Football Value Bets 2022-09-23
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
To prove our expertise, we dare you to check our results. From the calendar on the left side, pick a date and look at how we did. For each day since 2018 you can see how we did.
Did you find a day with a negative result? Yes, this happens. It is impossible to guess correctly the outcomes of hundreds of thousands football fixtures and we are not doing that.
Our aim is a long term revenue over 10% and if you check, you will see we are even better than that. What we are doing is analysing thousands of fixtures by dozens of bookmakers and selecting only football value bets
Football value bets are the fixtures where the bookmaker is for some reason giving "too much".
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
23/09/2022 evaluation: We are showing 82 value bet opportunities from 46 leagues with stake amount £75.45, where the result is £8.11. The average market margin of stakes worth £75.45 is -6.79. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.
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| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:00 | Annaba | 1-0 | USM El Harrach | X | 1XBet | 3.00 | 2.84 | 0.62 | ☓ | |
| 16:00 | JSM Skikda | 0-2 | JS Bordj Ménaïel | 2 | 1XBet | 2.02 | 1.95 | 0.90 | ✓ | |
| 16:00 | AS Khroub | 2-0 | Aïn M'lila | 1 | 1XBet | 1.51 | 1.48 | 1.50 | ✓ | |
| 16:00 | Kouba | 0-1 | Mostaganem | 1 | 1XBet | 2.36 | 2.26 | 0.78 | ☓ | |
| 16:00 | RC Relizane | 0-1 | JSM Tiaret | X | pncl | 4.59 | 4.25 | 0.46 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:30 | Quilmes | 1-1 | Almagro | 2 | pncl | 3.32 | 3.13 | 0.58 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:00 | Godoy Cruz | 0-1 | Boca Juniors | 2 | dafabet | 3.15 | 2.97 | 0.59 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | Gleisdorf 09 | 4-0 | Union Vöcklamarkt | 1 | betclic | 1.72 | 1.67 | 1.08 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | Mannsdorf | 1-1 | Wiener SC | 1 | 1XBet | 2.20 | 2.11 | 0.86 | ☓ | |
| 18:00 | Bruck/Leitha | 1-0 | Scheiblingkirchen | 2 | betclic | 1.84 | 1.78 | 0.99 | ☓ | |
| 18:30 | TWL Elektra | 1-0 | Stripfing | 1 | 1XBet | 3.70 | 3.47 | 0.52 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | Dessel Sport | 2-1 | Excelsior Virton | 2 | 1XBet | 2.03 | 1.96 | 0.88 |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | Vila Nova | 1-0 | CRB | 1 | nordicbet | 2.25 | 2.16 | 0.81 | ✓ | |
| 23:00 | Náutico | 1-3 | Sampaio Corrêa | 2 | cloudbet | 3.78 | 3.54 | 0.52 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:30 | Magallanes | 0-0 | Cobreloa | 1 | pncl | 2.09 | 2.01 | 0.85 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | Qingdao Youth Island | 2-2 | Jiangxi Liansheng | 2 | 1XBet | 5.90 | 5.40 | 0.42 | ☓ | |
| 12:30 | Shanghai Jiading | 2-6 | Zhenjiang Huasa | 2 | 1XBet | 1.15 | 1.14 | 2.75 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:10 | Independiente Medellín | 2-1 | Deportivo Pereira | 1 | 1XBet | 2.34 | 2.24 | 0.76 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:00 | Atlético | 1-1 | Deportes Quindío | 1 | pncl | 3.01 | 2.85 | 0.65 | ☓ | |
| 21:00 | Bogotá | 1-0 | Orsomarso | 1 | Betsson | 1.60 | 1.56 | 1.18 | ✓ | |
