Football Value Bets 2022-09-20
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
20/09/2022 evaluation: We are showing 83 value bet opportunities from 39 leagues with stake amount £64.96, where the result is £-3.47. The average market margin of stakes worth £64.96 is -5.85. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.







































# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:00 | Réal Bamako | 0-0 | Douanes | 1 | 1XBet | 1.77 | 1.72 | 1.03 |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:30 | Belgrano | 3-0 | Defensores de Belgrano | 1 | pncl | 2.03 | 1.96 | 0.88 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:30 | Argentino Rosario | 0-1 | Yupanqui | 2 | dafabet | 2.90 | 2.75 | 0.66 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Huracán Res. | 3-0 | Boca Juniors Res. | 1 | 1XBet | 3.68 | 3.45 | 0.55 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | Kalsdorf | 2-1 | Allerheiligen | 1 | betway | 3.10 | 2.93 | 0.67 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:30 | Kitzbühel | 1-0 | Hall | 1 | pncl | 1.34 | 1.32 | 1.67 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | Rio São Paulo | 0-4 | Serra Macaense | 1 | betvictor | 34.00 | 28.50 | 0.18 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:00 | Atlético GO | 1-2 | Internacional | 1 | Bwin sports | 3.80 | 3.55 | 0.52 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23:00 | Grêmio | 3-0 | Sport Recife | 2 | pncl | 6.56 | 5.97 | 0.36 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:00 | Botafogo SP | 1-1 | Mirassol | 2 | pncl | 2.85 | 2.70 | 0.64 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08:00 | Zhenjiang Huasa | 5-1 | Guangxi Baoyun | 1 | sportingbet | 1.23 | 1.22 | 2.28 | ✓ | |
08:30 | Nanjing City | 1-2 | Suzhou Dongwu | 1 | marathon | 2.44 | 2.33 | 0.80 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 | Henan Jianye | 1-2 | Shanghai SIPG | 2 | 188bet | 2.00 | 1.93 | 0.89 | ✓ | |
12:30 | Dalian Professional | 2-1 | Hebei CFFC | 1 | marathon | 1.14 | 1.13 | 3.00 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02:00 | Deportivo Pereira | 2-2 | Rionegro Águilas | 1 | pncl | 2.50 | 2.39 | 0.72 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:00 | Real Cartagena | 3-1 | Deportes Quindío | 2 | interwetten | 1.90 | 1.84 | 1.08 | ☓ | |
21:00 | Atlético | 3-2 | Barranquilla | 2 | pncl | 5.81 | 5.32 | 0.41 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:00 | Guayaquil City | 4-1 | Mushuc Runa | 1 | interwetten | 2.70 | 2.57 | 0.73 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | Morecambe | 0-0 | Hartlepool United | 1 | pncl | 2.12 | 2.04 | 0.84 | ☓ | |
19:00 | Barnsley | 2-0 | Newcastle United U21 | 1 | pncl | 1.87 | 1.81 | 0.98 | ✓ | |
19:00 | Cheltenham Town | 2-1 | Walsall | 1 | 188bet | 1.95 | 1.89 | 0.95 | ✓ | |
19:00 | Leyton Orient | 3-1 | Sutton United | 1 | pncl | 2.42 | 2.32 | 0.74 | ✓ | |
19:30 | Stockport County | 1-2 | Wolves U21 | 1 | cashpoint | 2.23 | 2.14 | 0.81 | ☓ | |
