Football Value Bets 2022-08-03
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
To prove our expertise, we dare you to check our results. From the calendar on the left side, pick a date and look at how we did. For each day since 2018 you can see how we did.
Did you find a day with a negative result? Yes, this happens. It is impossible to guess correctly the outcomes of hundreds of thousands football fixtures and we are not doing that.
Our aim is a long term revenue over 10% and if you check, you will see we are even better than that. What we are doing is analysing thousands of fixtures by dozens of bookmakers and selecting only football value bets
Football value bets are the fixtures where the bookmaker is for some reason giving "too much".
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
03/08/2022 evaluation: We are showing 97 value bet opportunities from 46 leagues with stake amount £86.68, where the result is £-5.64. The average market margin of stakes worth £86.68 is -7.80. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.
Primera B Nacional
Northern Nsw
Npl Queensland
Liga De Futbol Prof
Brasileiro Women
Copa Paulista
Mineiro U20
Paulista U20
Serie B
Serie C
Liga BetPlay
Torneo Betplay
Czech Cup
U19 League
Primera B
Champions League
Kakkonen
Oberliga: Bayern Nord
Oberliga: Hessen
Oberliga: Schleswig-Holstein
NB 3: Keleti
NB 3: Kozep
NB 3: Nyugati
Pepsideild
Toto Cup Ligat Al
J-League Cup
K-League 1
Super League
Premier League
Liga de Expansión MX
Liga MX
U20 League
National League
Concacaf League
1. Division Women
Eliteserien
Copa Paraguay
Premier League
Football League - Lowland League
S. League
Copa Libertadores
Copa Sudamericana
Superettan
Major League Soccer
USL League One
Professional Football League
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:10 | Defensores de Belgrano | 2-0 | San Martín San Juan | 2 | pncl | 3.94 | 3.68 | 0.50 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | Lambton Jaffas | 4-1 | Cooks Hill United | 1 | pncl | 1.32 | 1.30 | 1.69 | ✓ | |
| 11:00 | Valentine | 0-2 | Broadmeadow Magic | 2 | 1XBet | 1.41 | 1.39 | 1.52 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:30 | Brisbane Roar II | 1-0 | Capalaba | 1 | 1XBet | 1.45 | 1.42 | 1.52 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:00 | Universitario de Vinto | 2-2 | Blooming | 1 | 1XBet | 2.11 | 2.03 | 0.87 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | São José W | 1-3 | Grêmio W | 1 | 1XBet | 5.50 | 5.05 | 0.40 | ☓ | |
| 19:00 | Real Brasília W | 3-1 | CRESSPOM W | 1 | 1XBet | 1.38 | 1.36 | 2.47 | ✓ | |
| 19:00 | Internacional RS W | 3-2 | Santos W | 1 | 1XBet | 2.25 | 2.16 | 0.83 | ✓ | |
| 23:00 | Ferroviária W | 2-1 | Atlético Mineiro W | 1 | ladbrokes | 1.91 | 1.85 | 0.95 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | EC São Bernardo | 1-3 | Oeste | X | marathon | 3.36 | 3.16 | 0.57 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | Betim U20 | 2-0 | Inter de Minas U20 | 2 | Bwin sports | 5.00 | 4.61 | 0.44 | ☓ | |
| 19:00 | América Mineiro U20 | 1-2 | Pouso Alegre U20 | 1 | Bwin sports | 1.18 | 1.17 | 2.38 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | Noroeste U20 | 0-0 | Mirassol U20 | 2 | 1XBet | 2.02 | 1.95 | 0.94 | ☓ | |
| 19:00 | XV de Jaú U20 | 0-1 | Corinthians U20 | 2 | 1XBet | 1.62 | 1.58 | 1.18 | ✓ | |
| 19:00 | Penapolense U20 | 2-3 | Palmeiras U20 | 2 | 1XBet | 1.53 | 1.50 | 1.66 | ✓ | |
| 19:00 | São Caetano U20 | 1-2 | Desportivo Brasil U20 | 1 | 1XBet | 4.22 | 3.93 | 0.62 | ☓ | |
| 19:00 | Flamengo SP U20 | 1-1 | SKA Brasil U20 | 2 | 188bet | 3.10 | 2.93 | 0.62 | ☓ | |
| 19:00 | XV de Piracicaba U20 | 0-0 | Ituano U20 | 2 | betregal | 2.26 | 2.17 | 0.94 | ☓ | |
