Football Value Bets 2022-08-08
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
To prove our expertise, we dare you to check our results. From the calendar on the left side, pick a date and look at how we did. For each day since 2018 you can see how we did.
Did you find a day with a negative result? Yes, this happens. It is impossible to guess correctly the outcomes of hundreds of thousands football fixtures and we are not doing that.
Our aim is a long term revenue over 10% and if you check, you will see we are even better than that. What we are doing is analysing thousands of fixtures by dozens of bookmakers and selecting only football value bets
Football value bets are the fixtures where the bookmaker is for some reason giving "too much".
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
08/08/2022 evaluation: We are showing 76 value bet opportunities from 56 leagues with stake amount £68.77, where the result is £-5.58. The average market margin of stakes worth £68.77 is -6.19. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.
Primera B Metropolitana
Primera B Nacional
Primera C
Reserve League
Superliga
Premier League
Vysshaya Liga Reserve
Copa Paulista
Serie C
Parva Liga
Vtora Liga
Primera B
Primera Division
League One
Liga BetPlay
Torneo Betplay
Landspokal Cup
Premier League
Premier League 2 Divison Two
Esiliiga A
Esiliiga B
Kakkonen
Kansallinen Liiga Women
Veikkausliiga
Liga Nacional
Merkantil Bank Liga
1. Deild Women
4. Deild
Pepsideild
U19 League
Toto Cup Ligat Al
Toto Cup Ligat Leumit
Coppa Italia
K League 2
Virsliga
Premier League
Liga de Expansión MX
Liga Mx Women
National League
Eerste Divisie
Obos-Ligaen
Lpf
Division Intermedia
1. Liga
Ekstraklasa
Primeira Liga
Segunda Liga
Liga 1
FNL
Prva Liga
Super Liga
Allsvenskan
Superettan
Super Lig
Segunda Division
Primera Division
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:30 | Los Andes | 4-1 | Argentino Quilmes | 1 | 1XBet | 2.42 | 2.32 | 0.76 | ✓ | |
| 19:30 | Dock Sud | 0-1 | Defensores Unidos | 1 | cashpoint | 2.74 | 2.61 | 0.67 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 3-1 | Quilmes | 1 | pncl | 2.76 | 2.62 | 0.66 | ✓ | |
| 19:30 | San Martín San Juan | 3-2 | Brown de Adrogué | 1 | 1XBet | 1.71 | 1.66 | 1.08 | ✓ | |
| 21:10 | Club Atlético Güemes | 1-1 | Instituto | 2 | 1XBet | 2.47 | 2.36 | 0.73 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:30 | Luján | 0-1 | Midland | 1 | pncl | 2.39 | 2.29 | 0.76 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | Estudiantes La Plata Res | 4-2 | San Lorenzo Res. | 2 | interwetten | 3.15 | 2.97 | 0.70 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | Newell's Old Boys | 0-0 | Colón | 2 | pncl | 4.23 | 3.94 | 0.48 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:30 | Shirak | 0-2 | Urartu | 2 | 188bet | 2.23 | 2.14 | 0.83 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | BATE Res. | 7-1 | Slavia Res. | 1 | dafabet | 1.12 | 1.11 | 3.35 | ✓ | |
| 15:00 | Gomel Res. | 2-1 | Arsenal Res. | 2 | 1XBet | 4.62 | 4.28 | 0.46 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:30 | São Bento | 1-2 | Rio Claro | 1 | sbo | 1.98 | 1.91 | 0.91 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | Volta Redonda | 2-1 | Ferroviário | 1 | pncl | 1.63 | 1.59 | 1.16 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:30 | Septemvri Sofia | 0-3 | Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 | 1 | 1XBet | 2.85 | 2.70 | 0.64 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:00 | Botev Plovdiv II | 1-1 | FK Minyor Pernik | 2 | betregal | 2.19 | 2.11 | 1.01 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:30 | Barnechea | 2-0 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 2 | 1XBet | 3.98 | 3.71 | 0.54 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:30 | Huachipato | 3-4 | Unión La Calera | 1 | cloudbet | 2.76 | 2.62 | 0.68 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:30 | Shanghai Jiading | 0-0 | Suzhou Dongwu | 1 | 1XBet | 1.64 | 1.60 | 1.26 | ☓ | |