19:30 | Salford City | 0-0 | Accrington Stanley | 2 | pncl | 3.36 | 3.16 | 0.56 | ☓ | |
19:30 | Peterborough United | 3-0 | Tottenham U21 | 1 | bet-at-home | 1.55 | 1.52 | 1.48 | ✓ | |
19:45 | Ipswich Town | 2-0 | Arsenal U21 | 1 | cashpoint | 1.40 | 1.38 | 1.49 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:30 | Hartley Wintney | 0-1 | Bath City | 1 | betfair | 4.50 | 4.17 | 0.48 | ||
19:45 | Gainsborough Trinity | 4-2 | Long Eaton United FC | 2 | unibet | 4.50 | 4.17 | 0.46 | ||
19:45 | Stratford Town | 0-1 | Banbury United | 1 | cashpoint | 3.59 | 3.37 | 0.53 | ☓ | |
19:45 | Chorley | 9-0 | Liversedge | 1 | betregal | 1.52 | 1.49 | 1.30 | ✓ | |
19:45 | Farsley Celtic | 0-3 | Fylde | 1 | betfair | 4.00 | 3.73 | 0.49 | ☓ | |
19:45 | Peterborough Sports | 1-0 | Redditch United | 1 | betregal | 1.67 | 1.63 | 1.11 | ✓ | |
19:45 | Congleton Town FC | 3-2 | Newcastle Town | X | pncl | 4.08 | 3.80 | 0.49 | ☓ | |
19:45 | AFC Sudbury | 2-1 | St Albans City | 2 | betregal | 1.42 | 1.40 | 1.47 | ☓ | |
19:45 | Braintree Town | 2-1 | Heybridge Swifts | 2 | betfair | 5.50 | 5.05 | 0.40 | ☓ | |
19:45 | Hayes & Yeading United | 0-2 | Farnborough | 1 | 1XBet | 2.88 | 2.73 | 0.64 | ☓ | |
19:45 | Chatham Town | 1-3 | Walton & Hersham | 2 | marathon | 3.28 | 3.09 | 0.57 | ✓ | |
19:45 | Cirencester Town | 1-2 | Merthyr Town | 2 | dafabet | 2.43 | 2.32 | 0.74 | ✓ | |
19:45 | Ilkeston Town | 3-3 | Anstey Nomads | 1 | betregal | 1.33 | 1.31 | 1.68 |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | East Thurrock United | 1-0 | Brentwood Town | X | pncl | 4.16 | 3.87 | 0.49 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Sittingbourne | 2-3 | Hythe Town | 1 | pncl | 1.83 | 1.78 | 1.01 | ☓ | |
19:45 | VCD Athletic | 2-1 | Sevenoaks Town | 1 | pncl | 2.72 | 2.59 | 0.68 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Harborough Town | 2-2 | Coleshill Town | 2 | pncl | 3.68 | 3.45 | 0.55 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Bootle FC | 2-1 | Witton Albion | 2 | pncl | 3.07 | 2.90 | 0.62 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Enfield Town | 0-0 | Canvey Island | 2 | pncl | 3.16 | 2.98 | 0.59 | ☓ | |
19:45 | Haringey Borough | 0-3 | Billericay Town | X | pncl | 4.09 | 3.81 | 0.49 | ☓ | |
19:45 | Herne Bay | 0-6 | AFC Hornchurch | 1 | pncl | 4.96 | 4.58 | 0.44 | ☓ | |
19:45 | Potters Bar Town | 3-1 | Brightlingsea Regent | X | pncl | 4.26 | 3.96 | 0.48 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Guiseley | 2-1 | Matlock Town | 1 | bet-at-home | 3.30 | 3.11 | 0.58 | ✓ | |
19:45 | Rylands | 3-0 | Marske United | 2 | bet-at-home | 2.75 | 2.61 | 0.69 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Coventry City U21 | 1-2 | Sheffield Wednesday U21 | 1 | cashpoint | 1.47 | 1.44 | 1.43 | ☓ | |
14:00 | Millwall U21 | 4-1 | Charlton Athletic U21 | 2 | 1XBet | 3.26 | 3.07 | 0.62 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18:00 | Real Sociedad W | 0-1 | Bayern Munich W | 2 | interwetten | 1.37 | 1.35 | 1.63 | ✓ | |
19:30 | Arsenal W | 2-2 | Ajax W | 1 | 1XBet | 1.12 | 1.11 | 3.24 | ☓ | |
