Football Value Bets 2022-08-01
You can find many websites that are giving or even selling Football value bets or Expert football picks. A big majority of them are scammers, so the question is: Why are we different? As a group of math freaks, we decided to convert our knowledge into something practical. This is however just a statement and every anonymous internet scammer would claim exactly that.
To prove our expertise, we dare you to check our results. From the calendar on the left side, pick a date and look at how we did. For each day since 2018 you can see how we did.
Did you find a day with a negative result? Yes, this happens. It is impossible to guess correctly the outcomes of hundreds of thousands football fixtures and we are not doing that.
Our aim is a long term revenue over 10% and if you check, you will see we are even better than that. What we are doing is analysing thousands of fixtures by dozens of bookmakers and selecting only football value bets
Football value bets are the fixtures where the bookmaker is for some reason giving "too much".
- Look at the list of fixtures and chose bookmakers that are legal or licensed in your country.
- Click on the bookmakers link or type in the bookmaker's url and find the fixture.
- Check if the bookmaker did not lower the odds in the meanwhile. If the odds are lower, do NOT bet on it.
- Run the suggestion through your inner sceptic and consider if betting on it is a good idea.
- Make sure to start out small.
01/08/2022 evaluation: We are showing 75 value bet opportunities from 48 leagues with stake amount £60.78, where the result is £1.54. The average market margin of stakes worth £60.78 is -5.47. This means that if the result is a higher number compared to bookies market margin, our value bets work. We see this condition to be fulfilled most of the time and you can even improve the result by doing an extra selection, using your critical thinking.
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| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | Guillermo Brown | 1-0 | Deportivo Santamarina | 1 | 188bet | 1.86 | 1.80 | 0.98 | ✓ | |
| 19:00 | Nueva Chicago | 0-1 | Flandria | 2 | pncl | 3.61 | 3.39 | 0.53 | ✓ | |
| 20:00 | Atletico Mitre | 1-1 | Deportivo Riestra | 2 | pncl | 4.34 | 4.03 | 0.47 | ☓ | |
| 23:00 | Alvarado | 0-1 | Deportivo Morón | 2 | 1XBet | 2.61 | 2.49 | 0.69 | ✓ | |
| 23:35 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 2-0 | Belgrano | 1 | 1XBet | 3.30 | 3.11 | 0.58 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:30 | Leandro Nicéforo Alem | 1-1 | Argentino Merlo | 1 | marathon | 4.25 | 3.95 | 0.49 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | San Lorenzo Res. | 3-4 | Argentinos Juniors Res. | 2 | 1XBet | 2.73 | 2.60 | 0.69 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:00 | Rosario Central | 0-3 | Central Cordoba SdE | 2 | pncl | 4.25 | 3.95 | 0.47 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:15 | Bulleen Lions | 2-3 | Pascoe Vale | 2 | unibet | 2.70 | 2.57 | 0.68 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 | Abahani Chittagong | 3-2 | Bangladesh Police | 2 | betfair | 3.50 | 3.29 | 0.56 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:00 | Santa Cruz | 1-1 | Aurora | 2 | tipico | 3.90 | 3.64 | 0.51 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | Aparecidense | 1-3 | FC Atlético Cearense | 2 | betfair | 7.50 | 6.78 | 0.33 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:30 | Arda | 3-2 | Septemvri Sofia | 2 | pncl | 4.75 | 4.39 | 0.44 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:00 | Belasitsa | 1-0 | Botev Plovdiv II | 1 | cashpoint | 2.13 | 2.05 | 1.01 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | Atlético Ottawa | 0-4 | Forge | 1 | ladbrokes | 4.40 | 4.09 | 0.47 | ☓ | |