| 19:00 | Água Santa U20 | 4-2 | Guarani U20 | 2 | 1XBet | 2.44 | 2.33 | 0.77 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | Sport Recife | 1-1 | Criciúma | 2 | pncl | 4.51 | 4.18 | 0.46 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:00 | Botafogo PB | 1-1 | Mirassol | 1 | 1XBet | 2.70 | 2.57 | 0.70 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | Deportivo Cali | 0-3 | Envigado | 1 | titanbet | 2.00 | 1.93 | 0.89 | ☓ | |
| 02:05 | Santa Fe | 1-1 | América de Cali | 2 | pncl | 5.58 | 5.12 | 0.40 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:00 | Barranquilla | 1-1 | Boca Juniors de Cali | 2 | pncl | 3.91 | 3.65 | 0.51 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:00 | Sokol Libiš | 5-3 | Kolín | 2 | cashpoint | 1.50 | 1.47 | 1.46 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | Ostrava U19 | 4-1 | Ceske Budejovice U19 | 1 | 10bet | 1.86 | 1.80 | 1.08 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 | Manta | 1-0 | América de Quito | 1 | tipico | 2.55 | 2.43 | 0.78 | ✓ | |
| 21:00 | Chacaritas | 1-0 | Imbabura | 2 | pncl | 3.89 | 3.63 | 0.51 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:00 | Qarabağ | 1-1 | Ferencváros | 2 | 1XBet | 3.76 | 3.52 | 0.55 | ☓ | |
| 17:00 | Bodø / Glimt | 5-0 | Žalgiris | 1 | interwetten | 1.40 | 1.38 | 1.53 | ✓ | |
| 18:00 | Maccabi Haifa | 4-0 | Apollon | 1 | 1XBet | 1.57 | 1.53 | 1.35 | ✓ | |
| 19:45 | Crvena Zvezda | 5-0 | Pyunik | 1 | 1XBet | 1.17 | 1.16 | 2.54 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:00 | Ilves II | 2-1 | EPS | 1 | 1XBet | 2.02 | 1.95 | 0.91 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:30 | Gebenbach | 1-4 | Donaustauf | 2 | 1XBet | 2.12 | 2.04 | 1.03 | ✓ | |
| 17:30 | Jahn Regensburg II | 4-1 | Großbardorf | 1 | 1XBet | 1.64 | 1.60 | 1.47 | ✓ | |
| 17:30 | Kornburg | 3-1 | Weiden | 1 | 888sport | 1.82 | 1.77 | 1.02 | ✓ | |
| 17:30 | ATSV Erlangen | 2-0 | DJK Bamberg | 2 | 1XBet | 2.80 | 2.66 | 0.67 | ☓ | |
| 18:00 | Eintracht Bamberg | 4-0 | Bayern Hof | 1 | pncl | 1.38 | 1.36 | 1.59 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | TSV Steinbach II | 2-4 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf | 2 | pncl | 1.46 | 1.43 | 1.38 | ✓ | |
| 18:00 | Rot-Weiß Hadamar | 2-1 | Waldgirmes | X | pncl | 5.05 | 4.66 | 0.43 | ☓ | |
| 18:00 | SV Steinbach | 0-0 | Neuhof | 1 | betfair | 3.50 | 3.29 | 0.57 | ☓ | |
| 18:30 | Eddersheim | 1-0 | Bayern Alzenau | 2 | 1XBet | 2.75 | 2.61 | 0.74 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | TSB Flensburg | 4-2 | Heider SV | 1 | 1XBet | 2.65 | 2.52 | 0.72 | ✓ | |
| 18:00 | Kilia Kiel | 4-0 | Oldenburger SV | 1 | betregal | 1.91 | 1.85 | 1.28 | ✓ | |
| 18:00 | Inter Türkspor Kiel | 3-3 | Union Neumünster | 1 | pncl | 2.93 | 2.78 | 0.63 | ☓ | |
| 18:00 | Lubeck II | 4-0 | Pansdorf | 2 | pncl | 2.52 | 2.41 | 0.75 | ☓ | |
| 18:30 | Weiche Flensburg II | 2-2 | Husumer SV | 1 | pncl | 2.29 | 2.20 | 0.80 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:30 | BKV Előre | 2-1 | Tiszafuredi VSE | 1 | 1XBet | 1.82 | 1.77 | 1.06 | ✓ | |
| 16:30 | Putnok VSE | 3-1 | Tiszaújváros | 1 | 1XBet | 2.40 | 2.30 | 0.85 | ✓ | |
| 16:30 | BVSC | 4-1 | Füzesgyarmati | 1 | 1XBet | 1.51 | 1.48 | 1.31 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | Paksi SE II | 2-2 | Honvéd II | 1 | unibet | 2.65 | 2.52 | 0.69 | ☓ | |
| 16:30 | Ceglédi | 1-4 | Hódmezővásárhely | 2 | betregal | 2.77 | 2.63 | 0.68 | ✓ | |
| 16:30 | Szolnoki MÁV | 4-3 | Ferencváros II | 2 | pncl | 3.33 | 3.14 | 0.57 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:30 | Gyori ETO II | 2-0 | Bicskei | 2 | pncl | 4.36 | 4.05 | 0.47 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:15 | Valur | 2-0 | FH | 1 | 188bet | 2.19 | 2.11 | 0.81 | ✓ | |
| 20:15 | Fram | 2-2 | Stjarnan | 1 | 1XBet | 3.08 | 2.91 | 0.61 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:45 | Bnei Sakhnin | 1-2 | Hapoel Hadera | 2 | pncl | 4.23 | 3.94 | 0.53 | ✓ | |
| 18:00 | Sektzia Nes Tziona | 1-0 | Ashdod | 2 | pncl | 2.68 | 2.55 | 0.69 | ☓ | |
