Football Value Bets 2022-09-29
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
29/09/2022 evaluation: We are showing 54 value bet opportunities from 33 leagues with stake amount £50.66, where the result is £1.59. The average market margin of stakes worth £50.66 is -4.56. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.

































# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | US Biskra U21 | 2-1 | NC Magra U21 | 1 | pncl | 2.36 | 2.26 | 0.77 | ✓ | |
16:00 | RC Arbaâ U21 | 2-2 | El Bayadh U21 | 1 | pncl | 2.53 | 2.42 | 0.72 | ☓ | |
16:00 | Paradou AC U21 | 2-0 | Khenchela U21 | 2 | pncl | 8.82 | 7.91 | 0.32 | ☓ | |
17:00 | ES Sétif U21 | 0-2 | CS Constantine U21 | 1 | betfair | 3.50 | 3.29 | 0.56 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02:00 | Boca Juniors | 3-2 | Quilmes | X | 888sport | 3.52 | 3.31 | 0.54 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | River Plate Res. | 1-0 | Argentinos Juniors Res. | 2 | 1XBet | 3.16 | 2.98 | 0.61 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Aldosivi Res. | 0-2 | Tigre Res. | 1 | 1XBet | 3.18 | 3.00 | 0.63 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Colón Res. | 3-0 | Estudiantes La Plata Res | 2 | betfair | 3.40 | 3.20 | 0.56 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Atlético Tucumán Res. | 0-0 | Patronato Res. | 1 | marathon | 4.45 | 4.13 | 0.53 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | AERP W | 1-1 | Pinda SC W | 1 | pncl | 2.20 | 2.11 | 0.81 | ☓ | |
23:30 | Palmeiras W | 5-0 | Portuguesa W | 1 | bet-at-home | 1.12 | 1.11 | 4.05 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:45 | Atlético Mineiro | 0-1 | Palmeiras | 2 | pncl | 4.68 | 4.33 | 0.45 | ✓ | |
01:45 | Internacional | 0-0 | Bragantino | 1 | interwetten | 1.83 | 1.78 | 0.99 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:45 | Sport Recife | 2-1 | Náutico | 2 | betfair | 7.50 | 6.78 | 0.33 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 1-0 | Montana | 1 | pncl | 2.76 | 2.62 | 0.67 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
21:30 | Cobreloa | 1-1 | Magallanes | 1 | 1XBet | 2.19 | 2.11 | 0.87 |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08:30 | Shijiazhuang Kungfu | 4-1 | BIT | 1 | 1XBet | 1.20 | 1.19 | 2.27 | ✓ | |
08:30 | Sichuan | 0-1 | Nantong Zhiyun | 1 | pncl | 5.99 | 5.48 | 0.38 | ☓ | |
08:30 | Nanjing City | 2-1 | Xinjiang Tianshan | 1 | betfair | 1.36 | 1.34 | 1.65 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10:30 | Shanghai SIPG | 3-0 | Chengdu Rongcheng | X | comeon | 3.75 | 3.51 | 0.52 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02:00 | Junior FC | 1-0 | Millonarios | 2 | pncl | 3.39 | 3.19 | 0.56 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02:00 | Puntarenas | 0-2 | Guadalupe | 1 | 188bet | 1.75 | 1.70 | 1.05 | ☓ | |
03:15 | Deportivo Saprissa | 1-0 | Guanacasteca | 1 | pncl | 1.30 | 1.28 | 1.81 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:30 | ASEC Mimosas | 2-1 | SOA | 2 | 888sport | 7.00 | 6.35 | 0.36 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:00 | Independiente Juniors | 2-2 | Manta | 1 | betway | 1.62 | 1.58 | 1.17 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | Honka | 3-1 | HJK | 2 | pncl | 2.88 | 2.73 | 0.64 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:30 | VfL Oldenburg | 2-0 | LSK Hansa | 1 | pncl | 1.51 | 1.48 | 1.30 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10:00 | Barito Putera | 2-2 | Persik Kediri | 1 | nitrogen sports | 2.32 | 2.22 | 0.77 | ☓ | |
14:30 | PSS Sleman | 1-2 | Persita | 2 | titanbet | 5.00 | 4.61 | 0.53 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:30 | Kiryat Gat W | 1-0 | Maccabi Emek Hefer W | 1 | ladbrokes | 1.40 | 1.38 | 1.58 | ✓ | |
17:00 | Ironi Ramat HaSharon W | 7-4 | Hapoel Be'er Sheva W | 1 | betclic | 1.27 | 1.25 | 1.87 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | Sahab | 1-2 | Shabab Al Ordon | 2 | nordicbet | 3.20 | 3.02 | 0.59 | ✓ | |
18:30 | Ma'an | 1-0 | Al Jazeera | 1 | cloudbet | 6.23 | 5.69 | 0.38 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
22:00 | Montañeses | 1-3 | Pachuca Premier | 2 | pncl | 1.91 | 1.85 | 0.98 | ✓ | |
22:30 | Catedráticos Elite | 1-1 | Reboceros La Piedad | 2 | pncl | 1.42 | 1.40 | 1.44 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02:00 | Calor de San Pedro | 0-0 | Huracanes Izcalli | 2 | betregal | 4.90 | 4.53 | 0.43 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02:30 | Plaza Amador | 2-2 | Árabe Unido | 1 | pncl | 2.36 | 2.26 | 0.76 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | Sporting Cristal | 4-2 | ADT | 1 | pncl | 1.30 | 1.28 | 1.81 | ✓ | |
19:00 | Atlético Grau | 3-0 | Sport Boys | 1 | pncl | 1.65 | 1.61 | 1.14 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Brașov Steagul Renașt | 1-1 | Hermannstadt | 1 | pncl | 5.40 | 4.96 | 0.40 | ||
14:30 | Alexandria | 1-1 | Csikszereda | 2 | nitrogen sports | 1.70 | 1.66 | 1.19 | ||
16:45 | Concordia Chiajna | 0-2 | Universitatea Cluj | 1 | tipico | 4.20 | 3.91 | 0.48 | ☓ | |
19:30 | Şirineaşa | 0-1 | Dinamo Bucureşti | 1 | pncl | 3.48 | 3.27 | 0.55 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | Akhmat Grozny | 3-1 | Rostov | 1 | 1XBet | 2.29 | 2.20 | 0.80 | ✓ | |
18:30 | Spartak Moskva | 3-0 | Zenit | 1 | marathon | 4.40 | 4.09 | 0.51 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Mačva Šabac | 0-2 | Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 10bet | 1.07 | 1.07 | 5.00 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | Kvarnsveden | 3-2 | Korsnäs IF FK | 1 | pncl | 2.21 | 2.12 | 0.80 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | Dodoma Jiji | 1-0 | Geita Gold | 2 | pncl | 2.55 | 2.43 | 0.75 | ☓ | |
14:00 | Ruvu Shooting | 2-1 | Coastal Union | X | betvictor | 3.60 | 3.38 | 0.55 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | Yeni Diyarbekirspor | 3-0 | Kars 36 | 1 | 1XBet | 1.45 | 1.42 | 1.42 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:00 | Chattanooga | 2-1 | ASC San Diego | 1 | sbo | 1.99 | 1.92 | 0.91 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03:00 | Sacramento Republic | 0-1 | Phoenix Rising | 1 | 188bet | 1.75 | 1.70 | 1.10 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:30 | North Carolina | 2-1 | Central Valley Fuego | 2 | betcris | 2.74 | 2.61 | 0.67 | ☓ |