Football Value Bets 2022-09-26
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
26/09/2022 evaluation: We are showing 47 value bet opportunities from 25 leagues with stake amount £37.82, where the result is £-1.90. The average market margin of stakes worth £37.82 is -3.40. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.

























# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:35 | JJ Urquiza | 1-0 | UAI Urquiza | 1 | cashpoint | 3.44 | 3.23 | 0.55 | ✓ | |
19:35 | Los Andes | 0-0 | San Miguel | 2 | dafabet | 3.55 | 3.33 | 0.63 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | Sacachispas | 0-2 | Deportivo Morón | 1 | cloudbet | 4.54 | 4.21 | 0.45 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:30 | San Martín Burzaco | 0-1 | Liniers | X | marathon | 2.91 | 2.76 | 0.63 | ☓ | |
19:30 | El Porvenir | 2-0 | Midland | 1 | tipico | 4.30 | 4.00 | 0.48 | ✓ | |
19:50 | Berazategui | 2-3 | Claypole | X | marathon | 3.02 | 2.86 | 0.62 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:30 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 0-2 | Puerto Montt | 1 | 188bet | 2.79 | 2.65 | 0.66 | ☓ | |
21:30 | Cobreloa | 1-0 | Unión San Felipe | 1 | pncl | 1.58 | 1.54 | 1.21 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:10 | Alianza Petrolera | 0-1 | Junior FC | 1 | pncl | 3.59 | 3.37 | 0.54 | ☓ | |
22:00 | Deportivo Cali | 1-2 | La Equidad | 1 | 888sport | 2.88 | 2.73 | 0.64 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:15 | Deportivo Saprissa | 2-1 | Sporting San José | 2 | pncl | 7.05 | 6.39 | 0.35 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Hitchin Town | 1-1 | St Ives Town | 2 | interwetten | 3.15 | 2.97 | 0.64 | ☓ | |
19:45 | Kings Langley | 0-2 | Needham Market | 2 | interwetten | 2.75 | 2.61 | 0.73 | ✓ | |
19:45 | Redditch United | 2-3 | Rushall Olympic | X | pncl | 4.20 | 3.91 | 0.48 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:30 | Bracknell Town | 1-1 | Hanwell Town | X | pncl | 4.11 | 3.83 | 0.48 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 | Sheffield Wednesday U21 | 0-2 | Wigan Athletic U21 | 1 | Betsson | 3.75 | 3.51 | 0.60 | ☓ | |
14:00 | Reading U21 | 2-1 | Millwall U21 | 1 | bet-at-home | 1.77 | 1.72 | 1.25 | ✓ | |
19:00 | Birmingham City U21 | 3-0 | Coventry City U21 | 1 | pncl | 2.90 | 2.75 | 0.68 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | England | 3-3 | Germany | 2 | nitrogen sports | 3.42 | 3.22 | 0.56 | ☓ | |
19:45 | Hungary | 0-2 | Italy | 2 | Betsson | 2.85 | 2.70 | 0.79 | ✓ | |
19:45 | Montenegro | 0-2 | Finland | 1 | bet-at-home | 2.90 | 2.75 | 0.63 | ☓ | |
19:45 | Romania | 4-1 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 2 | interwetten | 3.80 | 3.55 | 0.51 | ☓ | |
19:45 | Gibraltar | 1-2 | Georgia | 2 | interwetten | 1.20 | 1.19 | 2.25 | ✓ | |
19:45 | North Macedonia | 0-1 | Bulgaria | 1 | sportingbet | 2.00 | 1.93 | 0.89 | ☓ | |
19:45 | San Marino | 0-4 | Estonia | 2 | interwetten | 1.30 | 1.28 | 1.76 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:30 | Châteauroux | 1-0 | Dunkerque | 1 | pncl | 2.73 | 2.60 | 0.67 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | Berekum Chelsea | 1-0 | Medeama | 2 | 1XBet | 3.26 | 3.07 | 0.58 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:30 | Thor Akureyri W | 0-4 | Stjarnan W | 1 | 1XBet | 8.50 | 7.64 | 0.31 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:30 | Gwangju | 3-0 | Ansan Greeners | 1 | sbo | 1.46 | 1.43 | 1.37 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:05 | Cancún | 1-2 | Dorados | 1 | 1XBet | 2.61 | 2.49 | 0.70 | ☓ | |
03:05 | Venados | 3-0 | CA La Paz | 1 | pncl | 1.83 | 1.78 | 0.99 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23:05 | León W | 0-1 | Guadalajara W | 2 | pncl | 1.31 | 1.29 | 1.73 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Glentoran BU W | 3-1 | Cliftonville W | 2 | pncl | 2.24 | 2.15 | 0.87 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:15 | Veraguas | 1-2 | Tauro | 2 | betfair | 1.87 | 1.81 | 0.98 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:50 | Al Markhiya | 1-1 | Al Rayyan | 1 | betfair | 2.80 | 2.66 | 1.17 | ☓ | |
18:00 | Al Shamal | 0-0 | Al Gharafa | 2 | interwetten | 1.95 | 1.89 | 0.97 | ☓ | |
18:00 | Al Duhail | 3-2 | Al Arabi | 2 | unibet | 9.00 | 8.06 | 0.34 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:00 | FC Cartagena | 1-1 | Deportivo Alavés | 2 | pncl | 3.05 | 2.88 | 0.61 | ☓ | |
20:00 | Las Palmas | 2-0 | Granada | 2 | pncl | 3.89 | 3.63 | 0.50 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | Hammarby W | 0-1 | Linkoping W | 1 | interwetten | 2.60 | 2.48 | 0.71 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | GAIS | 1-0 | Lindome | 1 | pncl | 1.20 | 1.19 | 2.27 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:30 | Cerrito | 1-2 | Defensor Sporting | 1 | pncl | 9.71 | 8.67 | 0.29 | ☓ | |
20:00 | Albion | 1-1 | Fénix | 2 | pncl | 2.57 | 2.45 | 0.70 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | Jordan | 1-0 | Oman | 2 | betfair | 4.50 | 4.17 | 0.45 | ☓ | |
20:00 | Mali | SUSP | Zambia | 2 | pncl | 5.99 | 5.48 | 0.38 |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Finland U19 | 1-2 | Portugal U19 | 2 | pncl | 1.34 | 1.32 | 1.63 | ✓ | |
16:00 | Serbia U19 | 3-1 | France U19 | 2 | dafabet | 1.88 | 1.82 | 0.97 | ☓ |