| 18:30 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 3-1 | Hapoel Haifa | 1 | pncl | 3.79 | 3.55 | 0.51 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 | Cerezo Osaka | 1-1 | Kawasaki Frontale | 1 | 1XBet | 3.01 | 2.85 | 0.70 | ☓ | |
| 11:00 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 3-1 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 1 | 1XBet | 2.48 | 2.37 | 0.73 | ✓ | |
| 11:00 | Vissel Kobe | 1-2 | Avispa Fukuoka | X | 188bet | 3.25 | 3.06 | 0.58 | ☓ | |
| 11:30 | Nagoya Grampus | 1-1 | Urawa Reds | 2 | 1XBet | 2.59 | 2.47 | 0.76 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 | Incheon United | 1-1 | Suwon | 1 | pncl | 2.94 | 2.79 | 0.62 | ☓ | |
| 11:30 | Daegu | 1-2 | Suwon Bluewings | 1 | 1XBet | 2.21 | 2.12 | 0.89 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:30 | Ekwendeni Hammers | 0-2 | Big Bullets | X | 1XBet | 3.74 | 3.50 | 0.52 | ☓ | |
| 13:30 | Kamuzu Barracks | 1-1 | CIVO United | 1 | pncl | 2.59 | 2.47 | 0.70 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:45 | Kelantan United | 1-1 | Johor Darul Ta'zim II | 2 | 1XBet | 1.64 | 1.60 | 1.14 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:05 | Cancún | 2-0 | CA La Paz | 2 | pncl | 4.40 | 4.09 | 0.46 | ☓ | |
| 03:05 | Dorados | 0-1 | Celaya | 2 | 1XBet | 3.32 | 3.13 | 0.68 | ✓ | |
| 23:00 | Alebrijes | 4-0 | Tapatío | 1 | pncl | 2.15 | 2.07 | 0.83 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:00 | Toluca | 1-1 | Puebla | 2 | cloudbet | 3.21 | 3.03 | 0.59 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:00 | Juárez U20 | 0-0 | Tigres UANL U20 | 1 | cloudbet | 3.40 | 3.20 | 0.56 | ☓ | |
| 17:00 | Santos Laguna U20 | 2-1 | Monterrey U20 | 2 | marathon | 4.60 | 4.26 | 0.45 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:30 | Sagaing United | 2-1 | Yadanarbon | 2 | 1XBet | 1.82 | 1.77 | 1.65 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 | Alajuelense | 3-0 | Águila | 2 | 1XBet | 9.20 | 8.23 | 0.30 | ☓ | |
| 03:00 | Pacific | 6-0 | Waterhouse | 2 | pncl | 8.30 | 7.47 | 0.32 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | Fortuna Ålesund W | 1-2 | Øvrevoll Hosle W | 1 | 1XBet | 2.60 | 2.48 | 0.70 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:00 | Kristiansund | 1-1 | Tromsø | 2 | Betsson | 2.40 | 2.30 | 0.76 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:30 | Rubio Ñú | 1-0 | Cerro Porteño | 2 | pncl | 1.26 | 1.25 | 1.94 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:35 | Al Duhail | 2-4 | Al Wakrah | 2 | 1XBet | 4.34 | 4.03 | 0.55 | ✓ | |
| 17:45 | Al Rayyan | 0-1 | Al Shamal | 2 | 1XBet | 4.74 | 4.39 | 0.61 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:45 | Bo'ness United | 2-2 | Stirling University | 2 | betfair | 4.60 | 4.26 | 0.46 | ☓ | |
| 19:45 | Dalbeattie Star | 2-3 | Edusport Academy | 2 | 1XBet | 1.85 | 1.79 | 1.33 | ✓ | |
| 19:45 | East Stirlingshire | 2-3 | Cumbernauld Colts | 1 | pncl | 1.47 | 1.44 | 1.36 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:45 | Geylang International | 1-4 | Tampines Rovers | 1 | 1XBet | 2.96 | 2.80 | 0.73 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | Corinthians | 0-2 | Flamengo | 2 | comeon | 2.45 | 2.34 | 0.74 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:15 | São Paulo | 1-0 | Ceará | 1 | 1XBet | 1.81 | 1.76 | 1.00 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | Dalkurd | 2-1 | Norrby | 2 | pncl | 2.26 | 2.17 | 0.79 | ☓ | |
| 18:00 | Landskrona | 0-1 | Skövde AIK | 1 | cashpoint | 2.86 | 2.71 | 0.64 | ☓ | |
| 18:00 | Brommapojkarna | 2-1 | Örebro | X | cloudbet | 4.66 | 4.31 | 0.45 | ☓ | |
| 18:00 | Brage | 1-0 | Östersunds FK | 1 | 1XBet | 1.63 | 1.59 | 1.21 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | New York RB | 4-5 | Colorado Rapids | 1 | 1XBet | 1.74 | 1.69 | 1.05 | ☓ | |
| 03:00 | Seattle Sounders | 1-0 | Dallas | 1 | 188bet | 1.91 | 1.85 | 0.98 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:00 | Northern Colorado | 0-1 | Richmond Kickers | 1 | 888sport | 2.60 | 2.48 | 0.77 | ☓ |