| 19:00 | HFX Wanderers | 2-4 | York9 | 2 | pncl | 3.31 | 3.12 | 0.57 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 1-1 | Cobreloa | 1 | pncl | 2.66 | 2.53 | 0.69 | ☓ | |
| 20:30 | Santiago Morning | 1-0 | San Luis | 1 | 1XBet | 2.63 | 2.51 | 0.70 | ✓ | |
| 23:00 | Puerto Montt | 1-4 | Univ. Concepción | 1 | pncl | 2.38 | 2.28 | 0.76 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:00 | Deportes Limache | 2-1 | Trasandino | 1 | 1XBet | 3.28 | 3.09 | 0.57 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:30 | Suzhou Dongwu | 0-3 | Qingdao Jonoon | 2 | cloudbet | 1.49 | 1.46 | 1.36 | ✓ | |
| 09:00 | Shaanxi Chang'an | 1-0 | Sichuan | 1 | nitrogen sports | 3.69 | 3.46 | 0.53 | ✓ | |
| 12:30 | Heilongjiang Lava Spring | 3-0 | Zibo Sunday | 1 | 1XBet | 1.42 | 1.40 | 1.53 |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:00 | Fortaleza CEIF | 1-2 | Bogotá | 2 | pncl | 5.10 | 4.70 | 0.43 | ✓ | |
| 22:00 | Deportes Quindío | 4-3 | Valledupar | 2 | pncl | 7.52 | 6.80 | 0.33 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | Deportivo Saprissa | 1-1 | Puntarenas | 1 | 188bet | 1.78 | 1.73 | 1.09 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:30 | Ismaily | 1-0 | Misr Lel Makasa | 1 | 1XBet | 1.42 | 1.40 | 1.45 | ✓ | |
| 17:30 | National Bank of Egypt | 1-1 | El Gounah | 2 | 1XBet | 3.80 | 3.55 | 0.51 | ☓ | |
| 20:00 | Zamalek | 3-0 | Pyramids FC | 2 | 1XBet | 2.60 | 2.48 | 0.73 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:00 | K-Järve JK Järve | 1-3 | Paide U21 | 1 | bet-at-home | 1.96 | 1.90 | 0.91 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:00 | Raplamaa | 0-2 | Tallinna Kalev II | 2 | 1XBet | 1.15 | 1.14 | 2.69 | ✓ | |
| 17:00 | Tartu Welco | 5-1 | Nõmme Kalju II | 1 | unibet | 1.35 | 1.33 | 1.60 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:00 | HIFK | 0-3 | Inter Turku | 2 | 188bet | 1.75 | 1.70 | 1.06 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:01 | Chemnitzer FC | 1-2 | FC Union Berlin | 2 | interwetten | 1.22 | 1.21 | 2.25 | ||
| 19:46 | Magdeburg | 0-4 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 | interwetten | 1.50 | 1.47 | 1.47 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 | Comunicaciones | 0-0 | Guastatoya | 1 | pncl | 1.78 | 1.73 | 1.05 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | Real España | 1-0 | UPNFM | 1 | dafabet | 1.38 | 1.36 | 1.62 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | MTK | 2-1 | Szeged 2011 | 2 | pncl | 7.82 | 7.06 | 0.33 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:15 | Breidablik | 3-1 | ÍA | 1 | interwetten | 1.25 | 1.24 | 1.96 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:30 | Persebaya Surabaya | 2-0 | Persita | 2 | marathon | 6.10 | 5.57 | 0.38 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:30 | Hapoel Nof HaGalil | 1-1 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 1 | pncl | 2.61 | 2.49 | 0.69 | ☓ | |
| 17:30 | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 1-2 | Ironi Tiberias | 2 | pncl | 3.48 | 3.27 | 0.55 | ✓ | |
| 17:30 | Bnei Yehuda | 2-3 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion | 2 | titanbet | 3.45 | 3.24 | 0.57 | ✓ | |