| 12:30 | Zibo Sunday | 1-1 | Qingdao Jonoon | 2 | pncl | 1.13 | 1.12 | 2.97 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:15 | Deportivo Pereira | 0-1 | Santa Fe | 2 | pncl | 2.79 | 2.65 | 0.65 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:00 | Boca Juniors de Cali | 2-0 | Valledupar | 1 | pncl | 2.61 | 2.49 | 0.69 | ✓ | |
| 21:00 | Llaneros | 1-0 | Atlético | 1 | pncl | 1.66 | 1.62 | 1.13 | ✓ | |
| 23:00 | Tigres | 2-0 | Deportes Quindío | 2 | cloudbet | 2.54 | 2.42 | 0.74 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | Culpa | 2-0 | Maribo | X | betfair | 7.50 | 6.78 | 0.34 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:30 | El Geish | 1-1 | Eastern Company SC | 2 | 188bet | 4.05 | 3.78 | 0.51 | ☓ | |
| 17:30 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 0-0 | ENPPI | 1 | 1XBet | 2.47 | 2.36 | 0.74 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | Nottingham Forest U21 | 1-3 | Southampton U21 | X | pncl | 4.93 | 4.55 | 0.44 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:00 | Paide U21 | 1-2 | Flora II | 1 | Betsson | 9.00 | 8.06 | 0.59 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:00 | Tallinna Kalev II | 2-0 | Laanemaa Haapsalu | 1 | Betsson | 1.25 | 1.24 | 2.42 | ✓ | |
| 17:00 | Nõmme Kalju II | 1-6 | FC Tallinn | 2 | unibet | 1.24 | 1.23 | 2.17 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:30 | Klubi-04 | 1-1 | Tampere United | 1 | interwetten | 1.53 | 1.50 | 1.37 | ☓ | |
| 16:30 | Honka Akatemia | 1-2 | GrIFK | 1 | interwetten | 1.57 | 1.53 | 1.23 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:00 | PK-35 Vantaa W | 1-3 | HJK W | 2 | pncl | 2.19 | 2.11 | 0.84 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:00 | Lahti | 0-0 | HIFK | 1 | interwetten | 1.80 | 1.75 | 1.01 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | Real España | 1-1 | Motagua | 1 | dafabet | 2.16 | 2.08 | 0.87 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:15 | Diósgyőr | 1-2 | Soroksár SC | 1 | pncl | 1.75 | 1.70 | 1.05 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:15 | Augnablik W | 2-3 | Víkingur Reykjavík W | 2 | pncl | 1.65 | 1.61 | 1.14 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:00 | KFK Kópavogur | 6-1 | KÁ Hafnarfjördur | 1 | Betsson | 1.14 | 1.13 | 3.30 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:15 | Leiknir Reykjavík | 1-2 | Keflavík | 2 | pncl | 2.16 | 2.08 | 0.82 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:30 | Stjarnan / KFG / Álf U19 | 4-3 | Víkingur U19 | 2 | 1XBet | 20.00 | 17.22 | 0.22 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | Hapoel Hadera | 1-0 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 2 | interwetten | 3.15 | 2.97 | 0.65 | ☓ | |
| 18:30 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 2-3 | Ashdod | 2 | interwetten | 3.70 | 3.47 | 0.60 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:30 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion | 3-1 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 1 | cloudbet | 3.65 | 3.42 | 0.56 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:00 | Modena | 3-2 | Sassuolo | 2 | interwetten | 1.80 | 1.75 | 1.06 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 | Jeonnam Dragons | 1-1 | Bucheon 1995 | 2 | interwetten | 3.00 | 2.84 | 0.66 | ☓ | |