19:30 | Rangers W | 2-3 | SL Benfica W | 2 | interwetten | 2.05 | 1.98 | 0.88 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17:30 | Türkgücü-Ataspor | 0-1 | Greuther Fürth II | 1 | cloudbet | 1.58 | 1.54 | 1.21 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:45 | Arman Gohar | 1-3 | Khooshe Talaee Saveh | 2 | titanbet | 4.33 | 4.02 | 0.58 | ✓ | |
15:00 | Saipa | 0-1 | Fajr Sepasi | 1 | 1XBet | 2.13 | 2.05 | 0.85 | ☓ | |
15:15 | Caspian Qazvin | 2-1 | Shahrdari Hamedan | 2 | pncl | 6.54 | 5.95 | 0.37 | ☓ | |
15:15 | Chooka Talesh | 0-0 | Pars Jam Bushehr | 2 | 1XBet | 2.54 | 2.42 | 0.74 | ☓ | |
15:45 | Khalij Fars | 1-1 | Shahrdari Astara | 2 | titanbet | 2.90 | 2.75 | 0.67 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14:00 | Maccabi Yavne | 1-3 | Hapoel Marmorek | 2 | 1XBet | 3.04 | 2.88 | 0.62 | ✓ | |
14:00 | Tzeirei Kafr Kanna | 2-1 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | X | cloudbet | 3.93 | 3.67 | 0.51 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:00 | Al Tora | 2-3 | Amman | 1 | ladbrokes | 3.10 | 2.93 | 0.62 | ☓ | |
15:00 | Al Buqa'a | 0-0 | Kfarsoum | 1 | cashpoint | 2.20 | 2.11 | 0.83 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23:05 | Tapatío | 2-0 | Correcaminos UAT | 2 | 1XBet | 3.66 | 3.43 | 0.53 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01:00 | Tijuana W | 2-2 | León W | 1 | pncl | 1.41 | 1.39 | 1.46 | ☓ | |
01:00 | América W | 1-2 | Monterrey W | 2 | pncl | 3.48 | 3.27 | 0.58 | ✓ | |
03:00 | Guadalajara W | 1-0 | Tigres UANL W | 1 | pncl | 3.44 | 3.23 | 0.56 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16:00 | Mazatlán U20 | 4-0 | Atlas U20 | 2 | cloudbet | 2.27 | 2.18 | 0.79 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 | DOVO | 0-1 | Spakenburg | 2 | pncl | 1.85 | 1.79 | 0.98 | ✓ | |
19:00 | Lisse | 0-3 | DVS '33 | 2 | betfair | 5.00 | 4.61 | 0.44 | ✓ | |
19:00 | Quick Boys | 1-2 | Sportlust '46 | 1 | ladbrokes | 1.57 | 1.53 | 1.22 | ☓ | |
19:00 | ASWH | 1-2 | Kozakken Boys | 2 | betvictor | 1.90 | 1.84 | 0.95 | ✓ | |
19:00 | IJsselmeervogels | 0-0 | HSV Hoek | 1 | nitrogen sports | 1.69 | 1.65 | 1.11 |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | Glenavon U20 | 0-4 | Linfield U20 | 1 | pncl | 2.95 | 2.79 | 0.63 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
21:45 | Sol de América | 0-1 | Resistencia | 2 | 1XBet | 5.15 | 4.74 | 0.42 | ✓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15:55 | Al Duhail | 8-3 | Al Markhiya | 2 | ladbrokes | 13.00 | 11.44 | 0.37 | ☓ | |
18:05 | Al Gharafa | 4-3 | Al Rayyan | 2 | ladbrokes | 29.00 | 24.51 | 0.22 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:45 | East Fife | 1-2 | Stenhousemuir | 1 | pncl | 2.51 | 2.40 | 0.72 | ☓ | |
19:45 | Stranraer | 3-2 | Dumbarton | 2 | pncl | 1.79 | 1.74 | 1.07 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20:00 | Fénix | 0-0 | Defensor Sporting | 1 | pncl | 3.46 | 3.25 | 0.55 | ☓ |
# | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 | PP Ha Nam W | 0-2 | Ha Noi W | X | betfair | 5.00 | 4.61 | 0.42 | ☓ |