| 22:00 | Cúcuta Deportivo | 0-0 | Real San Andres | 2 | pncl | 3.44 | 3.23 | 0.55 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 | Viktoria Otrokovice | 3-0 | Vítkovice | 1 | 1XBet | 1.35 | 1.33 | 1.63 | ✓ | |
| 18:00 | Hlučín | 1-1 | Hodonín-Šardice | 2 | 1XBet | 5.10 | 4.70 | 0.43 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:00 | FAS | 1-0 | Once Municipal | 2 | pncl | 4.51 | 4.18 | 0.46 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | Middlesbrough U21 | 2-0 | Sunderland U21 | 1 | pncl | 1.68 | 1.64 | 1.10 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:00 | Estonia | 2-1 | Malta | 1 | sportingbet | 2.05 | 1.98 | 0.89 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:30 | KTP | 6-2 | KPV | 1 | pncl | 1.50 | 1.47 | 1.31 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:00 | Montpellier W | 1-3 | Lyon W | X | cashpoint | 10.10 | 9.00 | 0.30 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:30 | Sedan | 0-0 | Le Puy F.43 Auvergne | 2 | pncl | 3.28 | 3.09 | 0.57 | ☓ | |
| 18:30 | Villefranche | 3-2 | Bourg-en-Bresse | 2 | pncl | 3.31 | 3.12 | 0.57 | ☓ | |
| 18:30 | Gobelins | 0-1 | Avranches | 2 | pncl | 3.33 | 3.14 | 0.56 | ✓ | |
| 18:30 | Bastia-Borgo | 2-2 | Le Mans | 1 | pncl | 3.17 | 2.99 | 0.59 | ☓ | |
| 18:30 | Cholet | 1-1 | Concarneau | 2 | pncl | 2.14 | 2.06 | 0.83 | ☓ | |
| 18:30 | Versailles | 2-2 | Nancy | 2 | pncl | 3.48 | 3.27 | 0.55 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:15 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 1-0 | Köln W | 2 | interwetten | 3.00 | 2.84 | 0.63 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | Gebenbach | 5-0 | Jahn Regensburg II | 2 | betregal | 4.65 | 4.31 | 0.45 | ☓ | |
| 18:00 | ATSV Erlangen | 5-3 | Donaustauf | 2 | 1XBet | 1.93 | 1.87 | 0.98 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | Erlbach | 1-1 | Gundelfingen | X | 1XBet | 4.00 | 3.73 | 0.50 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | Hamburger SV III | 0-3 | Türkiye | 1 | pncl | 2.55 | 2.43 | 0.74 | ☓ | |
| 19:15 | Eimsbutteler TV | 7-1 | Curslack-Neuengamme | 1 | pncl | 1.30 | 1.28 | 1.79 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:30 | Rot-Weiß Walldorf | 3-1 | Eddersheim | 1 | bet-at-home | 1.79 | 1.74 | 1.02 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | Pattensen | 1-3 | Germania Egestorf | 2 | 1XBet | 1.55 | 1.52 | 1.24 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:30 | Bövinghausen | 3-0 | Sprockhövel | 1 | pncl | 1.39 | 1.37 | 1.51 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:30 | Drochtersen / Assel | 2-0 | Hannover 96 II | 1 | pncl | 2.13 | 2.05 | 0.84 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | Homburg | 4-0 | Astoria Walldorf | 1 | intertops | 1.50 | 1.47 | 1.41 | ✓ | |
| 18:00 | Balingen | 1-1 | Stuttgart II | 2 | intertops | 2.40 | 2.30 | 0.76 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | Team Altamura | 1-1 | Gravina | 2 | betfair | 7.00 | 6.35 | 0.36 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 | Changwon City | 2-0 | Gangneung City | 1 | pncl | 1.68 | 1.64 | 1.11 | ✓ | |
| 11:00 | Daejeon Korail | 0-0 | Cheonan City | 2 | pncl | 2.72 | 2.59 | 0.67 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:00 | Tepatitlán de Morelos | 3-2 | Tapatío | 1 | nordicbet | 2.35 | 2.25 | 0.76 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 | Atlético San Luis W | 1-3 | América W | 2 | 1XBet | 1.36 | 1.34 | 1.58 | ✓ | |
