johor Darul Ta'zim II	1	tipico	5.30	4.88	0.41	☓

#	Kick-off	Home	Result	Away	Value Bet	Bookmaker	Odds	Fair odds	Stake	Result
	01:05	Tapatío	1-0	Venados	2	pncl	3.47	3.26	0.56	☓
	03:05	CA La Paz	2-1	Alebrijes	1	pncl	2.71	2.58	0.67	✓

Kick-off	Home	Result	Away	Value Bet	Bookmaker	Odds	Fair odds	Stake	Result
19:00	ADO Den Haag	1-3	Jong PSV	1	Betsson	2.00	1.93	0.90	☓
19:00	De Graafschap	2-0	Jong AZ	1	pncl	1.67	1.63	1.13	✓
19:00	MVV Maastricht	3-2	Willem II	2	pncl	1.66	1.62	1.14	☓
19:00	NAC Breda	1-2	VVV-Venlo	1	Betsson	1.80	1.75	1.01	☓
19:00	PEC Zwolle	1-1	Jong Ajax	1	Betsson	1.50	1.47	1.34	☓