| 11:00 | Gyeongnam | 2-3 | Anyang | 1 | 888sport | 2.80 | 2.66 | 0.70 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:00 | Spartaks Jūrmala | 2-1 | FC Daugavpils | 1 | pncl | 2.37 | 2.27 | 0.77 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:45 | Kelantan United | 2-3 | Terengganu City II | 2 | comeon | 2.70 | 2.57 | 0.68 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:00 | Universidad Guadalajara | 4-0 | Venados | 2 | tipico | 3.80 | 3.55 | 0.52 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:00 | Necaxa W | 0-4 | Monterrey W | 2 | 1XBet | 1.25 | 1.24 | 1.99 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:30 | Sagaing United | 0-4 | Myawady | 1 | 188bet | 4.85 | 4.48 | 0.45 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | Jong AZ | 3-1 | MVV Maastricht | 1 | pncl | 1.93 | 1.87 | 0.95 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:00 | Ranheim | 2-1 | Mjøndalen | 2 | 1XBet | 4.42 | 4.10 | 0.47 | ☓ | |
| 17:00 | Sandnes Ulf | 0-0 | Skeid | 2 | 1XBet | 6.20 | 5.66 | 0.38 | ☓ | |
| 17:00 | Start | 6-0 | Bryne | 1 | pncl | 1.63 | 1.59 | 1.17 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:15 | Sporting San Miguelito | 0-0 | Árabe Unido | 2 | pncl | 4.43 | 4.11 | 0.47 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:30 | Sportivo Iteño | 1-1 | Martín Ledesma | 1 | 1XBet | 4.48 | 4.16 | 0.47 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:00 | Stal Rzeszów | 2-3 | Ruch Chorzów | 2 | interwetten | 2.75 | 2.61 | 0.69 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | Wisła Płock | 4-1 | Miedź Legnica | 1 | 188bet | 1.79 | 1.74 | 1.02 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:15 | Gil Vicente | 1-0 | Paços de Ferreira | 2 | 1XBet | 4.69 | 4.34 | 0.45 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | Penafiel | 0-0 | Leixões | 2 | pncl | 3.92 | 3.66 | 0.50 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:00 | Hermannstadt | 2-1 | Voluntari | 2 | interwetten | 3.10 | 2.93 | 0.61 | ☓ | |
| 19:00 | Botoşani | 1-1 | SSC Farul | 2 | 888sport | 2.70 | 2.57 | 0.67 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:00 | Neftekhimik | 2-2 | Rubin Kazan' | 2 | sbo | 2.08 | 2.01 | 0.86 | ☓ | |
| 18:00 | Baltika | 1-0 | Arsenal Tula | 1 | cashpoint | 2.38 | 2.28 | 0.77 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:30 | Novi Sad | 0-1 | Železničar Pančevo | 2 | interwetten | 1.73 | 1.68 | 1.18 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | Javor Ivanjica | 2-1 | Mladost Novi Sad | 2 | pncl | 3.51 | 3.30 | 0.54 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | Häcken | 5-0 | Helsingborg | 1 | 188bet | 1.35 | 1.33 | 1.60 | ✓ | |
| 18:00 | Varberg BoIS | 0-4 | IFK Göteborg | 1 | 188bet | 3.10 | 2.93 | 0.60 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | Västerås SK | 0-1 | Brommapojkarna | 1 | pncl | 3.15 | 2.97 | 0.60 | ☓ | |
| 18:00 | Örebro | 0-1 | Örgryte | 2 | 1XBet | 3.96 | 3.70 | 0.50 | ✓ | |
| 18:00 | AFC Eskilstuna | 0-2 | Jönköpings Södra | 2 | 1XBet | 4.04 | 3.77 | 0.49 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:15 | İstanbul Başakşehir | 4-0 | Kasımpaşa | 2 | tipico | 4.40 | 4.09 | 0.46 | ☓ | |
| 19:45 | Fenerbahçe | 3-3 | Ümraniyespor | 1 | cloudbet | 1.34 | 1.32 | 1.64 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | Sud América | 1-0 | Uruguay Montevideo | 1 | pncl | 3.21 | 3.03 | 0.58 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | Estudiantes Mérida | 1-1 | Portuguesa | 2 | cloudbet | 3.88 | 3.63 | 0.54 | ☓ |