| 01:00 | Pachuca W | 4-0 | Atlas W | 1 | nitrogen sports | 1.49 | 1.46 | 1.35 | ✓ | |
| 03:00 | Mazatlán W | 0-5 | Tijuana W | 2 | dafabet | 1.53 | 1.50 | 1.33 | ✓ | |
| 03:00 | Monterrey W | 1-0 | Cruz Azul W | 1 | betregal | 1.34 | 1.32 | 1.63 | ✓ | |
| 23:00 | Pumas UNAM W | 1-2 | Guadalajara W | 2 | interwetten | 1.80 | 1.75 | 1.04 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:00 | TOP Oss | 1-3 | Willem II | 2 | 188bet | 1.73 | 1.68 | 1.08 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:30 | SC Heerenveen W | 2-2 | VV Alkmaar W | 2 | ladbrokes | 3.50 | 3.29 | 0.54 | ☓ | |
| 18:30 | Excelsior Rotterdam W | 0-6 | ADO Den Haag W | 2 | 888sport | 1.23 | 1.22 | 2.26 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | Wellington Olympic | 1-0 | Miramar | 2 | 1XBet | 3.34 | 3.14 | 0.57 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:45 | Ards | 1-0 | Dundela | 2 | ladbrokes | 2.20 | 2.11 | 0.88 | ☓ | |
| 19:45 | Dergview | 2-3 | Knockbreda | 1 | pncl | 2.48 | 2.37 | 0.73 | ☓ | |
| 19:45 | Warrenpoint Town | 1-0 | Annagh United | 2 | betway | 2.88 | 2.73 | 0.66 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:45 | Crusaders | 3-0 | Ballymena United | 1 | Bwin sports | 1.52 | 1.49 | 1.30 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:00 | Markez Balata | 2-2 | Shabab Al-Dhahiriya | 1 | 1XBet | 2.25 | 2.16 | 0.82 | ☓ | |
| 17:00 | Jabal Al Mukaber | 3-1 | Thagafi Tulkarm | 1 | 1XBet | 1.82 | 1.77 | 1.02 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 | Olimpia Râmnicu Sărat | 0-0 | Metalul Buzău | 2 | betfair | 2.05 | 1.98 | 0.92 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 | Unirea Bascov | 2-0 | Flacăra Moreni | 1 | 1XBet | 2.62 | 2.50 | 0.72 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | Nafta | 2-0 | Triglav | 1 | pncl | 1.37 | 1.35 | 1.55 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | Karlslund | 3-0 | Kumla | 2 | 1XBet | 5.15 | 4.74 | 0.42 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:00 | Deportivo Maldonado | 2-1 | Boston River | 2 | dafabet | 3.05 | 2.88 | 0.70 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | Can Tho | 1-6 | Long An | 2 | betregal | 3.25 | 3.06 | 0.73 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:30 | Buckley Town | 1-4 | Colwyn Bay | 2 | dafabet | 1.51 | 1.48 | 1.51 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:45 | Airbus UK | 4-4 | Newtown | 2 | pncl | 1.61 | 1.57 | 1.17 | ☓ | |
| 19:45 | Penybont | 3-1 | Aberystwyth Town | 1 | cloudbet | 1.61 | 1.57 | 1.18 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | Korea Republic | 2-2 | Costa Rica | 1 | unibet | 1.85 | 1.79 | 1.12 | ☓ | |
| 13:25 | Japan | 2-0 | United States | 2 | unibet | 3.10 | 2.93 | 0.60 | ☓ | |
| 16:30 | Bahrain | 1-2 | Cape Verde Islands | 1 | 888sport | 2.75 | 2.61 | 0.67 | ☓ | |
| 19:00 | Saudi Arabia | 0-0 | Ecuador | 1 | pncl | 5.20 | 4.79 | 0.41 | ☓ | |
| 19:00 | Jordan | 2-0 | Syria | 1 | unibet | 1.85 | 1.79 | 1.07 | ✓ | |
| 19:30 | Brazil | 3-0 | Ghana | 1 | unibet | 1.23 | 1.22 | 2.05 | ✓ | |
| 20:00 | Morocco | 2-0 | Chile | 2 | pncl | 2.88 | 2.73 | 0.64 | ☓ | |
| 20:00 | Algeria | 1-0 | Guinea | 1 | betvictor | 1.57 | 1.53 | 1.27 | ✓ |