| 17:30 | Kafr Qasim | 1-0 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 2 | pncl | 4.20 | 3.91 | 0.48 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:30 | Seoul E. | 3-0 | Gimpo | 2 | betfair | 4.25 | 3.95 | 0.48 | ☓ | |
| 11:30 | Bucheon 1995 | 3-1 | Gyeongnam | 2 | 1XBet | 2.69 | 2.56 | 0.68 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:00 | Auda | 1-1 | Valmiera | 2 | pncl | 1.65 | 1.61 | 1.14 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:15 | Johor Darul Ta'zim | 5-0 | Kuala Lumpur | 1 | 1XBet | 1.22 | 1.21 | 2.20 | ✓ | |
| 14:00 | Pahang | 2-0 | Kedah | 2 | pncl | 2.58 | 2.46 | 0.72 | ☓ | |
| 14:00 | Terengganu | 0-0 | MISC | 2 | 888sport | 7.50 | 6.78 | 0.33 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | United Victory | 1-4 | Club Valencia | 1 | betfair | 2.15 | 2.07 | 0.83 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:05 | León | 3-2 | América | 2 | titanbet | 2.50 | 2.39 | 0.72 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:45 | Atlas W | 2-2 | Toluca W | 2 | cloudbet | 3.68 | 3.45 | 0.55 | ☓ | |
| 23:00 | Necaxa W | 2-2 | Pumas UNAM W | 2 | interwetten | 1.95 | 1.89 | 1.00 | ☓ | |
| 23:05 | Pachuca W | 0-1 | Guadalajara W | 1 | pncl | 3.07 | 2.90 | 0.61 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:15 | Atlético Chiriquí | 3-2 | Deportivo Universitario | 2 | pncl | 3.93 | 3.67 | 0.51 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:30 | Atyrá | 2-0 | Sportivo Iteño | 1 | pncl | 1.79 | 1.74 | 1.02 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | Sport Boys | 1-2 | César Vallejo | 2 | Betsson | 2.50 | 2.39 | 0.72 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:00 | Nieciecza | 0-2 | Tychy 71 | 1 | unibet | 1.88 | 1.82 | 0.97 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:35 | Al Markhiya | 4-3 | Al Sadd | 2 | cashpoint | 1.58 | 1.54 | 1.23 | ☓ | |
| 17:45 | Umm Salal | 0-1 | Al Ahli | 1 | 1XBet | 2.12 | 2.04 | 0.84 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | Rubin Kazan' | 0-0 | Ufa | 2 | pncl | 4.12 | 3.84 | 0.49 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:30 | Železničar Pančevo | 0-2 | Zlatibor Čajetina | 1 | 1XBet | 1.59 | 1.55 | 1.23 | ☓ | |
| 18:00 | Rad Beograd | 1-2 | Trajal Krusevac | 1 | Betsson | 2.05 | 1.98 | 0.87 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | IFK Göteborg | 2-0 | Norrköping | 2 | pncl | 2.89 | 2.74 | 0.63 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:30 | Storfors | 1-4 | Skellefteå | 1 | 1XBet | 4.92 | 4.54 | 0.44 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | Hässleholms IF | 1-1 | Nosaby | 1 | pncl | 1.79 | 1.74 | 1.02 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | Haninge | 2-1 | Täby | 1 | dafabet | 1.84 | 1.78 | 0.99 | ✓ | |
| 18:00 | Sollentuna | 2-2 | Hammarby Talang | 1 | pncl | 2.26 | 2.17 | 0.79 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | Ängelholm | 3-1 | Lund | 2 | Betsson | 3.30 | 3.11 | 0.58 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | Liverpool | 1-3 | Defensor Sporting | 1 | pncl | 2.44 | 2.33 | 0.74 | ☓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 | Termez Surkhon | 0-5 | FK Olympic | 1 | pncl | 3.19 | 3.01 | 0.60 | ☓ | |
| 16:00 | Pakhtakor | 3-2 | Dinamo Samarqand | 1 | 1XBet | 1.18 | 1.17 | 2.42 | ✓ | |
| 16:00 | Sogdiana | 2-0 | Bunyodkor | 1 | pncl | 2.17 | 2.09 | 0.84 | ✓ |
| # | Kick-off | Home | Result | Away | Value Bet | Bookmaker | Odds | Fair odds | Stake | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:15 | Aragua | 0-2 | Deportivo La Guaira | 1 | pncl | 3.07 | 2.90 | 0.61 | ☓ |